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At least 199 records · Page 11
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Increasing large wildfires over the western United States linked to diminishing sea ice in the Arctic

Abstract The compound nature of large wildfires in combination with complex physical and biophysical processes affecting variations in hydroclimate and fuel conditions makes it difficult to directly connect wildfire changes over fire-prone regions like the western United States (U.S.) with anthropogenic climate change. Here we show that increasing large wildfires during autumn over the western U.S. are fueled by more fire-favorable weather associated with declines in Arctic sea ice during preceding months on both interannual and interdecadal time scales. Our analysis (based on observations, climate model sensitivity experiments, and a multi-model ensemble of climate simulations) demonstrates and explains the Arctic-driven teleconnection through regional circulation changes with the poleward-shifted polar jet stream and enhanced fire-favorable surface weather conditions. The fire weather changes driven by declining Arctic sea ice during the past four decades are of similar magnitude to other leading modes of climate variability such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation that also influence fire weather in the western U.S.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Uncertainties in Local Intense Precipitation Flood Modeling

In the Task 1 report for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) funded Local Intense Precipitation (LIP) Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment (PFHA) Pilot Study, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) reviewed hydrologic and hydraulic modeling approaches for estimation of LIP flooding and their implementation in readily available simulation software packages (Prasad and Yuan 2020). NRC’s interest is in developing guidance for performing LIP PFHA at nuclear power plant (NPP) sites. This report describes the work done under Task 2 of the study that focused on describing uncertainties associated with LIP flood modeling. Two main types of uncertainties exist in LIP flood modeling: (1) aleatory uncertainties that arise from the inherent natural variability of the hydrometeorological system and (2) epistemic uncertainties that arise from the analysts’ incomplete knowledge of the hydrometeorological and site configuration. Principal sources for aleatory variability in LIP flood simulations at NPP sites include precipitation (i.e., magnitude, duration, and temporal distribution of LIP events), initial conditions (e.g., soil moisture content, stormwater drainage discharge, surface storage), boundary conditions (e.g., upstream discharge, downstream water surface elevations), and long-term temporal trends (e.g., climate change). This report describes approaches used for estimating the aleatory variability in precipitation including precipitation-frequency analysis, numerical weather prediction, and stochastic weather generation. Data sources that can be used to estimate aleatory variability in initial and boundary conditions are also described. Approaches to include effects of long-term trends like those from climate change into estimation of aleatory variability are summarized. Sources of epistemic uncertainty in LIP flood simulations at NPP sites include process representation (e.g., multiple approaches to represent runoff generation, stormwater drainage, and hydraulic routing), site configurations (e.g., site layout, flow features, status of temporary flood protection, blockage of drains), model resolution, and long-term temporal trends (e.g., known/planned site alterations, land-use changes at and in the vicinity of the site). The report describes alternative process representations (methods and models), particularly those implemented in the LIP flood simulation software packages reviewed in Task 1 report, and lists the associated model parameters. Approaches for estimating model parameters when surface and subsurface water exchanges occur are also described.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Geophysical and Environmental Monitoring Data, and Subsurface Flow Modelling Results for Chicken Bone Meadow, Mt. Snodgrass, Crested Butte, CO

This dataset includes geoelectrical monitoring data acquired between October 2021 and November 2022, soil moisture and temperature data, groundwater data obtained from borehole SNIB covering the period from June 2021 to September 2022, and hydrological modelling results. The data were acquired to investigate how variations in bedrock type and topography, and vegetation cover control subsurface flow dynamics. To provide insights into the subsurface flow dynamics and their controls, a monitoring transect was installed at the Chicken Bone Meadow, Mt. Snodgrass, Crested Butte, CO, measuring the spatio-temporal variations of soil moisture, soil and snow temperature, subsurface electrical resistivity variations, and groundwater dynamics. Field data are organized in a folder structure, with Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT) data being provided as one file per measurement, and data of the soil moisture and temperature sensors being provided as text files covering the entire monitoring period. The ‘Locations.csv’ file contains the location of all sensors, given in NAD83 – UTM Zone 13N. ERT monitoring data has been processed to filter data based on reciprocal errors (data with errors > 30% were removed), a linear error model was fitted to each survey, and to ensure a constant set of measurements for time-lapse inversion, filtered data were interpolated and assigned a 100% measurement error. Soil moisture and temperature data were acquired at 15 min intervals, and averaged to provide 1h data. Weather data and borehole data (groundwater depth, conductivity and temperature) were acquired at 30 min intervals, and are provided as daily measurements; all measurements are averaged, except of precipitation values, which are given as daily accumulation. The hydrological model was set up along the ERT monitoring transect, and net infiltration was used as surface boundary condition and derived from the weather data. Four different results are provided, (1) results for a parameterization using hydraulic permeability and porosity as derived from the ERT data through petrophysical relationships, and (2) three simplified model results, using 1 to 3 geological layers above the bedrock. Modelling was performed using PFLOTRAN, and for each model the PFLOTRAN input files are provided. The result files include weekly hydrological modelling results (e.g., saturation, velocities, pressures), as well as the model parameterization. The dataset additionally includes a file-level metadata (flmd.csv) file that lists each file contained in the dataset with associated metadata; and a data dictionary (dd.csv) file that contains column/row headers used throughout the files along with a definition, units, and data type.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Opportunities to Implement Solutions to Achieve Remedial Action Objectives in Consideration of Stakeholder Interests - 20365

A case study in the implementation of a soils excavation and removal project conducted at a Formerly Utilized Sites Remedial Action Program (FUSRAP) Maywood Superfund Site (FMSS) vicinity property; an active commercial business, in a densely populated area, with significant operational, technical and, logistical constraints that were expected to limit areas that could be remediated. The United States Army Corps of Engineers-led (USACE) team successfully navigated complex overlapping stakeholder interests to achieve a more efficient and complete removal of contaminated soils and debris while minimizing unnecessary excess costs to the Government. This paper centers on FUSRAP activities at the FMSS vicinity property located at 149-151 Maywood Avenue, Maywood, Bergen County, New Jersey. For most of its FUSRAP history, this ∼109,000 square meter (27-acre) property housed a now-demolished ∼26,000 square meter (6.5-acre) warehouse operated by Sears Logistics Services, a unit of the Sears Roebuck Company (Figure 2). Sears ended its property lease and vacated the warehouse in December 2016. Given that long history and for the purposes of this paper, the property will be referred to as the 'Sears property' or simply 'the property.' The Sears property is approximately 109,000 square meters (27-acres) and is currently zoned for commercial use. The property is bound to the north and northwest by 100 West Hunter Avenue (the Stepan Company), to the northeast by 205 Maywood Avenue, to the east by Maywood Avenue, to the south by 23 West Howcroft Road, and to the west by businesses on NJ Route 17 and the NJ Route 17 roadway. Until December 2016, the property housed a warehouse and distribution center operated by Sears Logistical Services. On-site structures were demolished by the property owner in 2017. The warehouse covered the north section of the property along the Stepan Company property line. A railroad spur from the adjacent property now known as the Maywood Interim Storage Site (MISS) ended at the northeast corner of the warehouse. Wetlands were located east of the warehouse; the rest of the property was covered with paved parking lots and grassed areas. During remediation at the property, opportunities frequently arose where the project team was able to coordinate effectively with stakeholders to sequence remediation activities to facilitate removal of otherwise inaccessible soils and identify opportunities for materials reuse when supported by residual radiological and chemical levels. Some specific opportunities include: - remediating individual truck loading dock bays to maintain tenant operations; - working along a busy highway and in a utility corridor containing a 30-inch high pressure gas main; - remediating Lodi Brook and associated wetlands requiring bypass pumping and other diversionary structures to maintain local community stormwater drainage; - protecting during remediation and supporting access to facilitate tenant/owner maintenance of critical fire protection and water supply system service lines buried in contaminated soils and necessary for safe warehouse operations; and - coordinating with stakeholders to ensure non-radiological contaminants of concern for the site (unaffiliated with FUSRAP) were addressed by the responsible party in a manner that maximized benefit to all parties while supporting an efficient overall site remediation program. Once the property was vacant and the warehouse structure and radiologically non-impacted above-grade structures were demolished, the project identified an opportunity to significantly reduce the volume of waste associated with the foundation of the former warehouse, a foundation suspected of being partially constructed in radiologically contaminated soils. The project developed and implemented supplemental radiological verification survey and sampling strategies based on radiological cross-contamination risk potential with process flow-charts and screening-level based decision points; a program that classified saw-cut sections of concrete based on observed residual surface radioactivity conditions using a combination of gamma sensitive sodium-iodide scans and beta sensitive Geiger-Muller direct measurements. The proposed approach was reviewed with stakeholders with feedback, including consideration of applicable State of New Jersey Site Remediation Program criteria and guidance before implementation. Once classified, additional sampling was performed at frequencies driven by screening. The sampling methods, stockpile sampling frequencies, criteria and, approach to data evaluation were developed in consideration of existing site cleanup standards, regional background ranges, State of New Jersey radiological remediation program guidance, and specific stakeholder input With the property remediation and survey efforts nearly completed, it is relevant to examine retrospectively the objectives, assumptions and limitations in the remedial design (i.e., what was planned) versus what was able to be accomplished through effective teaming. Benefits to other environmental remediation site programs include better understanding of how to work effectively with stakeholders to achieve win-win outcomes, and approaches to site remediation, waste minimization and materials reuse that were successful in their overall outcomes. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2023

Mechanisms of dissolution from gibbsite step edges elucidated by ab initio molecular dynamics with enhanced sampling

Surface reactions underpin our collective understanding of mineral dissolution. This impacts a range of predictive geochemical models (for weathering, the fate and transport of metals) as well as industrial utilization of minerals. Yet atomistic details are rarely known due to the complex mineral/fluid interfacial environment. There is significant need to understand the mechanistic details of dissolution reactions and how they depend on surface morphology and solution conditions. This work utilizes surface pit models in conjunction with changes to solution composition that mimic pH to explore surface detachment of aluminate from gibbsite, which is a primary source of Al in soils and within the industrial processing of aluminum. Ab initio molecular dynamics simulations with enhanced sampling has been used to explore the detailed process of the detachment, the results of which indicate two potential pathways that are differentiated based upon the extent of water hydration. Here, the heights of the energy barriers depend upon the local morphology which influence the number of bridges (quasi-)simultaneously broken (1 or 2) or the Al-O coordination of the neighboring aluminum atoms (5 or 6) at the armchair edge. pH effects are significant, with a nearly 50% reduction in barrier height under alkaline conditions that are relevant to geothermal fluids and Al extraction from minerals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Effect of applied potential on metal surfaces: Surface energy, Wulff shape and charge distribution

Here we use grand canonical density functional theory to predict the surface energies, Wulff shapes, charge distributions and catalytically active sites of different metal surfaces under electrochemical conditions. We propose a method for computing surface energies from grand canonical density functional theory (GC-DFT) calculations of periodic slab models and use it to compute the surface energies of the facets of Pt, Cu, and Ag crystals to predict their Wulff shapes under electrochemical conditions. GC-DFT predicts that, for the pure metals studied, solvation only slightly affects the Wulff shape while applied potentials considerably affect the surface energies and corresponding Wulff shapes. We used Bader charge analysis of GC-DFT computed electron densities to investigate the effect of applied potential on the distribution of electron density over the atoms of the surfaces of Pt, Cu, Ag, and the 75–25 Ag-Pt and Au-Ni alloys. This analysis shows that, under an applied potential, the electron density is unevenly distributed over the surface atoms and that the charges of atoms more exposed to solvent are more sensitive to bias. Our results show that the most sensitive atom to bias can be used to identify the most favorable adsorption site and thus, the active sites of electrochemical reactions, which is computationally less demanding than calculating the adsorption energies on all possible adsorption sites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Cyclic Run-In of Interlocking Metasurfaces

Interlocking metasurfaces were mechanically latched and unlatched for 500 cycles in order to see how they break-in with use. Different surface manufacture conditions were used in this work. Various characterization criteria were used to identify differences.

Garber, Kevin Wayne [Sandia National Laboratories ↗
DOE OSTI2023

Hierarchical thermal-conductive polymer nanocomposites for thermal management

Managing heat in electrical conductors is a major challenge to meet the demands for sustainable energy use and electrical reliability, most notably power electronics and energy-critical electrical machines. Achieving such disparate functionalities, such as high temperature thermal and electrical reliability, require rational design and manufacturing of thermal conductor material and its hierarchical structures. Here we present hierarchical thermal-conductive nanocomposites, consisting of nanostructured ceramic conformal coating and aligned ultrahigh molecular weight polyethylene fiber, to tailor heat dissipation in electric conductors. The hybrid aligned thermal interface exhibits a highly desirable temperature dependent anisotropic high thermal conductivity with 0.98W m –1 K –1 and dielectric strength with 3.4. In addition, electrically insulating thermal interfaces demonstrate high-performing and reliable electrical systems under the dynamic load conditions. The surface temperature of heterogeneous ceramic-polymer encapsulated conductor is 17.8 °C lower than that of polymer-encapsulated conductor at the same electrical load. Consequently, the findings shown here hold great promises for directing heat extraction in electrical machine systems, advancing thermal management for emerging electronic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Electro-reduction of organics on metal cathodes: A multiscale-modeling study of benzaldehyde on Au (111)

Here, we present a multiscale modeling study on the electro-reduction of benzaldehyde (BZY) on Au(111) under realistic electrochemical conditions. To model the electrochemical cell, we adopt a capacitor model in which complex solvents are confined between a Au cathode and a carbon anode. Classical molecular dynamics simulations reveal that electrode charge density and the presence of alcohol show strong effects on the density, adsorption geometry and dynamics of benzaldehyde on the Au electrode. Under charging conditions, the surface concentration of benzaldehyde on the Au electrode decreases, while the content of other species increases. Finally, we proposed a scheme that correlates the electric current running through the Au/solvent interface with the applied bias. This study provides a molecular level understanding of how solvent composition, in this case water/alcohol content, controls the activity of electrocatalytic hydrogenation

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Controlling PET oligomers vs monomers via microwave-induced heating and swelling

The production of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) bottles and fibers, and their subsequent mismanagement, have created an urgent need to develop strategies to handle the resulting waste. Here, in this work, glycolysis of PET using manganese oxide catalysts under microwave-assisted heating is demonstrated to form oligomers and the monomer bis(2-hydroxyethyl) terephthalate (BHET) at moderate conditions. Higher surface area catalysts achieve faster overall rates of depolymerization to the monomer. Oligomers form homogeneously and depolymerize to monomers over manganese oxide. The polymer-to-solvent ratio and reaction temperature affect the overall oligomer yield. The swelling of PET, caused by the diffusion of ethylene glycol into the polymer matrix, causes the dissolution of the PET to form oligomers. Oligomers are characterized and show similar physical properties to the starting PET despite having 1/20th of the molecular weight.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Mechanical and chemical properties of PVD and cold spray Cr-coatings on Zircaloy-4

In this paper, accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding materials aim to improve fuel reliability and safety during accident scenarios in water-cooled reactors. These ATF cladding should also perform comparable or better than the current zirconium alloy cladding under reactor normal operating conditions. Surface-modified Zircaloy-4 was produced by depositing a protective coating of chromium by two different coating techniques, Physical Vapor Deposition (PVD) and Cold Spray (CS). The coating thickness, structure, composition, and mechanical properties of the coated Zircaloy were assessed with advanced materials characterization techniques. Results showed a strengthening effect of the Cr-coating, along with ~83% higher hardness compared to that of the Zircaloy-4 substrate. Surface topography and surface chemistry of the Cr-coated Zircaloy-4 were assessed with contact profilometry, atomic force microscopy, contact angle goniometry, and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy. Deposited Cr-coating significantly improved surface wettability compared to the substrate Zircaloy-4. The formation of surface oxides on the coatings by prolonged exposure to ambient air showed a further increase in the hydrophobic behavior. Surface parameters and surface chemistry after flow boiling critical heat flux tests, conducted at atmospheric pressure, evidenced a slight increase in surface roughness with notable changes in wettability associated with the formation of surface oxides.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Impulse response measurements of fast scintillator-based current mode detectors

In this study, experimental measurements were performed to characterize the impulse response of seven different gamma ray detector prototypes being considered to be fielded as a current mode diagnostic for neutron-diagnosed subcritical experiments at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS). For such experiments, the impulse response of the fielded detector is required to have a full-width half-maximum (FWHM) of approximately 5 ns or less and a low amplitude tail. Each of the detector prototypes evaluated in this work were selected based on the potential to meet this performance requirement. An impulse of bremsstrahlung x-rays created from 2 MeV electrons from the NNSS’s Transformational Diagnostics and Imaging, Los Alamos, linear accelerator was measured with each detector. The measured impulse response was evaluated for each detector configuration. A comparison of these impulse responses revealed a relationship between fast timing performance and scintillator material, geometry, surface reflectivity conditions, and photomultiplier tube (PMT) selection. The detector configuration yielding an impulse response with the shortest FWHM of 3.82 ± 0.11 ns and possessing a low amplitude tail was a 5-inch (12.7-cm) diameter, 5-inch (12.7-cm) height cylindrical EJ-399-17-VI liquid scintillator in a black-painted housing coupled to an Adit D798B 5-inch (12.7-cm) PMT by means of a 0.079-inch (0.2-cm) EJ-560 optical coupling pad.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2026

Effects of He-Ion Radiation on Solid-State Uranyl Nitrate Compounds under Dry and Hydrated Atmospheric Conditions

Radioactive decay of uranium (U) and its related daughter/fission products emit ionizing radiation, including γ (γ) rays and α (α) particles, that result in the formation of radical species and induce chemical reactivity in materials. While radioactivity is inherent to the chemistry of U there are limited studies that detail changes at an atomistic level. Here, this work describes the He-ion radiolysis of four solid-state U(VI) species: [UO 2 (NO 3 ) 2 ]·3(H 2 O) and M[UO 2 (NO 3 ) 3 ] (M = K + , Rb + , Cs + ). These materials were irradiated under different conditions (i.e. closed, open – Ar gas, or open – H 2 O-saturated Ar gas) to further evaluate the impact of water radiolysis on the chemical modification of these materials. Pre- and post-irradiation analyses were conducted using EPR, Raman, and ATR-IR spectroscopy on materials irradiated to 0, 5, 10, and 25 MGy. The results indicated the presence of nitrate radical (NO 3 • ) formation in all solid-state materials with similarities to those observed in γ-radiation studies. Irradiation of [UO 2 (NO 3 ) 2 ]·3(H 2 O) did not show evidence of reactive oxygen species bound to the U(VI) cation under inert conditions; however, surface reactivity was observed for samples irradiated in the H 2 O-saturated environment. Similar chemical changes were observed in the uranyl trinitrato compounds irradiated in the presence of H 2 O vapor and there were observed differences in the reactivity depending on the identity of the alkali cation.

38 - RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCL↗
DOE OSTI2026

Transition Metal Dichalcogenide MoS 2 : Oxygen and Fluorine Functionalization for Selective Plasma Processing

Low-temperature plasma processing is a promising technique for tailoring transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs). For chalcogen substitution processing, a key challenge is to identify the ion energy window that enables selective chalcogen removal while preserving the metal lattice. Using ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD), we demonstrate that oxygen and fluorine functionalization widen the processing window by significantly lowering the sulfur sputtering energy threshold (E sputt,S ) of MoS 2 from ∼30 to ∼10 eV via formation of sputtering products such as SO 2 and SF n . Additionally, we show that experimentally relevant cryogenic temperatures strongly affect E sputt,S (T). The dependence is confirmed via AIMD and also predicted by a mechanistic parameter-free theory, suggesting that E sputt (T) generalizes to other TMDs, functionalizations, and surface impact conditions. Our results highlight oxygen/fluorine functionalization, ionic impact angle, and material temperature to be key control parameters for selective, damage-controlled chalcogen removal in TMD processing.

Polyachenko, Yury [Princeton Plasma Physics Labora↗
DOE OSTI2021

Impact of Controlled Storage Conditions on the Hydrolysis and Surface Morphology of Amorphous-UO 3

The hydration and morphological effects of amorphous (A)-UO 3 following storage under varying temperature and relative humidity have been investigated. This study provides valuable insight into U-oxide speciation following aging, the U-oxide quantitative morphological data set, and, overall, the characterization of nuclear material provenance. A-UO 3 was synthesized via the washed uranyl peroxide synthetic route and aged based on a 3-factor circumscribed central composite design of experiment. Target aging times include 2.57, 7.00, 14.0, 21.0, and 25.4 days, temperatures of 5.51, 15.0, 30.0, 45.0, and 54.5 °C, and relative humidities of 14.2, 30.0, 55.0, 80.0, and 95.8% were examined. Following aging, crystallographic changes were quantified via powder X-ray diffraction and an internal standard Rietveld refinement method was used to confirm the hydration of A-UO 3 to crystalline schoepite phases. The particle morphology from scanning electron microscopy images was quantified using both the Morphological Analysis of MAterials software and machine learning. Results from the machine learning were processed via agglomerative hierarchical clustering analysis to distinguish trends in morphological attributes from the aging study. Significantly hydrated samples were found to have a much larger, plate-like morphology in comparison to the unaged controls. Predictive modeling via a response surface methodology determined that while aging time, temperature, and relative humidity all have a quantifiable effect on A-UO 3 crystallographic and morphological changes, relative humidity has the most significant impact.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Statistically Steady State Large-Eddy Simulations Forced by an Idealized GCM: 1. Forcing Framework and Simulation Characteristics

Using large-eddy simulations (LES) systematically has the potential to inform parameterizations of subgrid-scale (SGS) processes in general circulation models (GCMs), such as turbulence, convection, and clouds. Here we show how LES can be run to emulate grid columns of GCMs to generate a library of LES across a cross-section of dynamical regimes. The LES setup replicates the thermodynamic and water budgets in GCM grid columns. Resolved horizontal and vertical transports of heat and water and large-scale pressure gradients from the GCM are prescribed as forcing in the LES. The LES satisfies the same (slab-ocean) surface boundary conditions as the GCM, leaving the LES temperatures free to adjust. Radiative transfer is treated in a unied but highly idealized manner (a semi-gray atmosphere without cloud radiative effects) in both the GCM and LES. We show that the LES with these forcing and boundary conditions reaches statistically steady states without nudging to reference profiles. These steady states provide a training dataset for developing GCM parameterizations. The same LES setup also provides a good basis for studying the cloud response to global warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Distortions of the Rain Distribution With Warming, With and Without Self-Aggregation

We investigate how mesoscale circulations associated with convective aggregation can modulate the sensitivity of the hydrologic cycle to warming. We quantify changes in the full distribution of rain across radiative-convective equilibrium states in a cloud-resolving model. For a given Sea Surface Temperature (SST), the shift in mean rainfall between disorganized and organized states is associated with a shift in atmospheric radiative cooling, and is roughly analogous to the effect of a 4K SST increase. With rising temperatures, the increase in mean rain rate is insensitive to the presence of organization, while extremes can intensify faster in the aggregated state, leading to a faster amplification in the sporadic nature of rain. When convection aggregates, heavy rain is enhanced by 20%–30% and nonlinear behaviors are observed as a function of SST and strength of aggregation feedbacks. First, radiative- and surface-flux aggregation feedbacks have multiplicative effects on extremes, illustrating a non-trivial sensitivity to the degree of organization. Second, alternating Clausius-Clapeyron and super-Clausius-Clapeyron regimes in extreme rainfall are found as a function of SST, corresponding to varying thermodynamic and dynamic contributions, and a large sensitivity to precipitation efficiency variations in some SST ranges. The potential for mesoscale circulations in amplifying the hydrologic cycle is established. However, these nonlinear distortions question the quantitative relevance of idealized self-aggregation. This calls for a deeper investigation of relationships which capture the coupling between global energetics, aggregation feedbacks and local convection, and for systematic tests of their sensitivity to domain configurations, surface boundary conditions, microphysics, and turbulence schemes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗