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At least 181 records · Page 10

Uncertainty in Synthetic Tropical Cyclone Hazard and Risk Estimates: Insights from RAFT, CHAZ, MIT, STORM, and CLIMADA

We synthesize five complementary tropical cyclone (TC) hazard frameworks—RAFT (physics-based machine learning), CHAZ and MIT (statistical–dynamical), STORM (fully statistical), and CLIMADA (observation-driven resampling)—to characterize uncertainty in wind-related TC metrics relevant to energy applications. All datasets and the IBTrACS observational record are harmonized to a common 6-hourly, 2.5° grid. We compare basin-wide and coastal properties using consistent definitions for TC frequency, mean and maximum intensity, 24-hour intensification, and 6-hour translation speed, and quantify agreement with Pearson r, RMSE, and Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) alongside resampling-based confidence intervals. CLIMADA is included for basin context but excluded from coastal skill scoring because it resamples historical IBTrACS; if supplied with projected future tracks from an external hazard model, CLIMADA can be used to simulate future TC scenarios. Results show robust, cross-model signals: (i) a corridor of activity from the tropical Atlantic through the Caribbean into the Bahamas and western subtropical Atlantic; (ii) a meridional dipole in 24-hour intensification (low-latitude strengthening, subtropical weakening); and (iii) a transition from slower tropical motion to faster midlatitude translation. Coastal winds (mean and maximum) consistently cluster from the eastern Gulf into the Bahamas–western Atlantic transition. The largest structural spread occurs in the amplitude and footprint of lifetime maximum intensity and, secondarily, in translation speed; intensification exhibits similar central behavior across frameworks with variability in extremes. Translation speed shows the most uniform coastal agreement. These findings provide a decision envelope for wind-focused risk screening and clarify where uncertainty should be carried forward; wind-only results represent a lower bound on total hazard, motivating integration of surge and rainfall modules and a companion, asset-level damage analysis.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Impact of confined geometries on hopping and trapping of motile bacteria in porous media

We use a random walk particle-tracking (RWPT) approach to elucidate the impact of porous media confinement and cell-cell interactions on bacterial transport. The model employs stochastic alternating motility states consisting of hopping movement and trapping reorientation. The stochastic motility patterns are defined based on direct visualization of individual trajectory data. We validate our model against experimental data, at single-cell resolution, of bacterial E. coli motion in three-dimensional confined porous media. Results show that the model is able to efficiently simulate the spreading dynamics of motile bacteria as it captures the impact of cell-cell interaction and pore confinement, which marks the transition to a late-time subdiffusive regime. Furthermore, the model is able to qualitatively reproduce the observed directional persistence. Lastly, our RWPT model constitutes a meshless simple method which is easy to implement and does not invoke ad hoc assumptions but represents the basis for a multiscale approach to the study of bacterial dispersal in porous systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impact of atomic substitution on core-hole relaxation dynamics: A study of Br 2 and IBr

Understanding inner-shell decay processes in heavy-element molecules is essential for unraveling x-ray-induced photodynamics and advancing molecular imaging techniques. Here, in this study, we investigate the influence of atomic substitution on core-hole relaxation dynamics and molecular fragmentation in Br 2 and IBr, initiated by x-ray ionization absorption at the Br K-edge. Using a combination of x-ray/ion coincidence measurements and Monte Carlo/molecular dynamics simulations, we track the charge distribution and the kinetic energy release (KER) of fragment ions with a total charge from 2+ to 8+. For both molecules, the simulated KER values show good agreement with experiment across different fragmentation channels. Our comparison reveals that substituting Br with the heavier I atom in IBr has a minimal impact on the inner-shell electronic decay process but significantly influences nuclear motion, leading to slower dissociation and thus a KER close to the Coulomb limit—an effect attributed to the atomic mass. These findings highlight the interplay between electronic and nuclear effects in molecular fragmentation, particularly in heavy-element species, and provide new insights into medical therapies, structural biology, and astrophysics.

Bhat, Nivedita [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL),↗

Deep Convection Initiation, Growth, and Environments in the Complex Terrain of Central Argentina during CACTI

This study characterizes the wide range of deep convective cloud life cycles and their relationships with ambient environments observed during the Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) field campaign near the Sierras de Córdoba (SDC) range in central Argentina. We develop a novel convective cell tracking database for the entire field campaign using C-band polarimetric radar observations. The cell tracking database includes timing, location, area, depth, merge/split information, microphysical properties, collocated satellite-retrieved cloud properties, and sounding-derived environmental conditions. Results show that the SDC exerts a strong control on convection initiation (CI) and growth. CI preferentially occurs east of the SDC ridge during the afternoon, and cells often undergo upscale growth through the evening as they travel eastward toward the plains. Larger and more intense cells tend to occur in more unstable and humid low-level environments, and surface-based cells are stronger than elevated cells. Midtropospheric relative humidity and vertical wind shear also jointly affect the size and depth of the cells. Rapid cell area growth rates exhibit dependence on both large environmental wind shear and low-level moisture. Evolution of convective cell macro- and microphysical properties are strongly influenced by convective available potential energy and low-level humidity, as well as the presence of other cells in their vicinity. This cell tracking database demonstrates a framework that ties measurements from various platforms centering around convective life cycles to facilitate process understanding of factors that control convective evolution.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Accurately simulating nine-dimensional phase space of relativistic particles in strong fields

Next-generation high-power laser systems that can be focused to ultra-high intensities exceeding 10 23 W/cm 2 are enabling new physics regimes and applications. The physics of how these lasers interact with matter is highly nonlinear, relativistic, and can involve lowest-order quantum effects. The current tool of choice for modeling these interactions is the particle-in-cell (PIC) method. In the presence of strong electromagnetic fields, the motion of charged particles and their spin is affected by radiation reaction (either the semi-classical or the quantum limit). Standard (PIC) codes usually use Boris or similar operator-splitting methods to advance the particles in standard phase space. These methods have been shown to require very small time steps in the strong-field regime in order to obtain accurate results. In addition, some problems require tracking the spin of particles, which creates a nine-dimensional (9D) particle phase space, i.e., (x, u, s). Therefore, numerical algorithms that enable high-fidelity modeling of the 9D phase space in the strong-field regime (where both the spin and momentum evolution are affected by radiation reaction) are desired. Here we present a new particle pusher that works in 9D and 6D phase space (i.e., with and without spin) based on analytical rather than leapfrog solutions to the momentum and spin advance from the Lorentz force, together with the semi-classical form of radiation reaction in the Landau-Lifshitz equation and spin evolution given by the Bargmann-Michel-Telegdi equation. Analytical solutions for the position advance are also obtained, but these are not amenable to the staggering of space and time in standard PIC codes. These analytical solutions are obtained by assuming a locally uniform and constant electromagnetic field during a time step. The solutions provide the 9D phase space advance in terms of a particle's proper time, and a mapping is used to determine the proper time step duration for each particle as a function of the lab frame time step. Due to the analytical integration of particle trajectory and spin orbit, the constraint on the time step needed to resolve trajectories in ultra-high fields can be greatly reduced. The time step required in a PIC code for accurately advancing the fields may provide additional constraints. We present single-particle simulations to show that the proposed particle pusher can greatly improve the accuracy of particle trajectories in 6D or 9D phase space for given laser fields. We have implemented the new pusher into the PIC code Osiris. Example simulations show that the proposed pusher provides improvement for a given time step. A discussion on the numerical efficiency of the proposed pusher is also provided.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Size-dependent femtosecond proton transfer in protonated methanol clusters

Methanol clusters (CH 3 OH) n are prototypical hydrogen-bonded systems that bridge isolated molecules and bulk liquid methanol. Strong-field ionization of these clusters can trigger ultrafast charge migration, proton transfer, and isomerization; however, the onset timescales of these pathways remain largely unexplored despite extensive steady-state mass-spectrometric evidence for protonation and chemical rearrangement. Here we use femtosecond time-resolved strong-field ionization and disruptive probing to directly track the early-time dynamics of methanol clusters. Transient mass spectra yield size-dependent timescales for the formation of protonated clusters H + (CH 3 OH) n (n = 1–3) and an associated CHO˙ + radical cation. We find that both proton-transfer and subsequent stabilization become markedly faster with increasing cluster size. These measurements establish methanol clusters as a complementary benchmark to water for understanding ionization-initiated proton motion and chemical reorganization in hydrogen-bonded liquids.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Complex and Unusual Excited-State Relaxation Dynamics of 9,9′-Bifluorenylidene Revealed by Comprehensive Time-Resolved Spectroscopy and MRSF-TDDFT Calculations

Design of novel photochemical molecular motors often requires molecular building blocks that exhibit rather unusual photoactivity, for which conventional analyses of spectroscopic data can lead to conflicting interpretations. We here systematically investigated the excited-state relaxation dynamics of one such molecule, 9,9′-bifluorenylidene (BF), through comprehensive and complementary integration of ultrafast transient absorption (TA) and femtosecond stimulated Raman (FSRS) spectroscopies and first-principles mixed-reference spin-flip time-dependent density functional theory (MRSF-TDDFT). TA and FSRS identified two sequentially formed transients following photoexcitation. The decay kinetics of the two intermediates differ in response to excitation wavelengths and the viscosity/polarity of solvents. MRSF-TDDFT calculations reveal a direct, barrierless internal-conversion pathway from the bright Franck−Condon state to a dark S1 minimum, where the excited-state population is transiently trapped, accounting for the first transient species observed in spectroscopic experiments. Further tracking down along the PES with MRSF-TDDFT mapped out two nonradiative relaxation pathways via conical intersections that connect the dark S 1 state to three configurations in the ground-state manifolds, within which a ring structure with a C8−C8′ bond and the vibrationally excited ground-state BF were identified from spectroscopic and kinetic data. The complexity of relaxation kinetics was attributed to the flexible torsional and twisting motions about the C9−C9′ bridge bond enabled by the diradical character of the S 1 state. These findings clarify unusual photoactive relaxation dynamics stemming from a novel correlation between structural flexibility and shifting electronic characteristics, and they demonstrate the importance of integrating spectroscopic and advanced electronic structure calculation studies for judicious clarification of complex, competing relaxation pathways of excited states.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Impact of a New Cloud Microphysics Parameterization on the Simulations of Mesoscale Convective Systems in E3SM

Abstract Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are one of the most climatically significant forms of convection because of their large role in water and energy cycles. The mesoscale features associated with MCS are difficult to represent in climate models because the relevant dynamics and physics are absent or poorly represented with coarse model resolution (∼100 km). Using a regionally refined model (RRM) with 0.25° grid spacing embedded in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM), we explore the impact of cloud microphysics parameterizations on the simulation of precipitation, particularly MCS precipitation over the contiguous United States. The Predicted Particle Properties (P3) cloud microphysics scheme has been modified and implemented into E3SM to overcome the limitations of the default Morrison and Gettelman (MG2) scheme in which rimed precipitating ice particles (graupel/hail) are absent and frozen particles are artificially partitioned into cloud ice and snow. We show that P3 improves the simulation of precipitation statistics including frequency distribution compared with MG2 with a limited effect on the diurnal cycle. P3 predicts higher hourly rain rates, resulting in 20% more MCSs and a higher total MCS precipitation (4.4%) compared to MG2, agreeing better with observations. The improvements with P3 mainly result from improved representations of ice microphysics, which not only produces higher rain rates through melting but also leads to a stronger large‐scale ascending motion by releasing more latent heating. This study suggests that improving microphysics parameterization is important for simulating MCS precipitation as future climate model resolutions continue to increase.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Triaxiality of neutron-rich ruthenium nuclei studied by lifetime measurements

The breaking of axial symmetry in nuclei enables otherwise precluded behaviours, making it an interesting phenomenon to study. Experimental fingerprints such as very low-lying $2^+_2$ states suggest pronounced triaxial deformation for the neutron-rich ruthenium isotopes. Nevertheless, theoretical calculations differ in the description of the triaxial deformation and its evolution with neutron number, making experimental data crucial to understanding it. We investigated the evolution of the degree of triaxiality and $γ$ rigidity in neutron-rich ruthenium isotopes by measuring lifetimes of excited states in 108-112 Ru with the recoil distance Doppler-shift method. The experiment was carried out at the Grand Accélérateur National d’Ions Lourds using the Advanced Gamma Tracking Array coupled to the Variable Mode Spectrometer. We obtained B(E2) values for 29 transitions in the studied nuclei and compared them with fully microscopic symmetry conserving configuration mixing calculations, and phenomenological generalized triaxial rotor and triaxial particle-rotor models. The models generally reproduce the measured transition strengths, and show an increase in triaxiality with neutron number, reaching near maximum triaxiality in 112 Ru. The results are consistent with a transition from soft to rigid motion as the neutron number increases.

Heines, Johannes Sorby [Univ. of Oslo (Norway); No↗

Numerical investigation of inertial sphere impaction on a cylinder in subcritical flow

We investigated the accuracy of a Lagrangian scheme for simulating both the motion and wall impaction of neutrally buoyant inertial spheres (8.85 ≤ St ≤ 18.04) moving in the subcritical regime (Re = 10,972 and 22,366) of flows past a circular cylinder. The accuracy of the eddy-resolving simulations of the flow field was verified based on available data at nearly comparable flow conditions. The accuracy of the eddy-resolving simulations of the flow field was verified based on available data at nearly comparable flow conditions. The accuracy of the particle tracking scheme was verified with respect to corresponding experimental data in a laboratory flume. Particle dispersion en route to the circular cylinder is mostly driven by the flow disturbance from the particle injector tube. The trends in collision rates are largely explained by the rate of particle entertainment into the boundary layer around the cylinder and the inertial condition of the spheres in this proximity region—both of which can be better assessed by post-processing of the numerical outcomes. Here, the primary incentive to undertake this work was the need for validating a particle-based method for quantifying the hydraulic stressors leading to bodily damage of fish passing flows influenced by hydraulic infrastructure.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Stellar proper motions in the outskirts of classical dwarf spheroidal galaxies with Gaia EDR3

ABSTRACT We use Gaia EDR3 data to identify stars associated with six classical dwarf spheroidals (dSphs) (Draco, Ursa Minor, Sextans, Sculptor, Fornax, Carina) at their outermost radii, beyond their nominal King stellar limiting radius. For all of the dSphs examined, we find radial velocity matches with stars residing beyond the King limiting radius and with ${\gt}50{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ astrometric probability (four in Draco, two in Ursa Minor, eight in Sextans, two in Sculptor, 12 in Fornax, and five in Carina), indicating that these stars are associated with their respective dSphs at high probability. We compare the positions of our candidate ‘extra-tidal’ stars with the orbital tracks of the galaxies, and identify stars, both with and without radial velocity matches, that are consistent with lying along the orbital track of the satellites. However, given the small number of candidate stars, we cannot make any conclusive statements about the significance of these spatially correlated stars. Cross matching with publicly available catalogues of RR Lyrae, we find one RR Lyrae candidate with ${\gt}50{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ astrometric probability outside the limiting radius in each of Sculptor and Fornax, two such candidates in Draco, nine in Ursa Minor, seven in Sextans, and zero in Carina. Follow-up spectra on all of our candidates, including possible metallicity information, will help confirm association with their respective dSphs, and could represent evidence for extended stellar haloes or tidal debris around these classical dSphs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Super-Resolved Single-Molecule Tracking Studies of Rhodamine B Accumulation on Fresh and Aged Polyethylene Terephthalate

It is well-known that toxic organic micropollutants (OMs) accumulate on the surfaces of microplastics. However, much remains to be learned about the exact molecular level mechanisms of OM accumulation and how these evolve as the plastics age. In this work, super-resolved single-molecule tracking (SMT) is used for the first time to investigate the accumulation of Rhodamine B (RhB) dye on fresh and artificially aged polyethylene terephthalate (PET) surfaces. PET thin films serve as models for microplastics, while RhB serves as a proxy for the OMs they accumulate. Artificial aging of the films is accomplished by exposing them in a UV-ozone chamber. Water contact angle, spectroscopic ellipsometry, and carbonyl index measurements reveal a gradual decrease in film hydrophobicity, thickness, and carbonyl content with age. Atomic force microscopy (AFM) data reveal an increase in surface roughness and confirm that the films remain largely intact and continuous across the aging times explored. In SMT experiments, wide-field fluorescence videos acquired from the water/PET interface under 7.5 pM RhB reveal both mobile and immobile dye molecules. Measurements of the frame-to-frame displacements of the dye show that diffusion occurs by a desorption-mediated mechanism and that the diffusion rate varies with PET film age. The surface density of mobile dye molecules decreases with increasing PET age, while the population of immobile molecules becomes relatively larger, suggesting an age-dependent transformation of the mechanism(s) by which the dye is accumulated. SMT data reveal that both mobile and immobile molecules repeatedly adsorb over the same surface sites, consistent with the emergence of nanoscale PET surface heterogeneity also revealed by AFM. Estimates of the adsorption coefficients are obtained using a nearest-neighbor analysis, giving values from 9.9 × 10 5 to 2.1 × 10 6 M –1 for immobile molecules and from 1.8 × 10 5 to 2.5 × 10 5 M –1 for mobile molecules on fresh and 5 min aged PET, respectively. Here, anomalous age-dependent variations in the velocity of molecular motion on the PET surface and in the population of immobile molecules are shown to correlate with changes in the strength of RhB adsorption.

Adsorption↗

The influence of laser power modulation on melt pool dynamics in laser powder bed fusion

While the majority of laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) metal additive manufacturing uses a continuous wave (CW) laser heat source, some commercial applications of LPBF additive manufacturing instead involve the modulation of the laser power on tens-of-microsecond timescales as an adjustable process variable. This article reports the use of in situ, high speed x-ray and optical imaging to probe melt pool fluid flow, defect formation, and nearby powder motion during LPBF with both modulated and CW laser heat sources. We observe melt pool dynamics unique to modulated laser melting even at very high duty cycles that are related to fluctuations in vapor depression depth, complex pore formation mechanisms, and changes to denudation physics when compared to CW melting. These behaviors are present in Ti–6Al–4V, 316L stainless steel, and AL1100 alloys but vary slightly as a function of material, indicating a substantial dependence on the viscosity and surface tension of the liquid metal. While high duty cycles produce weld tracks of comparable quality to CW melting, lower duty cycles introduce substantial defect concentrations. At intermediate duty cycles, careful control of modulation parameters can repeatably and precisely yield one pore per laser pulse, suggesting a method for intentionally inserting engineered porosity at specific sites during an LPBF build.

3D printing↗

Rotational and translational diffusion of liquid n-hexane: EFP-based molecular dynamics analysis

Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations based on the Effective Fragment Potential (EFP) method are utilized to provide a comprehensive assessment of diffusion in liquid n-hexane. We decompose translational diffusion into components along and orthogonal to the long axis of the molecule. Rotational diffusion is decomposed into tumbling and spinning motions about this axis. Our analysis yields four corresponding diffusion coefficients which are related to diagonal entries in the complete 6 × 6 diffusion tensor accounting for the three rotational and three translational degrees of freedom and for the potential coupling between them. However, coupling between different degrees of freedom is expected to be minimal for a natural choice of the molecular body-fixed axis, so then off-diagonal entries in the tensor are negligible. This expectation is supported by a hydrodynamic analysis of the diffusion tensor which treats the liquid surrounding the molecule being tracked as a viscous continuum. Thus, the EFP MD analysis provides a comprehensive characterization of diffusion and also reveals expected shortcomings of the hydrodynamic treatment, particularly for rotational diffusion, when applied to neat liquids.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Single-Molecule Tracking Measurements Reveal the Detailed Mechanisms of Molecular Diffusion in Solvent Mixtures under Nanoconfinement

Understanding mass transport mechanisms in nanopores is important for developing advanced materials for chemical separations, chemical sensing, and energy storage. This paper reports a novel imaging platform that is employed for the first time to investigate the detailed diffusion dynamics of single rhodamine B (RhB) dye molecules confined within solution-filled cylindrical anodic aluminum oxide (AAO) nanopores. The imaging platform relies on illumination of horizontally-oriented AAO nanopores in a highly inclined and laminated optical (HILO) light sheet microscopy geometry. The method was used to investigate the translational and orientational dynamics of single rhodamine B (RhB) molecules within horizontally-oriented 5- and 10-nm diameter AAO nanopores filled with water–ethanol mixtures. The established platform enabled the observation of one-dimensional motion along the pore axis involving occasional short- or long-term immobilization at the single-molecule level. Analysis of cumulative squared-displacement distributions revealed fast (5 – 30 µm²/s), intermediate (1 – 5 µm²/s), and slow (< 1 µm²/s) diffusion components. From the effects of mixture composition and pore size on the contributions of these three components, we inferred that the fast, intermediate, and slow components could be assigned to desorption-mediated hopping, crawling, and wiggling motions, respectively. The platform based on the horizontally-oriented AAO nanopores also permitted single-molecule emission polarization measurements that revealed the negligible steric confinement of individual diffusing RhB molecules within the AAO nanopores. The imaging platform based on AAO membranes and HILO microscopy provided a unique means to investigate how solvation-mediated surface interactions and nanoconfinement govern molecular transport in nanoporous environments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Monitoring of Photovoltaic (PV) Performance and Degradation: Integrated Renewable Energy Systems (IRES) - PV Monitoring Task

The Integrated Renewable Energy System (IRES) testbed demonstration at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) Sequim campus includes development of a suite of capabilities for tracking the performance of photovoltaic (PV) renewable energy components located on a floating platform (floating PV) and on a shoreline building rooftop. The marine environment represents potentially harsh and corrosive conditions for PV modules. Compared to terrestrial PV, potential concerns for offshore PV arising from high humidity and occasional contact with saltwater, marine wildlife, and aquaculture. These environmental factors can reduce electricity generation efficiency and increase the risk of electrical faults, polymer insulation or jacketing degradation and hydrolysis of the PV cell encapsulant materials. Offshore PV modules may also be exposed to lower temperatures and buoyant and vibrating motions with a floating platform. It is not clear how the long-term performance of floating PV will be affected by these factors. To understand expected energy generation through solar cells on a floating platform, monitoring of the performance of PV modules in the marine environment is needed. This report outlines a plan for long-term testing of IRES PV components utilizing resources of the PNNL Material Aging and Detection (MAaD) Science team and the Marine and Coastal Research Laboratory (MCRL). Equipment applicable for onsite testing and real-time monitoring of the PV performance associated with environmental conditions including temperature, solar irradiance, shading and soiling is included. In case of performance loss, equipment for fault detection, failure analysis, material testing, and further troubleshooting are also available. Through establishment of this capabilities, the enabling IRES project sets the stage for future research to advance off-shore and near-shore energy options for businesses and communities.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Atomic-Scale Imaging of Lithium Vacancies in a Battery Cathode by Multislice Electron Ptychography

Atomic-resolution imaging of battery materials is critical for identification of local defects and structural variations, which are tied to battery performance. However, since battery materials are, by design, optimized to allow ion motion in response to an applied electric field, they are also very sensitive to radiation damage by an electron beam. Image resolution is therefore severely constrained by the dose applied. Here, we show that multislice electron ptychography (MEP) can provide sub-ångström lateral resolution images of both light and heavy elements of a Li-ion battery cathode, along with nanometer-scale depth information and greater dose efficiency than conventional electron microscopy methods. Using the depth-sectioning capability of MEP, we have been able to obtain direct visualizations of Li vacancy clusters, atom column by atom column, in Li x Ni 0.33 Mn 0.33 Co 0.33 O 2 (NMC111) cathodes. This capability to track Li distributions will be valuable in understanding, informing, and optimizing electrode material design for ion storage and transfer.

batteries↗

Responses of summer mesoscale convective systems to irrigation over the North China Plain based on convection-permitting model simulations

Extensive irrigation activities in the North China Plain (NCP) significantly influence regional weather and climate. However, previous studies focusing on the NCP were primarily based on coarse-resolution models, which are unable to explicitly resolve convection systems, causing large uncertainty in precipitation simulations. In this study, a convection-permitting model coupled with a dynamic irrigation scheme is utilized to investigate the impacts of irrigation on summertime mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) over the NCP. Sensitivity experiments with irrigation off and on are conducted for 5 summers and an MCS identification and tracking algorithm is applied to both satellite observations and model simulations. We find that incorporating irrigation in the model increases MCS precipitation, which agrees more with observations. The probability distributions of MCS lifetime, area, propagation speed, and intensity are all better simulated with irrigation. Irrigation increases the occurrence frequency of MCSs throughout the entire day. The nighttime increase is partly because of more frequent local initiation of MCS developed from isolated deep convection, while the daytime increase is mainly attributed to the changes in MCSs initiating elsewhere and then propagating to the NCP. On average, irrigation induces additional moisture that is more thermodynamically favorable for precipitation, but this effect is partially offset by the weakened ascending air motion primarily caused by irrigation surface cooling. Compared to weak MCS precipitation events, strong MCS precipitation events experience greater enhancement in precipitation intensity when including irrigation because the offset effect from the change in large-scale ascending air motion is insignificant. In addition, irrigation makes the variation of MCS precipitation intensity more correlated with the variation in ascending motion but less correlated with that in atmospheric moisture. Our results suggest the pronounced impacts of irrigation on MCSs over the NCP which should be included in numerical models to improve regional precipitation simulation and prediction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗