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Status on the Development of a Modeling and Simulation Framework for the Economic Assessment of Nuclear Hybrid Energy

Continued effort to design and build a modeling and simulation framework to assess the economic viability of Nuclear Hybrid Energy Systems (NHES) was undertaken in fiscal year (FY) 2016. The purpose of this report is to document the various tasks associated with the development of such a framework and to provide a status of their progress. Several tasks have been accomplished. First, a synthetic time history generator has been developed in RAVEN, which consists of Fourier series and autoregressive moving average model. The former is used to capture the seasonal trend in historical data, while the latter is to characterize the autocorrelation in residue time series (e.g., measurements with seasonal trends subtracted). As demonstration, both synthetic wind speed and grid demand are generated, showing matching statistics with database. In order to build a design and operations optimizer in RAVEN, a new type of sampler has been developed with highly object-oriented design. In particular, simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation algorithm is implemented. The optimizer is capable to drive the model to optimize a scalar objective function without constraint in the input space, while the constraints handling is a work in progress and will be implemented to improve the optimization capability. Furthermore, a simplified cash flow model of the performance of an NHES in the electric market has been developed in Python and used as external model in RAVEN to confirm expectations on the analysis capability of RAVEN to provide insight into system economics and to test the capability of RAVEN to identify limit surfaces. Finally, an example calculation is performed that shows the integration and proper data passing in RAVEN of the synthetic time history generator, the cash flow model and the optimizer. It has been shown that the developed Python models external to RAVEN are able to communicate with RAVEN and each other through the newly developed RAVEN capability called “EnsembleModel”.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A parallel variable population multi-objective optimizer for accelerator beam dynamics optimization

The simultaneous optimization of multiple objective functions is needed in many particle accelerator applications. In this paper, we present a parallel evolution based multi-objective optimizer that uses a variable population from generation to generation and an external storage to save good solutions. Two heuristic optimization methods, one uses the unified differential evolution and the other uses the real-coded genetic algorithm, are included in the optimizer to generate next generation candidate solutions, and are compared in the test examples. Finally, as an application, we applied this optimizer to the beam dynamics design optimization of a photoinjector and attained the optimal front solutions after 200 generations with the unified differential evolution offspring production scheme.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Material Identification From Radiographs Without Energy Resolution

We propose a method for performing material identification from radiographs without energy-resolved measurements. Material identification has a wide variety of applications, including in biomedical imaging, nondestructive testing, and security. While existing techniques for radiographic material identification make use of dual energy sources, energy-resolving detectors, or additional (e.g., neutron) measurements, such setups are not always practical— requiring additional hardware and complicating imaging. We tackle material identification without energy resolution, allowing standard X-ray systems to provide material identification information without requiring additional hardware. Assuming a setting where the geometry of each object in the scene is known and the materials come from a known set of possible materials, we pose the problem as a combinatorial optimization with a loss function that accounts for the presence of scatter and an unknown gain and propose a branch and bound algorithm to efficiently solve it. We present experiments on both synthetic data and real, experimental data with relevance to security applications— thick, dense objects imaged with MeV X-rays. We show that material identification can be efficient and accurate, for example, in a scene with three shells (two copper, one aluminum), our algorithm ran in six minutes on a consumer-level laptop and identified the correct materials as being among the top 10 best matches out of 8,000 possibilities.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

SU-D-18A-02: Towards Real-Time On-Board Volumetric Image Reconstruction for Intrafraction Target Verification in Radiation Therapy

Purpose: To expedite on-board volumetric image reconstruction from limited-angle kV—MV projections for intrafraction verification. Methods: A limited-angle intrafraction verification (LIVE) system has recently been developed for real-time volumetric verification of moving targets, using limited-angle kV—MV projections. Currently, it is challenged by the intensive computational load of the prior-knowledge-based reconstruction method. To accelerate LIVE, we restructure the software pipeline to make it adaptable to model and algorithm parameter changes, while enabling efficient utilization of rapidly advancing, modern computer architectures. In particular, an innovative two-level parallelization scheme has been designed: At the macroscopic level, data and operations are adaptively partitioned, taking into account algorithmic parameters and the processing capacity or constraints of underlying hardware. The control and data flows of the pipeline are scheduled in such a way as to maximize operation concurrency and minimize total processing time. At the microscopic level, the partitioned functions act as independent modules, operating on data partitions in parallel. Each module is pre-parallelized and optimized for multi-core processors (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs). Results: We present results from a parallel prototype, where most of the controls and module parallelization are carried out via Matlab and its Parallel Computing Toolbox. The reconstruction is 5 times faster on a data-set of twice the size, compared to recently reported results, without compromising on algorithmic optimization control. Conclusion: The prototype implementation and its results have served to assess the efficacy of our system concept. While a production implementation will yield much higher processing rates by approaching full-capacity utilization of CPUs and GPUs, some mutual constraints between algorithmic flow and architecture specifics remain. Based on a careful analysis of the prototype performance, it will be feasible to resolve such issues through appropriate algorithmic modifications or special-purpose hardware, thus enabling target verification in seconds with the LIVE system. This work was partially supported by a research grant from Varian Medical Systems.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Using Reinforcement Learning to Optimize Quantum Circuits in thePresence of Noise

Many quantum computing frameworks currently use noise aware algorithms for implementing quantum circuits which do not scale efficiently as the size of the hardware architecture increases. As we move towards devices which utilize more qubits, it becomes increasing more important to map quantum circuits in a way that uses resources efficiently as well as maximizes the reliability of the results of that circuit. However, as the hardware increases to the point where Quantum supremacy is attainable, it will infeasible for a brute-force algorithm to find the most optimal circuit layout for circuits of medium to large depth sizes. To this end, we will to rely on reinforcement learning (RL) as a method of building quantum circuits based on observations of the noise characteristics in its environment. In this work, we create a working reinforcement learning environment in which an agent is able to make action which will build the class of circuits which creates the GHZ state. In addition to this, we also get preliminary results of the performance of a Deep Q Neural Network, which initially does not perform as well as we believe it can. In the future, we want to improve the performance of the agent and potentially generalize this environment to more classes of circuits.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Optimization and large scale computation of an entropy-based moment closure

We present computational advances and results in the implementation of an entropy-based moment closure, M N , in the context of linear kinetic equations, with an emphasis on heterogeneous and large-scale computing platforms. Entropy-based closures are known in several cases to yield more accurate results than closures based on standard spectral approximations, such as P N , but the computational cost is generally much higher and often prohibitive. Several optimizations are introduced to improve the performance of entropy-based algorithms over previous implementations. These optimizations include the use of GPU acceleration and the exploitation of the mathematical properties of spherical harmonics, which are used as test functions in the moment formulation. To test the emerging high-performance computing paradigm of communication bound simulations, we present timing results at the largest computational scales currently available. Lastly, these results show, in particular, load balancing issues in scaling the M N algorithm that do not appear for the P N algorithm. We also observe that in weak scaling tests, the ratio in time to solution of M N to P N decreases.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Co-Optimization of Velocity and Charge-Depletion for Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles: Accounting for Acceleration and Jerk Constraints

Abstract Recent advances in vehicle connectivity and automation technologies promote advanced control algorithms that co-optimize the longitudinal dynamics and powertrain operation of hybrid electric vehicles. Typically, a sequential optimization with the vehicle dynamics optimized followed by powertrain optimization is adopted to manage a number of complexities such as the inherent mixed-integer nature of the hybrid powertrain, the numerous state and control variables, the differing time scales of vehicle and powertrain subsystems, time-varying state constraints, and large horizon lengths. Instead, we solve the offline optimization problem in a centralize manner assuming exact knowledge of the lead vehicle's position over the entire trip by applying a discrete-time single shooting-based numerical approach, Discrete Mixed-Integer Shooting (DMIS), including a linearly increasing computational complexity to the problem horizon. In particular, the hierarchical problem structure is exploited to decompose the computationally intensive Hamiltonian minimization step into a set of low-dimensional optimizations. DMIS allows us to compute the direct fuel minimization problem including the vehicle and powertrain dynamics in a centralized manner to its full horizon while systematically tuning weighting factors that penalize passenger discomfort. For the first time, this study reveals that practically implemented sequential optimization exhibits similar fuel optimality as co-optimization when a certain level of passenger comfort is required.

Automation & Control Systems↗

Design of a Multi-Monochromatic X-ray Imager (MMI) for Kr K-shell line emission

We report the Multi-Monochromatic X-ray Imager (MMI) is a time-gated spectrometer used in implosion experiments at the OMEGA laser facility. From the data, electron temperature and density spatial distributions can be obtained at different implosion times. Previous MMI designs used Ar K-shell emission (3–6 keV) as a spectroscopic tracer and provided a spectral resolution of around 20 eV. However, Ar K-shell line emission becomes less useful at electron temperatures above 2 keV due to over-ionization. Kr K-shell (12–16 keV) has been shown to be an attractive alternative to diagnose hot implosion cores in recent publications. The purpose of this paper is to show a new point design that allows the MMI to detect this higher photon energy range with suitable spectral resolution. The algorithm used to find the optimal design couples a ray-tracing code and an exhaustive parameter space search. This algorithm may be useful as a tool to find optimal MMI designs for other purposes, i.e., other spectral regions for other spectroscopic tracers. So, the main change between the two designs is the replacement of the multi-layer mirror with a flat Bragg Ge (220) crystal. The final Kr K-shell MMI design has a photon energy range from 12 to 16.1 keV.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

SU-F-BRD-13: Quantum Annealing Applied to IMRT Beamlet Intensity Optimization

Purpose: We report on the first application of quantum annealing (QA) to the process of beamlet intensity optimization for IMRT. QA is a new technology, which employs novel hardware and software techniques to address various discrete optimization problems in many fields. Methods: We apply the D-Wave Inc. proprietary hardware, which natively exploits quantum mechanical effects for improved optimization. The new QA algorithm, running on this hardware, is most similar to simulated annealing, but relies on natural processes to directly minimize the free energy of a system. A simple quantum system is slowly evolved into a classical system, representing the objective function. To apply QA to IMRT-type optimization, two prostate cases were considered. A reduced number of beamlets were employed, due to the current QA hardware limitation of ∼500 binary variables. The beamlet dose matrices were computed using CERR, and an objective function was defined based on typical clinical constraints, including dose-volume objectives. The objective function was discretized, and the QA method was compared to two standard optimization Methods: simulated annealing and Tabu search, run on a conventional computing cluster. Results: Based on several runs, the average final objective function value achieved by the QA was 16.9 for the first patient, compared with 10.0 for Tabu and 6.7 for the SA. For the second patient, the values were 70.7 for the QA, 120.0 for Tabu, and 22.9 for the SA. The QA algorithm required 27–38% of the time required by the other two methods. Conclusion: In terms of objective function value, the QA performance was similar to Tabu but less effective than the SA. However, its speed was 3–4 times faster than the other two methods. This initial experiment suggests that QA-based heuristics may offer significant speedup over conventional clinical optimization methods, as quantum annealing hardware scales to larger sizes.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

DiaMonD: An Integrated Multifaceted Approach to Mathematics at the Interfaces of Data, Models, and Decisions

For many problems in computational science and engineering, the so-called forward problem—solution of the underlying mathematical model to yield output quantities of interest, given input parameters—is difficult enough for frontier complex models, which are often characterized by coupled multiphysics and possibly stochastic behavior over a wide range of length and time scales. However, we face the need to move beyond the forward problem, to address what is often the ultimate goal of CS&E: decision making. This requires us to tackle a spectrum of mathematical problems that subsume, and are thus even more difficult than, the forward problem. First, given experimental data, we wish to estimate unknown parameters characterizing a model of a natural or engineered system by solving an inverse problem. Second, we seek the optimal configuration of the system (or experiments) by solving an optimal design problem. Third, the optimal operation of the system must be determined by solving an optimal control problem. And fourth, we must quantify uncertainties as they propagate through all of the preceding problems, from data to model inference to prediction and finally to optimal design and control. Optimal mathematical methods and algorithms for such end-to-end, data-to-decisions modeling and simulation of complex problems—requiring integrated solution of forward, inverse, optimization, and UQ problems for large, multiphysics, multiscale models—entails challenges of the highest order, while also presenting great opportunities for applied mathematics research. Unfortunately, research on forward, inverse, optimization, and UQ problems has all-too-often progressed in isolation. This has led to mathematical methods that perform well when considering the forward simulation in isolation, but are prohibitive or suboptimal or unstable when combined with other methods within the framework of inversion, optimization, or UQ. The reverse is also true: general-purpose methods developed within the inversion, optimization, and UQ fields often become prohibitive when applied to complex CS&E problems since they do not exploit their structure.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Testing and Expertise for Marine Energy (TEAMER) Program Support - Numerical Modeling Assistance for iProTech's "PIP" WEC Device: Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-20-17303

Develop a time-domain, 3 degree of freedom numerical model of IProTech's PIP device, including power take-off (PTO), that can be used to develop control algorithms and establish a baseline technology performance level (TPL). This is important to IProTech because having a good numerical model allows IProTech to optimize design and control algorithms on an ongoing basis. A baseline TPL enables the PIP technology to be benchmarked against other wave energy converter (WEC) concepts, providing (i) justification (or not) for investment in wave tank model testing, (ii) identifying optimum design parameters and control algorithms for the test model, (iii) specifying test conditions and (iv) interpreting wave tank test results. An accredited WEC-Sim model of the PIP device is an essential tool for further development of the technology. 1) The development of numerical models of the PIP concept will enable iProTech to evaluate the potential performance of this concept, and to investigate how sensitive the device is to different variables within the system (e.g. hydraulic components, geometry dimensions, etc.) 2) The numerical models were developed with WEC-Sim and PTO-Sim -- the de-facto industry standard WEC numerical modeling tools. A detailed model of the system's hydraulic circuit was developed with PTO-Sim. However, WEC-Sim is based on linear hydrodynamics and has several limitations; validation against high fidelity models/physical scale models would help to build confidence in the results.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Optimizing Labor Resources at Manufacturing Enterprises

Attention focuses on the selection of mathematical models and the formulation of algorithms for organizational decision making in optimizing labor resources at manufacturing enterprises. Examples of labor optimization are presented.

42 ENGINEERING↗

SU-E-T-250: New IMRT Sequencing Strategy: Towards Intra-Fraction Plan Adaptation for the MR-Linac

Purpose: To develop a new sequencer for IMRT planning that during treatment makes the inclusion of external factors possible and by doing so accounts for intra-fraction anatomy changes. Given a real-time imaging modality that will provide the updated patient anatomy during delivery, this sequencer is able to take these changes into account during the calculation of subsequent segments. Methods: Pencil beams are generated for each beam angle of the treatment and a fluence optimization is performed. The pencil beams, together with the patient anatomy and the above optimal fluence form the input of our algorithm. During each iteration the following steps are performed: A fluence optimization is done and each beam's fluence is then split to discrete intensity levels. Deliverable segments are calculated for each one of these. Each segment's area multiplied by its intensity describes its efficiency. The most efficient segment among all beams is then chosen to deliver a part of the calculated fluence and the dose that will be delivered by this segment is calculated. This delivered dose is then subtracted from the remaining dose. This loop is repeated until 90% of the dose has been delivered and a final segment weight optimization is performed to reach full convergence. Results: This algorithm was tested in several prostate cases yielding results that meet all clinical constraints. Quality assurance was performed on Delta4 and film phantoms for one of these prostate cases and received clinical acceptance after passing both gamma analyses with the 3%/3mm criteria. Conclusion: A new sequencing algorithm was developed to facilitate the needs of intensity modulated treatment. The first results on static anatomy confirm that it can calculate clinical plans equivalent to those of the commercially available planning systems. We are now working towards 100% dose convergence which will allow us to handle anatomy deformations. This work is financially supported by Elekta AB, Stockholm, Sweden.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Dynamic Asset Allocation with Expected Shortfall via Quantum Annealing

Recent advances in quantum hardware offer new approaches to solve various optimization problems that can be computationally expensive when classical algorithms are employed. We propose a hybrid quantum-classical algorithm to solve a dynamic asset allocation problem where a target return and a target risk metric (expected shortfall) are specified. We propose an iterative algorithm that treats the target return as a constraint in a Markowitz portfolio optimization model, and dynamically adjusts the target return to satisfy the targeted expected shortfall. The Markowitz optimization is formulated as a Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO) problem. The use of the expected shortfall risk metric enables the modeling of extreme market events. We compare the results from D-Wave’s 2000Q and Advantage quantum annealers using real-world financial data. Both quantum annealers are able to generate portfolios with more than 80% of the return of the classical optimal solutions, while satisfying the expected shortfall. We observe that experiments on assets with higher correlations tend to perform better, which may help to design practical quantum applications in the near term.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DAKOTA reliability methods applied to RAVEN/RELAP-7.

This report summarizes the result of a NEAMS project focused on the use of reliability methods within the RAVEN and RELAP-7 software framework for assessing failure probabilities as part of probabilistic risk assessment for nuclear power plants. RAVEN is a software tool under development at the Idaho National Laboratory that acts as the control logic driver and post-processing tool for the newly developed Thermal-Hydraulic code RELAP-7. Dakota is a software tool developed at Sandia National Laboratories containing optimization, sensitivity analysis, and uncertainty quantification algorithms. Reliability methods are algorithms which transform the uncertainty problem to an optimization problem to solve for the failure probability, given uncertainty on problem inputs and a failure threshold on an output response. The goal of this work is to demonstrate the use of reliability methods in Dakota with RAVEN/RELAP-7. These capabilities are demonstrated on a demonstration of a Station Blackout analysis of a simplified Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR).

Swiler, Laura Painton↗

On Computation of Koopman Operator from Sparse Data

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to compute the Koopman operator from sparse time series data. In recent years there has a considerable interest in operator theoretic methods for data-driven analysis of dynamical systems and existing techniques for the approximation of the Koopman operator require rich enough data-sets. However, in many applications, the data set may not be rich enough to approximate the operators to acceptable limits. In this paper, using ideas from robust optimization, we propose an algorithm to compute the Koopman operator from sparse data. In particular, we enrich the sparse data set with artificial data points and use robust optimization techniques to obtain the transfer operator. We illustrate the efficiency of our proposed approach in three different dynamical systems, namely, a linear system, a nonlinear system and a dynamical system governed by a partial differential equation.

Sinha, Subhrajit↗

A model of interaction between anticorruption authority and corruption groups

The paper provides a model of interaction between anticorruption unit and corruption groups. The main policy functions of the anticorruption unit involve reducing corrupt practices in some entities through an optimal approach to resource allocation and effective anticorruption policy. We develop a model based on Markov decision-making process and use Howard’s policy-improvement algorithm for solving an optimal decision strategy. We examine the assumption that corruption groups retaliate against the anticorruption authority to protect themselves. This model was implemented through stochastic game.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Periodically multilayered planar optical concentrator for photovoltaic solar cells

A planar optical concentrator comprising a periodic multilayered isotropic dielectric material backed by a metallic surface-relief grating was theoretically examined for silicon photovoltaics. The concentrator was optimized using a differential evolution algorithm for solar-spectrum-integrated power-flux density. Further optimization was carried out for tolerance to variations in the incidence angle, spatial dimensions, and dielectric properties. The average electron-hole pair density in a silicon solar cell can be doubled, and the material costs substantially diminished by this concentrator, whose efficacy is due to the excitation of waveguide modes and multiple surface-plasmon-polariton waves in a broad spectral regime.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

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