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At least 199 records · Page 11

Best of both worlds: Enforcing detailed balance in machine learning models of transition rates

The slow microstructural evolution of materials often plays a key role in determining material properties. When the unit steps of the evolution process are slow, direct simulation approaches such as molecular dynamics become prohibitive and Kinetic Monte-Carlo (kMC) algorithms, where the state-to-state evolution of the system is represented in terms of a continuous-time Markov chain, are instead frequently relied upon to efficiently predict long-time evolution. The accuracy of kMC simulations however relies on the complete and accurate knowledge of reaction pathways and corresponding kinetics. This requirement becomes extremely stringent in complex systems such as concentrated alloys where the astronomical number of local atomic configurations makes the a priori tabulation of all possible transitions impractical. Machine learning models of transition kinetics have been used to mitigate this problem by enabling the efficient on-the-fly prediction of kinetic parameters. While conventional KMC methods based on transition state theory naturally yield reversible dynamics that exactly obey the detailed balance criterion, providing strong guarantees on the properties of the stationary distribution, many recently-proposed ML-based approaches to barrier predictions provide no such guarantees. In this study, we derive conditions under which physics-informed ML architectures exactly enforce the detailed balance condition by construction, even when relying on non-extensive descriptions of states in terms of local environments around mobile defects. In conclusion, using the diffusion of a vacancy in a concentrated alloy as an example, we show that such ML architectures also exhibit superior performance in terms of prediction accuracy, demonstrating that the imposition of physical constraints can facilitate the accurate learning of barriers at no increase in computational cost.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Self-consistent modeling of tokamak edge plasma transport with lithium sources

Magnetic confinement fusion devices require effective heat and particle exhaust solutions on the divertor plates to operate sustainably, especially under reactor-relevant conditions. Liquid lithium divertors have been proposed to address two major challenges: control of excessive heat flux to plasma-facing components through vapor shielding and minimization of core plasma contamination from impurities. The National Spherical Torus Experiment-Upgrade (NSTX-U) will explore lithium as a divertor material due to its potential to meet both objectives. We present a self-consistent coupling framework between the plasma boundary transport code UEDGE and the lithium wall transport code Wall–Li to evaluate the feasibility and operational limits of lithium-based divertors. The model aims to optimize lithium sourcing levels to prevent core plasma contamination via fuel dilution while ensuring divertor protection through vapor shielding. This integrated framework, applicable to any tokamak with lithium sources, dynamically adjusts lithium sourcing based on local plasma conditions and surface temperature. The coupled model is tested using NSTX-like geometry and plasma conditions to assess its performance and reliability. Wall–Li calculates lithium fluxes from plasma-facing components, incorporating physical sputtering, thermally enhanced sputtering, and evaporation driven by surface temperature and ion flux. These fluxes are reintroduced into UEDGE as neutral lithium atoms, enabling simulation of their transport and distribution within the plasma. UEDGE computes plasma and neutral transport, surface heat flux, and iteratively feeds this information back to Wall–Li. A small time step is employed to ensure numerical stability and convergence, enabling accurate simulations over typical tokamak discharge durations. This integrated modeling approach provides a robust tool for identifying operational regimes that balance effective lithium sourcing with minimal core plasma contamination, offering critical insights for optimizing lithium-based divertor systems in current and future fusion devices.

Magnetic confinement fusion↗

Traceable random numbers from a non-local quantum advantage

The unpredictability of random numbers is fundamental to both digital security and applications that fairly distribute resources. However, existing random number generators have limitations—the generation processes cannot be fully traced, audited and certified to be unpredictable. The algorithmic steps used in pseudorandom number generators are auditable, but they cannot guarantee that their outputs were a priori unpredictable given knowledge of the initial seed. Device-independent quantum random number generators can ensure that the source of randomness was unknown beforehand, but the steps used to extract the randomness are vulnerable to tampering. Here we demonstrate a fully traceable random number generation protocol based on device-independent techniques. Our protocol extracts randomness from unpredictable non-local quantum correlations, and uses distributed intertwined hash chains to cryptographically trace and verify the extraction process. This protocol forms the basis for a public traceable and certifiable quantum randomness beacon that we have launched. Over the first 40 days of operation, we completed the protocol 7,434 out of 7,454 attempts—a success rate of 99.7%. Each time the protocol succeeded, the beacon emitted a pulse of 512 bits of traceable randomness. The bits are certified to be uniform with error multiplied by actual success probability bounded by 2−64. Further, the generation of certifiable and traceable randomness represents a public service that operates with an entanglement-derived advantage over comparable classical approaches.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Neural MUSE Analysis

Researchers at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) created data as part of the MUSE (Multi-Agency Urban Search Experiment Detector and Algorithm Test Bed) project simulating illicit nuclear materials located in various buildings along a road. In the simulation, a truck containing a radiation detector drives down the road gathering listmode data (counting the and energy of incident gamma radiation). Building materials, source shielding, driving speed, truck direction, truck location on the road, source type, and source placement are all varied between runs of the data set. This data was created using deterministic neutron transport and Monte Carlo methods through a combination of SCALE, MAVRIC, MCNP, and GADRAS. As part of a follow-on NA-22 project, two Kaggle competitions were created to determine the best algorithms for finding and identifying gamma sources in this simulated urban environment. The winning algorithm was neural network-based and had a test accuracy of 76.4% accuracy for source identification. This work seeks to build upon this work and improve the results through the application of novel machine learning techniques. As a first step, the data was classified by a simple Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) To accomplish this, the data was first preprocessed into “waterfall plots.” These plots are composed of energy vs count plots that are stacked vertically to show progression in time. The horizontal axis indicating the particle energy incorporated user defined bin spacing with options for in linear-, logarithmic-, square root-, and user-spaced bins. The z or color dimension showed the number of counts corresponding the energy-time combination. This data was then used to generate more data, by generating a local estimate of the mean of the distribution for a bin and then randomly re-sampling that bin from a Poisson distribution. Once all of this data was generated, it was fed into a well-known CNN architecture, ResNet50. The output layer of this model was removed and replaced with layers corresponding to the shape desired isotope outputs. The provided training data was used to train the classifier and the remaining testing data was used to evaluate the model. Results are soon to be forthcoming.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Current-Activated Reactive Ultrafast Joining (CARUJ)

We have demonstrated Current Activated Reactive Ultrafast Joining (CARUJ) as a novel approach for rapid fabrication of similar and dissimilar materials, such as ceramic-ceramic and ceramic-metal joint assemblies. The CARUJ technology utilizes resistive heating of carbon-based materials to apply localized heat at, (through or around) joint zones at rates of 10 1 -10 2 ˚C/min, enabling joining at time scales considerably shorter (several minutes as opposed to hours) than conventional approaches for similar systems. Herein, we present our findings while evaluating the CARUJ concept. Three methods of heat application were evaluated: (i) using carbon joule heating elements to apply heat directly through the joint interface; (ii) using flexible joule heating elements to locally apply heat around the assembly interface; and (iii) non-contact heating of the joint assembly using inductive power. Schemes (ii) and (iii) proved to be the most effective in producing mechanically sound reliable joints. We demonstrated single-step fabrication of dense SiC-SiC joints with a Si- SiC interface using minimal pressure (1–2 MPa) in under 30 minutes. Measured average joint strengths of about 15 MPa are initially achieved for joined bodies when tested in single lap offset (SLO) compressive shear, while tuning of the interfacial composition along with a reduction in interlayer thickness, results in improved joint strengths of approximately 43 MPa. We further demonstrated SiC-SiC joining using Active Brazing Alloys (ABAs) proof of concept joining of tubular geometries. The versatility of CARUJ is demonstrated by utilizing non-contact heating via induction, to join dissimilar materials systems of SiC, SS316 and MAX phase ceramics with ABA interlayers. The localized and rapid heat application realizes a versatile material joining technique that can be extended for joining components at the plant site.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Enabling Digital Image Correlation for Deployment in the Hot Fuels Examination Facility

Digital image correlation (DIC) is a non-contact image-based technique for displacement and strain measurement. It is also a full-field method that can provide excellent spatial resolution. DIC has been widely used for measurements in many styles of mechanical tests and is desirable in part because of this flexibility to measure nearly any material across a range of time and length scales. Its ability to measure localized strain for tests and in environments not accessible to other strain measurement techniques makes it an ideal option for several mechanical test cases that exist in hot cell facilities such as the Hot Fuel Examination Facility (HFEF) at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL). However, DIC has not been demonstrated at HFEF, and several barriers to implementation in the hot cell environment exist. This report outlines the possible paths for deploying DIC at HFEF, weighing the technical advantages and risks with each path. It also discusses the steps which must be taken to add this capability to the suite of post-irradiation examination (PIE) techniques available at HFEF. Finally, it concludes with recommendations for the best method to perform DIC at the facility.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Triggering cell death in cancers using self-illuminating nanocomposites

Bioinspired photocatalysis has resulted in efficient solutions for many areas of science and technology spanning from solar cells to medicine. Here we show a new bioinspired semiconductor nanocomposite (nanoTiO 2 DOPA-luciferase, TiDoL) capable of converting light energy within cancerous tissues into chemical species that are highly disruptive to cell metabolism and lead to cell death. This localized activity of semiconductor nanocomposites is triggered by cancer-generated activators. Adenosine triphosphate (ATP) is produced in excess in cancer tissues only and activates nearby immobilized TiDoL composites, thereby eliminating its off-target toxicity. The interaction of TiDoL with cancerous cells was probed in situand in real-time to establish a detailed mechanism of nanoparticle activation, triggering of the apoptotic signaling cascade, and finally, cancer cell death. Activation of TiDoL with non-cancerous cells did not result in cell toxicity. Exploring the activation of antibody-targeted semiconductor conjugates using ATP is a step toward a universal approach to single-cell-targeted medical therapies with more precision, efficacy, and potentially fewer side effects.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Quench and Partitioning Steels

Quench and Partitioning (Q&P) steels are produced by implementing a unique thermal history designed to produce microstructures that contain martensite, and potentially ferrite, along with significant amounts of retained austenite stabilized by high carbon contents. Carbon-stabilized austenite is obtained by carbon transfer from martensite into austenite after a controlled amount of martensite is introduced by judicious selection of a so-called quench temperature at which quenching below the martensite start temperature is interrupted. Following the quench interruption, during the partitioning step, the steel is either held at the quench temperature or brought to a higher temperature and held for a specific time, to stimulate carbon transfer from martensite to austenite, to decrease the carbon supersaturation in martensite and correspondingly stabilize the austenite by carbon enrichment. A final quench to room temperature may be associated with the transformation of a certain fraction of austenite into secondary or “fresh” martensite, which is usually undesirable. A review of the Q&P process is presented, including prediction of austenite retention, alloying effects on its stabilization, a mechanical properties survey, including tensile and local formability relevant to sheet steels for automotive applications, along with perspectives on reactions competing with carbon partitioning that may operate during partitioning.

Kang, Singon↗

ARPA-E PNDIODES "PN Junctions by Ion Implantation" Project (Final Report)

Electricity accounts for nearly 40% of the energy generated in the United States, of which 65% is lost to electrical system inefficiency before reaching end-use sectors. Power electronics will play a growing role in this distribution and end-use, with up to 80% of electricity estimated to pass through power electronics from generation to consumption by 2030. This gives technical improvements in power electronics enormous potential to drive efficiency gains throughout the U.S. economy. Current Si-based power architectures including MOSFETs and IGBTs are limited by high losses, low switching frequency, and poor high-temperature performance. Given the material properties of GaN, devices can exhibit a given turn-on resistance and breakdown voltage with a minute fraction of the area of a Si device—all with higher switching speeds. While n-type doping of III-nitrides has reached a high level of maturity and integration into commercialized products, p-type doping presents distinct challenges that requires continued research. The success of the next generation of GaN-based power devices depends in large part on the ability to form selective-area p-type regions, which can be accomplished by ion implantation of the prevailing acceptor dopant, Mg. This approach is relatively inexpensive and is a fab-ready processing step for creation of current-generation power electronic devices including BJTs, IGBTs, and diode rectifiers. However, ion implantation induces lattice damage and creates point defects within the material, which negatively impacts dopant activation annealing. These forms of damage may be removed by high-temperature annealing, however short annealing time and higher pressures are required to prevent decomposition of the material. We approach this challenge through an innovative combination of approaches toward obtaining high-conductivity p-type GaN. By the novel employment of a gyrotron, a microwave source that can be shaped into a highly localized beam to dissipate very high power in a semiconductor target, a wafer of GaN can be annealed in short (<2 s) ‘pulses’ at temperatures of 1450 °C (2640 °F) to achieve p-type activation without appreciable surface degradation. The p-type activation of Mg-implanted GaN can be further aided by co-implantation with N, believed to enhance the removal of point defects that compensate the acceptors dopant. Elevation to such high temperatures for even a short time induces degradation of GaN-to overcome, we have implemented additional measures to retain high-quality crystalline GaN while removing implant damage and activating Mg dopant. A bilayer cap of AlN is deposited by a combination of chemical and physical vapor deposition to protect the GaN surface. To prevent decomposition of GaN loss of N during annealing, a custom vessel—to contain pressurized N while allowing injection of microwave energy—is employed. By detailed study of the interaction of various measures that are implemented to protect the sample surface (GaN), activate the implanted dopants, and mitigate damage of the lattice heating damage during annealing, we are able to achieve p-type GaN and observe recovery of the crystal and removal of substantial density of defects created during the implantation process.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Mapping 3D grain and precipitate structure during in situ mechanical testing of open-cell metal foam using micro-computed tomography and high-energy X-ray diffraction microscopy

Open-cell metal foams are ultra-low-density cellular metals with complex hierarchical structures that span bulk, cell, ligament, and sub-ligament scales and give rise to desirable properties such as high strength-to-weight ratio and excellent energy absorption. Although literature suggests that intrinsic material structures at sub-ligament length scales (e.g., grains and precipitates) play an important role in mechanical behavior of open-cell metal foams, there are very few experimental measurements of such structures in three dimensions and for meaningful volumes of foam. This study seeks to map and track the three-dimensional (3D) grain and precipitate structures of an intact volume of open-cell aluminum foam by advancing microstructural characterization techniques that leverage X-ray micro-computed tomography (μCT) and far-field high-energy X-ray diffraction microscopy (FF-HEDM). A 6%-relative-density aluminum foam sample was mechanically tested in compression while μCT and FF-HEDM measurements were collected at interrupted loading states at beamline 1-ID of the Advanced Photon Source. Further, a new scanning strategy and reconstruction algorithm were established to enable characterization of a foam volume with diameter approximately four times wider than the nominal width of the X-ray beam. The result is a set of maps that detail both the 3D grain and precipitate structures throughout the foam volume at successive strain steps. A novel grain tracking procedure was developed to track individual grains within the foam volume by accounting for the large rigid-body motions that individual ligaments can undergo during mechanical loading. The ability to track grains and precipitate structures in three dimensions throughout large bulk deformation of ultra-low-density polycrystalline materials enables new possibilities for validating numerical models and investigating local failure mechanisms. Furthermore, the methods and procedures developed in this study could be applied to other ultra-low-density structures, such as additively manufactured lattices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Valuing Resilience for Microgrids: Challenges, Innovative Approaches, and State Needs

The United States depends on the delivery of reliable, affordable, clean, and safe electricity. Electric utilities invest billions of dollars each year in generation, transmission, and distribution assets to meet this need. However, experiences with recent natural disasters of increasing frequency and duration demonstrate the shortcomings of this approach in the face of modern threats. Further, as customers rely on electricity for a broader range of important needs, such as transportation, as well as critical life-saving services and mission critical facilities such as water treatment, medical care, shelters, telecommunications, and more, the need to minimize the likelihood and impacts of outages grows. Against this backdrop, resilience has emerged as a key consideration to guide electricity spending, whether from utilities, customers, or taxpayers. Although reliability has been defined and measured for decades with broadly accepted metrics that measure how many customers lose power and at what frequency and duration, resilience considers the electricity system’s response to a disruption and its subsequent impacts on customers. Developing tools and methods to accurately assess the costs and benefits of resilience investments is a critical step toward the goal of mitigating the impacts of outages on customers and society. Today, electric system resilience is largely treated as an externality due to challenges estimating the costs of long-duration outages, impacts of outages on society, and increasing reliance on electricity for a growing set of interdependent services. These interdependencies include the water, wastewater, telecommunications, natural gas, and health sectors. Without knowing how much a given resilience investment will benefit customers or society more broadly, investors, policymakers, and regulators are less likely to make or approve such investments, and less able to prioritize those investments. State Energy Offices and public utility commissions (PUCs) lead the development of state-level energy policy and utility regulation, respectively, and each has interests in encouraging appropriate public and private investments in resilience. To this end, the National Association of State Energy Officials (NASEO) and National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners (NARUC), with the support of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Electricity (OE), formed a joint Microgrids State Working Group to explore the costs and benefits of microgrids, barriers to broader deployment of microgrids to meet resilience and other objectives, and policy and regulatory strategies to optimize investments in resilience, including but not limited to microgrids. Although no universally accepted valuation tool for resilience exists, National Laboratories, utilities, researchers, and state and federal agencies have collaborated to develop, apply, and improve a number of approaches to quantify resilience, several of which are still in progress at the time this report is published. This report seeks to share these important advances by discussing current definitions of resilience (Section 1), how microgrids are defined and used to meet resilience objectives (Section 2), new approaches to valuing resilience (Section 3), steps State Energy Offices and PUCs have taken to further resilience valuation efforts (Section 4), and finally, considerations and suggested next steps for State Energy Offices and PUCs (Section 5). Relevant examples of specific microgrid projects and resilience valuation efforts are included throughout the report. While this report is written specifically for NASEO and NARUC members, it may be useful for utilities, local governments, and individual customers interested in improving the way public and private dollars are spent to achieve resilience outcomes.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Why Seeding Works When Nucleation Barriers Vanish

Crystallization is a process governed by the interplay between nucleation and growth. While crystalline seeds are known to reduce nucleation barriers and accelerate crystallization under nucleation-limited conditions, their influence when nucleation is not the limiting step remains poorly understood. This creates a mechanistic puzzle in systems where nucleation barriers are already negligible, yet seeding still accelerates crystallization. Here, the synthesis of zeolites is a quintessential example of growth-limited crystallization in which seeds accelerate the process despite negligible homogeneous nucleation barriers. Using coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations─validated across two zeolites and the unrelated case of ice crystallization─we establish that growth-limited crystallization produces many small, misoriented crystallites whose slow coarsening into larger domains controls the emergence of X-ray-detectable crystallinity. Local crystalline order, structural coherence, and X-ray detectability are therefore kinetically decoupled milestones: the first can be reached rapidly while the latter two lag significantly. Seeds resolve this lag by imposing a common orientational registry on nascent crystallites, enabling their coherent coalescence into large seed-bound domains. This early coherence-building step produces a crystallite-size asymmetry that accelerates subsequent coarsening, advancing the onset of X-ray-detectable crystallinity without necessarily increasing the nucleated fraction. We conclude that under growth-limited conditions, the apparent induction period observed in powder X-ray diffraction reflects the time required to build long-range coherence, not the time to form crystalline material. Accordingly, seeds function not primarily by reducing nucleation barriers but by enforcing spatial coherence, thereby shortening the time required to develop long-range order detectable by X-ray diffraction.

Growth-Limited Crystallization↗

Knowledge-driven design of solid-electrolyte interphases on lithium metal via multiscale modelling

Abstract Due to its high energy density, lithium metal is a promising electrode for future energy storage. However, its practical capacity, cyclability and safety heavily depend on controlling its reactivity in contact with liquid electrolytes, which leads to the formation of a solid electrolyte interphase (SEI). In particular, there is a lack of fundamental mechanistic understanding of how the electrolyte composition impacts the SEI formation and its governing processes. Here, we present an in-depth model-based analysis of the initial SEI formation on lithium metal in a carbonate-based electrolyte. Thereby we reach for significantly larger length and time scales than comparable molecular dynamic studies. Our multiscale kinetic Monte Carlo/continuum model shows a layered, mostly inorganic SEI consisting of LiF on top of Li 2 CO 3 and Li after 1 µs. Its formation is traced back to a complex interplay of various electrolyte and salt decomposition processes. We further reveal that low local Li + concentrations result in a more mosaic-like, partly organic SEI and that a faster passivation of the lithium metal surface can be achieved by increasing the salt concentration. Based on this we suggest design strategies for SEI on lithium metal and make an important step towards knowledge-driven SEI engineering.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Microstrain screening towards defect-less layered transition metal oxide cathodes

Microstrain and the associated surface-to-bulk propagation of structural defects are known to be major roadblocks to developing high-energy and long-life batteries. However, the origin and effects of microstrain during the synthesis of battery materials remain largely unknown. Here, in this study, we perform microstrain screening during real-time and realistic synthesis of sodium layered oxide cathodes. Evidence gathered from multiscale in situ synchrotron X-ray diffraction and microscopy characterization collectively reveals that the spatial distribution of transition metals within individual precursor particles strongly governs the nanoscale phase transformation, local charge heterogeneity and accumulation of microstrain during synthesis. This unexpected dominance of transition metals results in a counterintuitive outward propagation of defect nucleation and growth. These insights direct a more rational synthesis route to reduce the microstrain and crystallographic defects within the bulk lattice, leading to significantly improved structural stability. The present work on microstrain screening represents a critical step towards synthesis-by-design of defect-less battery materials.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Pursuing graphite-based K-ion O 2 batteries: a lesson from Li-ion batteries

The replacement of lithium metal by lithium intercalated graphite was crucial for developing safe lithium-ion batteries. Superoxide-based potassium–oxygen batteries represent an exciting metal–oxygen battery with the highest energy efficiencies. However, using potassium metal is a more serious safety threat than lithium. Herein, we explore the possibility of graphite-intercalation anodes for potassium-ion oxygen batteries (PIOBs) with enhanced safety. This work demonstrates for the first time that establishing an artificial potassium salt-rich solid electrolyte interphase (SEI) enables a reversible graphite-intercalation anode (249.6 mA h g -1 after 600 cycles) in a potassium bis(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide (KTFSI)-based localized high-concentration electrolyte. Such an electrolyte is stable with the superoxide cathode. The PIOB delivers energy efficiencies above 90% at a depth of discharge (DOD) of 25% for 80 cycles. A three-electrode measurement shows that its overpotential mainly comes from the anode. The lifespan is limited to the gradual degradation of the artificial SEI caused by oxygen crossover. This work represents a step towards achieving holistic anode–electrolyte–cathode compatibility in a PIOB and its realistic evaluation under a controlled DOD.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Nonlinear control of the minimum safety factor in tokamaks by optimal allocation of spatially moving electron cyclotron current drive

The minimum value of the safety factor profile is related to the magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) stability of the plasma confined in a tokamak. Therefore, active control of the minimum safety factor may mitigate MHD instabilities that can degrade or even terminate plasma confinement. Typically, in most tokamak scenarios, the minimum safety factor evolves spatially with time, i.e., the location at which the safety factor achieves the minimum value changes with time. In addition to the inherent nonlinearities in the minimum safety factor evolution, its spatial variation makes the control design challenging. In particular, complexity in control design may arise from the need for time-dependent nonlinear models that account for spatial variation of the minimum safety factor. Furthermore, the minimum safety factor may drift to locations where the actuator authority is low. The problem of minimum safety factor control with target location tracking and moving electron cyclotron current drive (ECCD) is addressed in this work. A nonlinear time-dependent model that incorporates the spatial variation of the minimum safety factor is presented. A nonlinear controller based on optimal feedback linearization is developed to track a target minimum safety factor. The proposed controller treats the ECCD position as a controllable variable. In other words, the controller prescribes the ECCD position (in addition to the non-inductive powers) in real time based on an optimal criterion that is defined a priori. This work also presents the steps necessary to integrate the minimum safety factor controller with a total energy controller to achieve multiple control objectives simultaneously. In conclusion, the proposed integrated control algorithm is tested using nonlinear simulations in the Control Oriented Transport SIMulator (COTSIM) for a DIII-D tokamak scenario.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Extreme Scale Infrasound Inversion and Prediction for Weather Characterization and Acute Event Detection

Accurate and timely weather predictions are critical to many aspects of society with a profound impact on our economy, general well-being, and national security. In particular, our ability to forecast severe weather systems is necessary to avoid injuries and fatalities, but also important to minimize infrastructure damage and maximize mitigation strategies. The weather community has developed a range of sophisticated numerical models that are executed at various spatial and temporal scales in an attempt to issue global, regional, and local forecasts in pseudo real time. The accuracy however depends on the time period of the forecast, the nonlinearities of the dynamics, and the target spatial resolution. Significant uncertainties plague these predictions including errors in initial conditions, material properties, data, and model approximations. To address these shortcomings, a continuous data collection occurs at an effort level that is even larger than the modeling process. It has been demonstrated that the accuracy of the predictions depends on the quality of the data and is independent to a certain extent on the sophistication of the numerical models. Data assimilation has become one of the more critical steps in the overall weather prediction business and consequently substantial improvements in the quality of the data would have transformational benefits. This paper describes the use of infrasound inversion technology, enabled through exascale computing, that could potentially achieve orders of magnitude improvement in data quality and therefore transform weather predictions with significant impact on many aspects of our society.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

AMPPED LDRD: Advanced Models of the Physics & Phenomena of Electrical Discharge.

This Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project aimed at addressing an unmet need for physics-based models that enable prediction of electrical breakdown in the presence of high voltage gradients and real-world environments. This project focused on understanding coupled plasma-surface feedback phenomena critical to electrical discharge processes and design of breakdown voltages, breakdown times, and breakdown paths. New secondary electron emission and coupled plasma-surface measurement methods and models were developed. Highly reproducible discharge experiments were developed to provide current-voltage data as a function of time, and methods were developed to condition electrodes for predictable discharge. To assess plasma-surface feedback mechanisms, new surface physics capabilities, including measurement systems for local and global photoemission yield and ion-induced secondary electron emission yield were developed. Discharge models were developed to incorporate these yields for predicting discharge behavior to understand influence of surface physics on discharge current and time evolution, and methods to accelerate these simulations were demonstrated. A key finding was that the initiation process of a non-vacuum discharge appears highly dependent on photoemission at the cathode. Advanced diagnostics were developed, including spatial electrical field imaging, spectroscopy of plasmas, and high-speed imaging of discharge event s in metal and dielectric environments. These diagnostics and improved electrical models are a step toward enabling quantitative design margins, assurance of safety architectures, and implementation of novel materials and technologies for wide ranging energy and electronics applications.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗