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DOE OSTI2021

Ground Motion Inputs for the Seismic Shake Table Test

Currently, spent nuclear fuel (SNF) is stored in on-site independent spent-fuel storage installations (ISFSIs) at seventythree (73) nuclear power plants (NPPs) in the US. Because a site for geologic repository for permanent disposal of SNF has not been constructed, the SNF will remain in dry storage significantly longer than planned. During this time, the ISFSIs, and potentially consolidated storage facilities, will experience earthquakes of different magnitudes. The dry storage systems are designed and licensed to withstand large seismic loads. When dry storage systems experience seismic loads, there are little data on the response of SNF assemblies contained within them. The Spent Fuel Waste Disposition (SFWD) program is planning to conduct a full-scale seismic shake table test to close the gap related to the seismic loads on the fuel assemblies in dry storage systems. This test will allow for quantifying the strains and accelerations on surrogate fuel assembly hardware and cladding during earthquakes of different magnitudes and frequency content. The main component of the test unit will be the full-scale NUHOMS 32 PTH2 dry storage canister. The canister will be loaded with three surrogate fuel assemblies and twenty-nine dummy assemblies. Two dry storage configurations will be tested – horizontal and vertical above-ground concrete overpacks. These configurations cover 91% of the current dry storage configurations. The major input into the shake table test are the seismic excitations or the earthquake ground motions – acceleration time histories in two horizontal and one vertical direction that will be applied to the shake table surface during the tests. The shake table surface represents the top of the concrete pad on which a dry storage system is placed. The goal of the ground motion task is to develop the ground motions that would be representative of the range of seismotectonic and other conditions that any site in the Western US (WUS) or Central Eastern US (CEUS) might entail. This task is challenging because of the large number of the ISFSI sites, variety of seismotectonic and site conditions, and effects that soil amplification, soil-structure interaction, and pad flexibility may have on the ground motions.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2021

ORNL Input to GDSA Repository Systems Analysis FY21

This document satisfies the M3 milestone M3SF-21OR010304082 titled “ORNL Input to GDSA Repository Systems.” This document describes the current status of Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s (ORNL’s) efforts related to analyses of dual-purpose canister (DPC) disposal in unsaturated alluvium with a focus on thermal hydrological constraints on criticality timing and power output. This analysis updates previous analyses of thermal hydrological constraints on timing and power output of a potential criticality event in Dual-Purpose Canisters (DPCs) in a hypothetical repository in unsaturated alluvium using a more realistic representation of heat transport inside dry DPCs. PFLOTRAN was used for the simulations of multiphase thermal hydrology near a single DPC. The scenario considers a DPC failure at 9000 years, allowing water to enter and eventually fill the DPC. Once the DPC is filled to a level that could support a criticality event, different values for criticality power output were added to the decay heat. The main objective is to bound the power output that could be produced by a criticality event without driving water out of the package. For the conditions analyzed here, following a package breach, the alluvial formation could supply enough water to allow enough accumulation in the DPC to support a criticality event. However, the power output that would be generated is limited to modest values by loss of water moderator due to evaporation and vapor diffusion. In the reference case scenario, the DPC would not start to fill with water until about 16,000 years post closure and would not fill to a level that allows a criticality event until approximately 25,000 years post closure. The long-term average power output that could be sustained without driving off the water and terminating the criticality event is limited to approximately 100 W. Sensitivity to assumed conditions and parameters in the reference case, especially the deep percolation rate, need to be addressed but could not be undertaken because of numerical failures of the PFLOTRAN code running in general mode in the dry conditions of an unsaturated alluvium repository

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2021

Parametric Study of SANSMIC Input and Resulting Impact on Predicted Cavern Geometry and Leaching Efficiency

The Sandia Solution Mining Code (SANSMIC) has been used for many years to examine the development of salt cavern geometry, both in a confirmatory manner with comparisons made to real-world sonar data and in a predictive manner when updated sonar data are not available. SANSMIC models require some modeling choices in order to incorporate real-world data. Key modeling choices include the vertical resolution of cavern geometry to implement, as well as how to incorporate daily raw water injection data into the SANSMIC model. This report documents five studies that address the impact of the modeling choices on the predicted cavern geometries and calculated leaching efficiencies. In most cases, hypothetical cylindrical initial cavern geometries are used to provide a common baseline against which to test the systematic variation of input variables including cavern radius, oil-brine-interface (OBI) depth, vertical cell size, raw water injection rate, raw water injection duration, workover time, and number of leaching stages. The use of smaller cell sizes is recommended moving forward to provide a better one-to-one relationship between sonar data and the modeled cavern. A new methodology for incorporating raw water injection data is also recommended, in order to more closely model real-world injection and workover times. Overall, the systematic studies performed here have increased our confidence in previous SANSMIC model results, as well future use of the code for predicting leaching effects on cavern geometries. Some minor changes to modeling choices are recommended, which can easily be applied with the version of SANSMIC currently under development.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

MELCOR Input Model for Spent Fuel Transportation and Storage Canister

This report documents the progress and current results of the MELCOR spent fuel cask input model. The MELCOR model is being developed to investigate aerosol transport and deposition given the aerosol physical phenomena models within MELCOR. To perform the analyses, a general portrayal of the MAGNASTOR® cask system has been employed; however, this system was selected based on available information to provide a reasonable representation of a spent fuel cask. The analytical results are not intended to characterize the performance of the MAGNASTOR® cask. Instead, the provided results are intended to enhance our general understanding of the aerosol behavior within casks and the validity of current models. The current model efforts are being performed to investigate hypothetical UO 2 release from failed fuel pins within a spent fuel cask. The existing MELCOR model of the MAGNASTOR® cask system has been adapted to permit future comparative analyses with the GOTHIC representation of the MAGNASTOR® cask. To support this comparison, the PNNL model characteristics that are unrelated to the aerosol modeling were applied to the MELCOR model. These characteristics included improved comparability of the axial fidelity, total spent fuel power, fuel pin axial power profile, and heat losses from cannister. The thermal-hydraulic solutions are improved within the capability of the MELCOR code and will permit better overall agreement with the GOTHIC results. Detailed results are presented on the thermal-hydraulic analysis of the MELCOR cask as well as characterization of UO 2 aerosol dispersion and deposition within the cask.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Science Area 1: Standard Award: Model-Data Fusion to Examine Multiscale Dynamical Controls on Snow Cover and Critical Zone Moisture Inputs (Final Report)

In many mountain watersheds of the world, seasonal snowpacks play an important role as natural reservoirs of water. Seasonal snowpacks accumulate water during cold, wet winter months that subsequently melts. Downstream communities depend on water from melting seasonal snowpacks to support agricultural, industrial, and municipal water needs. Rapidly melting snowpacks can also present a flooding hazard, particularly if snowpacks melt at rates faster than anticipated and where adequate reservoir capacity is unavailable to buffer river flows associated with melt. The spatial and temporal dynamics of snow accumulation and melt also play an important role in supporting upland ecosystems in mountain landscapes. Snowmelt provides soil moisture that enable terrestrial ecosystem productivity and exert control on soil microorganisms that play important roles in global carbon cycles. Climate warming is gradually decreasing the amount of precipitation in mountain watersheds arriving as snow, presenting potentially profound disruptions to mountain ecosystems, as well as downstream delivery of water. The overarching goal of this project was to understand how interactions between the near-surface atmosphere and surface topography control the input, accumulation, retention, and release of water from mountain snowpacks. Over a 5-year period, this project pursued an approach combining high-resolution regional climate modeling, satellite and airborne remote sensing data, and ground-based observations to develop and analyze benchmark datasets to address overarching science questions and hypotheses. Key products include a continuous, long-term, high spatiotemporal resolution (1 km/1 hr) dataset characterizing key climate variables in the Upper Colorado River Basin. The dataset included historical estimates of precipitation, temperature, humidity, solar and longwave radiation, and wind speeds. Additionally, the project developed a 20+ year long, 30 m spatial, daily temporal multi-sensor dataset characterizing snow presence/absence in the East/Taylor River watersheds in the Central Rocky Mountains of Colorado. The project supported training of 1 postdoctoral scholar, 1 Ph.D. student, and 1 M.S. student.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Developing Non-Food Grade Brassica Biofuel Feedstock Cultivars with High Yield, Oil Content, and Oil Quality that are Suitable for Low Input Production Dryland Systems (Final Report)

The U.S. uses a substantial amount of fossil fuel as an energy source for a wide range for functions including home heating, agriculture and transportation. In the transportation sector, diesel and jet fuel are consumed at a rapid rate, and alternative liquid energy is being investigated globally and nationally to reduce our dependence on fossil fuel and reduce the impact of our carbon footprint on global climate change. Non-food Brassica crops have the potential of producing high oil yield (over 250 gal acre-1) and have oil quality highly desirable for use as biodiesel or bio jet fuel. Developing oilseed feedstock Brassica cultivars with higher seed and oil yield, with high oil quality and with resistance to pathogens, that can be grown with few chemical inputs will helping break our dependence on fossil fuels and reduce importation of fossil fuels. While some oilseed Brassicas have been grown on a small scale for many years in the Pacific Northwest (PNW), adoption has been limited, and the potential of the crops have not been realized or even fully investigated. This report summarizes the results of a study to develop superior non-food grade winter (B. napus) and spring (B. napus and B. juncea) oilseed cultivars suitable for a range of PNW, and other US environments with high resistance to the biotic and abiotic stresses suitable for high-quality biofuel feedstocks. In conducting this work, genome-wide association selection was used to dissect the genetic architecture of industrial Brassica oilseed germplasm for yield, quality, and resistance to biotic and abiotic stresses. A genome-wide bioinformatics approach was used to identify putative PRR (pattern recognition receptor) - type resistance genes that confer durable resistance to blackleg. A novel transgenic approach was developed to generate resistant non-food oilseed lines using PPR genes Br1033 and Br8486. These genes were inserted into regionally adapted oilseed cultivars.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Community Input on the Need, Scope, and Development Roadmap of a Proposed National Virtual Biosecurity for Bioenergy Crops Center (NVBBCC)

Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) was awarded a pilot project in FY22 under the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Science Biopreparedness Research Virtual Environment (BRaVE) initiative, to define research priorities, needs, and requirements for a national virtual center devoted to the biosecurity of bioenergy crops. The mission of the proposed center, referred to as the National Virtual Biosecurity for Bioenergy Crop Center (NVBBCC), would be to provide the scientific basis and tools to detect, characterize, model, and mitigate biothreats to bioenergy crops. This function will be essential to ensure the projected increased US reliance over the next few decades on key plant-based energy products, such as biojet fuel. The NVBBCC is envisioned as a distributed, virtual center with multiple national laboratories at its core to maximize the use of existing unique facilities and expertise across the DOE complex. A major goal of the pilot project was to develop a roadmap for establishing NVBBCC through a series of meetings to gather community input. A total of about 150 individuals, drawn from DOE laboratories, the USDA, academia, NIH, DHS and the private sector participated in six planning meetings held in FY23. Four of the meetings were focused on specific research topics (disease detection, dispersion and disease propagation, biomolecular characterization of plant-pathogen interaction, and mitigation strategies). These four meetings were followed by a meeting that focused on computational needs to support collaborative, data-intensive research within a distributed center as well as workforce development. A final meeting focused on establishing and maintaining preparedness within NVBBCC to respond to an emerging disease within bioenergy crops and how it would collaborate and coordinate with USDA and DHS.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Low RF Loss DC Conductive Ceramic for High Power Input Coupler Windows for SRF Cavities

Euclid Techlabs, LLC is developing a low RF loss/DC conductive MgTi ceramics for high power input coupler windows for SRF cavities, under DOE SBIR phase II grant DE-SC0017150. JLab was subcontracted to: fabricate two 500 kW capable pre-stressed coaxial windows; provide an RF testing fixture, and test the window with low power and high power RF. This collaboration helped to develop a better material for high power RF windows, with low RF loss and less prone to arcing, with the potential to improve the state of the art high power RF window performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Emergency Management of Tomorrow Research – Task 3B Research and Development Community Awareness: Eliciting Emergency Management Stakeholder Input

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Science and Technology Directorate (S&T) is partnering with Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to execute the Emergency Management (EM) of Tomorrow Research (EMOTR) program to identify current EM research, elicit capability needs from EM practitioners, and identify where technology, such as artificial intelligence (AI), may benefit the future of EM and emergency operations centers. This report details the methodology, analysis, and insights of interviews and focus groups conducted as part of the task to elicit stakeholder input.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Characterization of Build Parameters and Microstructure in Low Heat Input WAAM of Ni-Based Superalloy Haynes 282

Ni-based superalloy Haynes® 282® is being targeted for various applications in advanced power generation systems for its superior fabricability, weldability, and excellent high temperature creep and corrosion performance. This process optimization study aims to use a low heat-input, high deposition rate, controlled Gas Metal Arc Welding (GMAW) process, Cold Metal Transfer (CMT) by Fronius, attempting to achieve fully dense fabrication and possibly avoid the need for HIP. Twenty-one multilayer blocks (~25x100x40 mm3) were deposited to explore a large set of build parameters variations that focused on varying the travel speed from 14 to 42 inches per minute (ipm) and wire feed speed from 150 to 450 ipm. A strong correlation has been observed between arc energy – controlled primarily by travel and wire feed speed. Initial visual inspection, internal microstructural examination, and computed tomography (CT) have been used to determine the effects of built parameters on evolution of internal porosity and defects. Scanning electron microscopy techniques enabled structural and compositional imaging of heterogeneity and changes in microstructural properties.

additive manufacturing↗

DOE OSTI2025

Characterization of Build Parameters and Microstructure in Low Heat Input WAAM of Ni-Based Superalloy Haynes 282

additive manufacturing↗

DOE OSTI2026

Databook Inputs to Safety Analysis for Launch Approval

The purpose of this document is to define the data inputs required for a full safety analysis to support launch approval.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

PLEXOS Inputs for Voisin et al. 2020 [Data set]

These data files provide MOSART-WM monthly flows at hydropower dam and HUC4 outlet locations. The flows are transformed into monthly generation constraints scenarios for hydro (generation potential) and thermal power plants (derated capacity) for input to the PLEXOS model. Contact: Sean Turner , Nathalie Voisin Authors: Nathalie Voisin, Ana Dyreson, Tao Fu, Matt O'Connell, Sean Turner, Tian Zhou, Jordan Macknick

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Energy Prediction under Changed Demand Conditions: Robust Machine Learning Models and Input Feature Combinations

Deciding on a suitable algorithm for energy demand prediction in a building is non-trivial and depends on the availability of data. In this paper we compare four machine learning models, commonly found in the literature, in terms of their generalization performance and in terms of how using different sets of input features affects accuracy. This is tested on a data set where consumption patterns differ significantly between training and evaluation because of the Covid-19 pandemic. We provide a hands-on guide and supply a Python framework for building operators to adapt and use in their applications.

Schranz, Thomas↗

DOE OSTI2023

Constraining Inputs to Realistic Kilonova Simulations through Comparison to Observed r -process Abundances

Kilonovae, one source of electromagnetic emission associated with neutron star mergers, are powered by the decay of radioactive isotopes in the neutron-rich merger ejecta. Models for kilonova emission consistent with the electromagnetic counterpart to GW170817 predict characteristic abundance patterns, determined by the relative balance of different types of material in the outflow. Assuming that the observed source is prototypical, this inferred abundance pattern in turn must match r -process abundances deduced by other means, such as what is observed in the solar system. We report on analysis comparing the input mass-weighted elemental compositions adopted in our radiative transfer simulations to the mass fractions of elements in the Sun, as a practical prototype for the potentially universal abundance signature from neutron star mergers. We characterize the extent to which our parameter inference results depend on our assumed composition for the dynamical and wind ejecta and examine how the new results compare to previous work. We find that a dynamical ejecta composition calculated using the FRDM2012 nuclear mass and FRLDM fission models with extremely neutron-rich ejecta ($Y_e$ = 0.035) along with moderately neutron-rich ($Y_e$ = 0.27) wind ejecta composition yields a wind-to-dynamical mass ratio of $M_w$/$M_d$ = 0.47, which best matches the observed AT2017gfo kilonova light curves while also producing the bestmatching abundance of neutron capture elements in the solar system, though, allowing for systematics, the ratio may be as high as of order unity.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

ESPPU INPUT: C$^3$ within the "Linear Collider Vision"

The Linear Collider Vision calls for a Linear Collider Facility with a physics reach from a Higgs Factory to the TeV-scale with $e^+e^{-}$ collisions. One of the technologies under consideration for the accelerator is a cold-copper distributed-coupling linac capable of achieving high gradient. This technology is being pursued by the C$^3$ collaboration to understand its applicability to future colliders and broader scientific applications. In this input we share the baseline parameters for a C$^3$ Higgs-factory and the energy reach of up to 3 TeV in the 33 km tunnel foreseen under the Linear Collider Vision. Recent results, near-term plans and future R&D needs are highlighted.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Utilizing physics-based input features within a machine learning model to predict wind speed forecasting error

Machine learning is quickly becoming a commonly used technique for wind speed and power forecasting. Many machine learning methods utilize exogenous variables as input features, but there remains the question of which atmospheric variables are most beneficial for forecasting, especially in handling non-linearities that lead to forecasting error. This question is addressed via creation of a hybrid model that utilizes an autoregressive integrated moving-average (ARIMA) model to make an initial wind speed forecast followed by a random forest model that attempts to predict the ARIMA forecasting error using knowledge of exogenous atmospheric variables. Variables conveying information about atmospheric stability and turbulence as well as inertial forcing are found to be useful in dealing with non-linear error prediction. Streamwise wind speed, time of day, turbulence intensity, turbulent heat flux, vertical velocity, and wind direction are found to be particularly useful when used in unison for hourly and 3 h timescales. The prediction accuracy of the developed ARIMA–random forest hybrid model is compared to that of the persistence and bias-corrected ARIMA models. The ARIMA–random forest model is shown to improve upon the latter commonly employed modeling methods, reducing hourly forecasting error by up to 5 % below that of the bias-corrected ARIMA model and achieving an R 2 value of 0.84 with true wind speed.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

r-process abundances in neutron-rich merger ejecta given different theoretical nuclear physics inputs

This data release contains nucleosynthesis predictions for the r-process abundances presented in Côté, Eichler, Yagüe, Vassh et al. (2021) for compact object merger ejecta based on the publicly available simulation trajectories of Rosswog et al. (2013). All ejecta for the merger scenarios considered here are very neutron-rich (Ye ~ 0.016-0.11). Calculations were performed with the PRISM code (Mumpower et al. 2018) which accounts for nuclear reheating (here with a reheating efficiency of 50%). Results are reported for several different theoretical nuclear physics inputs but all calculations make use of the GEF fission yield prescription (see Vassh et al. 2019). All abundances are given at 1 Myr (10^6 years) post-merger. Please see the README file for more details and references. When using these nucleosynthesis yields, please cite this Zenodo data release (Vassh et al. 2021), and refer to Vassh et al. (2019) and Côté, Eichler, Yagüe, Vassh et al. (2021) for further details on the nuclear data applied as well as Rosswog et al. (2013), Piran et al. (2013), and Korobkin et al. (2012) for further details on the merger ejecta trajectories.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗