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At least 199 records · Page 11
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Remote quantification of Cm(III) and HNO 3 by fluorescence spectroscopy and chemometrics

A unique approach to remotely quantify Cm(III) (0–100 µg mL −1 ) in HNO 3 (1–12 M) using steady-state laser fluorescence spectroscopy and multivariate regression models was developed. Photoluminescence is amenable to remote measurements using fiber-optic cables and is sensitive to numerous lanthanide and actinide species. In-line measurements can provide feedback to support complex processing in harsh environments (e.g., hot cells) to help guide and optimize radiochemical separations. In this work, Cm(III) spectra were acquired remotely in a glove box as a function of HNO 3 concentration to better understand spectral characteristics and evaluate the utility of multivariate regression models in this system. Furthermore, the Cm(III) fluorescence peak shape, width, position, and intensity changed significantly as a function of HNO 3 concentration, likely because of the displacement of emission quenching inner-sphere water molecules and complexation with nitrate ions. Despite significant covariance and nonlinearity in the data, a D-optimal design strategy successfully minimized training set sample size and was used to build effective partial least squares regression models for Cm(III) and HNO 3 concentrations without a priori knowledge of solution conditions. Chemometrics for modeling complex fluorescence spectra are promising and may find widespread applicability for online analysis in numerous chemical systems found in the nuclear field.

Actinide↗
DOE OSTI2023

Multi-Sourced Collaboration for the Production and Refining of Rare Elements and Critical Metals (Final Technical Report)

The project objective was to develop a feasible and cost-effective method for recovering rare earth elements (REEs) and critical materials (CMs) from coal and coal byproducts, resulting in high-purity individually separated REEs and CMs. The targeted REEs included Y, Pr, Nd, Gd, Dy, and Sm, with a purity of over 99.5%, while the CMs included Co, Mn, Ga, Sr, Li, Ni, Zn, and Ge, with a purity of over 90%. The project aimed to design a prototype facility capable of producing 1-3 tonnes/day of high-purity REO mixes. The work was divided into four designated circuits: 1) REE extraction and concentration, 2) REE separation and purification, 3) RE metal production, and 4) CM production. To achieve these goals, the project involved 11 tasks, including technology reviews, research, process flow diagram development, mass balance estimation, and preliminary technical-economic analysis. The project team included researchers from the University of Kentucky, University of Alabama and Virginia Tech as well as process specialists from Argonne National Laboratory. MP Materials provided technical support regarding rare earth markets and processing while Alliance Coal performed resource assessment. The project included a market analysis for Nd/Pr, Tb, Dy, Gd, Y, Co, Mn, Li, Sr, Ga, Ni, Zn, and Ge. These analyses provided insights into the supply and demand trends as well as historic and future projections of market price relative to purity requirements for these elements. Two coal resources were selected for the project: the West Kentucky No. 13 (Baker) Seam and an undisclosed lignite resource in the Illinois coal basin. The estimated quantities of REEs in these resources were calculated based on production samples and drilling data. It was estimated that there is adequate supply for an operation producing one metric ton daily of higher purity mixed rare earth oxides (MREO) for approximately 20 years at a site located in western Kentucky. In Circuit 1, project data was obtained from a pilot heap leach and REE concentration facility. It was concluded that the existing circuit, which generated a MREO concentrate, two types of CM mixed products, and Li- and Sr-containing waters, would be suitable feed for circuits 2-4. Data from the first-of-its-kind coal coarse refuse heap leach pilot pad played a crucial role in estimating reliable elemental concentrations of the pregnant leaching solution (PLS). The average total REE concentration in the PLS was found to be 28.6 ppm. In Circuit 2, several concepts were explored including a novel process referred to as solvent-assisted chromatography (SAC). This concept involved a novel columnar reactor that incorporated multiple mixer/settlers, thereby enabling the operation of counter-flowing aqueous and organic phases. Unfortunately, due to project time constraints, a complete fundamental modeling analysis could not be completed to fully evaluate the technology. Molten salt electrowinning was considered as an alternative for circuit 3 following circuit 2 purification circuit utilizing the novel SAC process. A mass and energy balance of Nd reduction to metal in a fluoride containing molten salt electrolyte was conducted. Comparisons were made with the current state of Asian molten salt electrorefining, and potential improvements in siphoning rare earth metals (REM) from the reactor were presented. A cost estimate was performed for the production of 1 tonne per day, which yielded a total of $2.29 million for the nine electrowinning (EW) cells required. The selected option for circuits 2 and 3 was a plasma distillation process, which initially separates rare earth elements (REEs) from other elements. This is followed by selective electrowinning in various ionic liquids. The selection was made on the basis of thermodynamic modeling and experimental data previously published by a project partner. The combination offers an innovative approach to integrated refining and RE metal production. For Circuit 4, an extensive literature review was conducted for the processing of the CMs. The ultimate decision was to utilize a combined plasma and ionic liquid process as well to produce individual high-purity concentrates of Zn, Ni, Co, Mn, and Mg. A separate flowsheet for Li and Sr was recommended, which would yield carbonates of these elements. Due to the lack of suitable experimental data at this time, a process recommendation could not be provided but several methods have been proposed for consideration. Lastly, a techno-economic analysis (TEA) was conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed process for further investigation. The TEA results revealed a capital expense (CapEx) of $737 million and an annual operational expense (OpEx) of $220 million. Due to the selected elements, the hypothetical heap leach pad can produce 1 metric tonne per day of REO equivalent, but a conscious decision was made to only treat targeted REEs, resulting in the production of 0.4 metric tonne of REM. An estimated annual revenue of $90.87 million was projected based on standard market pricing information provided by the funding agency. During the TEA, ten different modules were evaluated for costing purposes. The precipitation circuit was identified as the largest single operational expense, followed by the Mg/Mn process due to the amount of treated metal. In terms of capital expenditures, the heap leach process incurred the highest cost, followed by the Mg/Mn process. The scalability of the plasma process is a crucial consideration since the reactors cannot be scaled beyond the largest demonstrated size due to their reliance on surface area of the slag and vapor phase. The purity estimate for the REEs are generally 98%±2% to produce a metal. The purity level being lower than the project objective was due to the lack of specific experimental data needed to tighten the tolerance of the estimates. Based on literature and previous experience, the CMs are estimated as follows; Ga (95%+, metal), Sr (95%+, carbonate), Li (95%+, carbonate), Ni (98%±2%, metal), Zn (95%+, metal sponge), Ge (95%+, metal), Co (98%±2%, metal), and Mn (98%±2%, metal).

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2020

Probing unintentional Fe impurity incorporation in MOCVD homoepitaxy GaN: Toward GaN vertical power devices

Unintentional impurity incorporation in GaN drift layers represents a challenging issue that can limit their potential performance in vertical power devices. In this paper, we focus on studying the origins of Fe impurity incorporation in metal-organic chemical vapor deposition (MOCVD) grown GaN materials. Acting as a compensator in n-type GaN drift layers, Fe impurities can reduce the electron mobility in GaN and limit the lowest controllable doping level. Two sources, the sample cleaning process and growth susceptor, were identified as the main mechanisms of Fe incorporation in the MOCVD GaN growth process. It was found that solvent cleaning of the wafer can introduce significant Fe contamination at the growth interface, which would slowly be incorporated into the GaN epilayer, thus causing background Fe impurity as high as 10 17 cm -3 level. Moreover, the Fe impurity in the coating material on the susceptor can introduce additional Fe impurity during the growth process. Our studies revealed that the Fe impurity level could be significantly suppressed by more than two orders when an alternative cleaning process was used and the susceptor surface was fully covered by substrates. Characterization of the Fe impurity concentrations was performed via secondary ion mass spectrometry. The trap level (E C - 0.57) eV from deep-level transient spectroscopy that had previously been attributed to Fe confirmed the carrier compensation effect from Fe. Room temperature Hall mobility as high as 1007 cm 2 /V s was achieved on the MOCVD grown low-Fe GaN. Results from this work will provide guidance for achieving high purity GaN toward high performance GaN vertical power devices.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Strain-insensitive intrinsically stretchable transistors and circuits

An all-elastomer strain engineering approach, which uses patterned elastomer layers with tunable stiffnesses, can be used to create intrinsically stretchable transistor arrays with a device density of 340 transistors cm -2 and strain insensitivity of less than 5% performance variation when stretched to 100% strain. Intrinsically stretchable electronics can form intimate interfaces with the human body, creating devices that could be used to monitor physiological signals without constraining movement. However, mechanical strain invariably leads to the degradation of the electronic properties of the devices. Here we show that strain-insensitive intrinsically stretchable transistor arrays can be created using an all-elastomer strain engineering approach, in which the patterned elastomer layers with tunable stiffnesses are incorporated into the transistor structure. By varying the cross-linking density of the elastomers, areas of increased local stiffness are introduced, reducing strain on the active regions of the devices. This approach can be readily incorporated into existing fabrication processes, and we use it to create arrays with a device density of 340 transistors cm -2 and a strain insensitivity of less than 5% performance variation when stretched to 100% strain. We also show that it can be used to fabricate strain-insensitive circuit elements, including NOR gates, ring oscillators and high-gain amplifiers for the stable monitoring of electrophysiological signals.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Electron beam injection from a hollow cathode plasma into a downstream reactive environment: Characterization of secondary plasma production and Si 3 N 4 and Si etching

A material etching system was developed by combining beam electron injection from a direct current (DC) hollow-cathode (HC) electron source with the downstream reactive environment of a remote CF 4 /O 2 low temperature plasma. The energy of the injected beam electrons is controlled using an acceleration electrode biased positively relative to the HC Argon discharge. For an acceleration voltage greater than the ionization potential of Ar, the extracted primary electrons can produce a secondary plasma in the process chamber. We characterized the properties of the secondary plasma by performing Langmuir probe measurements of the electron energy probability function (EEPF) 2.5 cm below the extraction ring. The data indicate the existence of two major groups of electrons, including electrons with a primary beam electron energy which varies as the acceleration voltage is varied, along with low energy electrons produced by ionization of the Ar gas atoms in the process chamber by the injected beam electrons. When combining the HC Ar beam electron with a remote CF 4 /O 2 electron cyclotron wave resonance (ECWR) plasma, the EEPF of both the low energy plasma electron and beam electron components decreases. Additionally, we studied surface etching of Si3N4 and poly-crystalline Si (poly-Si) thin films as a function of process parameters, including the acceleration voltage (0-70 V), discharge current of the HC discharge (1-2 A), pressure (2- 100 mTorr), source to substrate distance (2.5 to 5 cm), and feed gas composition (with or without CF 4 /O 2 ). The direction of the incident beam electrons was perpendicular to the surface. Si 3 N 4 and poly-crystalline silicon etching are seen and indicate an electronneutral synergy effect. No/little remote plasma spontaneous etching was observed for the conditions used in this study, and the etching is confined to the substrate area irradiated by the injected beam electrons. The electron etched Si 3 N 4 surface etching rate profile distribution is confined within a ~30 mm diameter circle, which is slightly broader than the area for which poly-Si etching is seen, and coincides closely with the spatial profile of beam electrons as determined by the Langmuir probe measurements. The magnitude of poly-Si etching rate is by a factor of two times smaller than the Si 3 N 4 etching rate. In this paper, we discuss possible explanations of the data and the role of surface charging.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Corrosion Engineering of Part‐Per‐Million Single Atom Pt 1 /Ni(OH) 2 Electrocatalyst for PET Upcycling at Ampere‐Level Current Density

The plastic waste issue has posed a series of formidable challenges for the ecological environment and human health. While conventional recycling strategies often lead to plastic down-cycling, the electrochemical strategy of recovering valuable monomers enables an ideal, circular plastic economy. Here a corrosion synthesized single atom Pt 1 /Ni(OH) 2 electrocatalyst with part-per-million noble Pt loading for highly efficient and selective upcycling of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) into valuable chemicals (potassium diformate and terephthalic acid) and green hydrogen is reported. Electro-oxidation of PET hydrolysate, ethylene glycol (EG), to formate is processed with high Faraday efficiency (FE) and selectivity (>90%) at the current density close to 1000 mA cm −2 (1.444 V vs RHE). The in situ spectroscopy and density functional theory calculations provide insights into the mechanism and the understanding of the high efficiency. Remarkably, the electro-oxidation of EG at the ampere-level current density is also successfully illustrated by using a membrane-electrode assembly with high FEs to formate integrated with hydrogen production for 500 h of continuous operation. In conclusion, this process allows valuable chemical production at high space-time yield and is highly profitable (588–700 $\$$ ton −1 PET), showing an industrial perspective on single-atom catalysis of electrochemical plastic upcycling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

High‐Performance Zinc Tin Oxide TFTs with Active Layers Deposited by Atomic Layer Deposition

Abstract New deposition techniques for amorphous oxide semiconductors compatible with silicon back end of line manufacturing are needed for 3D monolithic integration of thin‐film electronics. Here, three atomic layer deposition (ALD) processes are compared for the fabrication of amorphous zinc tin oxide (ZTO) channels in bottom‐gate, top‐contact n‐channel transistors. As‐deposited ZTO films, made by ALD at 150–200 °C, exhibit semiconducting, enhancement‐mode behavior with electron mobility as high as 13 cm 2 V −1 s −1 , due to a low density of oxygen‐related defects. ZTO deposited at 200 °C using a hybrid thermal‐plasma ALD process with an optimal tin composition of 21%, post‐annealed at 400 °C, shows excellent performance with a record high mobility of 22.1 cm 2 V –1 s –1 and a subthreshold slope of 0.29 V dec –1 . Increasing the deposition temperature and performing post‐deposition anneals at 300–500 °C lead to an increased density of the X‐ray amorphous ZTO film, improving its electrical properties. By optimizing the ZTO active layer thickness and using a high‐ k gate insulator (ALD Al 2 O 3 ), the transistor switching voltage is lowered, enabling electrical compatibility with silicon integrated circuits. This work opens the possibility of monolithic integration of ALD ZTO‐based thin‐film electronics with silicon integrated circuits or onto large‐area flexible substrates.

Allemang, Christopher R.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Large-scale Evolution of Seconds-long Relativistic Jets from Black Hole–Neutron Star Mergers

We present the first numerical simulations that track the evolution of a black hole–neutron star (BH–NS) merger from premerger to r ≳ 10 11 cm. The disk that forms after a merger of mass ratio q = 2 ejects massive disk winds (3–5 × 10 –2 M ⊙ ). We introduce various postmerger magnetic configurations and find that initial poloidal fields lead to jet launching shortly after the merger. The jet maintains a constant power due to the constancy of the large-scale BH magnetic flux until the disk becomes magnetically arrested (MAD), where the jet power falls off as L j ~ t –2 . All jets inevitably exhibit either excessive luminosity due to rapid MAD activation when the accretion rate is high or excessive duration due to delayed MAD activation compared to typical short gamma-ray bursts (sGRBs). This provides a natural explanation for long sGRBs such as GRB 211211A but also raises a fundamental challenge to our understanding of jet formation in binary mergers. One possible implication is the necessity of higher binary mass ratios or moderate BH spins to launch typical sGRB jets. For postmerger disks with a toroidal magnetic field, dynamo processes delay jet launching such that the jets break out of the disk winds after several seconds. We show for the first time that sGRB jets with initial magnetization σ0 > 100 retain significant magnetization (σ $\gg$ 1) at r > 10 10 cm, emphasizing the importance of magnetic processes in the prompt emission. The jet–wind interaction leads to a power-law angular energy distribution by inflating an energetic cocoon whose emission is studied in a companion paper.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Electrochemical chlor-iron process for iron production from iron oxide and salt water

The iron and steel industry accounts for ~8% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Electrochemical reduction of iron ore to metal for electric arc furnaces can enable sustainable steel production, but existing electrochemical processes require expensive capital or electrolytes. Here we report a low-temperature, electrochemical cell that consumes low-cost and abundant iron oxide and aqueous sodium chloride, while co-producing sodium hydroxide and chlorine. Industrially relevant current densities and Faradaic efficiencies for iron production were demonstrated, with 94% selectivity to iron metal at an applied current density of 200 mA cm –2 . Freestanding films of phase-pure iron were formed after 4h of continuous, stable electrolysis. The process can lead to levelized costs of iron that are competitive with iron produced in fossil-fuel-powered blast furnaces, and the co-produced sodium hydroxide can be used for CO 2 capture from the air or ocean, creating a net-negative-emission process.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Quinoidal Two‐Dimensional Metal–Organic Framework for High‐Performance Micro‐Supercapacitors and Solid‐State Lithium Batteries

Two-dimensional (2D) metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) integrating redox-active linkers enable dense charge sites and open ion pathways for microscale energy storage. We report a quinoidal dicarboxylate ligand, AQM-H2L, derived from p-azaquinodimethane, forming crystalline frameworks with Cu2+ and Zn2+ nodes. The Cu-based MOF (AQM-AQM-H2L-Cu) exhibits layered sheets (>14 Å spacing) constructed from dinuclear Cu-carboxylate units and conjugated AQM linkers, which narrow the bandgap and introduce Cu2+/Cu+ pseudocapacitance. Exfoliated nanosheets (∼5 nm) retain crystallinity and excellent processability. Integrated into graphene films, they deliver areal and volumetric capacitances of 29.6 mF cm-2 and 18.1 F cm-3, achieving 2.6 mWh cm-3 energy density at 160 mW cm-3. As ionic fillers (1 wt%) in PEO solid polymer electrolytes, the nanosheets markedly enhance LiFePO4 cell performance, affording 169.8 mAh g-1 at 0.2 C and 93% retention after 400 cycles. This work establishes quinoidal linkers as a compact and robust design motif for ionically active 2D frameworks toward high-performance miniature and solid-state energy devices.

Chen, Ziman↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development of AlGaN‐Based Deep‐Ultraviolet Avalanche Photodetectors—Toward Their Intrinsic Characteristics

Al 0.6 Ga 0.4 N deep‐UV p–i–n avalanche photodiodes (APDs) are demonstrated grown by metalorganic chemical vapor deposition (MOCVD) on a (0001) c‐plane aluminum nitride (AlN) bulk substrate and fabricated both with and without an ion implantation process for mesa‐edge electric‐field termination. Three design considerations are taken into account: the optical absorption of the AlN bulk substrate, the photosensitivity of the APD, and the breakdown electric field. The MOCVD growth conditions of the AlGaN APD layers are optimized. Then, a detailed description of the seven device fabrication steps of the APDs is provided, which includes nitrogen ion implantation. The APDs fabricated by the ion implant process exhibit a dark‐current density under low reverse bias ≈1 × 10 −9 A cm −2 . This is one order of magnitude lower than the APD fabricated without ion implantation from the same wafer. The breakdown voltage of the APD is ≈−140 V. The calculated optical gain of the ion‐implanted APD beyond avalanche breakdown is ≈5.2 × 10 5 (current limited) and the device has an average zero‐bias photoresponse of ≈68 mA W −1 at a wavelength of 250 nm.

Jeong, Hoon [Department of Electronic Engineering ↗
DOE OSTI2021

Reducing Zinc Redistribution and Extending Cycle Life Via Electrochemical Synthesis of Zinc/Zinc Oxide Anodes in Rechargeable Alkaline Batteries

Redistribution of zinc over the electrode surface, also known as shape change, is a major problem and a cause of failure in alkaline zinc anode batteries. To mitigate this phenomenon, we propose a scalable approach based on an in situ formed, highly porous electrochemically synthesized ZnO matrix with uniformly electrodeposited zinc particles. This results in ∼70% improvement in cycle life performance at a rate of 10 mA cm −2 compared to control Zn anodes, which have not gone through the formation process. A quantitative electrolyte analysis revealed under-saturated zincate ion concentration in the electrochemically synthesized ZnO/Zn cells indicating reduced zincate movement. Post mortem analysis of the anodes indicated higher retention of both Zn and ZnO on the electrochemically synthesized ZnO anodes signifying reduced redistribution of active material. Image analysis of the cycled anodes revealed a narrower Zn particle size distribution (62−79 μ m) in contrast to a wider particle size distribution of 51–96 μ m observed in the control anodes. The formation approach results in electrochemically synthesized ZnO/Zn anodes providing a stable ZnO matrix in which Zn particles retain their localized distribution on cycling better than control electrodes conventionally made by pasting zinc particles together with a binder.

Kolhekar, Snehal (ORCID:0000000210321153)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Soil Water Content (m3 m-3) located in the Dominican Republic , February 2013 - December 2016

Daily data that has been processed to monthly. Data represents near-surface soil moisture (depth of 0-10 cm) at a latitude of 17.90 N, and longitude -71.67 E. Data was downloaded from the PBO soil moisture data network and is publicly available. Data from this site is referenced as Dominican Republic (2) in Table 1 and Figure 4 of Solander et al., 2020, The pan-tropical soil moisture response to El Nino, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., in press.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Soil Water Content (m3 m-3) from the Dominican Republic, February 2013 - August 2017.

Daily data that has been processed to monthly. Data represents near-surface soil moisture (depth of 0-10 cm) at a latitude of 19.76 N, and longitude -70.57 E. Data was downloaded from the PBO soil moisture data network and is publicly available. Data from this site is referenced as Dominican Republic (1) in Table 1 and Figure 4 of Solander et al., 2020, The pan-tropical soil moisture response to El Nino, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., in press.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Soil Water Content (m3 m-3) from Australia, May 2014 - March 2017

Hourly data processed to monthly. Data collected from Cosmic Neutron Probes at variable depth averaging 28 cm that was interpolated to near-surface (0-10 cm). Site located at latitude -17.12 deg N, longitude 145.63 deg E. Data was downloaded from COSMOS data portal and is publicly available. Data from this site is referenced as Australia (1) in Table 1 and Figure 4 of Solander et al., 2020, The pan-tropical soil moisture response to El Nino, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., in press.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Soil Water Content (m3 m-3) from Australia, June 2011 - December 2016

Hourly data processed to monthly. Data collected from Cosmic Neutron Probes at variable depth averaging 38 cm that was interpolated to near-surface (0-10 cm). Site located at latitude -14.16 deg N, longitude 131.39 deg E. Data was downloaded from the The COsmic-ray Soil Moisture Observing System (COSMOS) soil moisture data network and is publicly available. Data from this site located at, referenced as Australia (2) in Table 1 and Figure 4 of Solander et al., 2020, The pan-tropical soil moisture response to El Nino, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., in press.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Soil Water Content (m3 m-3), October 2011 - May 2017

Hourly data processed to monthly. Data collected from Cosmic Neutron Probes at variable depth averaging 15 cm that was interpolated to near-surface (0-10 cm). Site located at latitude 0.28 deg N, longitude 36.87 deg E. Data was downloaded from the The COsmic-ray Soil Moisture Observing System (COSMOS) soil moisture data network and is publicly available. Data was made available by the COsmic-ray Soil Moisture Observing SysteM (COSMOS). Data from this site is referenced as Kenya in Table 1 and Figure 4 of Solander et al., 2020, The pan-tropical soil moisture response to El Nino, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., in press.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

A New Window into the Baryon Cycle at Cosmic Noon with Line Intensity Mapping: Forecasts for auto- and cross-correlations in [CII]-158$μ$m, HI 21 cm, CO$_{J+1\rightarrow J}$, and H$α$ galaxies

Across the peak of cosmic star formation at $z\sim1-2$, inflow, processing, and feedback drive rapid changes in the spatial distribution and chemical composition of baryons in galaxies and surrounding reservoirs; this baryon cycle can be tomographically mapped by line intensity mapping (LIM) of atomic hydrogen, ionized carbon, and carbon monoxide. We present a simulation-based forecasting framework for detecting auto- and cross-power spectra between spectroscopic surveys of four such tracers at $z\sim0.5-1.7$ mapping the same deep field - TIM, EoRSpec/FYST, MeerKAT, & Euclid. We forward-model 3-D distributions for these tracers from magnetohydrodynamic simulations, directly capturing the two-halo, one-halo, and shot statistics without relying on analytical decompositions. We further detail a signal-to-noise formalism, tailored to LIM surveys with highly anisotropic geometries and Fourier-space coverage. We demonstrate that galaxy cross-correlations will be the dominant discovery channel for current-generation surveys. These instruments will detect the auto-spectra for CO and HI 21 cm and the CO $\times$ 21 cm cross-spectrum at modest S/N $\sim 1-10$, while placing upper limits on the [CII]-158$μ$m signals. [CII], CO, and HI LIM will be $\sim3-30\times$ ($0.5-1.5$ dex) more sensitive to cross-correlation with the Euclid survey, however, than their respective auto-correlations, constraining all three models of line emission at high significance (S/N $\sim 10-40$) within this decade. Finally, we formulate a staged instrumental trajectory with planned or reasonable improvements, including the as-proposed SKA-Mid. We forecast advancing the per-$k$-mode sensitivities of each auto-, galaxy-line, and line-line spectrum by several orders of magnitude, enabling new percent- and sub-percent level constraints on cosmology and the redshift evolution of star formation and the baryon cycle.

Agrawal, Shubh [Pennsylvania U., Dept. Math.]↗