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At least 199 records · Page 11

Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting for a Residential Household in Alaska

Accurate short-term load forecasting at a fine scale is essential for demand response programs, peak shaving, and load-shedding strategies [1]. While traditionally, only aggregate short-term consumption data was available, advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) now provides data at the individual consumer level [1]. There is increasing interest in utilizing this data for short-term load forecasting (from an hour to a few days) to optimize grid operations. Electricity consumption in individual households is highly influenced by residents’ personal behaviors [2]. As a result, unlike aggregate loads, electrical power usage in single households often shows significant volatility, making meter-level load forecasting for individual users particularly challenging [3], [4]. Deep learning methods, with their strong ability to model nonlinear data, have become popular for improving the accuracy of household electricity consumption forecasting [4]. Notably, the Long ShortTerm Memory (LSTM) has attracted significant attention [5], [6].

42 ENGINEERING↗

A fast and accurate domain decomposition nonlinear manifold reduced order model

Here, this paper integrates nonlinear-manifold reduced order models (NM-ROMs) with domain decomposition (DD). NM ROMs approximate the full order model (FOM) state in a nonlinear-manifold by training a shallow, sparse autoencoder using FOM snapshot data. These NM-ROMs can be advantageous over linear-subspace ROMs (LS-ROMs) for problems with slowly decaying Kolmogorov n-width. However, the number of NM-ROM parameters that need to be trained scales with the size of the FOM. Moreover, for “extreme-scale” problems, the storage of high-dimensional FOM snapshots alone can make ROM training expensive. To alleviate the training cost, this paper applies DD to the FOM, computes NM-ROMs on each subdomain, and couples them to obtain a global NM-ROM. This approach has several advantages: Subdomain NM-ROMs can be trained in parallel, involve fewer parameters to be trained than global NM-ROMs, require smaller subdomain FOM dimensional training data, and can be tailored to subdomain specific features of the FOM. The shallow, sparse architecture of the autoencoder used in each subdomain NM-ROM allows application of hyper-reduction (HR), reducing the complexity caused by nonlinearity and yielding computational speedup of the NM-ROM. This paper provides the first application of NM-ROM (with HR) to a DD problem. In particular, this paper details an algebraic DD reformulation of the FOM, training a NM-ROM with HR for each sub domain, and a sequential quadratic programming (SQP) solver to evaluate the coupled global NM-ROM. Theoretical convergence results for the SQP method and a priori and a posteriori error estimates for the DD NM-ROM with HR are provided. The proposed DD NM-ROM with HR approach is numerically compared to a DD LS-ROM with HR on the 2D steady-state Burgers’ equation, showing an order of magnitude improvement in accuracy of the proposed DD NM-ROM over the DD LS-ROM.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Deterministic modeling of hybrid nonlinear effects in epsilon-near-zero thin films

In nonlinear optics, significant effort is concentrated on improving the strength and efficiency of interactions; however, experimentally investigating nonlinear materials is a complex, time-consuming, and costly investment. Moreover, it is often challenging to isolate, study, and optimize material parameters in an experiment due to complexities in the growth process. Recently, epsilon-near-zero materials have received a great deal of attention as promising nonlinear optical materials, but like many up-and-coming materials, the ability to explore and optimize their properties has been challenging. Here, we establish a framework to rapidly evaluate the performance of nonlinear epsilon-near-zero materials for both inter- and intraband effects in silico, requiring only an energy-momentum (E-k) diagram, linear optical properties, and experimental conditions. Measured nonlinear reflection and transmission in gallium-doped zinc oxide films are compared to the numerical framework for both intra- and interband excitation to verify accuracy across wavelength and irradiance while two figures of merit (FoMs) are introduced to quickly evaluate the performance of films without a full numerical framework. This capability is used to predict the performance of highly doped gallium nitride, cadmium oxide, zinc oxide, and indium tin oxide films, and efficient intra- and interband operation conditions are identified. Through this numerical framework and the FoMs, the exploration of unstudied epsilon-near-zero materials is enabled without the need for a nonlinear experiment, thereby accelerating the search for more efficient nonlinear materials and excitation conditions.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Simulating dielectric spectra: A demonstration of the direct electric field method and a new model for the nonlinear dielectric response

Here we demonstrate a method to compute the dielectric spectra of fluids in molecular dynamics (MD) by directly applying electric fields to the simulation. We obtain spectra from MD simulations with low magnitude electric fields (≈0.01 V/Å) in agreement with spectra from the fluctuation–dissipation method for water and acetonitrile. We examine this method’s trade-off between noise at low field magnitudes and the nonlinearity of the response at higher field magnitudes. We then apply the Booth equation to describe the nonlinear response of both fluids at low frequency (0.1 GHz) and high field magnitude (up to 0.5 V/Å). We develop a model of the frequency-dependent nonlinear response by combining the Booth description of the static nonlinear dielectric response of fluids with the frequency-dependent linear dielectric response of the Debye model. We find good agreement between our model and the MD simulations of the nonlinear dielectric response for both acetonitrile and water.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Measuring signatures in photon angular spectra to distinguish nonlinear Compton scattering models

The collision of a high-energy electron beam with a laser pulse may be used to study radiation reaction and nonlinear Compton scattering among many other processes in strong-field quantum electrodynamics. Predictions from simulation and theory for these interactions rely on a number of approximations and assumptions that have not been experimentally tested. Here, experimentally measurable signatures are identified that might be able to distinguish between radiation reaction models, i.e., classical or quantum, or between the local constant field and local monochromatic approximations used to calculate the properties of the nonlinear Compton process. These signatures are considered through Monte Carlo simulations of various experimental conditions that are relevant to today's laser facilities. Potential detection schemes for measuring the signatures are proposed. We find that single-photon counting of keV photons to resolve harmonics and scintillator-based detection of MeV photons may allow us to validate nonlinear Compton scattering models and radiation reaction models respectively. This will require electron beams with divergence angles less than 2 mrad and less than 20% energy spread.

Russell, Brandon K↗

Effect of injected flux and current temporal phasing on self-organization in the HIT-SI3 experiment

The HIT-SI3 device at the University of Washington uses three oscillating inductive helicity injectors to form and sustain spheromak plasma equilibria. By adjusting the temporal phase of the injector waveforms with respect to each other, the toroidal spectrum of the imposed perturbations can be controlled. Using a recently implemented GPU-based control system, the available mode spectra were explored experimentally by scanning the space of relative injector phasing. In this space, significant variation in the toroidal mode spectrum ($n$ = 1, 2, 3) of the perturbations was observed. Additionally, variation in characteristics of driven equilibria was also observed, including a ≈ $30$% range in toroidal current gain ($I$ $Φ$ / $I$ $Inj$ ). Experimental results are compared with both a composite-equilibria and nonlinear dynamic model, including extended MHD simulations using the NIMROD code and composite Taylor state equilibria computed using the PSI-Tet code. In conclusion, qualitative agreement is seen with the nonlinear models, but not with composite-equilibria models, suggesting the use of nonlinear models to better capture observed plasma dynamics and provide predictive use for future experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Combined selection of the dynamic model and modeling error in nonlinear aeroelastic systems using Bayesian Inference

Here, we report a Bayesian framework for concurrent selection of physics-based models and (modeling) error models. We investigate the use of colored noise to capture the mismatch between the predictions of calibrated models and observational data that cannot be explained by measurement error alone within the context of Bayesian estimation for stochastic ordinary differential equations. Proposed models are characterized by the average data-fit, a measure of how well a model fits the measurements, and the model complexity measured using the Kullback–Leibler divergence. The use of a more complex error models increases the average data-fit but also increases the complexity of the combined model, possibly over-fitting the data. Bayesian model selection is used to find the optimal physical model as well as the optimal error model. The optimal model is defined using the evidence, where the average data-fit is balanced by the complexity of the model. The effect of colored noise process is illustrated using a nonlinear aeroelastic oscillator representing a rigid NACA0012 airfoil undergoing limit cycle oscillations due to complex fluid–structure interactions. Several quasi-steady and unsteady aerodynamic models are proposed with colored noise or white noise for the model error. The use of colored noise improves the predictive capabilities of simpler models.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Effects of low-frequency voltage on nonlinear standing wave excitation, plasma uniformity, and ion dynamics in dual-frequency asymmetric capacitive discharges

Abstract It is known that in very-high-frequency (VHF) capacitively coupled plasmas, the higher harmonics generated by nonlinear sheath motion can enhance the standing wave effect (SWE), which can lead to center-peaked plasma density profiles. In this work, an improved nonlinear electromagnetic model incorporating a transmission line model, an electron momentum balance model, a bulk plasma model, a collisionless nonlinear numerical sheath model, and an ion Monte-Carlo collision (MCC) model is developed to study the effects of low-frequency (LF) voltage V L on the nonlinear standing wave excitation, plasma uniformity, and ion energy and angular distribution functions (IEDFs and IADFs) in dual-frequency (DF) asymmetric capacitive argon discharges at relatively low pressure of 3 Pa. The plasma diffusion in the radial direction and ion dynamics within the LF oscillating sheath are self-consistently considered. The LF voltage V L at 2 MHz varies from 0 to 700 V while the HF voltage V H at 60 MHz is fixed at 100 V. Simulation results indicate that without the addition of an LF source (i.e. V L = 0 V), there are a considerable number of high-order harmonics with short wavelengths, leading to significant SWE and central peak in the radial plasma density profile. Nevertheless, the high-order harmonic excitations tend to be weakened and merely occur around the phase of the full LF sheath collapse due to a shorter characteristic damping time of the surface waves as V L increases. This, combined with increased surface wavelengths of both the driving frequency and the higher harmonics at a higher V L , leads to suppressed standing waves and improved plasma uniformity. Meanwhile, the simulations show that both the low and the high energy peaks of IEDF move towards higher energies, and the energy peak separation width ΔEbecomes wider with the increase of V L . The IEDF at the radial center of the powered electrode exhibits a broader ΔEthan that at the edge. For the IADF, an increased V L results in more ions incident on the electrode with a smaller deflection angle. Because of a thinner sheath and a higher sheath voltage at the electrode center, the peak value of IADF at the electrode center is greater than that at the edge.

Physics↗

Probabilistic-learning-based stochastic surrogate model from small incomplete datasets for nonlinear dynamical systems

We consider a high-dimensional nonlinear computational model of a dynamical system, parameterized by a vector-valued control parameter, in the presence of uncertainties represented by an uncontrolled parameter modeled by a vector-valued random variable, and possibly with stochastic excitation. The objective is to construct a statistical surrogate model where the input is any deterministic value of the control parameter, and the output is a vector-valued observation of the computational model, which is a random vector whose probability measure is updated using a target dataset. To construct this statistical surrogate model, the stochastic response of the computational model must be built, which is a vector-valued time-discretized stochastic process in high dimension, depending on the control parameter. It is assumed that the computational cost of a single evaluation of the deterministic model is high. For the probabilistic updating, we consider a subset of the components of the observation of the computational model, defined as the “identification observation” of the computational model, for which a small target dataset is available. Therefore, the target dataset is associated with partial observability, corresponding to an incomplete data case. Given a prior probability model of the random control and uncontrolled parameters, a training dataset is constructed, consisting of realizations of the random triplet composed of the stochastic response, the random identification observation, and the random control parameter. Since the computational cost of a single evaluation of the deterministic model is assumed to be large, the training dataset is also of small size. The main challenges in this problem are the high dimensionality, partial observability leading to incomplete data in the target dataset for the identification observation of the computational model (which is not sufficient to identify the computational stochastic responses), and the availability of a small training dataset. To address these challenges, we propose a methodology based on statistical methods for constructing necessary reduced representations, direct probabilistic learning under constraints using probabilistic learning on manifolds (PLoM) constrained by the target dataset, and the use of a weak formulation of the Fourier transform of probability measures. Statistical conditioning is also employed to explore the learned dataset. The constructed predictive statistical surrogate model can be implemented in the context of online computation. Here, we apply this approach to a problem of nonlinear stochastic dynamics in high dimensions within the framework of deformable solids mechanics.

Engineering↗

Ultrafast nonlinear absorption of Haldane model quantum dots

We study theoretically the nonlinear absorbance of Haldane model quantum dots (QDs) placed in the field of an ultrashort and strong optical pulse. The absorbance strongly depends on the frequency of the pulse. When the frequency of the pulse is much less than the QD bandgap, the absorbance shows strong dependence on the pulse amplitude and, as a function of an internal phase of the Haldane model, the absorbance has maxima at intermediate values of the phase. When the frequency of the pulse becomes closer to, but still less than, the bandgap, the absorbance has a weak dependence on the pulse amplitude and, as a function of the internal phase, it has a maximum at the phase of 900 when the QD bandgap also has the smallest value. Furthermore, nonlinear electron dynamics in such QD systems changes from almost reversible one at small pulse frequencies to highly irreversible dynamics at large frequencies of the pulse.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

A multi-sheath model for highly nonlinear plasma wakefields

An improved description for nonlinear plasma wakefields with phase velocities near the speed of light is presented and compared against fully kinetic particle-in-cell simulations. These wakefields are excited by intense particle beams or lasers pushing plasma electrons radially outward, creating an ion bubble surrounded by a sheath of electrons characterized by the source term S≡−1enp(ρ−Jz/c), where ρ and Jz are the charge and axial current densities, respectively. Previously, the sheath source term was described phenomenologically with a positive-definite function, resulting in a positive definite wake potential. In reality, the wake potential is negative at the rear of the ion column which is important for self-injection and accurate beam loading models. To account for this, we introduce a multi-sheath model in which the source term, S, of the plasma wake can be negative in regions outside the ion bubble. Using this model, we obtain a new expression for the wake potential and a modified differential equation for the bubble radius. Numerical results obtained from these equations are validated against particle-in-cell simulations for unloaded and loaded wakes. The new model provides accurate predictions of the shape and duration of trailing bunch current profiles that flatten plasma wakefields. It is also used to design a trailing bunch for a desired longitudinally varying loaded wakefield. We present beam loading results for laser wakefields and discuss how the model can be improved for laser drivers in future work. Finally, we discuss differences between the predictions of the multi- and single-sheath models for beam loading.

Dalichaouch, T. N. (ORCID:0000000247350150)↗

The Schwarz Alternating Method for the Seamless Coupling of Nonlinear Reduced Order Models and Full Order Models

Projection-based model order reduction allows for the parsimonious representation of full order models (FOMs), typically obtained through the discretization of a set of partial differential equations (PDEs) using conventional techniques (e.g., finite element, finite volume, finite difference methods) where the discretization may contain a very large number of degrees of freedom. As a result of this more compact representation, the resulting projection-based reduced order models (ROMs) can achieve considerable computational speedups, which are especially useful in real-time or multi-query analyses. One known deficiency of projection-based ROMs is that they can suffer from a lack of robustness, stability and accuracy, especially in the predictive regime, which ultimately limits their useful application. Another research gap that has prevented the widespread adoption of ROMs within the modeling and simulation community is the lack of theoretical and algorithmic foundations necessary for the “plug-and-play” integration of these models into existing multi-scale and multi-physics frameworks. This paper describes a new methodology that has the potential to address both of the aforementioned deficiencies by coupling projection-based ROMs with each other as well as with conventional FOMs by means of the Schwarz alternating method [41]. Leveraging recent work that adapted the Schwarz alternating method to enable consistent and concurrent multiscale coupling of finite element FOMs in solid mechanics [35, 36], we present a new extension of the Schwarz framework that enables FOM-ROM and ROM-ROM coupling, following a domain decomposition of the physical geometry on which a PDE is posed. In order to maintain efficiency and achieve computation speed-ups, we employ hyper-reduction via the Energy-Conserving Sampling and Weighting (ECSW) approach [13]. We evaluate the proposed coupling approach in the reproductive as well as in the predictive regime on a canonical test case that involves the dynamic propagation of a traveling wave in a nonlinear hyper-elastic material.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Cost function for low-dimensional manifold topology assessment

Abstract In reduced-order modeling, complex systems that exhibit high state-space dimensionality are described and evolved using a small number of parameters. These parameters can be obtained in a data-driven way, where a high-dimensional dataset is projected onto a lower-dimensional basis. A complex system is then restricted to states on a low-dimensional manifold where it can be efficiently modeled. While this approach brings computational benefits, obtaining a good quality of the manifold topology becomes a crucial aspect when models, such as nonlinear regression, are built on top of the manifold. Here, we present a quantitative metric for characterizing manifold topologies. Our metric pays attention to non-uniqueness and spatial gradients in physical quantities of interest, and can be applied to manifolds of arbitrary dimensionality. Using the metric as a cost function in optimization algorithms, we show that optimized low-dimensional projections can be found. We delineate a few applications of the cost function to datasets representing argon plasma, reacting flows and atmospheric pollutant dispersion. We demonstrate how the cost function can assess various dimensionality reduction and manifold learning techniques as well as data preprocessing strategies in their capacity to yield quality low-dimensional projections. We show that improved manifold topologies can facilitate building nonlinear regression models.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A solvable model of a nonlinear extension of quantum mechanics

We introduce a particular nonlinear generalization of quantum mechanics which has the property that it is exactly solvable in terms of the eigenvalues and eigenfunctions of the Hamiltonian of the usual linear quantum mechanics problem. Here, we hope that this simple example will elucidate some of the issues of interpreting nonlinear generalization of quantum mechanics that have been put forth to resolve questions about quantum measurement theory.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Classical integrability of root-$T\overline{T}$ flows

The root-$T\overline{T}$ flow was recently introduced as a universal and classically marginal deformation of any two-dimensional translation-invariant field theory. The flow commutes with the (irrelevant) $T\overline{T}$ flow, and it can be integrated explicitly for a large class of actions, leading to nonanalytic Lagrangians reminiscent of the four-dimensional modified-Maxwell theory (ModMax). It is not a priori obvious whether the root-$T\overline{T}$ flow preserves integrability, as is the case for the $T\overline{T}$ flow. In this paper we demonstrate that this is the case for a large class of classical models by explicitly constructing a deformed Lax connection. We discuss the principal chiral model and the nonlinear sigma models on symmetric and semisymmetric spaces, without or with the Wess-Zumino term. We also construct Lax connections for the two-parameter families of theories deformed by both root-$T\overline{T}$ and $T\overline{T}$ for all of these models.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗