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PV O&M Cost Model [SWR-21-14]
This tool presents a method for calculating costs associated with the operation and maintenance (O&M) of photovoltaic (PV) systems. The tool compiles details regarding the cost and frequency of multiple O&M services to estimate annual O&M costs ($/year) for each year of an analysis period, the net present value ($) of life cycle costs accumulated over the analysis period, and the reserve account amount ($) that might be required to fund unexpected repairs. The reserve account includes parts inventory and is important for providing a source of funds to make repairs quickly and avoid lost production. This method allows a detailed selection of services to perform based on system size, market served (e.g., residential, commercial, or utility), type and configuration of system components (e.g., micro-, string, or central inverter), and site and environmental conditions (e.g., pollen, bird populations) which is an improvement over simple per unit valuations of O&M costs ($/kW/year). This model also distinguishes costs that vary from year to year and increase at different rates over time as modeled by heuristic failure distributions (e.g., Weibull or Lognormal distribution) based on actuarial data for many of the services.
Development of Standardized Property Requirements, Measurement Methods, and Reporting Guidance for Coatings
The diverse research programs presently in progress around the world have advanced a large number of coated cladding concepts to various stages of maturity. Industry teams have developed leading coating compositions and geometries, but significant disparity exists in the importance placed on different coating properties, as well as the applicability and standardization of the various methods used to measure these properties. This milestone report provides an initial assessment of the most important coating properties and the experimental methods available for their determination to lay the foundation for standardized reporting and development of comprehensive datasets for modeling efforts. This report has determined that the residual stress of the coating is the most crucial property to investigate, yet it has received minimal attention to date due to a knowledge gap about the growth and formation of the brittle Laves phase under reactor conditions. The significance of residual stress of the coating is further enhanced by its connection and interdependence with other important properties like creep and coating failure mechanisms. This milestone proposes an importance rating for residual stress properties and their associated measurement techniques to fill in knowledge. Furthermore, techniques to investigate the outlined properties are discussed, and their capabilities and limitations are illustrated to provide guidance on their use.
Design, Deployment, and Characterization of the World’s First Flexible Large Power Transformer
GE Research and its partner Prolec GE have designed, built and deployed in the field the world’s first flexible power transformer. The flexible power transformer is a transmission class 3-phase autotransformer configurable in impedance and in voltage which allows it to serve as a universal spare for multiple units in a given fleet. However, the key innovation in this new concept is the online adjustable leakage impedance which allows the transformer to change its impedance without interrupting the transmission line operation. The flexible power transformer can be designed with up to three low voltage transmission class ratings and up to 12 impedance values changeable both online and offline. This report provides an overview of the design, manufacturing, testing, and commissioning of the 165kV, 60MVA prototype built including the results of the field performance validation tests. The prototype was specified in collaboration with Cooperative Energy, the utility host. It was designed and tested in the factory according to IEEE standard C57.12.00 and followed all protocols for transportation, installation, and commissioning of a power transformer. In addition to the prototype, a flexible protection system capable of automatically adjusting its settings upon the transformer impedance was also developed and deployed in the for testing and validation. On September 3, 2021 the prototype was energized in Cooperative Energy’s substation in Columbia, Mississippi to become the world’s first flexible power transformer in operation. Its performances and impact on the grid operation were demonstrated through different field tests. Results obtained confirm that the impedance of the flexible transformer can be varied under load through its full range, from 4.3% to 9.3%, without adverse impacts on the line operation, the protection system, the transformer stability and health condition. Results also proved that the flexible transformer is very effective in controlling power transfer through the line or load sharing between units operating in parallel. Indeed, it was proven that higher impedances decrease the thruput power of the transformer while lower impedances increase it. Up to 26MW was controllable on a line loading of 45MVA. It was also possible to demonstrate that the variation of the transformer impedance has no effect on the circulating current between units in parallel, except a minor transient during the impedance change. It was also proven that the flexible protection relay can update its protection settings automatically when the impedance change was detected. The prototype has operated continuously for more than 12 months now with a peak load exceeding 50MVA corresponding to >80% of its ONAN power rating. No alarm, trip or sign of failure has been reported by the utility. In addition to the development and deployment of the flexible transformer prototype, investigations were carried out on new nanodielectric fluids to replace the mineral oil used in power transformers with the goal of reducing their footprint and weight. The key parameters that were targeted for improvement included the breakdown voltage to reduce clearances between windings and tank hence the footprint; viscosity and thermal conductivity to increase the cooling efficiency and therefore to reduce the winding material. Several nanodielectric mixtures with mineral oil including with alumina (Al2O3), titania (TiO2) and Borum Nitrate (BN) with different surfactants have been analyzed and tested. Unfortunately, despite encouraging results no nanofluid candidate has been found viable to replace mineral oil. With the formulations tested, breakdown voltages are generally similar to mineral oil at lower particle contents and worse at higher particle contents. Viscosity appreciably increased at particles concertation over 2 wt% and thermal conductivity increased slightly at 5wt% and appears to be 10-15% higher at 10 wt% particle content. It is recommended to continue investigations to find solutions that can help increase the power density of future flexible power transformers. Flexible power transformers can significantly help the future power grid by providing more flexibility and resiliency. Indeed, by providing voltage and impedance flexibility, flexible power transformers reduce the need for multiple spares, hence inventory costs for utilities. With their online controllable impedance, they can provide support to the grid and help manage short-circuit currents, power flow, line congestion, and grid stability which will become more important with higher penetrations of intermittent renewable resources. During the field validation tests, it was demonstrated that up to 26MW was controllable on a line loading of 45MVA when the transformer impedance was varied from its minimum to its maximum range. Also, with the impedance range, the short-circuit currents could be reduced by up to 38% at the load side of the transformer. With its controllable impedance, flexible transformers can be used in future strategies of grid resilience to help better prepare the grid to face forecasted severe events including storms, heat waves and contingencies. The flexible power transformers can also find role in other applications including high voltage transmission cables such as offshore wind farms where solutions for energizing the cables and managing the reactive power are of critical importance. The designed flexible power transformer is now fully validated and ready for commercialization. Further analysis on the benefits of flexible power transformers for grid stability and short-circuit management including current limiting capability, reclosure and line restoration, control of inrush current, sizing of flexible AC components (FACTS) would help its rapid adoption by the industry.
Experimental Investigation on the Performance Loss of Cross-Linked Polymers During Photo-Oxidative Aging
Abstract Polymeric substances have seen an unprecedented integration in countless applications and fields of life, subjecting them to a broad range of environmental conditions, which can cause a form of damage to the structural and mechanical properties of these components known as aging. In this study we investigate the effects of the degradation of polymeric materials due to the extended exposure to sunlight, which can be simulated through controlled photo-oxidative aging using ultraviolet (UV) radiation as the main catalyst of this phenomenon. The effects on mechanical behavior and chemical properties of four polymeric materials with different mechanical characteristics was accordingly monitored throughout the study. The materials range in hardness with the polyurethane adhesive being the hardest and acting plastically, followed by an acrylic which exhibits greater hardening with time, a polyurethane sealant, which behaves in an elastomeric manner, and a silicon sealant, which is the softest of the set. Samples were prepared and subjected to UV radiation at three different temperatures namely 45, 60 and 80°C, for different aging periods ranging from 1 day for higher temperatures to 150 days for lower ones. The samples were then subjected to the Fourier transform Infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) test to monitor the change in the chemical composition of the materials along the aging durations and conditions. The materials were then subjected to mechanical testing along two modes of mechanical loading, which are a simple tension until failure and a double-cyclic test with progressively increasing strain limits after every two successful cycles until the sample reaches failure. The samples are loaded at constant strain rates throughout both tests. These tests revealed the change of behavior of our materials along the aging periods and conditions. The changes in mechanical behavior vary across each individual material depending on the aging temperature and period, with the changes ranging from hardening to softening, embrittlement or an increase in the maximum strain the material can endure before failure. A general trend would be that most materials become harder after photo-oxidation, however due to the range of temperatures in the aging conditions, thermo-oxidation, which causes softening in some of the polymers, has an increasingly notable effect at higher temperatures. A visible correlation can be noted between the change in mechanical behavior and a change in absorbance of Infrared Radiation (IR) in the FTIR spectrum, as the greater the crosslinking throughout the polymer matrix, the lower the absorbance of IR radiation due to the increased stiffness of the overall macro-molecular structure.
Dynamic fracture processes in hydrogen embrittled iron
Mechanistic understanding of hydrogen embrittlement is critical to the transport and storage of hydrogen as a sustainable fuel. Experimental observation of dynamic fracture processes in hydrogen environments has been challenging. Here, in-situ transmission X-ray microscopy is used to image polycrystalline iron foils that are concurrently strained and electrochemically charged with hydrogen. Using this technique, voids and microcracks down to ∼30 nm in size are identified at or near the crack tip and tracked as strain is increased. We observe both hydrogen-induced transgranular failure and hydrogen-induced intergranular failure with distinct fracture processes. We find that transgranular fracture occurs through the formation of sharp branched structures at the main crack tip that are reminiscent of slip band formation. This is followed by void growth and coalescence, and interaction with secondary cracks that lead to propagation of the main crack. Intergranular fracture is found to occur through void coalescence along grain boundaries, along with significant secondary cracking near the crack tip. The crack growth rate is greater for void-mediated intergranular failure than for slip-mediated transgranular failure. Additionally, the removal of hydrogen results in recovered ductility for a crack initially propagated under hydrogen charging.
High strain-rate compression behavior of polymeric rod and plate Kelvin lattice structures
The compressive high strain-rate behavior of polymeric Kelvin lattice structures with rod-based or plate-based unit cells was investigated through experimental techniques and finite element simulations. Polymeric lattice structures with 5x5x5 unit cell geometries were manufactured on the millimeter scale using vat polymerization additive manufacturing and tested at low (0.001/s) and high (1000/s) strain-rates. High strain-rate experiments were performed and validated for a viscoelastic split-Hopkinson (Kolsky) pressure bar system (SHPB) coupled with high-speed imaging and digital image correlation (DIC). Experimental results at both low and high strain-rates show the formation of a localized deformation band which was more prevalent in low relative density specimens and low strain-rate experiments. Strain-rate effects of lattice specimens strongly correlate with effects of the base polymer material; both bulk polymer and lattice specimen demonstrated strain-rate hardening, strain-rate stiffening, and decreased fracture strain under dynamic loading. Results show mechanical failure properties and energy absorption depended strongly on the relative density of the lattice specimen and exhibited distinct scaling between relative density and geometry type (rod, plate) and loading rate. High relative density plate-lattices demonstrated inferior mechanical properties to rod-lattices; however, there exists a critical relative density for a given mechanical property (17%- 28%) below which plate-lattices outperform rod-lattices of similar mass. As a result, high strain-rate explicit finite element simulations were performed and showed good agreement with the mechanical failure trends and deformation modes observed in the experiments.
A continuum damage approach to spallation and the role of microinertia
Spall failure is of interest due to its prevalence in high strain rate problems in which the spallation is driven by the interaction of release waves. In this article, a porosity-based damage model that includes microinertial effects is used to examine spall failure. The model is successfully calibrated to plate impact-driven experiments and then used to evaluate experimental conditions producing more extreme strain rate conditions, such as those in laser-driven experiments. The incorporation of microinertia allows us to better understand the increase in apparent macroscopic spall strength seen at high strain rates. Correspondingly, we conclude that the incorporation of microinertial effects improves the model’s predictive capabilities. Microinertial effects result in more severe local tensile stresses that affect the damage evolution, and microinertia can play a significant role in the approach to the material’s ideal strength at extreme loading rates. Additionally, a preliminary parametric study is also carried out to investigate the role of microstructural aspects such as nucleation volume fraction and initial pore radius. One counter-intuitive result from the microinertial effects is that, for a given nucleation site volume fraction, having larger initial pore nucleation sites can lead to an improved macroscopic spall strength.
The number of catalytic cycles in an enzyme’s lifetime and why it matters to metabolic engineering
Metabolic engineering uses enzymes as parts to build biosystems for specified tasks. Although a part’s working life and failure modes are key engineering performance indicators, this is not yet so in metabolic engineering because it is not known how long enzymes remain functional in vivo or whether cumulative deterioration (wear-out), sudden random failure, or other causes drive replacement. Consequently, enzymes cannot be engineered to extend life and cut the high energy costs of replacement. Guided by catalyst engineering, we adopted catalytic cycles until replacement (CCR) as a metric for enzyme functional life span in vivo. CCR is the number of catalytic cycles that an enzyme mediates in vivo before failure or replacement, i.e., metabolic flux rate/protein turnover rate. We used estimated fluxes and measured protein turnover rates to calculate CCRs for ~100–200 enzymes each from Lactococcus lactis, yeast, and Arabidopsis. CCRs in these organisms had similar ranges (<10 3 to >10 7 ) but different median values (3–4 × 10 4 in L. lactis and yeast versus 4 × 10 5 in Arabidopsis). In all organisms, enzymes whose substrates, products, or mechanisms can attack reactive amino acid residues had significantly lower median CCR values than other enzymes. Taken with literature on mechanism-based inactivation, the latter finding supports the proposal that 1) random active-site damage by reaction chemistry is an important cause of enzyme failure, and 2) reactive noncatalytic residues in the active-site region are likely contributors to damage susceptibility. Enzyme engineering to raise CCRs and lower replacement costs may thus be both beneficial and feasible.
Reactive transport modeling for supporting climate resilience at groundwater contamination sites
Abstract. Climate resilience is an emerging issue at contaminated sites and hazardous waste sites, since projected climate shifts (e.g., increased/decreased precipitation) and extreme events (e.g., flooding, drought) could affect ongoing remediation or closure strategies. In this study, we develop a reactive transport model (Amanzi) for radionuclides (uranium, tritium, and others) and evaluate how different scenarios under climate change will influence the contaminant plume conditions and groundwater well concentrations. We demonstrate our approach using a two-dimensional (2D) reactive transport model for the Savannah River Site F-Area, including mineral reaction and sorption processes. Different recharge scenarios are considered by perturbing the infiltration rate from the base case as well as considering cap-failure and climate projection scenarios. We also evaluate the uranium and nitrate concentration ratios between scenarios and the base case to isolate the sorption effects with changing recharge rates. The modeling results indicate that the competing effects of dilution and remobilization significantly influence pH, thus changing the sorption of uranium. At the maximum concentration on the breakthrough curve, higher aqueous uranium concentration implies that sorption is reduced with lower pH due to remobilization. To better evaluate the climate change impacts in the future, we develop the workflow to include the downscaled CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) climate projection data in the reactive transport model and evaluate how residual contamination evolves through 2100 under four climate Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. The integration of climate modeling data and hydrogeochemistry models enables us to quantify the climate change impacts, assess which impacts need to be planned for, and therefore assist climate resiliency efforts and help guide site management.
Unveiling the origins of work-hardening enhancement and mechanical instability in laser shock peened titanium
Laser shock-peening (LSP) produces complex gradients in microstructures and residual stresses, which enables fabrication of metallic engineering components with superior mechanical properties. In this work, we use non-destructive and spatially resolved high-energy X-ray diffraction (HE-XRD) to investigate the influences of LSP on microstructure, surface topography, and residual stress for high purity titanium plates. LSP is found to produce large compressive in-plane residual stresses near the peened surface which monotonically decay to zero about 2.5 mm below the surface. These properties were also tracked during in-situ tensile loading, allowing stress partitioning and work-hardening rates to be measured as a function of depth. The surface region is found to have the highest work-hardening rate and remain mechanically stable up to sample failure. In addition, a crystal rigid rotation along a transversal axis of about 27 & nbsp; was observed at large applied strain near the surface region, which is attributed to the formation of denser dispersed shear bands. Furthermore, a sudden drop in tensile stress was observed at a depth of similar to 160 mu m from the LSP surface, indicating the formation of a localized mechanical instability zone (LMIZ). The origin of this LMIZ could be attributed to the increase in shear stress induced by a load transfer from LSP surface due to the formation of denser dispersed shear bands. These observations indicate a localized transition in deformation behavior has occurred from dispersed shear banding to LMIZ and homogeneous deformation.
The influence of microbial colonization on inflammatory versus pro-healing trajectories in combat extremity wounds
A combination of improved body armor, medical transportation, and treatment has led to the increased survival of warfighters from combat extremity injuries predominantly caused by blasts in modern conflicts. Despite advances, a high rate of complications such as wound infections, wound failure, amputations, and a decreased quality of life exist. To study the molecular underpinnings of wound failure, wound tissue biopsies from combat extremity injuries had RNA extracted and sequenced. Wounds were classified by colonization (colonized vs. non-colonized) and outcome (healed vs. failed) status. Differences in gene expression were investigated between timepoints at a gene level, and longitudinally by multi-gene networks, inferred proportions of immune cells, and expression of healing-related functions. Differences between wound outcomes in colonized wounds were more apparent than in non-colonized wounds. Colonized/healed wounds appeared able to mount an adaptive immune response to infection and progress beyond the inflammatory stage of healing, while colonized/failed wounds did not. Although, both colonized and non-colonized failed wounds showed increasing inferred immune and inflammatory programs, non-colonized/failed wounds progressed beyond the inflammatory stage, suggesting different mechanisms of failure dependent on colonization status. Overall, these data reveal gene expression profile differences in healing wounds that may be utilized to improve clinical treatment paradigms.
Industry-Average Performance for Components and Initiating Events at U.S. Commercial Nuclear Power Plants: 2020 Update
This report documents the quantitative results of the current industry-average performance for components and initiating events (IEs) at U.S. commercial nuclear power plants (NPPs). It represents the third update of the original analysis in NUREG/CR-6928 with data through 2020. Continuous characterization and updating of current industry-average performance with the latest industry data available are important steps in maintaining up-to-date risk models. Typically, data from 1998–2002 were used in NUREG/CR-6928, data from 1998–2010 in the first update, data from 1998–2015 in the second update, and data from 2006–2020 in this update, although many IEs required longer periods for adequate characterization of frequencies in all these analyses. As with NUREG/CR-6928 and previous updates, four types of events are covered in this report: component unreliability (e.g., a pump that fails to start or fails to run), component or train unavailability resulting from test or maintenance outages, special event probabilities covering operational issues (e.g., pump restarts and injection valve re-openings during unplanned demands), and IE frequencies. Results (in the form of beta distributions for failure probabilities upon demand and gamma distributions for rates) are used as inputs to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission standardized plant analysis risk models covering U.S. commercial NPPs.
Energetic Materials
Energetic materials comprise explosives, pyrotechnics, and propellants. The science of energetic materials is dedicated to developing a means to predict performance and safety characteristics with high fidelity. This is a particular challenge and is predicated on materials science and engineering, physics, chemistry, and dynamic response in extreme conditions. Fundamental elements of these complicated composite materials remain grand challenges—from the design of high-energy metastable molecules, to the engineering of composite formulations, to the processing parameters that link to safety and performance characteristics in as-yet undetermined ways. Key elements include crystalline mechanics, grain dynamics, multiphase interfaces, thermal and mechanical damage, and failure—all linked to multistep and high-rate chemistry and shock physics. A future revolution in our understanding and predictive capability for energetic materials behavior and responses is dependent upon sustained focus and advances in materials research and development.
Arctic Amplification in the Community Earth System Models (CESM1 and CESM2)
We compare the Arctic amplification (AA) produced by the two Community Earth System Models CESM1 and CESM2, members of the CEMIP5 (Coupled Models Intercomparison Project phase 5) and CEMIP6 collections, respectively. We find that the CESM1 model reproduces the recent high values of the AA deduced from the observed temperature much better than the CESM2. The correlation coefficient within the 1970–2012 time period between CESM1-simulated AA and the observed one is 0.47, while the CESM2 simulation leads to an anticorrelation of r = –0.53. Even the more successful model (CESM1) is not able to reproduce recent high AA values of 4–5. The main cause of this failure is the model’s overestimate of the rate of increase in the mean global temperature in years post 1990. When the CESM1 model’s simulated trend of the mean global temperature is replaced in the expression for the AA by the observed temperature trend, the correlation coefficient increases from 0.47 to 0.75. The CESM1 model is among the best north American models in AA simulation while the CESM2 model is among the least successful.
Predicting cell-to-cell failure propagation and limits of propagation in lithium-ion cell stacks
Thermal runaway of lithium-ion batteries is a risk that is magnified when stacks of lithium-ion cells are used for large scale energy storage. When limits of propagation can be identified so that systems can be designed to prevent large scale cascading failure even if a failure does occur, these systems will be safer. This work addresses the prediction of cell-to-cell failure propagation and the propagation limits in lithium-ion cell stacks to better understand and identify safe designs. A thermal-runaway model is presented based on recent developments in thermochemical source terms. It is noted that propagating failure is characterized by temperatures above which calorimetry data is available. Results show high temperature propagating failure predictions are too rapid unless an intra-particle diffusion limit is included, introducing a Damköhler number limiter into the rate expression. This new model form is evaluated against cell-to-cell failure propagation where the end cell of a stack is forced into thermal runaway through a nail-induced short circuit. Limits of propagation for this configuration are identified. Results show cell-to-cell propagation predictions are consistent with measurements over a range of cell states of charge and with the introduction of metal plates between cells to add system heat capacity representative of structural members. This consistency extends from scenarios where propagation occurs through scenarios where propagation is prevented.
Optimization of well design and CO 2 injection strategy for risk reduction in Class VI geological carbon sequestration wells
The safety and durability of Class VI wells are critical for geological carbon sequestration (GCS). However, current GCS operations face unique challenges: unlike traditional Class II wells, Class VI CO 2 injection wells operate at rates up to 100 times higher, dramatically increasing the risk of wellbore leakage and structural compromise due to severe temperature drops and associated mechanical stresses. Despite existing guidelines on material selection, there remains a substantial gap in understanding how rapid CO 2 injection rates, low surface temperatures, and variable reservoir conditions interact to threaten long-term well integrity. This study presents a comprehensive, original workflow integrating advanced analytical and numerical models for both well flow and well integrity analysis. By systematically simulating a wide range of field-relevant scenarios—including variations in injection rate, CO 2 temperature, and reservoir pressure—this work provides the first cross-validated assessment of cooling effects on wellbore. The results reveal that extreme temperature drops, up to 60 °C, can occur under high injection rates, particularly in depleted reservoirs, significantly increasing the risk of cement failure. Building on these insights, the study proposes innovative, practical well design and operational strategies, including ductile cement formulations, pre-stressing techniques, advanced insulation coatings, and proactive management of injection rates. The safety of Class VI well extends beyond simply using CO 2 resistant materials. Cement materials should possess optimal thermo-hydraulic-mechanical-chemical properties for effective performance. This work provides a scientific basis for optimizing Class VI well designs, with direct benefits for minimizing environmental risk, lowering operational costs, and enhancing the long-term reliability of GCS.
Nanostructured Conductive Metal Organic Frameworks for Sustainable Low Charge Overpotentials in Li–Air Batteries
Lithium-oxygen batteries are among the most attractive alternatives for future electrified transportation. However, their practical application is hindered by many obstacles. Due to the insulating nature of Li 2 O 2 product and the slow kinetics of reactions, attaining sustainable low charge overpotentials at high rates becomes a challenge resulting in the battery's early failure and low round trip efficiency. Herein, outstanding characteristics are discovered of a conductive metal organic framework (c-MOF) that promotes the growth of nanocrystalline Li 2 O 2 with amorphous regions. This provides a platform for the continuous growth of Li 2 O 2 units away from framework, enabling a fast discharge at high current rates. Moreover, the Li 2 O 2 structure works in synergy with the redox mediator (RM). The conductivity of the amorphous regions of the Li 2 O 2 allows the RM to act directly on the Li 2 O 2 surface instead of catalyst edges and then transport through the electrolyte to the Li 2 O 2 surface. This direct charge transfer enables a small charge potential of <3.7 V under high current densities (1-2 A g -1 ) sustained for a long cycle life (100-300 cycles) for large capacities (1000-2000 mAh g -1 ). These results open a new direction for utilizing c-MOFs towards advanced energy storage systems.