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At least 181 records · Page 10

Flight Path Control Error Analysis for the Helioswarm Observatory

The HelioSwarm Observatory requires specific geometries be formed by the nine satellites in the swarm to resolve different scales of solar wind turbulence. Maneuver execution and state estimation drive flight path control errors that could disrupt the swarm geometry. Using a Monte-Carlo analysis, flight path control errors for dispersed trajectories were generated and the impact to science performance and other mission constraints evaluated. The results highlight the unique aspects of swarm-type multi-satellite missions in terms of maneuver planning and error tolerance.

Swarm↗

Error analysis for Mariner Venus/Mercury 1973 conducted at the JPL Mesa west antenna range

Theoretical analysis and experimental data are combined to yield the errors to be used with antenna gain, antenna patterns, and RF cable insertion loss measurements for the Mariner Venus-Mercury 1973 Flight Project. These errors apply to measurements conducted at the JPL Mesa, West Antenna Range, on the high gain antenna, low gain antenna, and RF coaxial cables.

Vincent, N. L.↗

Asteroid orbital error analysis: Theory and application

We present a rigorous Bayesian theory for asteroid orbital error estimation in which the probability density of the orbital elements is derived from the noise statistics of the observations. For Gaussian noise in a linearized approximation the probability density is also Gaussian, and the errors of the orbital elements at a given epoch are fully described by the covariance matrix. The law of error propagation can then be applied to calculate past and future positional uncertainty ellipsoids (Cappellari et al. 1976, Yeomans et al. 1987, Whipple et al. 1991). To our knowledge, this is the first time a Bayesian approach has been formulated for orbital element estimation. In contrast to the classical Fisherian school of statistics, the Bayesian school allows a priori information to be formally present in the final estimation. However, Bayesian estimation does give the same results as Fisherian estimation when no priori information is assumed (Lehtinen 1988, and reference therein).

Muinonen, K.↗

Why Is Rainfall Error Analysis Requisite for Data Assimilation and Climate Modeling?

Given the large temporal and spatial variability of precipitation processes, errors in rainfall observations are difficult to quantify yet crucial to making effective use of rainfall data for improving atmospheric analysis, weather forecasting, and climate modeling. We highlight the need for developing a quantitative understanding of systematic and random errors in precipitation observations by examining explicit examples of how each type of errors can affect forecasts and analyses in global data assimilation. We characterize the error information needed from the precipitation measurement community and how it may be used to improve data usage within the general framework of analysis techniques, as well as accuracy requirements from the perspective of climate modeling and global data assimilation.

Hou, Arthur Y.↗

Error Analysis on Numerical Integration Algorithms in a Hypoelasticity Framework

This report determines local truncation errors for common stress integration algorithms used in explicit finite element codes with hypoelastic material models. The hypoelastic integration algorithms in question utilize an operator splitting procedure in a rotation neutralized configuration, where the stress response is determined from de- coupling the total deformation into rotational and strain dependent components. This document analyzes the error in evolving the stress given a one-step time increment Δt and compares the errors associated with both the rotational and strain components of the operator splitting method. A slight modification to a traditional algorithm is proposed and studied, where the rate of deformation is appropriately rotated from the midstep configuration at t n+1/2 to the end step configuration at t n+1 before the constitutive evaluation. The proposed modification either completely eliminates the error associated with the rotation rate or is of the same order of magnitude as the original algorithm for the three test cases considered in this report. These cases consist of an unaxial stretch with a constant true strain rate with a rigid body rotation, an uniaxial stretch with a constant engineering strain rate with a rigid body rotation, and a simple shear deformation. All three cases are compared to a closed form solution, and in almost every test case the alternative algorithm yields the most accurate one-step local truncation error.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Error analysis of bent ray radio occultation measurments

There are two types of experimental measurement errors of the Doppler data associated with the radio occultation, random and systematic. Random errors are due to thermal noise in the transmission channel, and the phase lock loop, and quantization error in the digital circuitry. These are called noise type errors. The systematic errors are due to geometric uncertainty and equipment phase instability. Considered is the amount of uncertainty, due to random measurement errors, in the refractivity profiles reconstructed by this type of indirect sensing experiment. A class of refractivity profiles is defined which approximately fit the set of measured data. Bounds are placed on the extent of this class of solution profiles. To accomplish this, the sensivity of the reconstructed refractivity profiles to errors in the measured quantity and the statistics of the errors in the measurement are examined.

Saintgermain, R. L.↗

Mars gravity field error analysis from simulated radio tracking of Mars Observer

Results are presented on the analysis of the recovery of the Martian gravity field from tracking data in the presence of unmodeled error effects associated with different orbit orientations. The analysis was based on the mission plan for the Mars Observer (MO) radio tracking data from the Deep Space Network. From the analysis, a conservative estimate of the gravitational accuracy for the entire mission could be obtained. The results suggest that, because the atmospheric drag is the dominant error source, the spacecraft orbit could possibly be raised in altitude without a significant loss of gravitational signal. A change in altitude will also alleviate the large effects seen in the spectrum the satellite resonant orders.

Smith, D. E.↗

Monte Carlo analysis: error of extrapolated thermal conductivity from molecular dynamics simulations

In this short report, we give an analysis of the extrapolated thermal conductivity of UO2 from earlier molecular dynamics (MD) simulations [1]. Because almost all material properties are functions of temperature, e.g. fission gas release, the fuel thermal conductivity is the most important parameter from a model sensitivity perspective [2]. Thus, it is useful to perform such analysis.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Worst error analysis of batch filter and sequential filter in the approach phase of spacecraft navigation problems

The worst error performance of the sequential filter is compared with the performance of the batch filter which is still in general use in the deep space tracking. An approach phase of a spacecraft on a typical mission to the planet Mars is considered. The estimated parameters include the position and the speed of the spacecraft, nongravitational acceleration acting on the spacecraft, and the locations of the tracking stations.

Nishimura, T.↗

Error analysis of analytic solutions for self-excited near-symmetric rigid bodies - A numerical study

Analytic error bounds are presented for the solutions of approximate models for self-excited near-symmetric rigid bodies. The error bounds are developed for analytic solutions to Euler's equations of motion. The results are applied to obtain a simplified analytic solution for Eulerian rates and angles. The results of a sample application of the range and error bound expressions for the case of the Galileo spacecraft experiencing transverse torques demonstrate the use of the bounds in analyses of rigid body spin change maneuvers.

Kia, T.↗

Error analysis for a Mars landing

This paper presents the methodology and preliminary results of a Mars landing error study. Aeromaneuvering was used to reduce the effects of errors. The guidance and navigation techniques used were based on those used for the Space Shuttle. A simulation was built to determine the performance of these techniques in a realistic Mars landing scenario. The results indicate that knowledge errors dominate, and that terminal three-sigma errors of between 1 and 15 kilometers can be achieved depending on the data types available. The data types studied were restricted to those currently under consideration for the Mars Rover/Sample Return Mission.

Mceneaney, W. M.↗

Local Error Analysis and Comparison of the Swept- and Intersection-Based Remapping Methods

Abstract In this paper, the numerical error of two widely used methods for remapping of discrete quantities from one computational mesh to another is investigated. We compare the intuitive, but resource intensive method utilizing intersections of computational cells with the faster and simpler swept-region-based method. Both algorithms are formally second order accurate, however, they are known to produce slightly different quantity profiles in practical applications. The second-order estimate of the error formula is constructed algebraically for both algorithms so that their local accuracy can be evaluated. This general estimate is then used to assess the dependence of the performance of both methods on parameters such as the second derivatives of the remapped distribution, mesh geometry or mesh movement. Due to the complexity of such analysis, it is performed on a set of simplified elementary mesh patterns such as cell corner expansion, rotation or shear. On selected numerical tests it is demonstrated that the swept-based method can distort a symmetric quantity distribution more substantially than the intersection-based approach when the computational mesh moves in an unsuitable direction.

Klima, Matej↗

Using APEX to Model Anticipated Human Error: Analysis of a GPS Navigational Aid

The interface development process can be dramatically improved by predicting design facilitated human error at an early stage in the design process. The approach we advocate is to SIMULATE the behavior of a human agent carrying out tasks with a well-specified user interface, ANALYZE the simulation for instances of human error, and then REFINE the interface or protocol to minimize predicted error. This approach, incorporated into the APEX modeling architecture, differs from past approaches to human simulation in Its emphasis on error rather than e.g. learning rate or speed of response. The APEX model consists of two major components: (1) a powerful action selection component capable of simulating behavior in complex, multiple-task environments; and (2) a resource architecture which constrains cognitive, perceptual, and motor capabilities to within empirically demonstrated limits. The model mimics human errors arising from interactions between limited human resources and elements of the computer interface whose design falls to anticipate those limits. We analyze the design of a hand-held Global Positioning System (GPS) device used for radical and navigational decisions in small yacht recalls. The analysis demonstrates how human system modeling can be an effective design aid, helping to accelerate the process of refining a product (or procedure).

VanSelst, Mark↗