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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 199 records · Page 11
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Assembly bias and local Primordial non-Gaussianity from DESI DR1 quasars

The analysis of the large-scale clustering of quasars (QSO) observed by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) represents a promising avenue for constraining local Primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG), parameterized by f NL . The signal to be constrained is the scale-dependent bias induced in the 2-point clustering of the considered tracer sample. The resulting constraints on f NL , however, are fully degenerate with the local PNG bias parameter b ϕ , dependent on the assembly bias parameter p. Using IllustrisTNG hydrodynamical simulations, we select a QSO sample reflecting the selection criteria and properties of DESI QSOs, and provide a robust prior for p, and thus for b ϕ , building on the findings of Fondi et al. 2024. We find a distribution with mean p̅ ≃ 1.4 with weak redshift dependence, stable to selection noise and consistent with the expected recent merger history typical of quasar-hosting halos. By comparing with the CAMELS simulations we demonstrate that this prior is robust to astrophysical assumptions and cosmic variance. Finally, applying this prior to the DESI DR1 dataset, we derive updated constraints on local PNG, obtaining f NL = -3.3±9.2.

cosmological parameters from LSS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Macroscopic trends of linear tearing stability in cylindrical current profiles

Abstract The likelihood of realising tokamak power-plants will be greatly improved by the discovery of high-gain equilibria that resist the formation of small islands and hence avoid the disruptive neoclassical tearing mode. We propose a series of studies to understand how simple tokamak design can leverage aspects of tearing onset physics to maximise passive resistance to island formation. Here we investigate the variation that current profiles can bring about in preventing tearing onset through the cylindrical linear tearing stability parameter Δ ′ . A database of 159148 realistic pilot-plant current profiles was generated with Monte Carlo sampling, and the distribution of Δ ′ values was linked with interpretable profile characteristics. In agreement with prior theoretical and experimental studies, Δ ′ was found to be strongly correlated with the existence and steepness of a local toroidal current well or hill, with the former destabilising and the latter stabilising. In the absence of these two cases, the remaining Δ ′ values were linearly bounded by the toroidal current gradient at the rational surface.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exploring HOD-dependent systematics for the DESI 2024 Full-Shape galaxy clustering analysis

We analyze the robustness of the DESI 2024 cosmological inference from the full shape of the galaxy power spectrum to uncertainties in the Halo Occupation Distribution (HOD) model of the galaxy-halo connection and the choice of priors on nuisance parameters. We assess variations in the recovered cosmological parameters across a range of mocks populated with different HOD models and find that shifts are often greater than 20% of the expected statistical uncertainties from the DESI data. We encapsulate the effect of such shifts in terms of a systematic covariance term, C HOD , and an additional diagonal contribution quantifying the impact of our choice of nuisance parameter priors on the ability of the effective field theory (EFT) model to correctly recover the cosmological parameters of the simulations. These two covariance contributions are designed to be added to the usual covariance term, C stat , describing the statistical uncertainty in the power spectrum measurement, in order to fairly represent these sources of systematic uncertainty. This novel approach should be more general and robust to the choice of model or additional external datasets used in cosmological fits than the alternative approach of adding systematic uncertainties to the recovered marginalised parameter posteriors. We compare the approaches within the context of a fixed ΛCDM model and demonstrate that our method gives conservative estimates of the systematic uncertainty that nevertheless have little impact on the final posteriors obtained from DESI data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Processing, Microstructure, and Properties of Bimetallic Steel-Ni Alloy Powder HIP

This work explores technical feasibility in hot isostatic pressing (HIP) manufacturing of an integral bimetallic component using steel and Ni alloy powder for supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) turbomachinery. Lab-scale bimetallic HIP specimens using HAYNES® 282® and SS316L or SS415 powder are investigated in powder configuration, heat treatment, microstructure, and tensile properties up to 400 °C. Interdiffusion profiles at dissimilar alloy interfaces caused by HIP cycle is predicted by DICTRA simulations and validated by electron probe microanalysis (EPMA). The interdiffusion distance of most elements is around 100 μm, while C and N have a higher interdiffusion distance. Dense distribution of Ti-rich carbonitrides and alumina particles are found to decorate prior particle boundaries near joining interface on the 282 side, affecting tensile strength across interface as well as tensile failure location. A higher amount of excessive carbonitride formation near interface is observed in SS316L/282 than in SS415/282, which is consistent with the predicted greater degree of interdiffusion effect in SS316L/282. Typical HAYNES® 282® heat treatment condition is applicable to 282/SS316L and 282/SS415 combinations, resulting in a higher strength than cast CF8M and CA6NM. A pilot-scale bimetallic SS415/282 pipe is then demonstrated to show the promise of scaleup.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Assessment of Thin Plastic Scintillation Detectors for Beta-Particle Measurements at the Advanced Test Reactor Critical Facility

The Fission Wire Measurement System is a custom measurement system designed in the 1960s to measure the beta-particle activity of irradiated uranium-aluminum fission wires. This measurement is conducted to determine the fission rate profile of the Advanced Reactor Test Critical facility. The Advanced Test Reactor Critical facility is an open-pool, low-power test reactor used to qualify experiment configurations and verify core models prior to full-power experiment irradiations in the Advanced Test Reactor. Power distribution measurements in ATR-C use uranium-aluminum wires that are distributed throughout the core to validate simulation and modeling results. These measurements require from 340 to 1500 wires to be irradiated and measured within a 12-hour window. The system consists of 4 measurement channels and one reference channel, each with a 2-pi proportional gas flow detector and the measurement channels each have an automated sample changer. The gas flow detectors are of a custom design for this detector system that use methane gas with a large anode wire compared to modern proportional counters. These detectors, which are nearly 60 years old are irreplaceable. The measurements from these gas detectors are affected by the gas flow rate, atmospheric and line pressure, and are very sensitive to the applied high voltage. Recent improvements have been made to the control and data acquisition system, but the detectors have remained the same. The nature of the measurement of the fission product decay activity is such that the energy spectrum of the signal is changing with time. Thin, 250-um thick, plastic scintillators were commercially obtained as a potential replacement for the gas flow detectors. The original calibration of the uranium-aluminum fission wires was conducted in 1965 using a series of irradiations of gold foils and the wires in a well-characterized thermal neutron field. These measurements provided a time-dependent fission rate conversion factor from the gold foil data to calibrate the fission wires based on the response from the 2-pi proportional gas detectors. Transitioning to the new detectors requires qualification and testing. The sensitivity of the scintillators to changes in the energy spectrum of the fission wires and translation of the calibration factor have been completed. These measurements indicated that the sensitivity of the scintillators over time changes at a different rate than the sensitivity of the gas flow detectors. However, the inverse activity of measurements of both detector types is linear with time. Initial results indicate that the scintillator detectors will be a sufficient replacement for the gas detectors with minor adjustments to the fission rate conversion factor. Replacement of the detectors will improve the fission wire measurements and provide a more stable and reliable measurement system.

46 - INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AN↗
DOE OSTI2024

Improvement and generalization of ABCD method with Bayesian inference

To find New Physics or to refine our knowledge of the Standard Model at the LHC is an enterprise that involves many factors, such as the capabilities and the performance of the accelerator and detectors, the use and exploitation of the available information, the design of search strategies and observables, as well as the proposal of new models. We focus on the use of the information and pour our effort in re-thinking the usual data-driven ABCD method to improve it and to generalize it using Bayesian Machine Learning techniques and tools. We propose that a dataset consisting of a signal and many backgrounds is well described through a mixture model. Signal, backgrounds and their relative fractions in the sample can be well extracted by exploiting the prior knowledge and the dependence between the different observables at the event-by-event level with Bayesian tools. We show how, in contrast to the ABCD method, one can take advantage of understanding some properties of the different backgrounds and of having more than two independent observables to measure in each event. In addition, instead of regions defined through hard cuts, the Bayesian framework uses the information of continuous distribution to obtain soft-assignments of the events which are statistically more robust. To compare both methods we use a toy problem inspired by pp\to hh\to b\bar b b \bar b p p → h h → b b ‾ b b ‾ , selecting a reduced and simplified number of processes and analysing the flavor of the four jets and the invariant mass of the jet-pairs, modeled with simplified distributions. Taking advantage of all this information, and starting from a combination of biased and agnostic priors, leads us to a very good posterior once we use the Bayesian framework to exploit the data and the mutual information of the observables at the event-by-event level. We show how, in this simplified model, the Bayesian framework outperforms the ABCD method sensitivity in obtaining the signal fraction in scenarios with 1% and 0.5% true signal fractions in the dataset. We also show that the method is robust against the absence of signal. We discuss potential prospects for taking this Bayesian data-driven paradigm into more realistic scenarios.

Alvarez, Ezequiel↗
DOE OSTI2022

Tundra SGS – Critical Importance of Site-Specific Injectivity Testing for Carbon Dioxide Injection Well Simulation Calibration

Paper presented at 16th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (GHGT-16), October 23–27, 2022, Lyon, France. Brine injectivity tests were conducted on both the Broom Creek (BC) and Deadwood (DW) storage formations in one of the cored stratigraphic test wells prior to finalized simulations. The injectivity tests entailed injection of brine into the formations, followed by shutting in the wells. The shut-in duration represents the fall-off period which was used to carry out pressure transient analyses of the tests. The analysis of injectivity tests indicated that core-indicated and modeled permeability distributions should be conservatively multiplied by 2.5× and 5× in the BC and DW geologic models, respectively, prior to numerical simulations of CO 2 injection using Computer Modelling Group’s (CMG’s) GEM equation-of-state reservoir simulator. The scaler permeability multipliers allowed the fluid flow simulations to fully represent well test-measured injection well rates in the respective formations.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Bayesian Adaptive Polynomial Chaos Expansions

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) are widely used for uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks, particularly in the applied mathematics community. However, PCE has received comparatively less attention in the statistics literature, and fully Bayesian formulations remain rare—especially with implementations in R. Motivated by the success of adaptive Bayesian machine learning models such as BART, BASS and BPPR, we develop a new fully Bayesian adaptive PCE method with an efficient and accessible R implementation: khaos. Our approach includes a novel proposal distribution that enables data-driven interaction selection and supports a modified g-prior tailored to PCE structure. Through simulation studies and real-world UQ applications, we demonstrate that the Bayesian adaptive PCE provides competitive performance for surrogate modeling, global sensitivity analysis and ordinal regression tasks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Non-intrusive reduced order modeling of natural convection in porous media using convolutional autoencoders: Comparison with linear subspace techniques

Natural convection in porous media is a highly nonlinear multiphysical problem relevant to many engineering applications (e.g., the process of CO 2 sequestration). Here, we extend and present a non-intrusive reduced order model of natural convection in porous media employing deep convolutional autoencoders for the compression and reconstruction and either radial basis function (RBF) interpolation or artificial neural networks (ANNs) for mapping parameters of partial differential equations (PDEs) on the corresponding nonlinear manifolds. To benchmark our approach, we also describe linear compression and reconstruction processes relying on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and ANNs. Further, we present comprehensive comparisons among different models through three benchmark problems. The reduced order models, linear and nonlinear approaches, are much faster than the finite element model, obtaining a maximum speed-up of 7 × 10 6 because our framework is not bound by the Courant–Friedrichs–Lewy condition; hence, it could deliver quantities of interest at any given time contrary to the finite element model. Our model’s accuracy still lies within a relative error of 7% in the worst-case scenario. We illustrate that, in specific settings, the nonlinear approach outperforms its linear counterpart and vice versa. We hypothesize that a visual comparison between principal component analysis (PCA) and t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) could indicate which method will perform better prior to employing any specific compression strategy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Deterministic Fabrication of Large-Area, High-Crystallinity Oxide Moiré Superlattices

Oxide twistronics extends moiré engineering beyond van der Waals materials, offering a promising platform for accessing emergent interfacial phenomena arising from the strong coupling of lattice, charge, and orbital degrees of freedom in complex oxides. However, deterministic fabrication of high-crystallinity oxide moiré superlattices over large lateral dimensions remains challenging due to the three-dimensional bonding network of oxides. Here, we demonstrate a scalable, generalized fabrication strategy that enables the formation of high-crystallinity oxide moiré superlattices with clean, chemically bonded interfaces and precisely controlled twist angles down to nominal values of 0.1°, achieving subdegree twist-angle accuracy across large contiguous lateral dimensions approaching the millimeter scale. Using NaNbO3 as a model system, we show that the resulting interlayer coupling drives pronounced structural reconstruction that modifies both the phase structure and ferroelectric domain configuration. Synchrotron-based X-ray 3D reciprocal space mapping reveals the emergence of a single-phase state in twisted bilayers, in contrast to the mixed-phase structure observed in single-layer membranes prior to twist assembly. The structural signatures are further consistent with gradual lattice rotation distributed along the thickness direction that may accommodate interfacial shear strain, distinct from reconstruction observed in van der Waals moiré systems which primarily occurs through in-plane stacking rearrangement. This collective lattice response is correlated with twist-dependent nanoscale electromechanical modulations observed by piezoresponse force microscopy. These results establish a scalable materials platform for oxide twistronics and support the implementation of twist-engineered functionalities in practical, macroscale device architectures.

Ghanbari, Reza [North Carolina State University (N↗
DOE OSTI2020

Bayesian differential programming for robust systems identification under uncertainty

This paper presents a machine learning framework for Bayesian systems identification from noisy, sparse and irregular observations of nonlinear dynamical systems. The proposed method takes advantage of recent developments in differentiable programming to propagate gradient information through ordinary differential equation solvers and perform Bayesian inference with respect to unknown model parameters using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampling. This allows an efficient inference of the posterior distributions over plausible models with quantified uncertainty, while the use of sparsity-promoting priors enables the discovery of interpretable and parsimonious representations for the underlying latent dynamics. A series of numerical studies is presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods, including nonlinear oscillators, predator–prey systems and examples from systems biology. Taken together, our findings put forth a flexible and robust workflow for data-driven model discovery under uncertainty. All codes and data accompanying this article are available at https://bit.ly/34FOJMj .

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Terrain-Relative Navigation with Neuro-Inspired Elevation Encoding

Terrain-relative navigation (TRN) encompasses a wide variety of algorithms that perform localization with respect to the terrain below a flying vehicle. In traditional approaches, measurements of the terrain are matched to a map carried onboard. This work presents a terrain-relative navigation filter with a position measurement inspired by neural activity associated with positioning in nature. Here, the filter is shown to produce accurate position measurements that outperform popular optimization and template matching methods given poor prior knowledge of the position. The proposed method is also better-suited to distributed implementation than optimization-based methods.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Detecting outbreaks using a spatial latent field

In this paper, we present a method for estimating the infection-rate of a disease as a spatial-temporal field. Our data comprises time-series case-counts of symptomatic patients in various areal units of a region. We extend an epidemiological model, originally designed for a single areal unit, to accommodate multiple units. The field estimation is framed within a Bayesian context, utilizing a parameterized Gaussian random field as a spatial prior. We apply an adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo method to sample the posterior distribution of the model parameters condition on COVID-19 case-count data from three adjacent counties in New Mexico, USA. Our results suggest that the correlation between epidemiological dynamics in neighboring regions helps regularize estimations in areas with high variance (i.e., poor quality) data. Using the calibrated epidemic model, we forecast the infection-rate over each areal unit and develop a simple anomaly detector to signal new epidemic waves. Our findings show that anomaly detector based on estimated infection-rates outperforms a conventional algorithm that relies solely on case-counts.

Safta, Cosmin [Sandia National Laboratories (SNL-C↗
DOE OSTI2022

Substructure at High Speed. I. Inferring the Escape Velocity in the Presence of Kinematic Substructure

Abstract The local escape velocity provides valuable inputs to the mass profile of the galaxy, and requires understanding the tail of the stellar speed distribution. Following Leonard & Tremaine, various works have since modeled the tail of the stellar speed distribution as ∝ ( v esc − v ) k , where v esc is the escape velocity, and k is the slope of the distribution. In such studies, however, these two parameters were found to be largely degenerate and often a narrow prior is imposed on k in order to constrain v esc . Furthermore, the validity of the power-law form can breakdown in the presence of multiple kinematic substructures or other mis-modeled features in the data. In this paper, we introduce a strategy that for the first time takes into account the presence of kinematic substructure. We model the tail of the velocity distribution as a sum of multiple power laws as a way of introducing a more flexible fitting framework. Using mock data and data from FIRE simulations of Milky Way-like galaxies, we show the robustness of this method in the presence of kinematic structure that is similar to the recently discovered Gaia Sausage. In a companion paper, we present the new measurement of the escape velocity and subsequently the mass of the Milky Way using Gaia eDR3 data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Recursive Dynamic Compressive Sensing in Smart Distribution Systems

With a transition to a smarter grid, we are witnessing a significant growth in smart metering infrastructure and sensor deployment in the distribution system. The underlying communication infrastructure is stressed due to the large volume of data that is generated by the smart meters/sensors. Furthermore, real time operations such as state estimation and control are impaired due to the lack of reliable aggregation of the data. In this paper, we exploit the underlying sparsity in grid data to implement two recursive dynamic compressive sensing (CS) approaches-streaming modified weighted-`1 CS and Kalman filtered CS. These approaches aim to reconstruct the sparse signal using the current underdetermined measurements and the prior information about the sparse signal and its support set. Slow signal and support change is in distribution grid data is validated using Pecan Street data. Both the IEEE 34 node test feeder system and PecanStreet data are considered as two examples to validate the superior performance of the two recursive CS techniques relative to classic CS.

Karimi, Hazhar Sufi↗
DOE OSTI2021

Close Observation of Hydraulic Fracturing at EGS Collab Experiment 1: Fracture Trajectory, Microseismic Interpretations, and the Role of Natural Fractures

Abstract Despite the wide application of hydraulic fracturing in enhanced geothermal system (EGS) development and unconventional hydrocarbon production, our understanding of the many factors affecting the propagation of hydraulic fractures has relied on circumstantial evidence. This is partly due to the scarcity of direct observations in the subsurface. The EGS Collab project attempts to address these issues in the context of EGS research by performing intermediate‐scale (∼10 m) hydraulic stimulation experiments in a thoroughly characterized and heavily instrumented underground testbed. This paper analyzes the data collected from the first suite of hydraulic fracturing tests in this testbed, consisting of seven stimulation episodes. High‐quality microseismic data delineate five planar features very clearly. Combining fracture‐wellbore intersection observations from distributed temperature sensing (DTS) and visual observations from an open‐hole well, as well as prior in‐situ stress measurements, we conclude with high certainty that the four larger planes were hydraulic fractures. The growth of the hydraulic fractures was temporarily halted by a prominent, open natural fracture in the testbed but they eventually crossed and slightly reoriented under continued stimulation. Mineral‐filled (i.e., healed) natural fractures, though prevalent in the testbed, did not have perceivable effects on hydraulic fracture propagation. The high‐quality, mutually corroborating data sets allowed conclusions to be drawn with high confidence and attests to the advantage of intermediate‐scale experiments in subsurface research.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗