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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2024

Chemical detection system with at least one electronic nose

A system for predicting one or more analytes based on outputs from thin film gas sensors is provided. The system may comprise an electronic nose (e-nose). The e-nose may comprise the gas sensors and a first processor. The system may further comprise a second processor. The second processor may be configured to receive the output from each of the gas sensors, evaluate a prediction accuracy using an evaluation parameter of each of a plurality of models which are trained and tested and select a model from among the plurality of models to deploy based on a comparison of the evaluation parameter for each of the plurality of models and use the same. The second processor may also receive, an output of each of the gas sensors caused by unknown one or more analytes; and predict, using the deployed model, the one or more analytes that causes the output.

Ivanov, Ilia N.↗

DOE OSTI2020

Microscopic Theory of Long-Time Center-of-Mass Self-Diffusion and Anomalous Transport in Ring Polymer Liquids

We construct a microscopic theory at the level of segment-scale correlated space–time intermolecular forces for the long-time center-of-mass (CM) diffusion constant and intermediate-time non-Fickian transport in dense solutions and melts of ring polymers. The approach combines ideas of polymer, colloid, and liquid-state statistical mechanics to quantify how the multifractal intra-ring conformational structure and inter-ring packing correlations determine dynamic caging constraints and time-dependent friction. Breakdown of Rouse theory is predicted to occur due to length scale-dependent temporal correlation of forces exerted on pairs of tagged ring segments from surrounding polymers. At large enough degrees of polymerization (N), a stronger scaling of the CM diffusion constant (D ∝ N –2 ) is predicted, with a crossover N D proportional to the product of the system-specific macromolecular volume fraction and dimensionless compressibility. In analogy with caging effects in glass-forming fluids, the theory does appear to begin to fail at sufficiently high N/N D for the center-of-mass diffusivity, likely due to another crossover to an even slower activated transport regime. However, use of N/N D with the theoretically predicted N D , in conjunction with dynamic blob scaling ideas for local Rouse friction, collapses semidilute and concentrated solution simulation data onto a master curve. Based on the same physical ideas employed to predict the diffusion constant, a generalized Langevin equation description is formulated for intermediate-time CM transport. It predicts two subdiffusive regimes that emerge due to the self-similar nature of internal ring structure. Analytic and numerical predictions for the apparent non-Fickian exponent as a function of time, N/N D and dimensionless compressibility, the evolution of the maximum degree of subdiffusive motion with N/N D , and the time scale for recovering Fickian diffusion are made, all of which are in good accordance with melt simulations. Furthermore, the present work sets the stage to address activated dynamics and glass formation on the macromolecular scale.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Modeling gas release from a Bingham plastic slurry and deconvoluting measured data

Physics-based models for predicting the off-gassing characteristics of agitated slurries are presented. This approach decomposes the system into two separate but coupled slurry and headspace models. The physics driving bubble transport through the slurry and gas mixing within the headspace are discussed. An analytical expression for predicting the time evolution of the headspace concentration using first principles theory is also presented. Predictions from the numerical models, as well as expectations from the analytical solution, both agree with measured off gassing data for two different experimental operating conditions. After benchmarking the numerical model predictions against experimental data, the model was used to make predictions for gas release from a full-scale vessel and to perform sensitivity analyses to examine the sensitivity of gas release to parameters such as yield stress, consistency index, slurry density, bubble size, bubble concentration, and impeller speed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2026

Extending Component Lifetime And Improving Inverter Reliability (ECLAIIR)

Inverter reliability remains one of the most persistent challenges limiting the performance, availability, and economic viability of utility‑scale photovoltaic (PV) plants. Industry data consistently show that inverters account for the highest share of corrective maintenance events and unplanned outages across PV fleets. These failures result in energy losses, increased O&M costs, and reduced confidence in long‑term solar asset performance. Motivated by these challenges, this project—Extending Component Lifetime and Improving Inverter Reliability (ECLAIIR)—was undertaken to systematically investigate inverter degradation and failure mechanisms, develop predictive maintenance capabilities, and establish data‑driven pathways to improve service life and reduce the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for large‑scale PV systems. The primary goal of the project was to identify pre‑failure signatures in string inverters using both lab‑based accelerated lifetime testing and field‑based data and to develop predictive maintenance algorithms that can anticipate inverter faults before they occur. Through collaboration with inverter testing laboratory, solar PV plant owner, and failure‑analysis experts, the project advanced the technical understanding of inverter reliability. By instrumenting inverters with thermistors, humidity sensors, power‑quality meters, and acoustic sensors, the research established how multiple sensing modalities can reliably detect deviations from normal behavior hours to days before failure. These findings substantially enhance scientific understanding of inverter failure kinetics and provide the PV industry with the most comprehensive cross‑OEM characterization of early‑stage failure indicators reported to date. Technically, the project demonstrated the effectiveness of predictive maintenance by developing and validating the PreDICT (Predictive Diagnostics of PV Inverters Using Condition Monitoring and Trend Analysis) framework—a multi‑layer diagnostic architecture combining peer‑to‑peer analytics, historical trend modeling, and advanced machine‑learning techniques such as the Sequential Conditional Variational Autoencoder (SCVAE). This predictive model achieved more than 90% accuracy in detecting pre‑failure conditions and provided up to four days of lead time before inverter failure in field scenarios. Economically, the project’s LCOE analysis showed that predictive maintenance can reduce lifetime energy losses and minimize corrective maintenance interventions. Modeling indicated that, depending on inverter failure rates and replacement timelines, predictive maintenance can significantly reduce LCOE impacts associated with inverter downtime: from as high as 19.4% under conventional maintenance strategies to 0.1%–10.17% when predictive analytics are adopted. These results confirm that predictive maintenance is both technically feasible and economically advantageous for utilities and plant operators. The project’s findings also have broad public benefit. By improving inverter reliability and reducing downtime, predictive maintenance directly increases electricity generation from existing PV assets. Enhanced reliability lowers operational costs for utilities, which can translate over time into lower energy costs for consumers. Furthermore, the project’s technical publications, conference presentations, and industry workshops ensure that knowledge gained is shared broadly across the solar industry, supporting workforce development and enabling utilities of all sizes to adopt modern asset‑health monitoring practices. The retrofitting case study and service‑life prediction framework further support informed decision‑making for aging PV fleets, helping operators extend system life and reduce electronic waste. In summary, the ECLAIIR project significantly advanced the state of knowledge on inverter degradation, demonstrated the technical and economic value of predictive maintenance, and delivered actionable tools and insights that support more reliable, cost‑effective, and sustainable PV plant operation. The outcomes of this project will continue to inform utility practices, guide inverter design improvements, and strengthen the long‑term performance of solar assets nationwide.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Predicting Execution Times for Disk-based and In-Situ Parallel Data Analytics (Final Technical Report)

In recent years, there has been a significant amount of interests in in-situ analytics on simulation programs. For a variety of reasons, it is desirable to be able to predict the execution time of an analytics program. At the same time, frameworks such as MapReduce have become popular for scientific data analytics. This paper focuses on developing performance models for predicting execution time of parallel data analytics, with a special emphasis on in-situ analytics. We take two distinct approach towards performance prediction. We first expand SKOPE (a SKeleton framewOrk for Performance Exploration) with performance models for disk data read, cache performance, and page fault penalty. Second, an analytical performance model is also developed. We have evaluated our performance prediction framework as well as the analytical model on three hardware setups with well-known data mining algorithms implemented in three programming paradigms, MapReduce, MATE (a MapReduce-like parallel system with an alternate API for multi-core environments) and Smart (a MapReduce-like framework for in-situ analytics). Results show that our performance prediction framework along with the incorporated performance models are capable of accurately predicting execution times for parallel scientific analytics on different hardware setups.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

The Lorentzian inversion formula and the spectrum of the 3d O(2) CFT

We study the spectrum and OPE coefficients of the three-dimensional critical O(2) model, using four-point functions of the leading scalars with charges 0, 1, and 2 ( s , $\phi$, and t ). We obtain numerical predictions for low-twist OPE data in several charge sectors using the extremal functional method. We compare the results to analytical estimates using the Lorentzian inversion formula and a small amount of numerical input. We find agreement between the analytic and numerical predictions. We also give evidence that certain scalar operators lie on double-twist Regge trajectories and obtain estimates for the leading Regge intercepts of the O(2) model.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Full Length Assembly Testing in PELICAN (Final Report)

In support of the development of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Versatile Test Reactor (VTR), a thermal hydraulics test facility was constructed to generate experimental measurement of the pressure drop across a single full-scale assembly containing prototypic axial reflectors, fuel, and plena components. Constructed and operated at Argonne National Laboratory, the Pressure drop Experimental Loop for Investigations of Core Assemblies in Nuclear reactors (PELICAN) facility was designed to achieve hydraulic conditions identical to those anticipated for a full-scale fuel assembly located in the VTR core in the region with the highest flow rate. Using water as surrogate for liquid sodium, the flow loop was operated at elevated temperatures and pressures to match the thermophysical properties of liquid sodium and ensure matching Reynolds and Euler numbers. The measurement objectives for data generated from this test facility was driven primarily by the validation needs for code calculations and simulations of the reference VTR core. These objectives focused on the need to validate pressure drop results across the various segments of the fuel assembly as they relate directly to the pumping power and safety of the reactor. Presented in this report are experimental results and analytical comparisons based on testing of a full-length assembly in PELICAN. Housed within a hexagonal test section extending 3.4 m in length, the tested assembly features a prototypic lower reflector, grid plates, wire-wrapped rod bundle, upper reflector, and exit region. The rod bundle extends over 1.5 m in length and contains 217 individual wire-wrapped rods with dimensions that best reflect the reference VTR design. The as-tested bundle assembly was fabricated using 316 stainless steel 0.25-inch (6.35-mm) diameter rods wrapped with 0.04-inch (1.016-mm) diameter wire at a helical pitch of 10.51 inch (26.6 cm). Details of the method for in-house wire-wrapping, assembly, and installation are provided later in this report. Experimental measurements of pressure drop at 19 positions along the test assembly were recorded for a range of flow conditions, with special attention paid to key locations within the assembly, including component inlet and outlet, transition, and wire-wrapped rod bundle regions. Testing conditions were based on 110°C water with flow rates ranging from 50 to 450 GPM (3 to 27 kg/s) at the inlet of the test assembly generating Reynolds numbers and velocities up to ~8.0×10 4 and ~7.8 m/s, respectively, within the rod bundle region. Non-dimensional values for the friction factor were then calculated based on these experimental measurements and compared against those predicted by various analytical correlations available from open literature. Predictions by the upgraded Cheng and Todreas, Rehme, and Novendstern correlations fell within 4% to those values measured experimentally.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Generating entangled steady states in multistable open quantum systems via initial state control

Entanglement underpins the power of quantum technologies, yet it is fragile and typically destroyed by dissipation. Paradoxically, the same dissipation, when carefully engineered, can drive a system toward robust entangled steady states. However, this engineering task is nontrivial, as dissipative many-body systems are complex, particularly when they support multiple steady states. Here, we derive analytic expressions that predict how the steady state of a system evolving under a Lindblad equation depends on the initial state, without requiring integration of the dynamics. These results extend Refs. [V. V. Albert and L. Jiang, Phys. Rev. A 89, 022118 (2014); V. V. Albert et al., Phys. Rev. X 6, 041031 (2016)], showing that while the steady-state manifold is determined by the Liouvillian kernel, the weights within it depend on both the Liouvillian and the initial state. We identify a special class of Liouvillians for which the steady state depends only on the initial overlap with the kernel. Our framework provides analytical insight and a computationally efficient tool for predicting steady states in open quantum systems. As an application, we propose schemes to generate metrologically useful entangled steady states in spin ensembles via balanced collective decay.

Dissipative dynamics↗

DOE OSTI2020

Analytic Thermal Model of an Optical Fiber Based Gamma Thermometer and its Application in a University Research Reactor

This paper describes and validates, by comparison with numerical modeling results, an analytical model of thermal transport in an optical fiber based gamma thermometer (OFBGT) that is appropriate for use in university research reactors. The maximum temperature difference between the thermal mass and the outer sheath ( Δ T ) for the OFBGT design that we have considered is approximately 50 ∘ C , for the OFBGT in the Central Irradiation Facility of the Ohio State University Research Reactor (OSURR) with the reactor operating at full power (450 kW). The maximum value of Δ T that is predicted by the analytic model for the OFBGT design is smaller by approximately 1.1 °C than the value of Δ T which is predicted by the numerical model, for the same OFBGT design, but including all the details of the design. We have used the analytical model of thermal transport in an OFBGT to determine a normalized Modulation Transfer Function M T F ′ ( k ) ) for the OFBGT. We conclude that MTF ′ ( k OSU ) > 0.99 , where k OSU is the spatial frequency for the axial dependence of the reactor power distribution in the

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Acausality-driven instabilities in relativistic viscous hydrodynamics

We investigate non-linear instabilities stemming from superluminal propagation of information in Israel-Stewart-like models of relativistic viscous fluid dynamics. In relativity, the characteristic speed of propagation of information, $w$, and the speed of the fluid, $v$, allow us to differentiate between regimes of the hydrodynamic equations that are acausal but stable ($w>1$), unstable ($v^{2} w^{2} \geq 1$), and covariantly ill-posed ($w^{2} \leq 0$). As an analytical benchmark, we present a new solution that illustrates these distinct regimes. We compare this analytical solution to the result of a numerical relativistic viscous fluid dynamics solver, and confirm that the analytical result can be recovered numerically in the stable regime, whether causal or acausal. The onset of numerical instabilities is further found to occur in the regime predicted by the analytical solution.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Implementation of tritium transport in a gas-liquid contactor CFD simulation of tritium extraction from lead-lithium in ANSYS fluent

Modifications to the Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) software ANSYS Fluent were done to quantify and characterize tritium transport in Gas-Liquid Contactors (GLCs). A double-slit, Ergun-like equation was employed for the porous media model, with Ergun coefficients validated with Sulzer’s Sulcol software. Tritium transport from PbLi within the GLC was verified against analytical models. The geometry of the CFD model was based on the MELODIE GLC experiment. The hydrodynamic CFD pressure drop results align well with SulCol estimations and fall between the predictions of the analytical Delft-Olujic and Billet & Schultes models. In terms of mass transfer efficiency, traditional mass transfer models showed a significant deviation from experimental results when using varying values of H solubility in PbLi. A saturation phenomenon occurred when utilizing high solubility values for hydrogen in PbLi. In conclusion, a modified film theory mass transfer coefficient, incorporating either the Delft-Olujic or Billet & Schultes wettability model, yielded CFD-predicted extraction efficiencies that closely matched experimental measurements.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Composite Structured Surfaces for Durable Dropwise Condensation

Dropwise condensation of steam on hydrophobic substrates has a 10X higher heat transfer coefficient compared to filmwise condensation. To promote dropwise condensation, low surface energy hydrophobic coatings (polymers) are typically utilized. The low intrinsic thermal conductivity (k < 1 W/(m · K)) of polymers, coupled with high heat transfer coefficient of dropwise condensation (100 kW/(m 2 · K)), necessitates that the coating be thin (< 1µm) in order to avoid reducing the overall heat exchanger conductance. However, thin polymeric films easily degrade. The two opposing requirements result in the need for optimization between the durability (thick coating) and the heat transfer (thin coating). To enable high thermal conductivity in thicker coatings, we develop metal-polymer structured surfaces. By using porous structures as inter-connected heat-conducting backbones that are filled with hydrophobic materials, we enable tuning of the coating effective thermal conductivity and surface energy. Three metal structures were studied; micro/nanowires, inverse opals, and sintered spheres. Heat transfer performance was calculated using three-dimensional finite element method simulations with two distinct boundary conditions; convection at the walls and isothermal walls. Interestingly, the overall conductance shows up to 40% difference depending on the boundary condition used in calculating the composite coating effective thermal conductivity. We use our model to predict the heat transfer performance as a function of metal fraction by volume and by surface area for condensation. By coupling our thermal simulations with a previously verified analytical model for predicting wetting behavior on heterogeneous surfaces, we propose a regime map to predict dropwise-to-filmwise transition. Furthermore, our work not only forms a starting point for the development of durable dropwise condensing surfaces, it identifies important considerations needed for computing effective thermal conductivity of composites.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Impact of hohlraum cooling on ignition metrics for inertial fusion implosions

This paper extends the evaluation of ignition metrics to include the impact of hohlraum cooling before peak implosion velocity in radiation driven implosions. First, we provide an extension of the results for the key hot spot stagnation quantities from the 2018 paper. The modified analytic expressions presented here match the Hydra results for these National Ignition Facility scale implosions both with and without hohlraum cooling before peak velocity if the effective ablation pressure P abl (effective) = P abl (t pv - 0.5 ns) is used in the analytic formulas, where t pv is the time of peak implosion velocity. Second, we provide an analysis that enables a comparison of the Hydra radiation hydrodynamics code calculations utilized here with the predictions of the analytic piston model of an ICF implosion, which focused on sensitivity to time duration of the hohlraum cooling phase before peak velocity (often called the “coast time”) and the shell radius at peak velocity R pv . Third, we provide a set of ignition metrics that are valid across a wide range of capsule designs valid for implosions both with and without hohlraum cooling before peak implosion velocity is reached.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Crystallographic orientation-dependent strain hardening in a precipitation-strengthened Al-Cu alloy

While the strengthening of Al-Cu alloys due to precipitation has been extensively studied, the effect of crystallographic orientation of the matrix and precipitates, as well as precipitate morphology, on the strain hardening behavior is not well understood. In this paper, we investigate this effect with in situ neutron diffraction during deformation of an Al-Cu alloy (206) after multiple aging treatments. Precipitate-dislocation interactions were found to change from precipitate shearing for microstructures predominantly containing GPI and θ" precipitates to Orowan looping for microstructures with primarily θ' and θ precipitates. Notably, significant anisotropy in strain hardening behavior was observed when θ' precipitates were present, which was attributed to crystallographic orientation dependent load transfer from the Al matrix to the θ' precipitates. The anisotropic load transfer is hypothesized to be caused by the extent of rotation of high aspect-ratio θ' precipitates, owing to dislocations looping around them during plastic deformation of the matrix. Predictions from an analytical model describing the anisotropic magnitude of load transfer from precipitate rotation agree well with experimental results, successfully validating the precipitate rotation hypothesis and explaining the anisotropic strain hardening behavior. This model allows for the prediction of stresses separately in the precipitate and matrix phases as a function of crystallographic orientation, only given the bulk mechanical properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Curled-Skewed Wakes behind Yawed Wind Turbines Subject to Veered Inflow

This work presents a new engineering analytical model that predicts the effect of both the turbine yaw misalignment and the inflow wind veer on the wake flow distribution downwind of a wind turbine. To consider the veered inflow, two methods were examined. In the first method, the curled shape of the wake due to the yaw offset is initially modelled. The wake shape is then laterally skewed at each height due to the wind veer based on the assumption that the turbine wake is transported downstream by the incoming flow. The second method is a more realistic approach that accounts for the effect of wind veer on the wind velocity direction and the yaw angle seen by the wind turbine. This models the wake region in a local coordinate system defined based on the wind direction at each height. A coordinate transformation is then performed to represent the wake flow distribution in the global coordinate system attached to the ground. The results show that while the two methods provide similar outputs for small variations in the wind direction across the rotor, the difference becomes more evident with an increase in wind veer. High-fidelity simulations for a turbine subject to a neutral atmospheric boundary layer were employed to validate model predictions for different operating conditions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

In-Situ Calibrated Modeling of Residual Stresses Induced in Machining under Various Cooling and Lubricating Environments

Although many functional characteristics, such as fatigue life and damage resistance depend on residual stresses, there are currently no industrially viable ‘Digital Process Twin’ models (DPTs) capable of efficiently and quickly predicting machining-induced stresses. By leveraging advances in ultra-high-speed in-situ experimental characterization of machining and finishing processes under plane strain (orthogonal/2D) conditions, we have developed a set of physics-based semi-analytical models to predict residual stress evolution in light of the extreme gradients of stress, strain and temperature, which are unique to these thermo-mechanical processes. Initial validation trials of this novel paradigm were carried out in Ti-6Al4V and AISI 4340 alloy steel. A variety dry, cryogenically cooled and oil lubricated conditions were evaluated to determine the model’s ability to capture the tribological changes induced due to lubrication and cooling. The preliminarily calibrated and validated model exhibited an average correlation of better than 20% between the predicted stresses and experimental data, with calculation times of less than a second. Based on such fast-acting DPTs, the authors envision future capabilities in pro-active surface engineering of advanced structural components (e.g., turbine blades).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Snap-Through Buckling Pressure Prediction of Spherical Caps: A Comparison of Analytical, Implicit, and Explicit Methods

Snap-through buckling is a nonlinear and dynamic instability that occurs in curved shell structures such as domes, pressure vessels, and aerospace panels. Unlike classical linear buckling, it involves a sudden transition between equilibrium states caused by geometric nonlinearity and rapid strain-to-kinetic energy conversion (Timoshenko & Gere, 1961; Budiansky & Roth, 1962). This study investigates the snap-through behavior of thin spherical caps using both implicit and explicit solvers in ANSYS Workbench. While implicit analysis accurately captures quasi-static response, it struggles with convergence near instability. In contrast, explicit LS-DYNA simulation naturally handles the nonlinear dynamic event with minimal tuning and computational cost.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

The primordial matter power spectrum on sub-galactic scales

The primordial matter power spectrum quantifies fluctuations in the distribution of dark matter immediately following inflation. Over cosmic time, overdense regions of the primordial density field grow and collapse into dark matter haloes, whose abundance and density profiles retain memory of the initial conditions. By analysing the image magnifications in 11 strongly lensed and quadruply imaged quasars, we infer the abundance and concentrations of low-mass haloes, and cast the measurement in terms of the amplitude of the primordial matter power spectrum. We anchor the power spectrum on large scales, isolating the effect of small-scale deviations from the Lambda cold dark matter (ΛCDM) prediction. Assuming an analytic model for the power spectrum and accounting for several sources of potential systematic uncertainty, including three different models for the halo mass function, we obtain correlated inferences of $\log _{10}\left(P / P_{\Lambda \rm {CDM}}\right)$, the power spectrum amplitude relative to the predictions of the concordance cosmological model, of $0.0_{-0.4}^{+0.5}$, $0.1_{-0.6}^{+0.7}$, and $0.2_{-0.9}^{+1.0}$ at k = 10, 25, and 50 $\rm {Mpc^{-1}}$ at $68 {{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ confidence, consistent with CDM and single-field slow-roll inflation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗