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Policy implications of net-zero emissions: A multi-model analysis of United States emissions and energy system impacts

Many countries, subnational jurisdictions, and companies are setting net-zero emissions goals; however, questions remain about strategies to reach these targets, policy measures, technology gaps, and economic impacts. Here, we investigate the potential policy implications of reaching economy-wide net-zero CO 2 emissions across the United States by 2050 using results from a multi-model comparison with 14 energy-economic models. Model results suggest that achieving net-zero CO 2 targets depends on policies that accelerate deployment of zero- and low-emitting technologies that have seen rapid cost reductions in recent years (including wind, solar, battery storage, and electric vehicles) as well as relatively nascent options (including carbon capture and storage, advanced biofuels, low-carbon hydrogen, advanced nuclear, and long-duration energy storage). While net-zero policies are likely to lower fossil fuel consumption, including considerable coal and petroleum reductions, achieving net-zero emissions does not necessarily mean phasing out all fossil fuels. Model results indicate that the Inflation Reduction Act’s energy and climate provisions amplify near-term decarbonization but that net-zero policies have larger impacts on long-run outcomes. Stringent climate policy can have large fiscal impacts on tax revenue and government spending—revenues from carbon pricing and subsidies for carbon removal range from 0.1 % to 3.7 % of GDP in 2050 across models. Each dollar per metric ton carbon price leads to a 0.06 % to 0.31 % reduction in economy-wide CO 2 emissions relative to a reference scenario with current policies. Spending on energy across the economy decreases relative to today for many models under reference and net-zero policies, especially as a share of GDP, due primarily to end-use electrification and energy efficiency.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Fossil Power Plant Cyber Security Life-Cycle Risk Reduction: A Practical Framework for Implementation

Market conditions are forcing fossil electricity generation facility owners and operators to implement advanced digital technologies. These technologies enable efficiencies, operational flexibility, operations and maintenance efficiencies, and adapting to a transitioning workforce. These digital technologies, however, can increase the cybersecurity attack surface. The purpose of this research was to develop a holistic cybersecurity risk reduction framework for fossil generation facilities. The framework begins with assessing how cyber risk changes across facility life cycles, including plant, system, vendor, and business life cycles. The next phase performs consequence analysis to prioritize high consequence events. Focusing on high consequence events allows owners to use a graded, risk-informed approach to prioritize cybersecurity efforts. The final phase identifies the digital asset attack surface in sensors and instrumentation and control equipment. After the vulnerabilities are identified, the owner selects mitigating cybersecurity control measures (or countermeasures) based on the risk analysis from the previous phases. This report describes the current industry cybersecurity best practices in fossil generation that are based on the first principles for cybersecurity engineering. The report is divided into five sections that describe the implementation of the risk reduction framework and present identified research, methodological, and technology gaps that were identified through this course of research and development.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Fossil Power Plant Cyber Security Life-Cycle Risk Reduction: A Practical Framework for Implementation

Market conditions are forcing fossil electricity generation facility owners and operators to implement advanced digital technologies. These technologies enable efficiencies, operational flexibility, operations and maintenance efficiencies, and adapting to a transitioning workforce. These digital technologies, however, can increase the cybersecurity attack surface. The purpose of this research was to develop a holistic cybersecurity risk reduction framework for fossil generation facilities. The framework begins with assessing how cyber risk changes across facility life cycles, including plant, system, vendor, and business life cycles. The next phase performs consequence analysis to prioritize high consequence events. Focusing on high consequence events allows owners to use a graded, risk-informed approach to prioritize cybersecurity efforts. The final phase identifies the digital asset attack surface in sensors and instrumentation and control equipment. After the vulnerabilities are identified, the owner selects mitigating cybersecurity control measures (or countermeasures) based on the risk analysis from the previous phases. This report describes the current industry cybersecurity best practices in fossil generation that are based on the first principles for cybersecurity engineering. The report is divided into five sections that describe the implementation of the risk reduction framework and present identified research, methodological, and technology gaps that were identified through this course of research and development.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Aerocapture Technology Development for Planetary Science - Update

Within NASA's Science Mission Directorate is a technological program dedicated to improving the cost, mass, and trip time of future scientific missions throughout the Solar System. The In-Space Propulsion Technology (ISPT) Program, established in 2001, is charged with advancing propulsion systems used in space from Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 3 to TRL6, and with planning activities leading to flight readiness. The program's content has changed considerably since inception, as the program has refocused its priorities. One of the technologies that has remained in the ISPT portfolio through these changes is Aerocapture. Aerocapture is the use of a planetary body's atmosphere to slow a vehicle from hyperbolic velocity to a low-energy orbit suitable for science. Prospective use of this technology has repeatedly shown huge mass savings for missions of interest in planetary exploration, at Titan, Neptune, Venus, and Mars. With launch vehicle costs rising, these savings could be the key to mission viability. This paper provides an update on the current state of the Aerocapture technology development effort, summarizes some recent key findings, and highlights hardware developments that are ready for application to Aerocapture vehicles and entry probes alike. Description of Investments: The Aerocapture technology area within the ISPT program has utilized the expertise around NASA to perform Phase A-level studies of future missions, to identify technology gaps that need to be filled to achieve flight readiness. A 2002 study of the Titan Explorer mission concept showed that the combination of Aerocapture and a Solar Electric Propulsion system could deliver a lander and orbiter to Titan in half the time and on a smaller, less expensive launch vehicle, compared to a mission using chemical propulsion for the interplanetary injection and orbit insertion. The study also identified no component technology breakthroughs necessary to implement Aerocapture on such a mission. Similar studies of Aerocapture applications at Neptune, Venus, and Mars were studied in 2003 through 2005. All showed significant performance improvements for the missions studied. Findings from these studies were used to guide the technology development tasks originally solicited in a 2002 NASA ROSS Research Announcement. The tasks are now in their final year and have provided numerous improvements in modeling and hardware, for use in proposals or new mission starts. Major Accomplishments: Since validation of the Aerocapture maneuver requires a space flight, ground developments have focused on modeling and environment prediction, materials, and sensors. Lockheed Martin has designed and built a 2-meter Carbon-Carbon aeroshell "hot structure." The article utilizes co-cured stiffening ribs and advanced insulation to achieve large scale, and up to a 40% reduction in areal density over the Genesis probe construction. This concept would be an efficient solution for probes that experience heat rates near 800-1000 W/cm(exp 2), such as at Venus and Earth. Applied Research Associates has extensively tested a family of efficient ablative TPS materials that provide solutions for a range of heating conditions. These materials are being applied to high-temperature structures built by ATK Space Systems, led by Langley Research Center. One-meter aeroshells will be thermally tested to validate construction and demonstrate higher bondline temperatures, which can lead to mass savings of up to 30% over traditional heatshields. Ames Research Center has developed aeroshell instrumentation that could measure environmental conditions and material performance during atmospheric entry. Instruments to measure TPS recession, heat flux, and catalycity could be combined with traditional sensors to provide a "plug-and-play" system for minimal mass and power, that would acquire flight data for model improvement and risk reduction on future missions. Improved atmospheric and aerothermodynamic models ha also been a major focus of the program. Next Steps: Aerocapture is one of five technologies in competition for a flight validation opportunity through the New Millennium Program. If selected, a fully autonomous vehicle will perform an Aerocapture at Earth in 2010, and flight data will be used to validate the guidance system and the TPS material for science mission infusion.

Munk, Michelle M.↗

Assessment of Silver Based Disinfection Technology for CEV and Future US Spacecraft

Silver biocide offers a potential advantage over iodine, the current state-of-the-art in US spacecraft disinfection technology, in that silver can be safely consumed by the crew. As such, silver may reduce the overall complexity and mass of future spacecraft potable water systems, particularly those used to support long duration missions. A primary technology gap identified for the use of silver biocide is one of material compatibility. Wetted materials of construction are required to be selected such that silver ion concentrations can be maintained at biocidally effective levels. Preliminary data on silver biocide depletion rates in heritage spacecraft potable water system wetted-materials of construction has been gathered as part of a multi-phase test project aimed at the characterization of silver based biocide technology through: development of preferred materials lists, investigation of silver biocide forms and delivery methods, down-selection of silver biocide technologies, and integrated testing. A 10% - 20% loss in silver ion concentration per day was observed for acid passivated Nitronic 40 tubing with surface area to volume (S/V) ratios of approximately 4.59 cm-1. The Nitronic 40 tubes were tested both with and without biocide pretreatment. Silver biocide depletion was also observed at approximately 0.1% per day for the first 35 days of exposure to acid passivated Inconel 718 coupon, S/V of approximately 0.14 cm-1. Surface analysis by scanning election microscopy (SEM) suggested deposition of silver metal on both test materials. SEM analysis also provided evidence of potential variability in the passivation process for tube configuration of the Nitronic 40 test apparatus. These preliminary results are presented and discussed herein, along with the current project status.

Callahan, Michael R.↗

NASA Advanced Explorations Systems: 2017 Advancements in Life Support Systems

The NASA Advanced Exploration Systems (AES) Life Support Systems (LSS) project strives to develop reliable, energy-efficient, and low-mass spacecraft systems to provide environmental control and life support systems (ECLSS) critical to enabling long duration human missions beyond low Earth orbit (LEO). Highly reliable, closed-loop life support systems are among the capabilities required for the longer duration human space exploration missions planned in the mid-2020s and beyond. The LSS Project is focused on four are-as-architecture and systems engineering for life support systems, environmental monitoring, air revitalization, and wastewater processing and water management. Starting with the International Space Station (ISS) LSS systems as a point of departure where applicable, the three-fold mission of the LSS Project is to address discrete LSS technology gaps, to improve the reliability of LSS systems, and to advance LSS systems toward integrated testing aboard the ISS. This paper is a follow on to the AES LSS development status reported in 2016 and provides additional details on the progress made since that paper was published with specific attention to the status of the Aerosol Sampler ISS Flight Experiment, the Spacecraft Atmosphere Monitor (SAM) Flight Experiment, the Brine Processor Assembly (BPA) Flight Experiment, the CO2 removal technology development tasks, and the work investigating the impacts of dormancy on LSS systems.

Schneider, Walter F.↗

Heat Transfer Measurements of NASA Liquid Kerosene/Oxygen Rotating Detonation Rocket Engine

The RDRE has been identified as a viable high performance propulsion system with numerous advantages over the state-of-the-art (SOA) liquid rocket engine. NASA has been investigating this combustion device for applications ranging from lander, upper stage, thruster, and hypersonics. All of the activities funded to date have been focused on closing major technology gaps preventing the RDRE from being used more broadly by industry. One of those gaps include the prediction and management of heat transfer to the walls from the extreme combustion environment. This work overviews the heat transfer measurements made using new and existing hardware. A liquid oxygen / liquid RP-1 RDRE was tested utilizing a calorimeter outer body and outer body nozzle extension. An actively cooled inner body with axial running cooling channels was also used. A bimetallic GRCop-42 / Monel K500 injector was developed and demonstrated to be a viable technology for RDRE environments. Trends in bulk heat loads are discussed along with a direct comparison to constant pressure theory predictions of wall heat transfer. The experimental data obtained in this investigation showed similar heat fluxes to constant pressure theory indicating deflagration may have dominated the flow field. Only a single detonation wave was observed in all tests which imparted a significant dynamic load (vibration) on the test article making measurement of combustor performances extremely challenging. Both accelerometer and load cell data corroborate the extreme G-forces measured. The single wave mode yielded relatively low performances compared with other hot fire test data sets available. This leads to the conclusion that a single detonation wave in this geometry is not sufficient for high performance. Wave multiplicity, or rather, a specific number of waves may yield higher performances.

Thomas Teasley↗

Coal to Carbon Fiber (C2CF) Continuous Processing for High Value Composites (Final Report)

Coal tar is a condensed and recovered by-product of the coking of metallurgical coal for steel production. The heaviest fraction of distilled coal tar is an isotropic pitch largely used as a binder in the manufacturing of carbonaceous electrodes for primary aluminum smelting and in electric arc furnaces. Coal tar pitch offers high carbon yield upon carbonization. In this project, a process to convert the domestically sourced isotropic coal tar pitch, containing very low particulates (QI = 0.32 wt.%), to form flow-domain mesophase pitch amenable for melt spinning into precursor (green) fibers for carbon fiber, was developed and optimized. The final reproducible processing developed is reviewed in this report, along with several characterizations of the mesophase pitch. A final definition of the characteristics of a ‘spinnable’ mesophase pitch is presented. With this mesophase pitch, reproducible and stable multifilament melt spinning was developed, producing green fiber tows with filament diameters of approximately 20 m. The multifilament melt spinning was the most challenging aspect of the project and required the most effort. The best practices learned from this project for melt spinning are reviewed in this report. Once spun, the green fibers were oxidatively stabilized, carbonized and graphitized under inert gas atmosphere to form the final carbon fibers. Given the relatively high softening point of the mesophase pitch, no issues of interfilament fusion were observed during batch oxidation, and subsequent batch carbonization and graphitization went smoothly in all cases. An ~ 80 wt.% conversion of the green fiber mass to final carbon fiber was achieved. After graphitization, the carbon fibers showed high tensile moduli (most were ~ 600 GPa, or 87 Msi) consistent with commercially-available high-performance pitch-based carbon fiber. However, tensile strength and strain to failure were comparatively low. Further work to reduce defects in and on the fiber surfaces would increase these properties. SEM imaging of the graphitic fiber textures is presented herein. Rudimentary composites were fabricated from the carbon fibers and characterized showing similar modulus to baseline composites fabricated with commercial carbon fiber. Finally, a basic economic analysis was done showing the potential to increase the value of the isotropic coal tar pitch by up to 13.6 to 136 times based on a carbon fiber value of $\$$5/lb to $\$$50/lb, respectively. Moreover, the site case study suggests that the coal tar from the single integrated steel mill could supply production of up to 16 kt/yr of carbon fiber. Finally, a technological gap analysis was done which shed light on remaining technical challenges. These challenges included: recovery and utilization of condensates from the mesophase pitch processing, further advancing and increasing stability of the multifilament melt spinning processing, optimization of the oxidation processing, defect reduction for increased carbon fiber strength, and the development of a weaving process towards carbon fiber fabrics. To maximize the coal value chain, the primary objectives of this project were to (a) develop and scale efficient processing technology for producing melt-spinnable mesophase pitch from isotropic coal tar pitch, (b) clarify and simplify tedious continuous fiber processing technologies (particularly multifilament melt spinning of mesophase pitch) towards the efficient production of high performance carbon fiber, and (c) demonstrate and characterize representative composite parts derived from the final carbon fiber. Immense progress was made on all 3 objectives and is detailed in this report.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Electrical Energy Storage Factual Status Document: Resource Document for the Workshop on Basic Research Needs for Next Generation Electrical Energy Storage, March 2017

Electrical energy storage is of growing importance to energy – with increasing use in transportation and on the electrical grid. Batteries are used in all types of vehicles, but have increased in importance with the growth of hybrid and all-electric powered vehicles. For the electrical grid, batteries have a wide diversity of applications from grid stability to storage of electricity generated when the load is low so it is available when there is more demand. Distributed generation of electricity by solar panels and wind generation are also drivers for enhanced energy storage. In both industries, a key enabler will be low-cost batteries with long life, excellent safety, and superior performance. In addition to these two big markets, consumer electronics powered by rechargeable batteries continues to grow into new areas with the advent of wearable technology, internet-of-things, and virtual reality. Today’s energy storage technologies fall far short of the requirements for many of these growing applications. Because of these technology gaps, advances in energy storage are expected to play a critical role for a secure energy future. This document was produced in preparation for a Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Basic Energy Sciences Workshop titled “Basic Research Needs for Next Generation Electrical Energy Storage.” This workshop will identify key basic research directions that could provide revolutionary breakthroughs needed for meeting future requirements for electrical energy storage. This document was intended to provide a high-level assessment of current technologies used for electrical storage—focusing specifically on batteries and electrochemical capacitors—and to define requirements that are foreseen for the future application of these technologies in transportation vehicles, stationary storage applications, and consumer electronics. Thus, it provides a common background for the workshop participants and sets the technological basis for the workshop.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Securing Vehicle Charging Infrastructure

As the US electrifies the transportation sector, cyber attacks targeting vehicle charging could bring consequences to electrical system infrastructure. This is a growing area of concern as charging stations increase power delivery and must communicate to a range of entities to authorize charging, sequence the charging process, and manage load (grid operators, vehicles, OEM vendors, charging network operators, etc.). The research challenges are numerous and are complicated because there are many end users, stakeholders, and software and equipment vendors interests involved. Poorly implemented electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE), electric vehicle (EV), or grid communication system cybersecurity could be a significant risk to EV adoption because the political, social, and financial impact of cyberattacks - or public perception of such - ripples across the industry and has lasting and devastating effects. Unfortunately, there is no comprehensive EVSE cybersecurity approach and limited best practices have been adopted by the EV/EVSE industry. There is an incomplete industry understanding of the attack surface, interconnected assets, and unsecured interfaces. Thus, comprehensive cybersecurity recommendations founded on sound research are necessary to secure EV charging infrastructure. This project is providing the power, security, and automotive industry with a strong technical basis for securing this infrastructure by developing threat models, determining technology gaps, and identifying or developing effective countermeasures. Specifically, the team is creating a cybersecurity threat model and performing a technical risk assessment of EVSE assets, so that automotive, charging, and utility stakeholders can better protect customers, vehicles, and power systems in the face of new cyber threats.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

NASA Advanced Explorations Systems: 2018 Advancements in Life Support Systems

The NASA Advanced Exploration Systems (AES) Life Support Systems (LSS) project strives to develop reliable, energy-efficient, and low-mass spacecraft systems to provide envi-ronmental control and life support systems (ECLSS) critical to enabling long duration human missions beyond low Earth orbit (LEO). Highly reliable, closed-loop life support systems are among the capabilities required for the longer duration human space exploration missions planned in the mid-2020s and beyond. The LSS Project is focused on three life support areas: air revitalization, wastewater processing/water management and environmental monitoring. Building upon the International Space Station (ISS) LSS systems (where applicable), the three-fold mission of the LSS Project is to address discrete LSS technology gaps, to improve the reliability of LSS systems, and to advance LSS systems toward integrated testing aboard the ISS. This paper is a follow on to the AES LSS development status reported in 2017 and provides additional details on the progress made since that publication with specific attention to the status of the Aerosol Sampler ISS Flight Experiment, the Spacecraft Atmosphere Monitor (SAM) Flight Experiment, the Brine Processor Assembly (BPA) Flight Experiment as well as the progress of the terrestrial development in air, water and environmental monitoring technologies.

trace contaminant control↗

Creating Communications, Computing, and Networking Technology Development Road Maps for Future NASA Human and Robotic Missions

For human and robotic exploration missions in the Vision for Exploration, roadmaps are needed for capability development and investments based on advanced technology developments. A roadmap development process was undertaken for the needed communications, and networking capabilities and technologies for the future human and robotics missions. The underlying processes are derived from work carried out during development of the future space communications architecture, an d NASA's Space Architect Office (SAO) defined formats and structures for accumulating data. Interrelationships were established among emerging requirements, the capability analysis and technology status, and performance data. After developing an architectural communications and networking framework structured around the assumed needs for human and robotic exploration, in the vicinity of Earth, Moon, along the path to Mars, and in the vicinity of Mars, information was gathered from expert participants. This information was used to identify the capabilities expected from the new infrastructure and the technological gaps in the way of obtaining them. We define realistic, long-term space communication architectures based on emerging needs and translate the needs into interfaces, functions, and computer processing that will be required. In developing our roadmapping process, we defined requirements for achieving end-to-end activities that will be carried out by future NASA human and robotic missions. This paper describes: 10 the architectural framework developed for analysis; 2) our approach to gathering and analyzing data from NASA, industry, and academia; 3) an outline of the technology research to be done, including milestones for technology research and demonstrations with timelines; and 4) the technology roadmaps themselves.

Bhasin, Kul↗

Absorption/Desorption based high efficiency Supercritical Carbon Dioxide Power Cycles - Final Scientific/Technical Report

The team of Southwest Research Institute® (SwRI®) and Thar Energy LLC (Thar) are advancing the state of the art in fossil-fired closed Brayton supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ) power cycles. This current effort is focused on evaluating the integration of a fossil-based thermal system with closed Brayton sCO 2 power blocks to understand the impact of thermal integration on plant performance and identification of current technology gaps. This effort is extending the current understanding of how fossil-based thermal systems may best be integrated with recuperated closed Brayton cycles based on the overall impact on the integrated plant efficiency, cost, and operating characteristics. System Engineering Design and Thermodynamic Analysis is being utilized to (1) identify technical challenges impacting the integration of fossil-based thermal sources with highly recuperated closed Brayton sCO 2 power cycles, (2) evaluate the impact of boiler design and sCO 2 cycle configuration on integrated plant performance, cost, and operability, and (3) evaluate technology readiness of the integrated system and identify specific technologies requiring development of advanced fossil-based sCO 2 cycles. Engineering evaluation is being applied to coal- and natural gas-fired thermal systems for sCO 2 power cycles to evaluate current boiler technologies and challenges associated with adapting those to a sCO 2 based configuration. This includes technical evaluation of the sCO 2 heat exchanger design and anticipated performance impacts on the thermal system. In addition to the general evaluation of indirect fossil fires closed Brayton sCO 2 cycles, this effort is also evaluating a novel indirect sCO 2 power cycle that utilizes an absorption/desorption circuit to minimize compression work by 40% to 65%. This translates to a thermodynamic cycle efficiency improvement of 3.2 points for a simple recuperated cycle using a binary CO 2 + Acetone working fluid.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Chemical Looping Coal Gasification Sub-Pilot Unit Demonstration and Economic Assessment for IGCC applications (Final Report)

The Ohio State University (OSU) coal to syngas (CTS) technology is an advanced air separation process that can be applied for electricity production via an integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC). The objective of the proposed project is to enable the OSU CLG technology for a commercially relevant demonstration by 2020. In order to accomplish this objective, small pilot scale demonstration of the CLG reactor system was performed. The small pilot test unit incorporates commercially scalable non-mechanical gas sealing and solids flow control components for extended operations of the integrated reactor system. A cumulative demonstration of greater than 100 hours was performed to confirm the reliability of the reactors (reducer and oxidizer) and non-mechanical devices in maintaining controlled solid circulation, gas sealing, and coal distribution in the reactor (reducer) as well as to confirm sustained syngas product performance. A comprehensive techno-economic analysis (TEA) of the OSU CLG process for IGCC application was conducted with the support of WorleyParsons, Ltd. (WP) and compared to the Department of Energy (DOE) baseline IGCC report. Using the data gained from the small pilot demonstration, a complete comprehensive techno-economic analysis (TEA) of the CLG process was conducted. The evaluation was used as basis to attract utilities and coal industries in Ohio. The project duration lasts 30 months (6 months of no cost extension). Ohio coal was used in the integrated CLG small pilot unit to convert to high hydrogen syngas. A demonstration of the integrated chemical looping reactor system at the 15 kW th scale accelerates technology commercialization in the near term. The 15 kWth demonstration addressed several major technology gaps, such as coal injection and distribution in the reducer, controllable solids circulation with the desired fuel to solids ratio, system pressure distribution for proper gas sealing, effects of contaminants and fuel/oxygen carrier residence time requirements. The fates of impurities, such as SO x and NO x was also investigated in unit demonstrations. WP conducted a comprehensive system TEA to optimize the OSU CLG process design for efficient electricity generation with greater than 90% CO 2 capture in IGCC applications. The conclusion of this project supports the further scale-up of the technology to a commercially applicable large pilot scale test unit for operation by 2020. More importantly, it benefits Ohio as it provides an economically competitive mean for power generation with carbon capture. Given the rise of natural gas usage and strict environmental regulations, the use of Ohio coal is expected to decrease and thus impact the coal economy in Ohio. The conclusion of this project provided way for Ohio coal to compete in the future and secure jobs in the energy sector.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Multi-Scale Integrated Monitoring System for Enhancing Methane Emission Detection, Quantification & Prediction

This report details the progress and findings of a comprehensive study on reviewing existing solutions, identifying technology gaps, and formulating an “all-in-one” integrated strategy for developing the next-generation multiscale methane monitoring and modeling platform, conducted under grant number DE-FE0032292. Co-led by Dr. David Ebert, Dr. Binbin Weng, and Dr. Chenghao Wang at the University of Oklahoma, the project’s goal was to develop an integrated approach for building this engineering platform to detect, quantify, and mitigate methane emissions across various temporal scale, spatial scales, and sectors. The planning grant study began with an extensive review of various methane sensing and monitoring technologies and systems, surveying over 100 technology providers globally. This review revealed the prevalence of optical methods over chemical methods in commercially available sensors, with Non-Dispersive Infrared (NDIR), Tunable Diode Laser Absorption Spectroscopy (TDLAS), and Optical Gas Imaging (OGI) cameras being the most prevalent options. A trend towards more advanced optical techniques was observed, driven by increased regulatory focus and technological advancements. The technical evaluation of these sensing technologies provided crucial insights into their capabilities and limitations. The study examined emerging technologies such as Differential Absorption LiDAR (DIAL), which show promise for high-precision and long-range detection. The team then investigated the features and application bandwidth of various sensing platforms, including handheld, fixed/stationary, mobile, aerials, and spaceborne monitors. Pilot field studies were conducted to assess the capabilities of solutions for different emission scenarios. Field work with sensor deployments was conducted at three distinct site types: an oil & gas industry site, a cattle ranching operation, and a waste processing facility. The team also conducted a thorough review of methane flux inverse modeling approaches, focused on physically based methods. These approaches were categorized into simple, intermediate, and advanced methods. A realtime WRF-GHG (Weather Research and Forecasting-Greenhouse Gas) modeling system was developed and applied, incorporating multiple data sources to guide field experiments and inform methane plume detection. The project identified and analyzed numerous categories of methane data sources, including satellite measurements, ground-based sensors, and inventory databases. Key platforms examined include EDGAR, EPA GHGI, NASA TROPOMI, Carbon Mapper, and Climate TRACE, among others. The team proposed an architecture for a comprehensive methane monitoring platform. This system incorporates multi-source data acquisition, advanced data processing and assimilation, interactive visualization tools, and analytical capabilities for emissions forecasting and scenario analysis. The proposed platform aims to provide a user-friendly interface catering to various stakeholders, from researchers to policymakers. The architecture includes sophisticated data ingestion methods, a centralized data warehouse, and advanced analytical tools for data fusion and interpretation. To ensure the relevance and effectiveness of the proposed system, a comprehensive survey was conducted to gather stakeholder input on system requirements. Key findings include a strong need for integrating various data types and formats, a preference for real-time data updates and advanced visualization tools, and a demand for user-friendly interfaces catering to different expertise levels.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Solar Sails

The Solar Sail Propulsion investment area has been one of the three highest priorities within the In-Space Propulsion Technology (ISPT) Project. In the fall of 2003, the NASA Headquarters' Science Mission Directorate provided funding and direction to mature the technology as far as possible through ground research and development from TRL 3 to 6 in three years. A group of experts from government, industry, and academia convened in Huntsville, Alabama to define technology gaps between what was needed for science missions to the inner solar system and the current state of the art in ultra1ightweight materials and gossamer structure design. This activity set the roadmap for development. The centerpiece of the development would be the ground demonstration of scalable solar sail systems including masts, sails, deployment mechanisms, and attitude control hardware and software. In addition, new materials would be subjected to anticipated space environments to quantify effects and assure mission life. Also, because solar sails are huge structures, and it is not feasible to validate the technology by ground test at full scale, a multi-discipline effort was established to develop highly reliable analytical models to serve as mission assurance evidence in future flight program decision-making. Two separate contractor teams were chosen to develop the SSP System Ground Demonstrator (SGD). After a three month conceptual mission/system design phase, the teams developed a ten meter diameter pathfinder set of hardware and subjected it to thermal vacuum tests to compare analytically predicted structural behavior with measured characteristics. This process developed manufacturing and handling techniques and refined the basic design. In 2005, both contractor teams delivered 20 meter, four quadrant sail systems to the largest thermal vacuum chamber in the world in Plum Brook, Ohio, and repeated the tests. Also demonstrated was the deployment and articulation of attitude control mechanisms. In conjunction with these tests, the stowed sails were subjected to launch vibration and ascent vent tests. Other investments studied radiation effects on the solar sail materials, investigated spacecraft charging issues, developed shape measuring techniques and instruments, produced advanced trajectory modeling capabilities, and identified and resolved gossamer structure dynamics issues. Technology validation flight and application to a He1iophysics science mission is on the horizon.

Young, Roy↗

Validation Testing for Molten Chloride Reactor Experiment Equipment Removal and Disposal Techniques

The Molten Chloride Reactor Experiment (MCRE) will be the first reactor featuring a fast-spectrum molten chloride circulating nuclear fuel system in the world. Planning for equipment removal and disposal (ERD) of MCRE has identified several technology gaps due to the unique environment of this nuclear experiment. Some of the gaps arise from the application of existing disassembly and/or sizing methods to novel material forms or in novel configurations. Others arise from unknown material behavior. This paper summarizes proposed test plans for ERD validation experiments to address these complicated or unknown equipment removal procedures. At the Waste Management Symposia in 2024, the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) MCRE ERD team presented the challenges associated with hosting multiple nuclear experiments in series with only brief transition periods between systems. Such difficulties include higher dose rates, the presence of radioisotopes infrequently encountered in reactor decommissioning and radioactive waste management, lack of intrinsic remote-operations infrastructure in the test bed, space constraints in the test bed, and contamination minimization requirements. To address these challenges, remote or semi-remote technologies are planned to be implemented in a non-hot cell environment with limited space availability. The team also discussed how a systems engineering approach is being used for conceptual development and design of equipment removal systems to address these challenges. For example, to reduce constraints for the removal of more difficult components, non-activated, noncontaminated elements are planned to be taken out first where possible. Still, there are complexities associated with the remaining components. In this work, the operational framework for MCRE ERD was reviewed for technical gaps and open questions, and test plans were drafted to address these areas. The tests plans were written for the following categories: vision systems, pipe cutting, drill/grout/filler, flush salt, and miscellaneous, with the miscellaneous group consisting of tests like techniques for removing bearings and reflector bricks. The test plans explore material, infrastructure, and staffing requirements needed for test execution. The test plans additionally focus on the evaluation of success. Determining the outcome of a test is imperative - as these explorative actions have the potential to rearrange or re-scope planned ERD activities. Success criteria identified thus far include required tool output, required area(s), debris production and mitigation, and repeatability. Test plans are an essential aspect of the systems engineering approach to MCRE ERD. They are used as the beginning steps in defining use cases for the ERD system. Performance of the validation tests is expected to begin in the summer of 2025 and will take approximately 9 to 12 months to complete. Execution of these plans will be expedited by specifying test needs ahead of time, facilitating efficient interactions with any subcontractors tasked with running the requested tests. Evaluating the outcomes of these tests will inform MCRE ERD procedures and timing and will also identify additional technical constraints for the MCRE ERD System. This upfront process optimization effort will help the project save time and resources at the end of the experiment.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

AI-Enabled Robots for Automated Nondestructive Evaluation and Repair of Power Plant Boilers. Final Report

Boiler failure could cause loss of life and safety issues, cost hundreds of thousands of dollars in equipment repairs, property damage and production losses, and drive up the cost of electric power. Boiler maintenance is challenging and risky for inspectors working on scaffolding in confined hazardous spaces inside of a boiler and sometimes the space is hard to access. The operation is also time-consuming due to the large area of vertical structures for inspection and the tremendous effort needed for scaffolding. Recently, the use of robotics (e.g., drones and crawlers) in power plants for maintenance is growing rapidly. However, the existing robotics solutions show two notable technological gaps: no live repair capability, and no Artificial Intelligence (AI) for smart autonomy. The objective of this project is to develop an integrated autonomous robotic platform that is equipped with compact non-destructive evaluation (NDE) sensors to perform live inspection, operates onboard repair devices to perform live repair, and uses AI for intelligent data fusion and predictive analysis for automated and smart spatiotemporal inspection, analysis and repair of the furnace walls in coal-fired boilers. The approach to achieve the objective includes developing NDE sensors with signal processing techniques, designing and evaluating repair devices for robots based on fusion and solid-state technologies, and an autonomous robotic platform that can attach to and navigate on boiler furnace walls using magnetic drive tracks. The robot is also powered by AI to automate data gathering (e.g., 3D mapping and damage localization) and predictive analysis. This project has advanced the state-of-the-art by providing technological breakthroughs including compact NDE and repair tools for robots, AI capabilities for smart autonomy, and a robotic platform for automated boiler maintenance. This project has great potential to result in significant benefits including limiting or eliminating the need to send operators to assess difficult-to-access or hazardous areas, enabling automated live inspection and repair, avoiding time consuming scaffolding (especially for partial maintenance during unplanned outage), collecting comprehensive and well-organized data smartly, and avoiding or limiting the need for onsite or remote piloting technicians. The impacts can be tremendous in terms of the time and cost savings, reducing the risk for human operators, and increasing boiler reliability, usability, and efficiency. In addition, by developing the new technologies on the autonomous inspection and repair robot, by involving multiple undergraduate and graduate students working together with the faculty members on this project, and by generating knowledge and building up collaborations with industrial partners, this effort will significantly update the education capabilities, support long-term fundamental research, and maintain the leadership of Colorado School of Mines and Michigan State University in energy fields.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗