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At least 199 records · Page 11

The MSFC Solar Activity Future Estimation (MSAFE) Model

The MSAFE model provides forecasts for the solar indices SSN, F10.7, and Ap. These solar indices are used as inputs to many space environment models used in orbital spacecraft operations and space mission analysis. Forecasts from the MSAFE model are provided on the MSFC Natural Environments Branch's solar webpage and are updated as new monthly observations come available. The MSAFE prediction routine employs a statistical technique that calculates deviations of past solar cycles from the mean cycle and performs a regression analysis to predict the deviation from the mean cycle of the solar index at the next future time interval. The prediction algorithm is applied recursively to produce monthly smoothed solar index values for the remaining of the cycle. The forecasts are initiated for a given cycle after about 8 to 12 months of observations are collected. A forecast made at the beginning of cycle 24 using the MSAFE program captured the cycle fairly well with some difficulty in discerning the double peak that occurred at solar cycle maximum.

Suggs, Ronnie J.↗

The MSFC Solar Activity Future Estimation (MSAFE) Model

The Natural Environments Branch of the Engineering Directorate at Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) provides solar cycle forecasts for NASA space flight programs and the aerospace community. These forecasts provide future statistical estimates of sunspot number, solar radio 10.7 cm flux (F10.7), and the geomagnetic planetary index, Ap, for input to various space environment models. For example, many thermosphere density computer models used in spacecraft operations, orbital lifetime analysis, and the planning of future spacecraft missions require as inputs the F10.7 and Ap. The solar forecast is updated each month by executing MSAFE using historical and the latest month's observed solar indices to provide estimates for the balance of the current solar cycle. The forecasted solar indices represent the 13-month smoothed values consisting of a best estimate value stated as a 50 percentile value along with approximate +/- 2 sigma values stated as 95 and 5 percentile statistical values. This presentation will give an overview of the MSAFE model and the forecast for the current solar cycle.

Suggs, Ron↗

The MSFC Solar Activity Future Estimation (MSAFE) Model

The Natural Environments Branch of the Engineering Directorate at Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) provides solar cycle forecasts for NASA space flight programs and the aerospace community. These forecasts provide future statistical estimates of sunspot number, solar radio 10.7 cm flux (F10.7), and the geomagnetic planetary index, Ap, for input to various space environment models. For example, many thermosphere density computer models used in spacecraft operations, orbital lifetime analysis, and the planning of future spacecraft missions require as inputs the F10.7 and Ap. The solar forecast is updated each month by executing MSAFE using historical and the latest month's observed solar indices to provide estimates for the balance of the current solar cycle. The forecasted solar indices represent the 13-month smoothed values consisting of a best estimate value stated as a 50 percentile value along with approximate +/- 2 sigma values stated as 95 and 5 percentile statistical values. This presentation will give an overview of the MSAFE model and the forecast for the current solar cycle.

Suggs, Ron↗

The MSFC Solar Activity Future Estimation (MSAFE) Model

The Natural Environments Branch of the Engineering Directorate at Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) provides solar cycle forecasts for NASA space flight programs and the aerospace community. These forecasts provide future statistical estimates of sunspot number, solar radio 10.7 cm flux (F10.7), and the geomagnetic planetary index, Ap, for input to various space environment models. For example, many thermosphere density computer models used in spacecraft operations, orbital lifetime analysis, and the planning of future spacecraft missions require as inputs the F10.7 and Ap. The solar forecast is updated each month by executing MSAFE using historical and the latest month's observed solar indices to provide estimates for the balance of the current solar cycle. The forecasted solar indices represent the 13-month smoothed values consisting of a best estimate value stated as a 50 percentile value along with approximate +/- 2 sigma values stated as 95 and 5 percentile statistical values. This presentation will give an overview of the MSAFE model and the forecast for the current solar cycle.

Suggs, Ron↗

Low Temperature Hybrid Mars Ascent Vehicle Concept Development and Planning at MSFC

Return of samples from Mars has been a goal of NASA's for decades. The current Mars Sample Return mission concepts have a multiple launch rocket from the earth, where one mission delivers a caching rover to collect and package the Martian soil samples. Another rocket sends the Mars Ascent Vehicle that takes those samples to orbit. Another rocket sends an orbiter, that also meets up with the samples in orbit, and brings them back to earth. Our tasks have been focused on the Mars Ascent Vehicle. To leave the Martian surface, it requires a two burn trajectory, one to get off the planet and another to circularize the orbit. Recent studies have led to the investigation of a hybrid rocket solution. That technology has been under development for several years. This paper will discuss some of the work going on at MSFC to understand how to process the fuel, some test firings done to characterize some design features and some planning done to scope out what it would take to qualify a hybrid rocket motor for this application.

Story, George↗

Low Temperature Hybrid Mars Ascent Vehicle Concept Development at MSFC

A hybrid propulsion system is being developed as an option for the Mars Ascent Vehicle. There are several potential advantages to this system including low temperature survivability and higher performance. Both attributes could allow a hybrid system to be a single stage to orbit vehicle, with two firings of the motor. There are some processing and manufacturing issues with the fuel and the motor that must be understood in order for the advantages of a hybrid propulsion system to be realized. This paper discusses recent progress in the manufacturing of the hybrid fuel grains and subscale test firings conducted to characterize design features at MSFC.

Story, George T.↗

Inflatable Habitat Testing Capabilities at MSFC

Since early 2022 Marshall Space Flight Center’s (MSFC) Test Lab (ET) has been the premier inflatable habitat testing organization for NASA. In the past two years the Center has strategically invested in this thriving business unit; bringing to life four distinct facilities and a dozen unique capabilities. The Center has been successful in partnering with companies developing softgoods architectures and has already executed several test campaigns for them. This poster gives an overview of the Test Lab’s capabilities and the facilities used for inflatable habitat testing.

Inflatable↗

Precipitation Science at NASA MSFC

The Precipitation Research Group in NASA MSFC’s Earth Science Branch (ST-11) focuses on observations of precipitation (rain, snow, and hail) from a variety of perspectives: ground-based radars, surface gauge networks, airborne instruments, and spaceborne measurements from onboard satellites. Current work includes identifying signatures of hail and strong thunderstorms from spaceborne measurements and assessing those signatures against multiple satellite datasets and ground-based radar observations. The Precipitation Team is also involved in the development and maintenance of NASA’s global-gridded multi-satellite precipitation product (IMERG) and operating and maintaining the GPM Validation Network (VN): a software package that geometrically matches the reference ground-based weather radar observations with GPM satellite observations in 3D. The team is also responsible for the Advanced Microwave Precipitation Radiometer (AMPR) used in airborne field campaign research, which recently was used to collect data on thunderstorms that produce terrestrial gamma-ray flashes (TGFs) in the Airborne Lightning Observatory for FEGS and TGFs (ALOFT) field campaign. While the Precipitation Group largely supports NASA’s Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission and Precipitation Science Team, the team also looks to the future Precipitation Measurement Mission (PMM) and Investigation of Convective Updrafts (INCUS) missions.

Sarah D Bang↗

MSFC Thermal Testing Lessons Learned Course. Section 3: Lessons Learned from Protoflight StarBurst Instrument Thermal Vacuum Test

MSFC thermal engineers will be presenting lessons learned while preparing and conducting thermal tests. This course will cover practical real world examples of thermal chamber and vacuum chamber testing from engineering development units to system level testing on flight hardware. Special topics include large scale testing preparation, requirement tailoring from parent documents, and cryogenic development testing.

thermal discipline↗

Instrumentation research at MSFC

Inflight hydrogen detection by mass spectrometer, thermal sensor, uhf telemetry, and addressable time division data system

SENSOR↗