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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 199 records · Page 11
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2007

Objective Lightning Probability Forecasting for Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Phase II

This report describes the work done by the Applied Meteorology Unit (AMU) to update the lightning probability forecast equations developed in Phase I. In the time since the Phase I equations were developed, new ideas regarding certain predictors were formulated and a desire to make the tool more automated was expressed by 45 WS forecasters. Five modifications were made to the data: 1) increased the period of record from 15 to 17 years, 2) modified the valid area to match the lighting warning areas, 3) added the 1000 UTC CCAFS sounding to the other soundings in determining the flow regime, 4) used a different smoothing function for the daily climatology, and 5) determined the optimal relative humidity (RH) layer to use as a predictor. The new equations outperformed the Phase I equations in several tests, and improved the skill of the forecast over the Phase I equations by 8%. A graphical user interface (GUI) was created in the Meteorological Interactive Data Display System (MIDDS) that gathers the predictor values for the equations automatically. The GUI was transitioned to operations in May 2007 for the 2007 warm season.

Lambert, Winifred↗
NASA NTRS2010

Objective Lightning Probability Forecasting for Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Phase III

The AMU created new logistic regression equations in an effort to increase the skill of the Objective Lightning Forecast Tool developed in Phase II (Lambert 2007). One equation was created for each of five sub-seasons based on the daily lightning climatology instead of by month as was done in Phase II. The assumption was that these equations would capture the physical attributes that contribute to thunderstorm formation more so than monthly equations. However, the SS values in Section 5.3.2 showed that the Phase III equations had worse skill than the Phase II equations and, therefore, will not be transitioned into operations. The current Objective Lightning Forecast Tool developed in Phase II will continue to be used operationally in MIDDS. Three warm seasons were added to the Phase II dataset to increase the POR from 17 to 20 years (1989-2008), and data for October were included since the daily climatology showed lightning occurrence extending into that month. None of the three methods tested to determine the start of the subseason in each individual year were able to discern the start dates with consistent accuracy. Therefore, the start dates were determined by the daily climatology shown in Figure 10 and were the same in every year. The procedures used to create the predictors and develop the equations were identical to those in Phase II. The equations were made up of one to three predictors. TI and the flow regime probabilities were the top predictors followed by 1-day persistence, then VT and Ll. Each equation outperformed four other forecast methods by 7-57% using the verification dataset, but the new equations were outperformed by the Phase II equations in every sub-season. The reason for the degradation may be due to the fact that the same sub-season start dates were used in every year. It is likely there was overlap of sub-season days at the beginning and end of each defined sub-season in each individual year, which could very well affect equation performance.

Crawford, Winifred C.↗
NASA NTRS2010

Tool for Forecasting Cool-Season Peak Winds Across Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS)

Peak wind speed is important element in 24-Hour and Weekly Planning Forecasts issued by 45th Weather Squadron (45 WS). Forecasts issued for planning operations at KSC/CCAFS. 45 WS wind advisories issued for wind gusts greater than or equal to 25 kt. 35 kt and 50 kt from surface to 300 ft. AMU developed cool-season (Oct - Apr) tool to help 45 WS forecast: daily peak wind speed, 5-minute average speed at time of peak wind, and probability peak speed greater than or equal to 25 kt, 35 kt, 50 kt. AMU tool also forecasts daily average wind speed from 30 ft to 60 ft. Phase I and II tools delivered as a Microsoft Excel graphical user interface (GUI). Phase II tool also delivered as Meteorological Interactive Data Display System (MIDDS) GUI. Phase I and II forecast methods were compared to climatology, 45 WS wind advisories and North American Mesoscale model (MesoNAM) forecasts in a verification data set.

Barrett, Joe H., III↗
NASA NTRS2012

Future Expansion of the Lightning Surveillance System at the Kennedy Space Center and the Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Florida, USA

The NASA Kennedy Space Center (KSC) and the Air Force Eastern Range (ER) use data from two cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning detection networks, the Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Surveillance System (CGLSS) and the U.S. National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN), and a volumetric mapping array, the lightning detection and ranging II (LDAR II) system: These systems are used to monitor and characterize lightning that is potentially hazardous to launch or ground operations and hardware. These systems are not perfect and both have documented missed lightning events when compared to the existing lightning surveillance system at Launch Complex 39B (LC39B). Because of this finding it is NASA's plan to install a lightning surveillance system around each of the active launch pads sharing site locations and triggering capabilities when possible. This paper shows how the existing lightning surveillance system at LC39B has performed in 2011 as well as the plan for the expansion around all active pads.

Mata, C. T.↗
NASA NTRS2012

Objective Lightning Probability Forecasting for Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Phase IV

As with the previous year, the past year of this award has been productive and a number of important results and refereed publications either submitted or published. Some of our research results are discussed here and a list the papers submitted or published in the past year is provided. Besides our original model of an outer heliosheath source for the IBEX "ribbon" we have continued to explore alternative possibilities and further our understanding of this very complex region, especially in light of the possibility raised by the IBEX results that suggest the possibility of a 1-shock model.

Bauman, William H., III↗
NASA NTRS2007

Spatial Correlation and Coherence of Boundary Layer Winds Near Cape Canaveral Florida

The spatial correlation and coherence of winds over separation distances from 8.5 to 31 km based on central Florida data from November 1999 through August 2001 are presented. The winds at altitudes from 500 to 3000 m were measured using a network of five radar wind profilers. The goal was to determine the extent to which the profilers may be considered independent data sources. Quality controlled profiles were produced every 15 minutes for up to sixty gates, each representing 101 m in altitude over the range from 130 m to 6089 m. Five levels, each containing three consecutive gates, were selected for analysis. These levels covered the range from 433 to 3059 m. The results show that the profilers are independent for features having time scales of less than one hour in the winter or two hours in the summer. This does not depend significantly on height. Because the size of the network coincides with the "spectral gap" in the boundary layer, the result also does not depend on the spacing of the profilers within the network.

Merceret, Francis J.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Quality Control Methods of Tower Data at Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39-B and the USAF Cape Canaveral 500 Foot Tower

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has long used meteorological data from weather towers located at Kennedy Space Center (KSC) and the United States Air Force’s Eastern Range(ER) in support of their various launch vehicles and climate studies. Some of the most valuable data is gathered at the Launch Complex 39-B (LC39-B) and the 500 foot tower located approximately two miles west of LC39-B and three miles north of the Vehicle Assembly Building (VAB). The data from LC39-B gives NASA Space Launch System (SLS) engineers valuable insight into the weather the vehicle can expect at the pad, while the 500 foot tower has a longer period of record and has been used by the Shuttle and SLS programs. However, numerous data quality (DQ) control issues have arisen when utilizing this data for analysis. In addition, instrumentation tends to deteriorate faster than normal due to the corrosive nature of the high salt content in the air. NASA’s Natural Environments branch has developed several QC databases of these towers, but these studies were for fixed periods of records. EV44 identified a need for a continually updated and QC’ed database of tower data not only to provide along term QC’ed database for vehicle and climate analyses, but also to provide the capability to investigate recent weather events such as downbursts and other high wind events. This study follows the methods developed in prior Natural Environment QC tower databases, which includes variable specific QC thresholds and checks used to generate QC flags. However, this study developed new techniques such as the development and design of the graphical user interface (GUI) for manual verification, and the creation of the final monthly QC files.

Quality Control↗