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At least 199 records · Page 11

Modeling Global Vegetation Gross Primary Productivity, Transpiration and Hyperspectral Canopy Radiative Transfer Simultaneously Using a Next Generation Land Surface Model—CliMA Land

Recent progress in satellite observations has provided unprecedented opportunities to monitor vegetation activity at global scale. However, a major challenge in fully utilizing remotely sensed data to constrain land surface models (LSMs) lies in inconsistencies between simulated and observed quantities. For example, gross primary productivity (GPP) and transpiration (T) that traditional LSMs simulate are not directly measurable from space, although they can be inferred from spaceborne observations using assumptions that are inconsistent with those LSMs. In comparison, canopy reflectance and fluorescence spectra that satellites can detect are not modeled by traditional LSMs. To bridge these quantities, we presented an overview of the next generation land model developed within the Climate Modeling Alliance (CliMA), and simulated global GPP, T, and hyperspectral canopy radiative transfer (RT; 400–2,500 nm for reflectance, 640–850 nm for fluorescence) at hourly time step and 1° spatial resolution using CliMA Land. CliMA Land predicts vegetation indices and outgoing radiances, including solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), enhanced vegetation index (EVI), and near infrared reflectance of vegetation (NIRv) for any given sun-sensor geometry. The spatial patterns of modeled GPP, T, SIF, NDVI, EVI, and NIRv correlate significantly with existing data-driven products (mean R 2 = 0.777 for 9 products). CliMA Land would be also useful in high temporal resolution simulations, for example, providing insights into when GPP, SIF, and NIRv diverge.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Searching for cosmological stochastic backgrounds by notching out resolvable compact binary foregrounds with next-generation gravitational-wave detectors

Stochastic gravitational-wave backgrounds can be of either cosmological or astrophysical origin. The detection of an astrophysical stochastic gravitational-wave background with ground-based interferometers is expected in the near future. Perhaps even more excitingly, the detection of stochastic backgrounds of cosmological origin by future ground-based interferometers could reveal invaluable information about the early Universe. From this perspective, the astrophysical background is a foreground that can prevent the extraction of this information from the data. In this paper, we revisit a time-frequency domain notching procedure previously proposed to remove the astrophysical foreground in the context of next-generation ground-based detectors, but we consider the more realistic scenario where we remove individually detectable signals by taking into account the uncertainty in the estimation of their parameters. We find that time-frequency domain masks can still efficiently remove the astrophysical foreground and suppress it to about 5% of its original level. Further removal of the foreground formed by unresolvable events (in particular, unresolvable binary neutron stars), which is about 10 times larger than the residual foreground from realistic notching, would require detector sensitivity improvements. Therefore, the main limitation in the search for a cosmological background is the unresolvable foreground itself, and not the residual of the notching procedure.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Searching for cosmological stochastic backgrounds by notching out resolvable compact binary foregrounds with next-generation gravitational-wave detectors

Stochastic gravitational-wave backgrounds can be of either cosmological or astrophysical origin. The detection of an astrophysical stochastic gravitational-wave background with ground-based interferometers is expected in the near future. Perhaps even more excitingly, the detection of stochastic backgrounds of cosmological origin by future ground-based interferometers could reveal invaluable information about the early Universe. From this perspective, the astrophysical background is a {\it foreground} that can prevent the extraction of this information from the data. In this paper, we revisit a time-frequency domain notching procedure previously proposed to remove the astrophysical foreground in the context of next-generation ground-based detectors, but we consider the more realistic scenario where we remove individually detectable signals by taking into account the uncertainty in the estimation of their parameters. We find that time-frequency domain masks can still efficiently remove the astrophysical foreground and suppress it to about $5\%$ of its original level. Further removal of the foreground formed by unresolvable events (in particular, unresolvable binary neutron stars), which is about $10$ times larger than the residual foreground from realistic notching, would require detector sensitivity improvements. Therefore, the main limitation in the search for a cosmological background is the unresolvable foreground itself, and not the residual of the notching procedure.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Fabrication of a Nb-Ti Superconducting Closed-Loop Coil for the Next-Generation 45 GHz ECR Ion Source MARS-D

Electron Cyclotron Resonance Ion Sources (ECRISs) that utilize Nb-Ti superconducting coils for 28 GHz frequencies have been operating effectively for over twenty years. However, transitioning to higher frequencies demands stronger magnetic fields, and the conventional racetrack-and-solenoid ECRIS structures have reached their maximum capability with Nb-Ti. To address this, a Mixed Axial and Radial field System Demonstrator (MARS-D) is being developed at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL). This system features an innovative Closed-Loop Coil (CLC) design that optimizes the use of the conductor fields, enabling the application of Nb-Ti in the next-generation 45 GHz ECRISs. The fabrication of the hexagonal CLC is particularly challenging due to its complex winding path and shape, the stiffness of the Nb-Ti superconducting wire, and the small bending radius. Here, to address these challenges, a series of unique fixtures and tools, as well as a pre-over-bending method, were developed for winding the CLC. To validate the winding fixtures, tools, procedures, and materials used in the coil assembly, a 4-layer practice CLC was wound, epoxy-impregnated, and then cold-tested using liquid nitrogen. The full-size MARS-D CLC is in the process of winding. This paper presents the structure of the MARS-D CLC, the winding fixtures and tools, the winding procedures, the quality control, the impregnation, the test results, and the potential future improvements.

ECR ion sources↗

Enhancing Convection Parameterization for Next Generation E3SM (Final Technical Report)

This technical report summarizes the achievements during the project period. The general goal of the project is to enhance the representation of atmospheric deep convection in the DOE global climate model E3SM. By implementing a stochastic convection scheme into E3SM, we improved the simulation of precipitation intensity and frequency. As a result, it has a profound impact on the simulation of other fields in the model, including aerosol scavenging by precipitation and aerosol radiative effects. We also implemented a convective cloud microphysics scheme into E3SMv2 to represent more accurately the interaction between convection and grid-scale clouds. An extensive analysis of model simulations as part of the Next Generation Development (NGD) convection scheme assessment project found that including the convective microphysics scheme improved the simulation of Madden-Julian oscillations (MJO) in the model. To make convective parameterization schemes more scale-aware as the GCM resolution increases, we analyzed the output from cloud-resolving model (CRM) simulations of both organized and unorganized convection by coarse-graining the CRM data to different GCM resolutions. Using a novel approach to modify the convective closure, we demonstrated that the convection scheme used in E3SM (ZM scheme) can be made scale-aware.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Next Generation of Architectural Precast Insulated Wall Panels

Off-site building envelope construction or prefabrication has many benefits including fewer construction defects, fewer onsite workers, shorter onsite construction time, and less onsite waste. The off-site building construction approach with greatest market success to date is precast concrete. However, precast production needs to develop new technologies to capture a larger share of the construction market. More specifically, architectural precast insulated wall panels would be more widely used if they were lighter, had a shorter production time, and had higher thermal performance. This report summarizes the technologies that Oak Ridge National Laboratory, the Precast/Prestressed Concrete Institute, and the University of Tennessee developed so that the next generation of architectural precast insulated wall panels are 50% lighter, 50% faster to produce, and/or have two times higher thermal performance.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Advancing How We Learn from Biodesign to Mitigate Risks with Next-Generation Genome Engineering

In the last decade, the unprecedented simplicity and flexibility of the CRISPR-Cas system has made it the dominant transformative tool in gene and genome editing. However, this democratized technology is both a boon and a bane, for which we have yet to understand the full potential to investigate and rewrite genomes (also named “genome biodesign”). Rapid CRISPR advances in a range of applications in basic research, agriculture, and clinical applications pose new risks and raise several biosecurity concerns. In such a fast-moving field of research, we emphasize the importance of properly communicating the quality and accuracy of results and recommend new reporting requirements for results derived from next-generation genome engineering.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments–Tropics Flyer

Tropical forests cycle more carbon and water than any other ecosystem, and they play critical roles in determining Earth’s energy balance. Additionally, intact tropical forests are estimated to be Earth’s largest carbon sink, yet the processes controlling tropical forest carbon cycling are not well established. Understanding of carbon and related water and energy exchanges between tropical forests and the atmosphere lags that of other ecosystems, and poor model representation of these processes is the most significant source of terrestrial uncertainty in climate projections. To address these challenges, the Terrestrial Ecosystem Science (TES) program within the Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Biological and Environmental Research (BER) is supporting a next-generation ecosystem experiments project in the tropics (NGEE–Tropics).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Next Generation System Analysis Model: Recently Added Features and Future Plans

To better enable informed decision-making regarding the back-end of the nuclear fuel cycle, the Integrated Waste Management System (IWMS) program within the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE) has been sponsoring the development and application of system analysis tools capable of analyzing various system options for the management of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level radioactive waste (HLW).With these tools, IWMS architecture analyses are being conducted to support the future deployment of a comprehensive nuclear waste management system that considers all major back-end aspects of the nuclear fuel cycle (i.e., transportation, storage, and disposal). The Next Generation System Analysis Model (NGSAM) is an agent-based simulation software tool expressly designed to be capable of modeling features within various IWMS architectures. NGSAM imports data from Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)’s unified database (e.g., historic assembly information, thermal profiles for assembly heat, and at-reactor dry storage loadings) to ensure that each simulation initializes with a realistic representation of the state of commercial SNF in the U.S. Recent major enhancements implemented into NGSAM in the period since NGSAM was last presented at the WM2019 conference include: • Tracking of railroad escort car acquisition and buffer car acquisition • The addition of heavy haul truck (HHT) and barge routes for some sites, as well as support for user-defined inter-modal routes • Updates to the logic that checks the transportation cask thermal limit maps prior to package transport • An allocation method that predicts when reactor sites would pack assemblies from their spent fuel pools for dry storage, and prioritizes shipments directly from the pools of those reactor sites in the preceding periods (before the predicted loadings to dry storage), thus reducing the number of casks loaded into dry storage at reactor sites • The addition of “reactor site family” operational limits to restrict the number of loads of SNF taken from the pool and from dry storage at a given reactor site each year • Added support for multiple canister loading map options and packages with multiple compatible transportation overpacks • Updates to the handling of non-commercial SNF, including a new database that contains data to support the updates • Updates to allow analysis of hypothetical scenarios which include repackaging at reactor sites, e.g., for possible comparative analysis with other scenarios • Implementation of additional output reports, or modification of existing ones • The ability to generate and implement user edits via the NGSAM website • The ability to model loading SNF from pool storage at an interim storage facility (ISF) into dry storage at the ISF • The ability to model consolidating SNF from different existing storage containers at a DOE site into the same DOE standard canister • The ability to model transferring SNF casks from one transportation mode to another, e.g., from HHT to rail, referred to as transloading. These new features have improved NGSAM capabilities and users’ experience with the model. Preliminary NGSAM requirements for modeling advanced reactor fuels, reprocessing, treatment, and conditioning were considered, and this paper describes them at a high level. Other nuclear fuel cycle system analysis tools developed under sponsorship of DOE-NE, like the VISION code developed at Idaho National Laboratory, might be better suited for initial high-level analysis of those technologies and advanced fuel cycles. As technologies are developed and system concepts evolve, NGSAM could provide value by providing more detailed modeling of transport, storage, and disposal of spent fuel and wastes from advanced reactors and advanced fuel cycles at the fuel element and waste container level.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Next-Generation Electric Motors and Electromagnetic Devices (CRADA Final Report)

As part of the Cyclotron Road program, the Foli Research team investigated electric motors and other electromagnetic devices additively manufactured by depositing fine conducting wire onto a substrate. By leveraging modern motion control and efficient upstream manufacturing processes, the team explored using geometric control and turnkey production comparable to printed circuit board manufacturing, aiming at ten-fold improvements in signal density, while eliminating the material use, cost, and complexity overheads of subtractive processes at large scales. Owing to the achievable density and additive scaling, disparate components became monolithic, and disparate processes were combined with the aim of reducing development costs, uncertainties, and timelines. When applied to electric motors, this technology may enable agile manufacturing of next-generation designs, with dramatic increases in achievable power density and material utilization. Electric motors represent the single largest user of electricity in the U.S. and a critical component of decarbonized infrastructure. Despite this significance, the manufacturing of motors and other electromagnetic devices remains capital-intensive, labor-intensive, and performance-limiting. Advanced manufacturing processes were required to produce high-performance, low-cost, application-specific electric motors and electromagnetic devices to support an electrified future.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The Nucleosynthetic Yields of Core-collapse Supernovae: Prospects for the Next Generation of Gamma-Ray Astronomy

Though the neutrino-driven convection model for the core-collapse explosion mechanism has received strong support in recent years, there are still many uncertainties in the explosion parameters—such as explosion energy, remnant mass, and end-of-life stellar abundances as initial conditions. Using a broad set of spherically symmetric core-collapse simulations we examine the effects of these key parameters on explosive nucleosynthesis and final explosion yields. The post-bounce temperature and density evolution of zero-age main-sequence 15, 20, and 25 solar mass progenitors are post-processed through the Nucleosynthesis Grid nuclear network to obtain detailed explosive yields. In particular, this study focuses on radio isotopes that are of particular interest to the next generation of gamma-ray astronomical observations: 43 K, 47 Ca, 44 Sc, 47 Sc, 48 V, 48 Cr, 51 Cr, 52 Mn, 59 Fe, 56 Co, 57 Co, and 57 Ni. Furthermore, these nuclides may be key in advancing our understanding of the inner workings of core-collapse supernovae by probing the parameters of the explosion engine. We find that the isotopes that are strong indicators of explosion energy are 43 K, 47 Ca, 44 Sc, 47 Sc, and 59 Fe, those that are dependent on the progenitor structure are 48 V, 51 Cr, and 57 Co, and those that probe neither are 48 Cr, 52 Mn, 57 Ni, and 56 Co. We discuss the prospects of observing these radionuclides in supernova remnants.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Heat transfer and visual observation of pool boiling of next-generation low-pressure refrigerant: R1336mzz(Z)

R1336mzz(Z) is a non-flammable and non-toxic hydrofluoroolefin (HFO), which is a potential alternative working fluid for multiple applications such as centrifugal chillers, industrial high temperature heat pumps, and Organic Rankine Cycles. Pool boiling is one of the primary heat transfer modes in shell-and-tube evaporators, and there is limited data for R1336mzz(Z) due to its recent introduction. This study investigated the pool boiling characteristics of R1336mzz(Z) using a closed-loop apparatus. Heat transfer coefficients on a smooth aluminum surface were measured at various heat fluxes with a heating block, and the results were compared to predictions from various correlations. Additionally, a high-speed camera was employed to visualize and analyze the pool boiling behavior of this next-generation low-pressure refrigerant.

Yang, Cheng-Min [ORNL]↗

Enabling the Next Generation of Smart Sensors in Coal Fired Power Plants using Cellular 5G Technology

An important need for coal fired power plants is the ability to monitor multiple systems with ease and accuracy. Common implementations of these monitoring systems come with drawbacks due to the nature of coal fired power plants. Harsh environments, High Temperatures, and lots of RF (Radio Frequency) noise can create issues for accurately recording and transmitting data across wireless signals. In addition, as renewable energy sources come online, existing fossil fueled plants will need to operate more flexibly with their maintenance schedules outside of standard conditions. Therefore, additional sensing and control mechanisms need placed in existing plants to provide operators with more information such that maintenance decisions can be made well in advance of failures. A solution to this problem is the Next Generation of Smart Sensors, which leverages the power of 5G cellular signals and machine learning to overcome the myriad of problems with current implementations

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Identifying a next-generation antimalarial trioxolane in a landscape of artemisinin partial resistance

For over two decades, artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT) has been the standard of care for the treatment of uncomplicated falciparum malaria. However, artemisinin partial resistance (ART-R) is now prevalent in Southeast Asia and has emerged in eastern Africa, threatening ACT efficacy. Artefenomel, a synthetic 1,2,4-trioxolane, exhibits an extended pharmacokinetic exposure profile that predicts for efficacy against ART-R parasites. Unfortunately, the development of artefenomel was halted recently after almost a decade in the clinic. Here, we describe studies of an artefenomel-adjacent chemotype that combines potent in vitro activity against clinical ART-R parasites, an extended pharmacokinetic profile with single-exposure efficacy in a murine malaria model, and enhanced stability in human microsomes and hepatocytes. Overall, our studies reveal a heretofore underexplored trioxolane chemotype with the potential to address ART-R in a next-generation trioxolane development candidate.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

AeDES: a next-generation monitoring and forecasting system for environmental suitability of Aedes-borne disease transmission

Aedes-borne diseases, such as dengue and chikungunya, are responsible for more than 50 million infections worldwide every year, with an overall increase of 30-fold in the last 50 years, mainly due to city population growth, more frequent travels and ecological changes. In the United States of America, the vast majority of Aedes-borne infections are imported from endemic regions by travelers, who can become new sources of mosquito infection upon their return home if the exposed population is susceptible to the disease, and if suitable environmental conditions for the mosquitoes and the virus are present. Since the susceptibility of the human population can be determined via periodic monitoring campaigns, the environmental suitability for the presence of mosquitoes and viruses becomes one of the most important pieces of information for decision makers in the health sector. We present a next-generation monitoring and forecasting system for Aedes-borne diseases’ environmental suitability (AeDES) of transmission in the conterminous United States and transboundary regions, using calibrated ento-epidemiological models, climate models and temperature observations. After analyzing the seasonal predictive skill of AeDES, we briefly consider the recent Zika epidemic, and the compound effects of the current Central American dengue outbreak happening during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, to illustrate how a combination of tailored deterministic and probabilistic forecasts can inform key prevention and control strategies .

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Combinatorial Deposition of Ultrathick Ta-W-Au-Bi High-Entropy Alloys for Next-Generation Hohlraums by Direct-Current Magnetron Sputtering

Hohlraum temperature calculations with the model by J. H. Hammer and M. D. Rosen predict a higher X-ray drive from Ta-W-Au-Bi high-entropy alloys compared to pure Au and recently developed Ta 4 Au and Au-Bi hohlraums. Here, we study the microstructure and properties of 25-75−µm-thick Ta-W-Au-Bi alloy films deposited via combinatorial direct-current magnetron sputtering. All of the films have promising physical properties, including high electrical resistivity, that satisfy the requirements for magnetically assisted inertial confinement fusion experiments. While porosity tends to increase with increasing Bi content, we also found that films with Bi content > 44 at. % exhibited densification close to the substrate/film interface and formed a single-phase alloy. In conclusion, these findings provide a potential path forward for the development of Ta-W-Au-Bi alloys for next-generation hohlraum materials.

Magnetron sputtering↗

Prospects for direct detection of black hole formation in neutron star mergers with next-generation gravitational-wave detectors

A direct detection of black hole formation in neutron star mergers would provide invaluable information about matter in neutron star cores and finite temperature effects on the nuclear equation of state. We study black hole formation in neutron star mergers using a set of 190 numerical relativity simulations consisting of long-lived and black-hole-forming remnants. The postmerger gravitational-wave spectrum of a long-lived remnant has greatly reduced power at a frequency 𝑓 greater than 𝑓 peak , for 𝑓 ≳ 4 kHz, with 𝑓 peak ∈ [2.5,4] kHz. On the other hand, black-hole-forming remnants exhibit excess power in the same large 𝑓 region and manifest exponential damping in the time domain characteristic of a quasinormal mode. We demonstrate that the gravitational-wave signal from a collapsed remnant is indeed a quasinormal ringing. We report on the opportunity for direct detections of black hole formation with next-generation gravitational-wave detectors such as Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope and set forth the tantalizing prospect of such observations up to a distance of 100 Mpc for an optimally oriented and located source with an SNR of 4.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

AI-driven Neutrino Beam Diagnostics for Next-Generation Neutrino Experiments

The accelerator-driven beam uncertainty limits oscillation measurements in long-baseline neutrino experiments. Spill-resolved beam diagnostics and real-time inference are necessary to address these neutrino flux systematics. As such, we present a machine-learning-based beam monitoring framework developed and validated using data from the T2K experiment. Our approach uses downstream, spill-by-spill muon monitor observables to predict upstream parameters such as proton beam position and width. We achieve high predictive accuracy on nominal runs, demonstrating robust baseline performance whether the model is trained on stable runs or systematically varied conditions. The framework is designed to be robust against domain shifts, allowing the neural network architectures and inference strategies developed with T2K data to be retrained and validated using LBNF simulations, with the goal of eventual deployment under real LBNF/DUNE operating conditions. This scalable approach to real-time beam inference offers a pathway toward reducing flux systematics for next-generation neutrino experiments such as DUNE.

Aney, Noah [Fermilab; U. Chicago (main)]↗