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At least 199 records · Page 11

Intraseasonal oscillations in the global atmosphere. II - Southern Hemisphere

A systematic examination of oscillatory modes in the global atmosphere is completed by studying 12 years of 500 mb geopotential heights in the Southern Hemisphere. The data were band-pass filtered to focus on intraseasonal (IS) phenomena, and spatial empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) were obtained. The leading principal components were subjected to singular spectrum analysis in order to identify nonlinear IS oscillations with high statistical confidence. In the Southern Hemisphere, the dominant mode has a period of 23 days, with spatial patterns carried by the second and third winter EOF of the IS band. It has a zonal wavenumber-four structure. The 40-day mode is second, and is dominated by wavenumbers three and four, while a 16-day mode is too weak to separate its spatial behavior from the previous two. The IS dynamics in the Southern Hemisphere is more complex and dominated by shorter wavenumbers than the Northern Hemisphere. No statistically significant correlations between the Southern Hemisphere and the tropics or the Northern Hemisphere are apparent in the IS band.

Ghil, Michael↗

The behavior of wave 2 in the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere during late winter and early spring

The behavior of wave 2 in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) winter and early spring stratosphere has been examined in detail using 10 years of NMC data. Wave 2 is characterized by a broad meridional structure peaking between 55 and 65 S, and regular eastward propagation, with periods ranging from 5 to 40 days. The range of maximum geopotential height amplitudes is from 600 to 1000 m for a year. Consideration is also given to the relationship of wave 2 to other features of stratospheric circulation, Eliassen-Palm fluxes, and synoptic maps. The results obtained show that the zonal mean state of the SH stratosphere frequently satisfies conditions for instability. It is concluded that both instability of zonally symmetric and asymmetric states, and nonlinear interactions between wave 1 and wave 2 are of importance for determining the behavior of wave 2 in the SH winter and spring stratosphere.

Manney, G. L.↗

The stratospheric 4-day wave in NMC data

The observed characteristics of the 4-day eastward-moving wave 1 in the Southern Hemisphere polar winter stratosphere are surveyed using ten years of National Meteorological Center (NMC) geopotential height data. The 4-day wave is shown to be an ubiquitous feature in the Southern Hemisphere polar winter stratosphere and is usually prominent during July and August. Growth of the 4-day wave is characterized by two types of structures. Some episodes exhibit NW to SE phase tilts and a single high-latitude maximum. Others show NE to SW phase tilts during growth and a high-latitude maximum out of phase with a secondary lower-latitude maximum. Stability analyses show that all characteristics of the first type of episode are consistent with barotropic instability of the stratospheric polar night jet. Analyses of climatological fields suggest that characteristics of the second type of episode may be consistent with barotropic instability of the double-peaked mesospheric jet.

Manney, Gloria L.↗

Variability in total ozone associated with baroclinic waves

One-point regression maps of total ozone formed by regressing the time series of bandpass-filtered geopotential height data have been analyzed against Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer data. Results obtained reveal a strong signature of baroclinic waves in the ozone variability. The regressed patterns are found to be similar in extent and behavior to the relative vorticity patterns reported by Lim and Wallace (1991).

Mote, Philip W.↗

Precipitation rates in the tropics based on the Q1-budget method - 1 June 1984-31 May 1987

The 'apparent' heat source method (Q1 budget) is used to compute the total derivative of dry static energy from 30 deg N to 30 deg S for the period June 1, 1984-May 31, 1987. The dataset is produced from the ECMWF global analyses and consists of twice-daily values of temperature, geopotential height, horizontal wind components, and vertical velocity at increments of 2.5 x 2.5 deg lat/long at seven pressure levels. Vertically integrated values of ds/dt, which are equal to total diabatic heating, Q1, are combined with estimates of net columnar radiation and surface sensible heat exchange to compute mean monthly precipitation rates, P0, as the residual in the Q1 budget. The accuracy of these P0 values is thoroughly examined, and it is suggested that the technique produces reliable estimates of precipitation over tropical oceanic areas on a monthly basis. Time series of mean monthly P0 for several geographic regions of the Southern Hemisphere tropics and the equatorial western Pacific (TOGA-COARE region) reveal that (1) the South Pacific convergence zone has the highest precipitation rates in the Southern Hemisphere; (2) a clear and distinct seasonal cycle is prominent in all regions; and (3) the 1986-87 ENSO event is easily identified, particularly in the TOGA-COARE region.

Vincent, Dayton G.↗

Vertical tilts of tropospheric waves - Observations and theory

Two methods are used to investigate the vertical tilts of planetary waves as functions of zonal wavenumber and frequency. The vertical tilts are computed by cross-spectral analysis of the geopotential heights at different pressures. In the midlatitude troposphere, the eastward-moving waves had a westward tilt with height, as expected, but the westward-moving waves with frequencies higher than 0.2/d showed statistically significant eastward vertical tilts. For a free Rossby wave, this implies that the Eliassen-Palm flux is downward along with its energy propagation. A downward energy propagation suggests an upper-level source of these waves. It is proposed that the eastward-tilting waves were forced by the nonlinear interaction of stationary waves and baroclinically unstable cyclone-scale waves. The predicted vertical tilt and phase speed were consistent with the observations. In addition, simulations of a general circulation model were analyzed. In the control run, eastward-tilting waves disappeared when the sources of stationary waves were removed. This is consistent with the present theory.

Ebisuzaki, Wesley↗

Potential vorticity index vacillation in the 1978/79 winter - Its relation to teleconnnection patterns

The time series of the potential vorticity (PV) index, defined as a measure of the zonally averaged midlatitude PV gradient on the 30 K isentropic surface in the Northern Hemisphere, is studied. The time series and other indices, their variations, and their correlations in the frequency domain are investigated. Teleconnection patterns based on the spatial representation of cross-correlation functions between the PV index and 500 mb geopotential-height anomaly are presented. The rhythm of atmospheric motion organized by the PV dynamics is shown.

Weng, Heng-Yi↗

Low-frequency variations of circulation and high cloudiness in the northern extratropics - Spatial and temporal relationships

The spatial and temporal relationships between fluctuations in geopotential height and high-cloud fractional area in low-pass (periods greater than 10 days) and intermediate-pass (10-30 days) time scales are investigated and compared with spatial and temporal relationships in the fast-pass (2.5-6 days) time scale, using NMC 500-hPa height and Nimbus-7 THIR-TOMS high-cloud data for October-March winter months of 1979-1985. It was found that, when moving from the low-pass and intermediate-pass time scales to the fast-pass regime, the temporal variance of the height field decreases, but the temporal variance of the high cloudiness increases. The spatial phase relationships between the height and the cloud fields in the low-pass and the fast-pass regimes were found to be different.

Charlock, Thomas P.↗

Global normal-mode Rossby waves observed in stratospheric ozone data

Westward-propagating Rossby normal-mode planetary waves are documented in stratospheric ozone data using Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet (SBUV) satellite measurements. These modes are evidenced by enhanced spectral power and near-global coherence for westward-traveling zonal wave 1 oscillations with periods of 5-10 days. The ozone waves have maxima in high latitudes of the middle stratosphere (due to transport) and over midlatitudes in the upper stratosphere (due to photochemistry). These modes are nearly continuous throughout the eight years of SBUV observations, with maximum global coherence during the equinoxes. The upper-stratospheric waves are symmetric (in phase) between hemispheres, even for modes previously identified as antisymmetric in geopotential height. This behavior is due to differing wave vertical structure in each hemisphere; the planetary temperature waves are nearly in phase in the upper stratosphere, even though the height waves are out of phase. The observed ozone waves are furthermore compared to calculations based on linear wave transport and photochemistry, incorporating derived wind and temperature fields. Good agreement is found, showing that normal modes provide an idealized context to study the linear wave behavior of trace constituents in the real atmosphere.

Randel, William J.↗

Estimates of the stratospheric residual circulation using the downward control principle

The transformed Eulerian-mean momentum and continuity equations are used to calculate the residual mean meridional circulations for the lower stratosphere and troposphere. Momentum and temperature fluxes required for the computation are estimated from U.K. Meteorological Office (UKMO) analyzed geopotential heights. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) CCM2 model output is used to assess the errors associated with the calculation. The model comparisons showed that the method works reasonably well for solstice seasons, but is inadequate for equinox seasons. In addition, it is found that some parameterization of gravity wave drag needs to be included with the planetary wave forcing to accurately estimate the residual mean circulation using this method.

Rosenlof, Karen H.↗

Observational evidence of preferred flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter stratosphere

Ten years of stratospheric geopotential height data are analyzed in an attempt to determine whether there are preferred flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter stratosphere. The data are taken from Stratospheric Sounding Units on board NOAA satellites. The probability density estimate of the amplitude of the wavenumber 1 10-mb height is found to be bimodal. The density distribution is composed of a dominant large-amplitude mode and a less frequent low-amplitude mode. When the wavenumber 1 10-mb height data are projected onto the phase plane defined by the 10-mb zonal-mean winds and wavenumber 1 100-mb heights, three preferred regimes are evident. The small-amplitude mode separates into a strong zonal wind-weak wave regime and a weak zonal wind-weak wave regime. The large-amplitude mode is an intermediate zonal wind-strong wave regime. Transitions between the large-amplitude regime and the weak zonal wind-weak wave regime are found to be associated with major stratospheric warmings. The clustering of the stratospheric data into the preferred flow regimes is interpreted in light of the bifurcation properties of the Holton and Mass model. The interannual variability of the Northern Hemisphere winter stratosphere is interpreted in terms of the relative frequency of the observed preferred regimes.

Pierce, R. B.↗

Simulations of the seasonal evolution of planetary waves in the stratosphere

Results are presented of experiments performed with the 3D primitive equation model of the middle atmosphere to elucidate the connections between the behavior of planetary waves in the stratosphere and in the upper troposphere during the seasonal cycle. In these experiments the geopotential height fields at the model's lower boundary consisted of a time-varying zonally symmetric component plus a time-independent wave 1. Experiments were also performed with the same time-varying zonally symmetric component plus a time-independent combination of wave 1 and 2. In each of the wave 1-only experiments, the wave 1 amplitude in the middle stratosphere has two maxima, one in fall and the other in spring, separated by a midwinter minimum. It is suggested that some important transient features in the seasonal evolution of stratospheric planetary waves do not depend on time variations in the amplitude or phase of the corresponding tropospheric waves.

Farrara, John D.↗

Results of an observing system simulation experiment based on the proposed Windsat instrument

Two fraternal twin experiments were conducted as part of this study. A data impact experiment using real data (runs 1 and 2) was conducted to assess the impact that rawin wind observations have on both a 5-day assimilation and a single 5-day forecast generated at the end of each assimilation. An observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) using simulated observations (runs 3, 4, and 5) was conducted in order to first calibrate the OSSE results and second to use this calibration to estimate the 'real world' impact from the contribution of global 3-dimensional wind profiles generated from a space-based lidar system known as Windsat. Each of the three runs in the seond experiment were also 5-day assimilation runs with a 5-day forecast initialized from the last 6-hour update cycle of the assimilation. The data impact study revealed a consistent positive impact when rawin winds were added back into an otherwise complete FGGE data set. Both the 6-hour and 5-day forecasts were improved at all levels, in both hemispheres, and for both the wind and the geopotential height fields. Similar results were obtained from the two parallel simulation runs, 3 and 4. Together with the results from runs 1 and 2, calibration coefficients were generated so as to 'correct' the results determined from the addition of Windsat winds (run 5). The Windsat simulation showed a positive improvement in all cases studied. Even though only the tropics were enhanced with these wind observations, hemispheric rms errors were decreased in both the assimilation and 5-day forecast. The 6-hour forecasts of zonal wind from the assimilation run were improved by as much as 50 pct. on the average, and the single forecast showed an average improvement of near 30 pct. Even though these calibrated values are considered too optimistic, the skill of the forecast generated from this run extended the useful forecast period by 18-24 hours.

Arnold, Charles P., Jr.↗

Climatology of large-scale isentropic mixing in the Arctic winter stratosphere from analyzed winds

Dynamic isolation of the winter Arctic circumpolar vortex is studied using analyzed winds derived from geopotential height fields. Isentropic trajectories are calculated for assemblages of particles initialized on uniform latitude-longitude grids. Transport across isolines of Ertel potential vorticity (PV) is used to characterize the mixing processes of ejection of vortex air and entrainment of midlatitude air into the vortex. During January and February a barrier to mixing, where exchange of air is inhibited, typically forms near the vortex boundary. At 450 K, transport across the barrier is predominantly in the form of thin filaments of particles ejected from the vortex. These filaments tend to wrap around the vortex, creating a layered structure of vortex and midlatitude air at the vortex edge. Near or total splits of the vortex into two or more distinct vortex fragments are quite common based on these trajectory calculations. Significant entrainment deep into the vortex is rare and results from only a limited number of the splitting events. During December and March the mixing barrier is less evident due to nonconservative factors during the spin-up and breakdown of the vortex, respectively. In December both ejection and entrainment are only weakly inhibited by the mixing barrier. Exchange in March is dominated by ejection of air from the vortex.

Dahlberg, Steven P.↗

Sensitivity of a GCM climate simulation to differences in continental versus maritime cloud drop size

Extensive observations indicate a distinct difference between maritime and continental effective drop size, r(sub e), for warm clouds. The latest version of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate Model (CCM2) is used to explore the sensitivity of differentiating between continental and maritime r(sub e) on the simulated climate. The results of this study indicate that the smaller drop size over continents leads to a reduction of surface-absorbed solar radiation from 20 to 60 W/sq m. This reduction in surface solar flux leads to a cooling of the continents by up to -3.5 K. The reduction in surface solar flux and temperature also leads to a reduction in latent heat flux and precipitation over land. In the January simulation, there is a significant shift in tropical precipitation associated with the Australian monsoon. This shift leads to a response in the extra tropical geopotential height field over the western United States. All of these changes reduce biases in the current version of CCM2.

Kiehl, J. T.↗

Observed correlations between winter-mean tropospheric and stratospheric circulation anomalies

It is shown that interannual variability of the northern winter stratospheric flow in 1964-1993 was closely linked to large-scale circulation anomalies in the middle troposphere. Of the known tropospheric teleconnection patterns, the one having the strongest relation to the DJF (December-February) zonal-mean stratospheric flow was the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Singular value decomposition between the 500 and 50-hPa geopotential heights produced a 500-hPa structure containing elements of the NAO pattern, but including an anomaly in eastern Siberia. During this time period, the correlation of NAO-related modes to the polar lower stratosphere exceeded that of the equatorial quasi-biennial oscillation.

Baldwin, Mark P.↗

Large-scale isentropic mixing properties of the Antarctic polar vortex from analyzed winds

Winds derived from analyzed geopotential height fields are used to study quasi-horizontal mixing by the large-scale flow in the lower stratosphere during austral spring. This is the period when the Antarctic ozone hole appears and disappears. Trajectories are computed for large ensembles of particles initially inside and outside the main polar vortex. Mixing and transport are diagnosed through estimates of finite time Lyapunov exponents and Lagrangian dispersion statistics of the tracer trajectories. At 450 K and above prior to the vortex breakdown: Lyapunov exponents are a factor of 2 smaller inside the vortex than outside; diffusion coefficients are an order of magnitude smaller inside than outside the vortex; and the trajectories reveal little exchange of air across the vortex boundary. At lower levels (425 and 400 K) mixing is greater, and there is substantial exchange of air across the vortex boundary. In some years there are large wave events that expel small amounts of vortex air into the mid-latitudes. At the end of the spring season during the vortex breakdown there is rapid mixing of air across the vortex boundary, which is evident in the mixing diagnostics and the tracer trajectories.

Bowman, Kenneth P.↗

The spectroscopy of the atmosphere using far-infrared emission experiment (SAFIRE)

The goal of the SAFIRE experiment is to improve understanding of the middle-atmospher ozone distribution by conducting and analyzing global-scale measurements of important chemical, radiative and dynamical processes, including coupling among these processes and atmospheric regions. This will be accomplished by observing vertical profiles of temperature and key gases in the main chemical families. A detailed listing of SAFIRE measurements, including sepctral ranges, altitude ranges, IFOV, spatial and temporal resolution, latitude coverage and estimated precision is provided. The temperature, O3, CH4, and H2O observations will be useful for deriving and studying dynamical quantities such as geopotential height, potential vorticity, balanced winds and Eliassen-Palm fluxes. The SAFIRE observations will provide important data for study of chemistry, dynamics and transport processes. This experiment was conceived in response to a need for simultaneous measurements of odd hydrogen gases. These include gases such as OH, HO2, and atomic oxygen, which have not been observed by past satellite experiments and which will not be measured by any of teh Upper Atmosophere Reserach Satellite (UARS) experiments to be launched in 1991.

Russell, J. M., III↗