Inverter Reliability Estimation for Advanced Inverter Functionality.
Abstract not provided.
Flicker, Jack↗
SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Results for “Function Estimation”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Estimating Seismic Source Time Functions using Time Domain Inversion with Uncertainty Quantification.
Abstract not provided.
Wells, Daniel↗
Non-Maxwellian velocity distribution functions associated with steep temperature gradients in the solar transition region. I - Estimate of the electron velocity distribution functions. II - The effect of non-Maxwellian electron distribution functions on ionization equilibrium calculations for carbon, nitrogen and oxygen
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Roussel-Dupre, R.↗
Sampling errors in the estimation of empirical orthogonal functions
Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF's), eigenvectors of the spatial cross-covariance matrix of a meteorological field, are reviewed with special attention given to the necessary weighting factors for gridded data and the sampling errors incurred when too small a sample is available. The geographical shape of an EOF shows large intersample variability when its associated eigenvalue is 'close' to a neighboring one. A rule of thumb indicating when an EOF is likely to be subject to large sampling fluctuations is presented. An explicit example, based on the statistics of the 500 mb geopotential height field, displays large intersample variability in the EOF's for sample sizes of a few hundred independent realizations, a size seldom exceeded by meteorological data sets.
North, G. R.↗
An identification algorithm for linear stochastic systems with time delays
Linear discrete stochastic control systems containing unknown multiple time delays, plant parameters and noise variances are considered. An algorithm is established which uses the maximum-likelihood technique to identify the unknown parameters. An estimated likelihood function is evaluated based on the previous parameter estimates, which in turn generates a new descent direction vector to update the unknown parameters. The delays and plant parameters are identified in their respective parameter spaces. An example of a second-order stochastic system has been implemented by digital simulation to demonstrate the applicability of the algorithm.
Leondes, C. T.↗
Detecting Controller Malfunctions in Electromagnetic Environments: Modeling and Estimation of Nominal System Function - Part 1
A strategy for detecting control law calculation errors in critical flight control computers during laboratory validation testing is presented. This paper addresses Part I of the detection strategy which involves the use of modeling of the aircraft control laws and the design of Kalman filters to predict the correct control commands. Part II of the strategy which involves the use of the predicted control commands to detect control command errors is presented in the companion paper.
Weinstein, Bernice↗
Shape Servoing of Deformable Objects Using Model Estimation and Barrier Lyapunov Function
An adaptive shape servoing control method is presented in this article to manipulate a deformable object into a desired shape in 3-D. A finite-point-based representation of the deformable object is used and the deformation Jacobian matrix is approximated using Fourier series basis functions. The unknown parameters of the deformation Jacobian are learned by using the velocity applied to a control point on the object and corresponding change of positions of the points describing the entire object. An integral concurrent learning (ICL)-based parameter update law is designed along with a constrained controller to satisfy the state constraints on the motion of the control point using Barrier Lyapunov function analysis. ICL-based parameter update law uses data history of velocity and corresponding positions of the points along with their current values. An efficient algorithm to update the history stack using singular value maximization is proposed based on the structure of the regressor matrix. Simulations using a physical simulator and experiments using a robot platform are performed to validate the performance of the proposed controller on two different deformable objects.
Vrithik Raj Guthikonda↗
Estimating Seismic Source Time Functions in Stochastic Earth Models.
Abstract not provided.
Poppeliers, Christian↗
Development and Verification of MATLAB Functions for Pressure Drop Estimation in Crossflow Tube Bundles
The experimental data on drag coefficients in crossflow tube bundles is severely limited. It is largely contained in nomograms for a small range of tube bundle pitch ratios for both in-line and staggered bundles. These monograms and the corresponding correlations/curve fits are not readily accessible. This lack of experimental data presents a limitation when designing crossflow heat exchangers for nuclear reactors. Specifically, Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs) that utilize cross-flow configurations with turbulent molten salts flowing in the shell side are of interest. Current methods of calculating the drag coefficients are outdated and time consuming when conducting design studies (i.e. picking points off a graph). A computer script could easily run the necessary rapid calculations of the pressure drop for a large possible range of Reynolds numbers, pitch ratios and tube bundle configurations. In an effort to facilitate increased access and accuracy to crossflow pressure drop calculations, a set of MATLAB scripts have been created. These are specifically for the pressure drop and drag coefficients for flow over rows of in-line and staggered tube bundles. For verification of the scripts, the nomograms produced by Zukauskas, of which the scripts are built off, served as a comparison to the plot generated by the MATLAB scripts. (authors)
21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
The effects of earth model uncertainty on the inversion of seismic data for seismic source functions
SUMMARY We use Monte Carlo simulations to explore the effects of earth model uncertainty on the estimation of the seismic source time functions that correspond to the six independent components of the point source seismic moment tensor. Specifically, we invert synthetic data using Green’s functions estimated from a suite of earth models that contain stochastic density and seismic wave-speed heterogeneities. We find that the primary effect of earth model uncertainty on the data is that the amplitude of the first-arriving seismic energy is reduced, and that this amplitude reduction is proportional to the magnitude of the stochastic heterogeneities. Also, we find that the amplitude of the estimated seismic source functions can be under- or overestimated, depending on the stochastic earth model used to create the data. This effect is totally unpredictable, meaning that uncertainty in the earth model can lead to unpredictable biases in the amplitude of the estimated seismic source functions.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Non-Maxwellian velocity distribution functions associated with steep temperature gradients in the solar transition region. Paper 1: Estimate of the electron velocity distribution functions
It was shown that, in the presence of the steep temperature gradients characteristic of EUV models of the solar transition region, the electron and proton velocity distribution functions are non-Maxwellian and are characterized by high energy tails. The magnitude of these tails are estimated for a model of the transition region and the heat flux is calculated at a maximum of 30 percent greater than predicted by collision-dominated theory.
Roussel-Dupre, R.↗
Estimation of context for statistical classification of multispectral image data
Recent investigations have demonstrated the effectiveness of a contextual classifier that combines spatial and spectral information employing a general statistical approach. This statistical classification algorithm exploits the tendency of certain ground cover classes to occur more frequently in some spatial contexts than in others. Indeed, a key input to this algorithm is a statistical characterization of the context: the context function. An unbiased estimator of the context function is discussed which, besides having the advantage of statistical unbiasedness, has the additional advantage over other estimation techniques of being amenable to an adaptive implementation in which the context-function estimate varies according to local contextual information. Results from applying the unbiased estimator to the contextual classification of three real Landsat data sets are presented and contrasted with results from noncontextual classifications and from contextual classifications utilizing other context-function estimation techniques.
Tilton, J. C.↗
Quantifying Model Form Uncertainty of Epidemic Forecasting Models from Incidence Data
Objective We present a mathematical framework for non-parametric estimation of the force of infection, together with statistical upper and lower confidence bands. The resulting estimates allow to assess how well simpler models, such as SEIR, fit the observed time series of incidence data.IntroductionUncertainty Quantification (UQ), the ability to quantify the impact of sample-to-sample variations and model misspecification on predictions and forecasts, is a critical aspect of disease surveillance. While quantifying the impact of stochastic uncertainty in the data is well understood, quantifying the impact of model misspecification is significantly harder. For the latter, one needs a "universal model" to which more restrictive parametric models are compared too.MethodsThis talk presents a useful modeling framework for time series of incidence data from contagious diseases that enables one to identify and quantify the impact of model form uncertainty. Specifically, we propose to focus on estimating the timedependent force of infection. The latter is a universal parameters for all contagious disease model. Using a machine learning technique for estimating monotone functions, i.e., isotonic regression and its variants, one can estimate the force ofinfection without addtional assumptions. We note that most contagious disease model do satisfy this monotonicity assumption, due to a combination of factors: depletion of susceptibles, implementation of mitigation strategies, behavior change, etc. Comparing the resulting "non-parametric" estimate with parametric estimates, obtained by fitting an SEIR for example, can reveal model deficiencies and help quantify model form uncertainties.Finally, we discuss how ideas from "strict bound theory" can be used to develop upper and lower uncertainty bands for force of infection that acknowledge the intrinsic stochasticity in the data.ResultsWe demonstrate the application of the methodology to weekly Influenza Like Illness (ILI) incidence data from France andcompare the results to fitted SIR and SEIR models. This comparison can be seen as a nonparametric goodness of fit test, providing one with tools to do simple model selection.ConclusionsWe present a novel and flexible model to statistically describe the force of infection as a function of time. Comparing the fit to incidence data of that model with the fit of simpler parametric models enables the quantification of model form uncertainty and associated model selection.
Hengartner, Nicholas↗
Numerically efficient algorithm for model development of high-order systems
A technique for estimating transfer functions in partial fraction expansion form from frequency response data for a high-order system is presented. The problem formulation avoids many of the numerical difficulties associated with high-order polynomials and has the advantage of having the option to fix the camping and frequency of a mode, if known, during the estimation process. The resulting transfer function(s) may be converted to Jordan-Form time domain equations directly. During the implementation of this technique, a frequency and amplitude normalizing window was developed that maximized the efficiency of the optimization algorithm. The combination of estimating the transfer function in factored form, the ability to fix preciously determined parameters and the effectiveness of the normalizing window led to a progressive approach to synthesizing transfer functions from frequency response data for high-order systems.
Parada, L. O.↗
System for analysis of LANDSAT agricultural data: Automatic computer-assisted proportion estimation of local areas
The author has identified the following significant results. A conceptual man machine system framework was created for a large scale agricultural remote sensing system. The system is based on and can grow out of the local recognition mode of LACIE, through a gradual transition wherein computer support functions supplement and replace AI functions. Local proportion estimation functions are broken into two broad classes: (1) organization of the data within the sample segment; and (2) identification of the fields or groups of fields in the sample segment.
Nalepka, R. F.↗
An optimum approximation of n-point correlation functions of random heterogeneous material systems
An approximate solution for n-point correlation functions is developed in this study. In the approximate solution, weight functions are used to connect subsets of (n-1)-point correlation functions to estimate the full set of n-point correlation functions. In previous related studies, simple weight functions were introduced for the approximation of three and four-point correlation functions. In this work, the general framework of the weight functions is extended and derived to achieve optimum accuracy for approximate n-point correlation functions. Such approximation can be utilized to construct global n-point correlation functions for a system when there exist limited information about these functions in a subset of space. To verify its accuracy, the new formulation is used to approximate numerically three-point correlation functions from the set of two-point functions directly evaluated from a virtually generated isotropic heterogeneous microstructure representing a particulate composite system. Similarly, three-point functions are approximated for an anisotropic glass fiber/epoxy composite system and compared to their corresponding reference values calculated from an experimental dataset acquired by computational tomography. Results from both virtual and experimental studies confirm the accuracy of the new approximation. The new formulation can be utilized to attain a more accurate approximation to global n-point correlation functions for heterogeneous material systems with a hierarchy of length scales.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
A Multi-Analysis Approach for Estimating Regional Health Impacts from the 2017 Northern California Wildfires
In the evening of October 8 and early hours of October 9, 2017, high winds in Northern California downed trees and power lines, igniting some of the most devastating wildfires the state had seen, and within hours unhealthy air quality impacted millions of people. We simulated these air quality conditions using fire detection information from the MODIS, VIIRS, and GOES-16 ABI satellite instruments, and applying a set of three WRF–CMAQ simulations, one data fusion, and three machine learning methods. We investigated using the 5-min available GOES-16 fire detection data to simulate timing of fire activity to allocate emissions hourly for the WRF-CMAQ air quality modeling system. Interestingly, this approach did not necessarily improve results compared to the baseline case, which used a default time profile. However, this approach was key to simulating the initial 12-hr explosive fire activity and smoke impacts. The WRF-CMAQ simulations compared well with observational data for the October 8-15 time period and tended to overestimate concentrations October 16-20. To improve these results, we applied three machine learning algorithms. We also had a unique opportunity to evaluate results with temporary monitors deployed specifically for wildfires, and performance was markedly different. For example, at the permanent monitoring locations, the WRF-CMAQ simulations had a Pearson correlation of 0.65, and the data fusion approach improved this (Pearson correlation = 0.95), while at the temporary monitor locations across the WRF-CMAQ, data fusion, and machine learning datasets, the best Pearson correlation was 0.5. The data fusion and machine learning results were biased low and WRF-CMAQ results were biased high. Finally, we applied the optimized PM2.5 exposure estimate in a short-term exposure-response function. Total estimated mortality attributable to PM2.5 exposure during the smoke episode was 83 (95% confidence interval: 0, 196) with 47% of these deaths attributable to wildland fire smoke.
O'Neill, Susan↗
Comparing the effectiveness of software testing strategies
This study compares the results of code reading, functional testing, and structural testing in three aspects of software testing: fault detection effectiveness, fault detection cost, and classes of faults detected. Thirty two professional programmers and 42 advanced students applied the three techniques to four unit-sized programs in a fractional experimental design. The major results of this study are the following: (1) With the professional programmers, code reading detected more software faults and had a higher detection rate than did functional or structural testing, while functional testing detected more faults than did structural testing, but functional and structural testing were not different in fault detection rate. (2) In one advanced student subject group, code reading and functional testing were not different in faults found, but were superior to structural testing, while in the other advanced student subject group there was no difference among the techniques. (3) With the advanced student subjects, the three techniques were not different in fault deteciton rate. (4) Number of faults observed, fault detection rate, and total effort in detection depended on the type of software tested. (5) Code reading detected more interface faults than did the other methods. (6) Functional testing detected more control faults than did the other methods. (7) When asked to estimate the percentage of faults detected, code readers gave the most accurate estimates while functional testers gave the least accurate estimates. Appendix B includes the source code for the word.
Basili, Victor R.↗