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At least 181 records · Page 10

Megafires in a Warming World: What Wildfire Risk Factors Led to California’s Largest Recorded Wildfire

Massive wildfires and extreme fire behavior are becoming more frequent across the westernUnited States, creating a need to better understand how megafire behavior will evolve in our warmingworld. Here, the fire spread model Prometheus is used to simulate the initial explosive growth ofthe 2020 August Complex, which occurred in northern California (CA) mixed conifer forests. Hightemperatures, low relative humidity, and daytime southerly winds were all highly correlated withextreme rates of modeled spread. Fine fuels reached very dry levels, which accelerated simulationgrowth and heightened fire heat release (HR). Model sensitivity tests indicate that fire growth andHR are most sensitive to aridity and fuel moisture content. Despite the impressive early observedgrowth of the fire, shifting the simulation ignition to a very dry September 2020 heatwave predicted a>50% increase in growth and HR, as well as increased nighttime fire activity. Detailed model analysesof how extreme fire behavior develops can help fire personnel prepare for problematic ignitions.

Kevin Varga↗

A numerical study on the sooting tendencies of bio-derived fuels for spark-ignition engines

While more efficient vehicles have been developed over the decades, their performance is limited by the properties of existing fuels. In response, the Co-Optimization of Fuels and Engines Initiative (Co-Optima) under the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has developed a rigorous screening approach to identify the most promising biomass-derived blendstocks that are suitable for advanced spark-ignition (SI) engines. A detailed kinetic model has also been developed to predict the combustion properties of the selected blendstocks. This kinetic model has been designed mainly targeting ignition and flame propagation properties, and it has not previously been validated for soot formation. In this work, we numerically predicted the sooting tendency of 20 Co-Optima SI blendstocks using the Co-Optima kinetic model. The sooting tendencies are determined quantitatively using the Yield Sooting Index (YSI) methodology. As shown in Fig. 1, the predicted YSIs show good agreement with measurements, except for 2,5-dimethylfuran. We also quantify the sensitivity of the YSI predictions to aromatic growth reactions and fuel decomposition reactions of the test fuels. It is found that PAH growth reactions have little impact on YSIs for all 20 fuels under investigation. On the other hand, fuel decomposition reactions have a significant influence on the YSI of 2,5-dimethylfuran. Perturbing their reaction rates by a factor of two is shown to lead to 11 % YSI prediction uncertainty.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Computational analysis of flame initiation, quenching, and re-ignition in a prechamber natural gas engine under varying EGR-dilution levels

The on-road natural-gas (NG) fueled transportation relies on stoichiometric spark-ignition engines for the advantages of simple after-treatment system despite the efficiency penalty relative to lean-burn combustion strategies. Exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) has the potential to reduce this efficiency gap at low to moderate loads without the need for complex lean-exhaust aftertreatment systems. However, EGR dilution leads to reduced combustion stability and increased cycle-to-cycle variability. A promising technology that has the potential to achieve reliable operation under diluted conditions is the prechamber ignition (or turbulent jet ignition) which uses chemically active turbulent jets generated from combustion inside a prechamber to initiate, stabilize and accelerate combustion of the mixture inside the main chamber. The present work focusses on developing a RANS-based CFD approach to accurately reproduce in-cylinder phenomena in a stoichiometric NG prechamber-assisted heavy-duty engine without relying on complex combustion models that account for turbulence-chemistry interactions. This is necessary because reactive prechamber jets at high EGR dilution tend to extinguish while emerging into the main chamber, which is followed by a phase of re-ignition — a phenomenon that conventional G-equation or well-stirred reactor combustion models cannot reproduce. With addition of a damping multiplier to the well-stirred reactor model, the predictions are seen to show good agreement with experimental pressure evolution and combustion images acquired from a single cylinder Cummins N-14 optical diesel engine retrofitted with a prechamber ignition system. Model predictions of local heat release in the flame and temperature evolution inside the flame are used to investigate combustion dynamics in the prechamber and the main chamber. It is seen that the well-stirred reactor model with the inclusion of damping is able to reproduce the temporary reduction in heat release within the flame, which can be considered equivalent to quenching of jets, and the subsequent re-ignition of the flame inside the main chamber. The delay between quenching and re-ignition depends on the amount of dilution, as explained by an illustration of flame evolution in a Borghi diagram.

Prechamber ignition↗

Multi-regime mixing modeling for local extinction and re-ignition in turbulent non-premixed flame by using LES/FDF method

Local extinction and re-ignition occur in turbulent non-premixed combustion when the Damköhler number is not large enough and the combustion is not fully mixing controlled. The occurrence of local extinction introduces locally extinguished flame holes followed by a premixed flame propagation toward the hole center to potentially reignite the flame. The co-existence of the non-premixed and premixed combustion regimes complicates the modeling since traditional combustion models are mostly for a single regime. In this work, we examine the effect of multi-regime mixing modeling in the transported filtered density function (FDF) method on the predictions of local extinction and reignition. Predictions of local extinction and reignition remain a challenge for the FDF method despite the progress made in the past. To account for the multi-regime combustion, two different mixing timescale models for non-premixed and premixed combustion are combined. A flame index based on the gradients of fuel and oxidizer is used to define a weighting factor to blend the two mixing timescale models. A turbulent jet non-premixed flame with substantial local extinction, the Sydney piloted jet flame L, is adopted as a test case to examine the performance of the multi-regime model in large-eddy simulation/FDF modeling. It is found that the traditional non-premixed mixing timescale model when combined with the modified Curl mixing leads to global extinction for the Sydney flame L without the presence of the premixed combustion regime. After accounting for the multi-regime combustion with proper detection of the different combustion regimes, the predictions for the flame statistics and the amount of local extinction are significantly improved. Furthermore, it suggests the need of including multi-regime combustion for the predictions of local extinction and re-ignition in turbulent non-premixed combustion configurations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Transported Livengood–Wu Integral Model for Knock Prediction in Computational Fluid Dynamics Simulation

This work describes the development of a transported Livengood–Wu (L–W) integral model for computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation to predict autoignition and engine knock tendency. The currently employed L–W integral model considers both single-stage and two-stage ignition processes, thus can be generally applied to different fuels such as paraffin, olefin, aromatics, and alcohol. The model implementation is first validated in simulations of homogeneous charge compression ignition (HCCI) combustion for three different fuels, showing good accuracy in prediction of autoignition timing for fuels with either single-stage or two-stage ignition characteristics. Then, the L–W integral model is coupled with G-equation model to indicate end-gas autoignition and knock tendency in CFD simulations of a direct-injection spark-ignition engine. This modeling approach is about 10 times more efficient than the ones that based on detailed chemistry calculation and pressure oscillation analysis. Two fuels with same Research Octane Number (RON) but different octane sensitivity are studied, namely, Co-Optima alkylate and Co-Optima E30. Feed-forward neural network model in conjunction with multivariable minimization technique is used to generate fuel surrogates with targets of matched RON, octane sensitivity, and ethanol content. The CFD model is validated against experimental data in terms of pressure traces and heat release rate for both fuels under a wide range of operating conditions. The knock tendency—indicated by the fuel energy contained in the autoignited region—of the two fuels at different load conditions correlates well with the experimental results and the fuel octane sensitivity, implying the current knock modeling approach can capture the octane sensitivity effect and can be applied to further investigation on composition of octane sensitivity.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Study of igniter design and applications to low smoke solid rockets

A simple analysis of igniter design is described which is sufficiently general to be applicable to any 'basket'-type housing containing one or more charges. The gas equation of state is used in conjunction with the experimentally determined propellant burning-rate law to predict the pressure-time histories in the igniter housing and the rocket motor. Typical numerical results are presented for three cases which represent three experimental conditions tested in a project on low-smoke motors where the requirements on the exhaust were sufficiently stringent to preclude condensible matter from the igniter. Pressure was measured continuously in time at two locations in the igniter housing and at the head end of the motor case. The agreement between theoretical and experimental results is felt to be encouraging considering the complexity of the problem and the many simplifications in the analysis.

Ramohalli, K.↗

Design options for achieving burning plasma and gain for next-generation laser direct-drive facilities

The development of next-generation laser technology opens up the potential to build a direct-drive inertial confinement fusion facility that is capable of reaching burning plasma or ignition conditions at moderate laser energies in the hundreds of kilojoules. The addition of bandwidth to the laser source and the use of focal-spot zooming are predicted to significantly increase the ablative drive pressure, while a larger number of beam-ports (∼100) will keep irradiation nonuniformities below an acceptable limit. This study outlines target design options for reaching burning plasma and ignition using laser direct-drive (LDD). It is shown that such designs are predicted to robustly reach ignition at a laser drive energy of 250 kJ. Two-dimensional (2D) simulations are used to investigate the scaling of target performance vs power imbalance, mispointing and imprint. The simulations confirm that 250 kJ is sufficient to maintain gain above unity when perturbed with the amount of power imbalance, mispointing and laser imprint achievable in current direct-drive experiments on OMEGA.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Autoignition behavior of gasoline/ethanol blends at engine-relevant conditions

Ethanol is an attractive oxygenate increasingly used for blending with petroleum-derived gasoline yielding beneficial combustion and emissions behavior for a range of internal combustion engine schemes, including stoichiometric spark-ignition and low temperature combustion (LTC). As such, it is important to fundamentally understand the autoignition behavior of gasoline/ethanol blends. This work utilizes a rapid compression machine (RCM) and a homogeneous charge compression ignition (HCCI) engine to experimentally quantify changes in fuel reactivity, through ignition delay times and preliminary heat release, for blends of 0 to 30% vol./vol. into a full boiling range research gasoline (FACE-F). Diluted/stoichiometric and undiluted/fuel-lean conditions are explored covering a wide range of compressed temperatures and pressures relevant to conventional and advanced, gasoline combustion engines. Detailed chemical kinetic modeling is undertaken using a recently updated gasoline surrogate model in conjunction with a five-component surrogate to model the RCM experiments and provide chemical insight into the perturbative effects of ethanol on the autoignition process. The diluted/stoichiometric RCM measurements reveal that within the low-temperature regime ethanol retards first-stage and main ignition delay times, and suppresses both the rates and extents of low-temperature heat release (LTHR), while within the intermediate-temperature regime ethanol only causes slight changes. Good agreement of ignition delay time and preliminary heat release prediction is found between model and experimental results. Sensitivity and flux analyses further show that ethanol blending effects are dominated by the competition between the H-atom abstraction from ethanol and other fuel components by OH radical at low temperatures and by HO 2 radical at intermediate temperatures. These findings are consistent across both fuel loading conditions explored in this study. In addition, when HCCI engine experiments are mapped onto undiluted/lean RCM measurements under a constant combustion phasing scenario, good correspondence between the two apparatuses is observed for LTHR and start of high-temperature heat release. Finally, the current study highlights the importance of characterizing LTHR in predicting fuel behaviors in high-boost/low-temperature engines, and demonstrates that RCM experiments can provide an alternative, and more-efficient avenue for such characterization.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Skeletal model reduction with forced optimally time dependent modes

Skeletal model reduction based on local sensitivity analysis of time dependent systems is presented in which sensitivities are modeled by forced optimally time dependent (f-OTD) modes. The f-OTD factorizes the sensitivity coefficient matrix into a compressed format as the product of two skinny matrices, i.e. f-OTD modes and f-OTD coefficients. The modes create a low-dimensional, time dependent, orthonormal basis which capture the directions of the phase space associated with most dominant sensitivities. These directions highlight the instantaneous active species, and reaction paths. Evolution equations for the f-OTD modes and coefficients are derived, and the implementation of f-OTD for skeletal reduction is described. For demonstration, skeletal reduction is conducted of the constant pressure ethylene-air burning in a zero-dimensional reactor, and new reduced models are generated. The laminar flame speed, the ignition delay, and the extinction curve as predicted by the models are compared against some existing skeletal models in literature for the same detailed model. Finally, the results demonstrate the capability of f-OTD to eliminate unimportant reactions and species in a systematic, efficient and accurate manner.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Investigating the potential of a higher reactivity fuel to achieve faster heat-up of aftertreatment systems

Shortening the aftertreatment system heat-up period will be crucial to meet upcoming emissions regulations, which mandate significant reductions in tail-pipe emissions for on-road heavy-duty vehicles. This work studies the impact of increasing fuel reactivity on the combustion of post injections during the expansion stroke. The work demonstrates an operating strategy using a blend of di-butyl ether (a potential low-carbon biofuel component) and #2 diesel that achieves higher exhaust enthalpy, while maintaining similar engine-out emissions (NOx and combustion efficiency) in comparison to the baseline #2 diesel fuel (cetane number 41). On average, a 12% increase in exhaust enthalpy was observed for the blend (cetane number 60) relative to the baseline fuel. The ability to operate the higher reactivity fuel at a more retarded post-injection timing, where combustion with #2 diesel was found to be more unstable, and less complete was key to achieving higher exhaust enthalpy. However, a small fuel penalty (3%–5%) was also associated with the higher reactivity fuel with this operating strategy. The formation of fuel lean regions, due to the long ignition delays at late injection conditions, was predicted to be the leading contributor to the increased emissions of products of partial combustion. Here, chemical kinetic simulations using surrogates for the fuels used in the experiments, demonstrated the ability of a higher cetane fuel to outperform the baseline fuel under fuel lean conditions with equivalence ratios less than 0.7.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Modeling gas–shell mixing in ICF with separated reactants

Mixing between fuel and shell materials in ICF implosions can affect implosion dynamics and even prevent ignition. We use data from a series of separated reactant experiments on the National Ignition Facility to calibrate and test the predictive power of gas–shell mix models. Two models are used to estimate fuel–shell mix: a Reynolds-averaged turbulence model and molecular diffusion. Minor uncertainties in capsule manufacture, experimental conditions, and values for mix model parameters produce significant variation in simulation results. Using input/output pairs from 1D simulations, we train Gaussian process surrogate models to predict experimental quantities of interest. The surrogates are used to construct posteriors for mix model parameters by marginalizing over uncertainties in capsule manufacture and experimental conditions. Mix models are calibrated with a subset of experimental data (neutron yields, ion temperature, and bang time) and tested using the remaining data. In general, both the diffusion and turbulence model correctly predict experimental DT and TT neutron yields. Despite having more free parameters, the turbulence model underpredicts ion temperature at high convergence ratio. Furthermore, the simpler diffusion model correctly predicts these temperatures, suggesting nonhydrodynamic gas–shell mix. The computational model consistently overpredicts DD neutron yield, indicating possible shortcomings outside of the mix model.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

First graded metal pushered single shell capsule implosions on the National Ignition Facility

Graded metal pushered single shell (PSS) capsules are predicted to be a viable alternative to low-Z capsule indirect drive inertial confinement fusion (ICF) implosions for achieving high fusion yields [MacLaren et al., Phys. Plasmas 28, 122710 (2021)]. The first experiments with Be/Cr-graded metal PSS capsules indicate that the implementation of the principle design feature, the graded density inner metal layer, has succeeded in producing a stable implosion with performance in agreement with predictions. With 50% Cr concentration in the pusher, PSS capsules have greater than ~2× higher shell densities during stagnation for enhanced core confinement and radiation trapping at ~35% lower shell implosion velocities than low-Z capsules. High-energy >30 keV inflight shell radiography recorded 215 km/s implosion velocities and show that implosion Legendre mode P 2 asymmetry can be tuned via inner-to-outer beam wavelength separation, similar to other implosions. Shell radiographs and neutron core images show similar P 2 asymmetry, suggesting no symmetry swings between peak implosion velocity and stagnation times. Despite the modest implosion velocities, gas-filled deuterium–tritium capsule implosions generate 10 15 neutron yields at relatively modest core ion temperatures of 2.75 keV, indicating that in spite of the high-density inner layer, the implosions have been stabilized by the design density gradient. When compared with hydrodynamic simulations, the measured yield-over-simulated is 35% due to fuel–pusher mix and other perturbations such as the capsule fill tube. Finally, simple analytical scalings of hot spot pressure and neutron yield show that PSS implosions reach similar performance at lower implosion velocities and higher shell densities to low-Z ICF capsules.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Flight Motor Set 360L003 (STS-29R)

The redesigned solid rocket motor (RSRM) flight set 360L003 was launched on March 13, 1989 as part of NASA space shuttle mission STS-29R. As was the case with flight sets 360L001 and 360L002 (STS-26R and STS-27R), both motors (360L003A and 360L003B) performed in an excellent manner. Evaluation of the ground environment instrumentation measurements verified thermal model analysis data and showed agreement with predicted environmental effects. The right-hand aft field joint primary heater failed during the countdown; the secondary heater was activated and performed as designed. All other field joint heaters and aft skirt thermal conditioning systems had no anomalies. Shuttle thermal imager infrared readings compared favorably with measured ground environment instrumentation data. No thermal launch commit criteria violations occurred at any time. Evaluation of the development flight instrumentation showed exceptional propulsion performance. All ballistic parameters closely matched the predicted values and were well within the required specification levels. Girth and biaxial strain gage measurements compared closely with corresponding gages on previous flight motors, static tests, and with preflight predictions. Adequate safety factors were verified. (Some ignition transient spiking was noted in a few girth gages; the spiking was determined not to be representative of actual case behavior, but an instrumentation phenomena.) The accelerometers again measured high vibration amplitude levels during the ignition transient and the reentry Max Q phases. Postflight inspection showed that all combustion gas was contained by the insulation in the field and case-to-nozzle joints. No anomalous insulation erosion patterns were found, and the seals that did directly contain motor pressure showed no heat effects, erosion, or blowby. All anomalies identified were a result of splashdown damage, with the exception of fretting in the case field joint interference (nonsealing) surfaces and a prelaunch field joint heater failure. The disposition of all anomalies and the complete results are reported.

Riehr, Glen A.↗

Infrared Imagery of Solid Rocket Exhaust Plumes

The Ares I Scale Model Acoustic Test program consisted of a series of 18 solid rocket motor static firings, simulating the liftoff conditions of the Ares I five-segment Reusable Solid Rocket Motor Vehicle. Primary test objectives included acquiring acoustic and pressure data which will be used to validate analytical models for the prediction of Ares 1 liftoff acoustics and ignition overpressure environments. The test article consisted of a 5% scale Ares I vehicle and launch tower mounted on the Mobile Launch Pad. The testing also incorporated several Water Sound Suppression Systems. Infrared imagery was employed during the solid rocket testing to support the validation or improvement of analytical models, and identify corollaries between rocket plume size or shape and the accompanying measured level of noise suppression obtained by water sound suppression systems.

Moran, Robert P.↗

Utilizing the deuterium-tritium fusion resonance to diagnose thermal runaway in igniting plasmas

For high-efficiency inertial confinement fusion implosions, it is predicted that a burning hot spot will successfully encompass all surrounding fuel and then transition into a thermal runaway where the internal energy increase from fusion occurs on a timescale faster than the expansion of the fuel is able to quench the fusion chain reaction after ignition occurs. Observation of this dynamic phase transition would indicate distinct burn properties and indicate an implosion's robustness. A technique for diagnosing the presence of thermal runaway from measurements of nuclear reaction history is presented. The technique is based on taking the logarithmic derivative of the nuclear reaction history, called the 𝛼 curve, and allowing a mathematical decoupling of the mass, volume, and thermal reactivity in the fusion reaction rate equation. During thermal runaway, where the thermal temperature dominates the burn dynamics, a maximum in the 𝛼 curve is found where there is a maximum in the first derivative of the thermal fusion reactivity, an effect to the deuterium-tritium (DT) fusion cross-section resonance. This provides a distinct signature related to the fundamental nature of the DT fusion nuclear resonance and signifies the transition into the fusion thermal instability. Impacts of charged particle transport on the effect are also assessed and the analytical formulas are compared and found to be in agreement with radiation hydrodynamic codes.

high-energy-density plasmas↗

Approaching hydro-equivalent ignition in laser direct-drive via target design optimization using novel statistical modeling

Laser direct-drive offers significant advantages in terms of target simplicity, improved energy coupling, and large fuel masses over indirect drive. However, performance degradations from hydrodynamic and laser-plasma instabilities seeded and driven by the direct illumination pose limitations on the parameter space available for achieving ignition. In this paper, new design improvements are identified to forge a path forward for a hydro-equivalent ignition demonstration. The first is related to a new formulation of the statistical model (SM) used to accurately predict target performance directly from input parameters such as laser pulse shape and target specifications. This new SM formulation provides direct guidance on target dimensions and laser beam-to-target radius to achieve the highest fusion yield on the OMEGA laser. The second improvement comes from cooling the deuterium–tritium (DT) ice layer below the triple point right before shot time leading to lower DT vapor densities and higher convergence. Guided by these design improvements, a Bayesian optimization algorithm was used to design an implosion that is predicted to closely approach a Lawson triple product that hydrodynamically scales to ignition if equivalent laser–target coupling is achieved at laser energies typical of the National Ignition Facility.

Deuterium↗

Dynamic fire and smoke detection and classification for flashover prediction

Flashover is a dangerous phenomenon caused by near-simultaneous ignition of exposed materials. It is one of the major causes of firefighter fatalities. Research has been done using CMOS vision cameras combined with thermal sensors to perform remote detection and dynamic classification of fire and smoke patterns. Tests and experiments have been done to detect fire and smoke remotely. The inexpensive visible and infrared sensors used in the tests corroborate and closely follow the detailed trends recorded by the more expensive (and less mobile) radiometers and thermocouples. Deep neural networks (DNN) have been used to detect, classify and track fire and smoke areas. Real-time segmentation is utilized to measure the fire and smoke boundaries. The segmentations are used to dynamically monitor fluctuations in temperature, fire size and smoke progression in the monitored areas. A fire and smoke progression curve has been drawn to predict the flashover point. In the paper, data analysis and preliminary results will be shown. Keywords: Flashover, fire, smoke, deep learning, visible and infrared vision

Chow, Edward↗

Optimization of spray breakup model parameters for predicting fuel spray and film characteristics in gasoline direct injection engines

This study investigated the behavior of gasoline direct injection (GDI) sprays using computational fluid dynamics (CFD). The authors developed an approach to identify optimal spray breakup model parameters by evaluating an error function across numerous simulations, with the goal of minimizing discrepancies from experimental data. Using the optimal setup, the simulated spray matched well with projected liquid volume distributions, liquid penetration, and spray width measured in a constant-pressure continuous-flow chamber. To further validate the approach, the same setup was tested across various fuels, injectors, and operating conditions. Subsequently, the optimal setup, along with a recently developed spray-wall interaction model, were applied to a direct-injection spark-ignited engine under late-injection conditions to predict and evaluate fuel film formation and evolution at varying engine coolant temperatures. Here, with the centrally mounted injector directing the spray toward the piston, simulations indicated that the spray tends to impinge on the piston surface. The proposed simulation framework also accurately captured the aggregate film area on the piston surface, aligning with previously published experimental results. Moreover, simulations showed that increasing the coolant temperature from cold start conditions (333 K) to warm conditions (363 K) reduced the fuel mass deposited on the piston by roughly 50%. Furthermore, for the spray-guided engine configuration studied in this work, the CFD model predicted minimal film deposition on the spark plug electrodes regardless of the coolant temperatures due to a relatively weak in-cylinder flow during the compression phase.

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD)↗