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At least 181 records · Page 10

Using feature importance as an exploratory data analysis tool on Earth system models

Abstract. Machine learning (ML) models are commonly used to generate predictions, but these models can also support the discovery of new science. Generating accurate predictions necessitates that a model captures the structure of the underlying data. If the structure is properly extracted, ML could be a useful exploratory and evidential tool. In this paper, we present a case study that demonstrates the use of ML for exploratory data analysis (EDA) in the climate space. We apply the ML explainability method of spatiotemporal zeroed feature importance (stZFI) to understand how climate-variable associations evolve over space and time. Our analyses focus on data from ensembles of Earth system models (ESMs) which provide data on different climate states and conditions. We elect to work with ESM ensembles since they allow us to compare feature importance across alternative scenarios not available with observed data. The ensembles also account for natural variability so that we can distinguish between signal and noise due to natural climate variability when computing feature importance. The use of perturbed initial condition ensembles introduces variability mimicking the natural variability in the atmosphere; thus the signals emerging using feature importance (FI) can be evaluated against the natural variability in the climate system. For our analyses, we consider the 1991 volcanic eruption of Mount Pinatubo, which was a large stratospheric aerosol injection. We explore the climate pathway associated with the eruption from aerosols to radiation to temperature at both the near-surface and stratospheric levels. In addition to applying the method to data generated from two different ESMs, we apply stZFI to reanalysis data to compare the associations identified by stZFI. We show how stZFI tracks the importance of aerosol optical depth over time on forecasting temperatures. This case study illustrates usefulness of an ML tool (stZFI) for EDA on a well-studied climate exemplar.

Ries, Daniel (ORCID:0000000250294647)↗

Bubbler Design Updates for Nuclear Safeguards Applications

The accurate monitoring of molten salt is crucial for nuclear safeguards, particularly in the context of mixtures used in molten salt reactors and pyropocessing. To attain material accountancy in actinide bearing molten salts, fluid volume and density are needed. Previous work utilized a triple bubbler sensor to measure the fluid level and density in processing tanks. This triple bubbler system utilized three gas dip-tubes strategically positioned at different heights within the molten salt such that the molten salt level, density, and surface tension were determined simultaneously. This investigation explores the effectiveness of an updated bubbler design with larger internal diameters for the dip-tubes to reduce plugging. The findings of this study will provide valuable insights into a bubbler design and configuration for applications in nuclear safeguards. This will contribute to enhanced accountability and transparency in the monitoring of actinide bearing molten salts, promoting objectives in nuclear safeguards.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Bubbler Design Updates for Nuclear Safeguards Application

The accurate monitoring of molten salt is crucial for nuclear safeguards, particularly in the context of mixtures used in molten salt reactors and pyropocessing. To attain material accountancy in actinide bearing molten salts, fluid volume and density are needed. Previous work utilized a triple bubbler sensor to measure the fluid level and density in processing tanks. This triple bubbler system utilized three gas dip-tubes strategically positioned at different heights within the molten salt such that the molten salt level, density, and surface tension were determined simultaneously. This investigation explores the effectiveness of an updated bubbler design with larger internal diameters for the dip-tubes to reduce plugging. The findings of this study will provide valuable insights into a bubbler design and configuration for applications in nuclear safeguards. This will contribute to enhanced accountability and transparency in the monitoring of actinide bearing molten salts, promoting objectives in nuclear safeguards.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Application of a Triple Bubbler Inside Molten Salt for Pyroprocessing Safeguards Purposes

The application of a triple bubbler system within molten salt environments, specifically a eutectic mixture of LiCl-KCl, is explored for nuclear safeguards purposes, focusing on nuclear material accountancy (NMA) and holdup accountancy in pyroprocessing techniques. Traditional holdup accountancy methods, which involve periodic sampling and lengthy lead times, are being supplemented by the development of actinide sensors using electrochemistry. However, these methods alone are insufficient to meet regulatory requirements set by agencies like NRC and IAEA. The triple bubbler device measures salt level, density, and surface tension simultaneously using three dip tubes of varying diameters and heights. This study investigates the accuracy and robustness of the triple bubbler in molten salt conditions at temperatures ranging from 450-550°C. The updated bubbler design, utilizing tantalum metal and larger tube geometry, demonstrated minimal plugging and maintained measurement accuracy within acceptable uncertainties: 0.611% for depth, 1.34% for density, and approximately 40% for surface tension. Results indicate that the triple bubbler system is effective for real-time, accurate measurements in pyroprocessing environments, making it a promising tool for ensuring compliance with nuclear safeguards and supporting nuclear non-proliferation efforts.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Evaluation of Changes to the MTR Fuel Dissolution Flowsheet to Increase the Number of L-Bundles Charged to a Dissolver

Material Test Reactor (MTR) fuels are dissolved in the H-Canyon facility using a Hg-catalyzed, HNO₃ dissolution flowsheet. The flowsheet is based on experimental work in which laboratory-scale experiments were used to provide bounding values for both offgas and H₂ generation rates. The generation of H₂ gas, primarily from the dissolution of Al, is controlled by limiting the surface area exposed to the solution. The number of L-Bundles charged and their submergence level defines the exposed surface area which is directly proportional to the H₂ generation rate. For the MTR fuel dissolution flowsheet, the maximum number of L-Bundles which can be charged to a dissolver was specified as a function of the Al concentration in the solution and the submergence level of the bundle. The MTR fuels are currently dissolved in the 6.1D dissolver. To reach the desired terminal Al concentration, a total of 12 L-Bundles of fuel are dissolved per batch. Depending on the submergence level being used in the dissolver, the 12 bundles are dissolved in three charges of four bundles per charge or in a sequence of three, four, and five bundles. However, if six L-Bundles could be dissolved in the initial charge, a dissolver batch could be completed in two dissolutions instead of three. To assess the feasibility of dissolving six bundles in the first charge, the Savannah River National Laboratory evaluated changes to the MTR flowsheet which increase the number of bundles which can be charged to a dissolver. Since the development of the existing MTR fuel dissolution flowsheet, improved offgas measurement methods have been developed to more accurately calculate the offgas composition and generation rate during laboratory-scale dissolutions. In the first part of this study, improvements in the calibration model for the Raman spectrometer (used for offgas characterization) and a more effective data smoothing routine were applied to existing data. The uncertainty in the offgas composition data used to define the MTR fuel dissolution flowsheet were subsequently re-evaluated which resulted in an approximate 50% reduction in the uncertainty of the H₂ gas concentration measurements. The reduced uncertainty was used in new calculations to define the maximum number of L-Bundles which can be charged to either the 6.1D or 6.4D dissolver as a function of the Al concentration. With the reduced uncertainty in the H₂ concentration measurements, a flowsheet was defined which supported initially charging 6 bundles to a dissolver. This flowsheet is based on the use of 0.002 M Hg, an L-Bundle immersion depth of 54 in., an air sparge/purge flowrate of 40 scfm, an iodine reactor operating temperature of 200 °C, and not exceeding 60% of the H₂ LFL in the dissolver offgas. In the second phase of this study, calculations were performed to assess the impact of changing various operating parameters to increase the number of L-Bundles charged to an H-Canyon dissolver. Applying the improved offgas measurement techniques including the reduced uncertainty in the H₂ concentration measurements to the existing data, the number of bundles of MTR fuel which can be charged to either the 6.1D or 6.4D dissolver were calculated based on varying the bundle immersion depth (44-60 in.), air sparge/purge flowrate (40-60 scfm), iodine reactor operating temperature (150-200 °C), and the percentage of the H₂ LFL which must not be exceeded (60-76%). Qualitatively, the percentage of the LFL had the largest influence on the maximum number of bundles which can be charged to a dissolver followed by the air sparge/purge flowrate, L-Bundle immersion depth, and the iodine reactor operating temperature. During the evaluation of each variable, the other variables were held at the baseline flowsheet conditions.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Climatology of Cloud‐Land‐Surface Coupling Across Different ARM Sites

Land-atmosphere interactions play a critical role in the evolution and formation of low-level clouds. The different states of coupling between low-level clouds and the surface are uncertain, primarily over continental regions, where complex thermodynamics complicates their investigation. This study uses observations from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement User Facility to explore cloud-surface coupling and perform a climatological analysis of this interaction in five countries across three continents. The results reveal consistent coupling thresholds and average percentages across the five sites, with coupled clouds accounting for 66% of the cases and decoupled clouds for 34%. Thermodynamic and dynamic evaluations show distinct differences between coupled and decoupled clouds. Coupled clouds are characterized by humid environments, in which vertical motions connect the surface and lower atmosphere to the cloud base, conditions that favor the formation of boundary layer clouds. Decoupled clouds prefer to occur in a drier and colder environment with vertical motions inside the boundary layer being detached from the cloud base, under which boundary layer clouds are hard to form. Coupled clouds peak during warmer hours and seasons, and vice versa for decoupled clouds. This study underscores the complexity of cloud-land-surface interactions and paves the way for further investigations into cloud formation and evolution under different atmospheric environments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Slip Tendency Analysis of Fracture Networks to Determine Suitability of Candidate Testbeds for the EGS Collab Hydroshear Experiment

Experiment 2 of the EGS Collab project is aimed at testing stimulation by hydro-shearing of existing natural fractures, versus Experiment 1, which is focused on hydraulic fracturing a rock mass to enhance permeability. The main criterion for the testbed selection in Experiment 2 is the presence of an interconnected network of fractures, at least 10 meters in extent, and with orientations such that shear slip can be induced at injection pressures less than the minimum horizontal stress (Shmin). The feasibility analysis for this experiment requires a well-constrained stress state along with well-characterized fracture networks. The fracture systems at two candidate locations in the Sanford Underground Research Facility (SURF), the 4850 Level (number refers to depth below ground surface in feet) and the 4100 Level, have been characterized to different extents. The 4850 Level has a well-characterized Discrete Fracture Network (DFN) from borehole (drilled for an experimental test bed) and drift observations. In contrast, the 4100 level has a fracture network characterized only by observations from the drift wall, which provides little constraint on fracture extents. This paper will present assessments for the interpreted slip potential for the natural fractures at the two locations. Data uncertainties are addressed by performing a probabilistic analysis that takes into account the uncertainty in the stress state, uncertainty in the fracture properties, and preliminary borehole locations. There is strong evidence of shear stimulation of some natural fractures in Experiment 1 on the 4850 level. We use examples of natural fractures strongly linked to shear stimulation in Experiment 1 from multiple monitoring indicators to test the consistency of the stress model and guide the uncertainty interpretation. This analysis is intended to guide the site selection process for Experiment 2 by highlighting the fracture orientations that are likely to be shear-stimulated in a majority of modeled realizations.

40 EE - Geothermal Technologies Office (EE-4G)↗

Autonomous online optimization of a closed-circuit reverse osmosis system

As freshwater becomes increasingly scarce, many industrial and municipal water utilities look at premise-scale water treatment and reuse to meet water demand. Closed-circuit reverse osmosis (CCRO) has been proposed as a promising process design to do so. This sequencing batch process enables operation at higher brine salinity levels by means of a recycle flow. Optimal operation requires that the maximum salinity level at the membrane surface represents an optimal trade-off between brine disposal costs and energy efficiency. This maximum salinity level may change over time as the feed water composition changes and electricity markets fluctuate. In this article, we present the results of the experimental evaluation of an automatic technique for continuous online optimization, known as extremum seeking control. This technique has a long history in the process control community but has received little traction so far in the water industry. We modify this technique to enable its use for online optimization of CCRO, specifically to account for its sequential batch operation. We challenge the optimization schemes through several experimental tests and illustrate the advantages and drawbacks of extremum-seeking control.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Potential Non-Linearities in the High Latitude Circulation and Ozone Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection

The impacts of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) on the atmosphere and surface climate depend on when and where the sulfate aerosol precursors are injected, as well as on how much surface cooling is to be achieved. We use a set of CESM2(WACCM6) SAI simulations achieving three different levels of global mean surface cooling and demonstrate that unlike some direct surface climate impacts driven by the reflection of solar radiation by sulfate aerosols, the SAI-induced changes in the high latitude circulation and ozone are more complex and could be non-linear. This manifests in our simulations by disproportionally larger Antarctic springtime ozone loss, significantly larger intra-ensemble spread of the Arctic stratospheric jet and ozone responses, and non-linear impacts on the extratropical modes of surface climate variability under the strongest-cooling SAI scenario compared to the weakest one. These potential non-linearities may add to uncertainties in projections of regional surface impacts under SAI.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Topological properties of SnSe/EuS and SnTe/CaTe interfaces

Herein, we use density functional theory calculations to study the electronic structure of epitaxial (111) interfaces of the topological crystalline insulators SnSe and SnTe with the magnetic insulator EuS and the non-magnetic insulator CaTe, respectively. We further consider both interface slab models with a vacuum region and periodic heterostructures without vacuum. We find that gaps of 21 meV at the Γ point and 9 meV at the M point arise in the topological state at the SnSe/EuS interface, due to the magnetic proximity effect, which breaks the time reversal symmetry. The surface state at Γ is shifted below the Fermi level by 88 meV and the surface state at M is shifted above the Fermi level by 47 meV, owing to band bending at the interface. By comparison, the topological state at the interface of SnTe/CaTe is unperturbed by the presence of non-magnetic CaTe.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Surface temperature comparison of the Arctic winter MOSAiC observations, ERA5 reanalysis, and MODIS satellite retrieval

Atmospheric model systems, such as those used for weather forecast and reanalysis production, often have significant and systematic errors in their representation of the Arctic surface energy budget and its components. The newly available observation data of the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition (2019/2020) enable a range of model analyses and validation in order to advance our understanding of potential model deficiencies. In the present study, we analyze deficiencies in the surface radiative energy budget over Arctic sea ice in the ERA5 global atmospheric reanalysis by comparing against the winter MOSAiC campaign data, as well as, a pan-Arctic level-2 MODIS ice surface temperature remote sensing product. We find that ERA5 can simulate the timing of radiatively clear periods, though it is not able to distinguish the two observed radiative Arctic winter states, radiatively clear and opaquely cloudy, in the distribution of the net surface radiative budget. The ERA5 surface temperature over Arctic sea ice has a conditional error with a positive bias in radiatively clear conditions and a negative bias in opaquely cloudy conditions. The mean surface temperature error is 4°C for radiatively clear situations at MOSAiC and up to 15°C in some parts of the Arctic. The spatial variability of the surface temperature, given by 4 observation sites at MOSAiC, is not captured by ERA5 due to its spatial resolution but represented in the level-2 satellite product. The sensitivity analysis of possible error sources, using satellite products of snow depth and sea ice thickness, shows that the positive surface temperature errors during radiatively clear events are, to a large extent, caused by insufficient sea ice thickness and snow depth representation in the reanalysis system. A positive bias characterizes regions with ice thickness greater than 1.5 m, while the negative bias for thinner ice is partly compensated by the effect of snow.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Field-angle dependence of sound velocity in the Weyl semimetal TaAs

The elastic modulus c 44 of a single crystal of the Weyl semimetal TaAs was investigated by measuring relative changes in the sound velocity under application of a magnetic field up to 10 T. Using an ultrasonic pulsed-echo technique, we studied the shear response of the crystal when the angle between the sound wave propagation and the magnetic field is changed. We observe a broken tetragonal symmetry at fields above 6 T, an anisotropy that is likely related to a longitudinal negative magnetoresistance and therefore might provide evidence of the chiral anomaly, one of the main topological signatures of this class of materials. Furthermore, we also observe quantum oscillations in the sound velocity whose frequencies vary with magnetic field orientation. A fan diagram of Landau level indices reveals topological and trivial Berry phases, depending on the field orientation, indicating a sensitivity to different Fermi surface pockets that do or do not enclose Weyl nodes, respectively.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD) of Metal and Metal Oxide Films: A Surface Science Study (Final Report)

This is the final report for this project. The long-term objective of our project is to develop a general molecular-level picture of the surface chemistry associated with ALD processes. Our central hypothesis is that the chemistry of ALD precursors can differ significantly from that seen in solution. Awareness of such differences should provide general guidelines on what to watch for when synthesizing new ALD precursors and designing and optimizing new ALD processes, especially in terms of minimizing the incorporation of impurities in the growing films and of carrying out depositions under mild pressure and temperature conditions. The main objective of our research project has been to advance the fundamental knowledge of the surface chemistry of ALD precursors needed for the design and optimization of film deposition processes. A modern surface-science approach has been implemented to both elucidate the mechanism of the reactions of the precursors on the surface and characterize the composition and morphology of the growing films.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD) of Metal and Metal Oxide Films: A Surface Science Study (Final Report)

This is the final report for this project. The long-term objective of our project is to develop a general molecular-level picture of the surface chemistry associated with ALD processes. Our central hypothesis is that the chemistry of ALD precursors can differ significantly from that seen in solution. Awareness of such differences should provide general guidelines on what to watch for when synthesizing new ALD precursors and designing and optimizing new ALD processes, especially in terms of minimizing the incorporation of impurities in the growing films and of carrying out depositions under mild pressure and temperature conditions. The main objective of our research project has been to advance the fundamental knowledge of the surface chemistry of ALD precursors needed for the design and optimization of film deposition processes. A modern surface-science approach has been implemented to both elucidate the mechanism of the reactions of the precursors on the surface and characterize the composition and morphology of the growing films. In general, emphasis is being placed on: • Identifying the primary reactions that may lead to the deposition of clean films; •Identifying the secondary reactions that may help the ALD process, by, for instance, helping with the reduction (or oxidation) of the metal atom; • Identifying the secondary reactions that may lead to the deposition of undesirable impurities in the growing films; • Determining the kinetic parameters of the relevant surface reactions in order to define the optimum conditions for film deposition and to minimize impurity deposition. • Characterizing the nature of the resulting films, with focus on their stoichiometry and on the final oxidation states of the constituent elements; and • Using the information obtained to propose better precursors for given ALD processes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Reaction of Hydrazine with Solution- and Vacuum-Prepared Selectively Terminated Si(100) Surfaces: Pathways to the Formation of Direct Si–N Bonds

Here, the reactivity of liquid hydrazine (N 2 H 4 ) with respect to H-, Cl-, and Br-terminated Si(100) surfaces was investigated to uncover the principles of nitrogen incorporation into the interface. This process has important implications in a wide variety of applications, including semiconductor surface passivation and functionalization, nitride growth, and many others. The use of hydrazine as a precursor allows for reactions that exclude carbon and oxygen, the primary sources of contamination in processing. In this work, the reactivity of N 2 H 4 with H- and Cl-terminated surfaces prepared by traditional solvent-based methods and with a Br-terminated Si(100) prepared in ultrahigh vacuum was compared. The reactions were studied with X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, atomic force microscopy, and scanning tunneling microscopy, and the observations were supported by computational investigations. The H-terminated surface led to the highest level of nitrogen incorporation; however, the process proceeds with increasing surface roughness, suggesting possible etching or replacement reactions. In the case of Cl-terminated (predominantly dichloride) and Br-terminated (monobromide) surfaces, the amount of nitrogen incorporation on both surfaces after the reaction with hydrazine was very similar despite the differences in preparation, initial structure, and chemical composition. Density functional theory was used to propose the possible surface structures and to analyze surface reactivity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗