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At least 181 records · Page 10

Molten Salt Reactor Safety Assessment - Three Approaches to A Common Objective

Safety adequacy assessment is central to nuclear power plant (NPP) licensing. Either NPP accident mitigation or prevention can result in adequate safety. Accident prevention, along with the the prevention of accident escalation, can be evaluated using either deterministic or probabilistic methods. Acceptable means to develop principal design criteria (PDCs) via probabilistic methods are provided in NRC Regulatory Guide 1.233 while advanced reactor design criteria are provided in NRC Regulatory Guide 1.232 (RG 1.232). Accident mitigation-based regulatory guidance for non-power reactors is provided in NUREG 1537. While RG 1.232 included class specific guidance for both sodium-cooled fast reactors and modular high-temperature gas-cooled reactors, it did not provide molten salt reactor (MSR) class specific guidance. Class specific design criteria more closely align with reactors in their class so will require less effort to employ to develop design specific PDCs. The American Nuclear Society has recently released a liquid-fueled MSR design safety standard (ANSI/ANS-20.2-2023) that provides class specific design criteria.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Non-Deterministic Dynamic Instability of Composite Shells

A computationally effective method is described to evaluate the non-deterministic dynamic instability (probabilistic dynamic buckling) of thin composite shells. The method is a judicious combination of available computer codes for finite element, composite mechanics, and probabilistic structural analysis. The solution method is incrementally updated Lagrangian. It is illustrated by applying it to thin composite cylindrical shell subjected to dynamic loads. Both deterministic and probabilistic buckling loads are evaluated to demonstrate the effectiveness of the method. A universal plot is obtained for the specific shell that can be used to approximate buckling loads for different load rates and different probability levels. Results from this plot show that the faster the rate, the higher the buckling load and the shorter the time. The lower the probability, the lower is the buckling load for a specific time. Probabilistic sensitivity results show that the ply thickness, the fiber volume ratio and the fiber longitudinal modulus, dynamic load and loading rate are the dominant uncertainties, in that order.

Chamis, Christos C.↗

Space Radiation Transport Methods Development

Improved spacecraft shield design requires early entry of radiation constraints into the design process to maximize performance and minimize costs. As a result, we have been investigating high-speed computational procedures to allow shield analysis from the preliminary design concepts to the final design. In particular, we will discuss the progress towards a full three-dimensional and computationally efficient deterministic code for which the current HZETRN evaluates the lowest order asymptotic term. HZETRN is the first deterministic solution to the Boltzmann equation allowing field mapping within the International Space Station (ISS) in tens of minutes using standard Finite Element Method (FEM) geometry common to engineering design practice enabling development of integrated multidisciplinary design optimization methods. A single ray trace in ISS FEM geometry requires 14 milliseconds and severely limits application of Monte Carlo methods to such engineering models. A potential means of improving the Monte Carlo efficiency in coupling to spacecraft geometry is given in terms of reconfigurable computing and could be utilized in the final design as verification of the deterministic method optimized design.

Wilson, J. W.↗

A space radiation transport method development

Improved spacecraft shield design requires early entry of radiation constraints into the design process to maximize performance and minimize costs. As a result, we have been investigating high-speed computational procedures to allow shield analysis from the preliminary design concepts to the final design. In particular, we will discuss the progress towards a full three-dimensional and computationally efficient deterministic code for which the current HZETRN evaluates the lowest-order asymptotic term. HZETRN is the first deterministic solution to the Boltzmann equation allowing field mapping within the International Space Station (ISS) in tens of minutes using standard finite element method (FEM) geometry common to engineering design practice enabling development of integrated multidisciplinary design optimization methods. A single ray trace in ISS FEM geometry requires 14 ms and severely limits application of Monte Carlo methods to such engineering models. A potential means of improving the Monte Carlo efficiency in coupling to spacecraft geometry is given in terms of re-configurable computing and could be utilized in the final design as verification of the deterministic method optimized design. Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of COSPAR.

NASA Center JSC↗

Comparison of dose estimates using the buildup-factor method and a Baryon transport code (BRYNTRN) with Monte Carlo results

Continuing efforts toward validating the buildup factor method and the BRYNTRN code, which use the deterministic approach in solving radiation transport problems and are the candidate engineering tools in space radiation shielding analyses, are presented. A simplified theory of proton buildup factors assuming no neutron coupling is derived to verify a previously chosen form for parameterizing the dose conversion factor that includes the secondary particle buildup effect. Estimates of dose in tissue made by the two deterministic approaches and the Monte Carlo method are intercompared for cases with various thicknesses of shields and various types of proton spectra. The results are found to be in reasonable agreement but with some overestimation by the buildup factor method when the effect of neutron production in the shield is significant. Future improvement to include neutron coupling in the buildup factor theory is suggested to alleviate this shortcoming. Impressive agreement for individual components of doses, such as those from the secondaries and heavy particle recoils, are obtained between BRYNTRN and Monte Carlo results.

Shinn, Judy L.↗

Deterministically estimated fission source distributions for Monte Carlo k-eigenvalue problems

The standard Monte Carlo (MC) k-eigenvalue algorithm involves iteratively converging the fission source distribution using a series of potentially time-consuming inactive cycles before quantities of interest can be tallied. One strategy for reducing the computational time requirements of these inactive cycles is the Sourcerer method, in which a deterministic eigenvalue calculation is performed to obtain an improved initial guess for the fission source distribution. This method has been implemented in the Exnihilo software suite within SCALE using the SPNSPN or SNSN solvers in Denovo and the Shift MC code. The efficacy of this method is assessed with different Denovo solution parameters for a series of typical k-eigenvalue problems including small criticality benchmarks, full-core reactors, and a fuel cask. Here it is found that, in most cases, when a large number of histories per cycle are required to obtain a detailed flux distribution, the Sourcerer method can be used to reduce the computational time requirements of the inactive cycles.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Dynamic response of nonuniform structures to classes of pressure fields

A semi-analytical method is developed for the calculation of the response of nonuniform structures to deterministic and random excitation. The method is based on parametric representations of the impulse response and input functions. With these representations, a class of structures of specified geometry and a class of pressure fields of practical concern can be considered simultaneously in a single analytical calculation of structural response. In engineering applications, the parameters in the impulse response function can be fixed once the numerical solution of the associated eigenvalue problem is available; the input function parameters can be specified given a particular input function or pressure field data. This methodology is applied to nonuniform beams and circular cylindrical shells for which parametric response solutions are derived. The computerized version of these solutions is also presented.

Cottis, M. G.↗

A Pulse-Compression Method for Process Monitoring

This paper describes, from a deterministic view point, an on-line process monitoring method for small signal behavior of time invariant stable systems at a given operating point. The monitoring is accomplished by using an consequence modulated low-pass wavelet as the probing signal, and a cyclic reference signal as the correlator. This method allows to achieve high resolution, high signal to noise ratio monitoring, and the acquired data can be used for on-line diagnosis.

Wu, N. Eva↗

Predicting mesoscale spectral thermal conductivity using advanced deterministic phonon transport techniques

We present a review, demonstration and simulation of phonon transport for the purposes of predicting materials performance at the mesoscale. We focus primarily on the development and implementation of a unified methodology to enable predictive heat transport. We report on the current state of the art as it pertains to deterministic phonon transport methodologies, discussing various topics concerning phonons. In application, we focus on the Self-Adjoint Angular Flux (SAAF) formulation of the Boltzmann transport equation for phonons, and develop the spatial, angular, and material property discretization required to accurately simulate the predictive physics of heat transport in dielectrics. We discuss thermal interfacial resistance and present our formulation of the diffuse mismatch model for simulating phonon interactions at internal boundaries. We have recently developed a deterministic, spectral phonon transport method for predicting effective thermal conductivity ($\kappa_{\textrm{eff}}$), using Bose-Einstein source terms coupled through an average material temperature. In this method, we introduce a closure term to the phonon transport system which acts as a redistribution function for the total energy of the system, and serves as a guide for the amount of non-equilibrium behavior occurring in the system. This method predicts thermal conductivity and equilibrium temperature distributions in homogeneous and heterogeneous materials using data generated by ab initio density functional theory methods. We employ polarization, density of states and full dispersion spectra to resolve thermal conductivity with numerous angular and spatial discretizations. Our implementation utilizes a Richardson iteration on a modified version of the phonon scattering source. The equations associated with this method are solved via a modification of traditional source iteration. We compare the performance of source iteration applied to an existing uncoupled, traditional SAAF method to our new method and comment on the iterative performance of each. We observe ballistic and diffusive phonon scattering as acoustic thickness of the domain changes, and are able to make comparisons between the accuracy and efficiency of both methods.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Neutron (and other Particle) Transport at LANL: An Overview [Presentation]

For decades, Los Alamos National Laboratory has been at the forefront of neutron transport methods research and code development. One such code is PARTISN, the LANL parallel time-dependent discrete ordinate neutron transport code. In this presentation, we describe the various research efforts currently underway by the PARTISN and other code teams. Some examples of current research are a block automated mesh refinement scheme, the application of tensor trains to the discretized neutron transport equation, and GPU code porting. The block automated mesh refinement scheme uses cross section information to refine and coarsen the solution mesh to improve time to solution and reduce memory. The tensor train approach expresses discretized transport operators as tensor products of vectors and matrices to compress the size of linear systems being solved by transport codes. Rather than relying on matrix-free methods such as the transport sweep, we have access to an operator that can be inverted, reshaped, or manipulated algebraically. Finally, we describe how PARTISN is used, what problems we are looking to solve, and what the future holds for neutron transport at LANL. In addition to this, we briefly describe the various research efforts in other particle transport teams using both deterministic and Monte Carlo methods. In the presentation, we list possible opportunities for collaboration between the laboratory and faculty and students.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Mapping methods for computationally efficient and accurate structural reliability

Mapping methods are developed to improve the accuracy and efficiency of probabilistic structural analyses with coarse finite element meshes. The mapping methods consist of: (1) deterministic structural analyses with fine (convergent) finite element meshes, (2) probabilistic structural analyses with coarse finite element meshes, (3) the relationship between the probabilistic structural responses from the coarse and fine finite element meshes, and (4) a probabilistic mapping. The results show that the scatter of the probabilistic structural responses and structural reliability can be accurately predicted using a coarse finite element model with proper mapping methods. Therefore, large structures can be analyzed probabilistically using finite element methods.

Shiao, Michael C.↗

Deterministic photon bias in speckle imaging

A method for determining photo bias terms in speckle imaging is presented, and photon bias is shown to be a deterministic quantity that can be calculated without the use of the expectation operator. The quantities obtained are found to be identical to previous results. The present results have extended photon bias calculations to the important case of the bispectrum where photon events are assigned different weights, in which regime the bias is a frequency dependent complex quantity that must be calculated for each frame.

Beletic, James W.↗

Monte Carlo Second- and Third-Order Many-Body Green’s Function Methods with Frequency-Dependent, Nondiagonal Self-Energy

We fully develop the Monte Carlo many-body Green’s function (MC-GF) method with the following enhancements: (1) The truncation order of the perturbation expansion of the Dyson self-energy is raised from the second order (MC-GF2) to the third order (MC-GF3) with the aid of a computerized procedure to enumerate and transform all 84 third-order Goldstone diagrams into Monte Carlo integrable expressions and then into central processing unit (CPU)/graphical processing unit (GPU)-parallel computer codes. (2) An efficient algorithm is proposed that computes all off-diagonal and diagonal elements of the MC-GF2 and MC-GF3 self-energy matrices by common subexpression elimination. (3) The frequency-independent approximation is lifted by introducing a method that computes frequency derivatives of the MC-GF2 and MC-GF3 self-energies up to any arbitrarily high order at nearly no additional computational cost. (4) The imaginary-time integration in the Laplace-transformed expressions of the self-energy is carried out stochastically (instead of using a quadrature in the previous implementations), resulting in a 50- to 200-fold speedup. (5) The efficiency of the redundant-walker convergence acceleration scheme is analyzed numerically, and the guidelines are established to select an optimal number of walkers for maximal efficiency. When such an optimal number is used, the cost per sample is constant of molecular size on either many CPUs or many GPUs. (6) The computational cost to obtain a binding energy within a given statistical uncertainty is observed to increase as (tentatively) O(n 4 ) and O(n 5 ) of molecular size (n is the number of electrons) with and without the diagonal approximation, respectively, as opposed to O(n 5 ) and O(n 6 ) of the corresponding deterministic algorithms. With this method applied to the electron binding energies of C 60 , we show that the third-order corrections to the self-energies are much greater in electron binding energies than in ground-state energies. As a result, they display a sign of oscillatory convergence toward experimental results, not necessarily improving the agreement with increasing perturbation order, justifying MC-GF3 and motivating even higher-order methods.

Algorithms↗

Improving Solution Accuracy and Convergence for Stochastic Physics Parameterizations with Colored Noise

Stochastic parameterizations are used in numerical weather prediction and climate modeling to help capture the uncertainty in the simulations and improve their statistical properties. Convergence issues can arise when time integration methods originally developed for deterministic differential equations are applied naively to stochastic problems. In previous studies, it has been demonstrated that a correction term, known in stochastic analysis as the Itô correction, can help improve solution accuracy for various deterministic numerical schemes and ensure convergence to the physically relevant solution without substantial computational overhead. The usual formulation of the Itô correction is valid only when the stochasticity is represented by white noise. In this study, a generalized formulation of the Itô correction is derived for noises of any color. The formulation is applied to a test problem described by an advection–diffusion equation forced with a spectrum of fast processes. We present numerical results for cases with both constant and spatially varying advection velocities to show that, for the same time step sizes, the introduction of the generalized Itô correction helps to substantially reduce time integration error and significantly improve the convergence rate of the numerical solutions when the forcing term in the governing equation is rough (fast varying); alternatively, for the same target accuracy, the generalized Itô correction allows for the use of significantly longer time steps and, hence, helps to reduce the computational cost of the numerical simulation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assessment of the Geomechanical Risks Associated with CO 2 Injection at the FutureGen 2.0 Site: Application of the State of Stress Assessment Tool (SOSAT)

This report presents the results of the application of the State of Stress Assessment Tool (SOSAT) on the FutureGen 2.0 data set. SOSAT was developed as part of the National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) project and provides a unique integrated framework for estimating the state of stress probability distribution at a given depth in the subsurface and evaluating the risk of induced shear and tensile failure resulting from the injection of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). The approach implemented by SOSAT is based on two deterministic and widely used methods of determining the state of stress (i.e., stress polygon and one-dimensional tectonic-elastic approach). These methods have been modified using a probabilistic approach to account for uncertainties in the input parameters. The methodology proposed in SOSAT was demonstrated using the data obtained for the FutureGen 2.0 project located in the Illinois Basin. Although the FutureGen 2.0 project was suspended by the U.S. Department of Energy prior to the start of injection operations, the extensive characterization efforts undertaken at the storage site have yielded a considerable amount of valuable data about this part of the sedimentary basin. The FutureGen 2.0 storage site was designed to accommodate the injection of 1.1 million metric tons of CO 2 per year over a 20-year period. The injection of CO 2 and the associated pressure buildup in the reservoir is expected to alter the state of stress over the course of the injection. These changes in the initial stress state may affect fault stability and potentially lead to the unintentional creation of hydraulic fractures, which could pose a leakage risk if not contained within the reservoir. Assessing these risks is critical to making informed decisions about the characterization, management of the injection operation, and monitoring of the storage site. The data required by SOSAT for the geomechanical assessment of the FutureGen 2.0 site were identified, and the methodology proposed in SOSAT was followed to evaluate the probability of reactivating critically oriented faults or potentially creating hydraulic fractures in the reservoir. The results of the geomechanical analysis performed using the SOSAT led to the following conclusions. 1. The probability distribution of the state of stress indicates significant uncertainties in the magnitude of the maximum horizontal stress S Hmax , while the minimum horizontal stress S hmin is well constrained by the stress measurements conducted during the characterization efforts at the storage site. This uncertainty in the magnitude of S Hmax is a common challenge and has significant implications for geomechanical risk at sites like FutureGen 2.0 where a strike-slip tectonic regime exists. 2. The probability that the Mount Simon reservoir was initially critically stressed is relatively high—25%. When the pore pressure increases to the maximum allowable pressure permitted under the Underground Injection Control Class VI regulation of the FutureGen 2.0 project, the risk of shear failure approaches a probability of 43%. These relatively high probabilities reflect the current state of information about the geomechanical conditions in this part of the Illinois Basin. For future operations in this basin this should be a high characterization priority because it could significantly lower the risk of operations. 3. Based on the maximum injection pressure allowed in the UIC Class VI, the risk of unintentional hydraulic fracturing is limited. The risk of shear failure as determined by SOSAT is based on a very conservative approach assuming that critically oriented faults exist in the subsurface. While no faults have been formally identified at the FutureGen 2.0 site, the results obtained with SOSAT using the FutureGen 2.0 data set highlight the importance of integrating uncertainties in critical parameters to quantify geomechanical risks in a defensible way. Should SOSAT have been available at the time the characterization activities were being planned, more characterization efforts would have been implemented to reduce the uncertainties on the magnitude of the maximum horizontal stress, and to dismiss with confidence the potential existence of a critically-oriented fault in the reservoir (e.g., 3D seismic survey).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Combined loading criterial influence on structural performance

An investigation was conducted to determine the influence of combined loading criteria on the space shuttle structural performance. The study consisted of four primary phases: Phase (1) The determination of the sensitivity of structural weight to various loading parameters associated with the space shuttle. Phase (2) The determination of the sensitivity of structural weight to various levels of loading parameter variability and probability. Phase (3) The determination of shuttle mission loading parameters variability and probability as a function of design evolution and the identification of those loading parameters where inadequate data exists. Phase (4) The determination of rational methods of combining both deterministic time varying and probabilistic loading parameters to provide realistic design criteria. The study results are presented.

Kuchta, B. J.↗

Algorithms For Segmentation Of Complex-Amplitude SAR Data

Several algorithms implement improved method of segmenting highly speckled, high-resolution, complex-amplitude synthetic-aperture-radar (SAR) digitized images into regions, within each backscattering characteristics similar or homogeneous from place to place. Method provides for approximate, deterministic solution by two alternative algorithms almost always converging to local minimums: one, Iterative Conditional Modes (ICM) algorithm, which locally maximizes posterior probability density of region labels; other, Maximum Posterior Marginal (MPM) algorithm, which maximizes posterior marginal density of region labels at each pixel location. ICM algorithm optimizes reconstruction of underlying scene. MPM algorithm minimizes expected number of misclassified pixels, possibly better in remote sensing of natural scenes.

Rignot, Eric J. M.↗