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At least 181 records · Page 10

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021

During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and government entities led by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub ( https://covid19forecasthub.org ). We evaluated approximately 9.7 million forecasts of weekly state-level COVID-19 cases for predictions 1–4 weeks into the future submitted by 24 teams from August 2020 to December 2021. We assessed coverage of central prediction intervals and weighted interval scores (WIS), adjusting for missing forecasts relative to a baseline forecast, and used a Gaussian generalized estimating equation (GEE) model to evaluate differences in skill across epidemic phases that were defined by the effective reproduction number. Overall, we found high variation in skill across individual models, with ensemble-based forecasts outperforming other approaches. Forecast skill relative to the baseline was generally higher for larger jurisdictions (e.g., states compared to counties). Over time, forecasts generally performed worst in periods of rapid changes in reported cases (either in increasing or decreasing epidemic phases) with 95% prediction interval coverage dropping below 50% during the growth phases of the winter 2020, Delta, and Omicron waves. Ideally, case forecasts could serve as a leading indicator of changes in transmission dynamics. However, while most COVID-19 case forecasts outperformed a naïve baseline model, even the most accurate case forecasts were unreliable in key phases. Further research could improve forecasts of leading indicators, like COVID-19 cases, by leveraging additional real-time data, addressing performance across phases, improving the characterization of forecast confidence, and ensuring that forecasts were coherent across spatial scales. In the meantime, it is critical for forecast users to appreciate current limitations and use a broad set of indicators to inform pandemic-related decision making.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Influence of Polymorphism on the Electronic Structure of Ga 2 O 3

The search for new wide-band-gap materials is intensifying to satisfy the need for more advanced and energy-efficient power electronic devices. Ga 2 O 3 has emerged as an alternative to SiC and GaN, sparking a renewed interest in its fundamental properties beyond the main β-phase. Here, three polymorphs of Ga 2 O 3 , α, β, and ε, are investigated using X-ray diffraction, X-ray photoelectron and absorption spectroscopy, and ab initio theoretical approaches to gain insights into their structure–electronic structure relationships. Valence and conduction electronic structure as well as semicore and core states are probed, providing a complete picture of the influence of local coordination environments on the electronic structure. State-of-the-art electronic structure theory, including all-electron density functional theory and many-body perturbation theory, provides detailed understanding of the spectroscopic results. The calculated spectra provide very accurate descriptions of all experimental spectra and additionally illuminate the origin of observed spectral features. This paper provides a strong basis for the exploration of the Ga 2 O 3 polymorphs as materials at the heart of future electronic device generations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Quantifying Energetic and Entropic Pathways in Molecular Systems

When examining dynamics occurring at nonzero temperatures, both energy and entropy must be taken into account to describe activated barrier crossing events. Furthermore, good reaction coordinates need to be constructed to describe different metastable states and the transition mechanisms between them. Here we use a physics-based machine learning method called state predictive information bottleneck (SPIB) to find nonlinear reaction coordinates for three systems of varying complexity. SPIB is able to correctly predict an entropic bottleneck for an analytical flat-energy double-well system and identify the entropy- and energy-dominated pathways for an analytical four-well system. Lastly, for a simulation of benzoic acid permeation through a lipid bilayer, SPIB is able to discover the entropic and energetic barriers to the permeation process. Given these results, we thus establish that SPIB is a reasonable and robust method for finding the important entropy, energy, and enthalpy barriers in physical systems, which can then be used to enhance the understanding and sampling of different activated mechanisms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Atlantic Offshore Wind Transmission Literature Review and Gaps Analysis

In support of the national goal to deploy 30 gigawatts of offshore wind by 2030, DOE’s Wind Energy Technologies Office has published an Atlantic Offshore Wind Transmission Literature Review and Gaps Analysis. Transmission constraints— including both land-based transmission interconnections and offshore transmission—are expected to be one of the central challenges to meeting offshore wind deployment goals. Given current trends in offshore wind development, available technology, and state-level procurement goals, most of the first 30 GW of offshore wind are anticipated to be developed along the East Coast. This report summarizes current publicly available transmission analyses along the Atlantic Coast, as well as gaps in existing analyses. Improving understanding of offshore wind transmission options, establishing coordination and aligning processes among states and regions, and quantifying the long-term impacts of offshore wind transmission options will catalyze offshore wind energy’s growth and ensure adequate transmission and a reliable grid.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

The inorganic chemist's guide to actinide radiation chemistry: a review

This review aims to provide an overview of the current state of radiation chemistry with respect to the actinide elements, thorium through californium. Despite the inherent radioactivity of the actinides, only a few studies explore the effects of ionizing radiation on their redox chemistry and surrounding environment. This fundamental knowledge gap, coupled with the current renaissance in actinide-based technologies such as nuclear power, space exploration, and medicine, underscores the importance of research in this interdisciplinary area. This review will focus on the interactions between reactive species formed by radiolysis with actinides and their complexes, offering an inorganic chemist's perspective on research in radiation chemistry. In addition, a thorough discussion of our current understanding of radiation-induced changes in actinide speciation in both aqueous solution and the solid-state will be provided, focusing on changes in oxidation state distribution, complexation, and secondary coordination effects within inorganic materials. Finally, this review will discuss challenges and opportunities for inorganic chemists to explore this unique intersection of fields.

Actinides↗

Joint X-ray/neutron structure of Lentinus similis AA9_A at room temperature

Lytic polysaccharide monooxygenases (LPMOs) are copper metalloenzymes which cleave polysaccharides oxidatively and are important in pathogen biology, carbon cycling and biotechnology. The Lentinus similis family AA9 isoform A (LsAA9_A) has been extensively studied as a model system because its activity towards smaller soluble saccharide substrates has allowed detailed structural characterization of its interaction with a variety of substrates by X-ray crystallography at high resolution. Here, the joint X-ray/neutron room-temperature crystallographic structure of carbohydrate-free LsAA9_A in the copper(II) resting state refined against X-ray and neutron data at 2.1 and 2.8 Å resolution, respectively, is presented. The results provide an experimental determination of the protonation states of the copper(II)-coordinating residues and second-shell residues in LsAA9_A, paving the way for future neutron crystallographic studies of LPMO–carbohydrate complexes.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Assessment and Commissioning of Electrical Substation Grid Testbed with a Real-Time Simulator and Protective Relays/Power Meters in the Loop

Electrical utility substations are wired with intelligent electronic devices (IEDs), such as protective relays, power meters, and communication switches. Substation engineers commission these IEDs to assess the appropriate measurements for monitoring, control, power system protection, and communication applications. Like real electrical utility substations, complex electrical substation grid testbeds (ESGTs) need to be assessed for measuring current and voltage signals in monitoring, power system protection, control (synchro check), and communication applications that are limited by small measurement percentage errors. In the process of setting an ESGT with real-time simulators and IEDs in the loop, protective relays, power meters, and communication devices must be commissioned before running experiments. In this study, an ESGT with IEDs and distributed ledger technology was developed. The ESGT with a real-time simulator and IEDs in the loop was satisfactorily assessed and commissioned. The commissioning and problem-solving tasks of the testbed are described to define a method with flowcharts to assess possible trouble-shooting in ESGTs. This method was based on comparing the simulations versus IED measurements for the phase current and voltage magnitudes, three-phase phasor diagrams, breaker states, protective relay times with selectivity coordination at electrical faults, communication data points, and time-stamp sources.

Piesciorovsky, Emilio↗

Detection of the BICT State in a Borafluorene with High Stokes Shift Fluorescence

Four-coordinate aryl borafluorenes with boron–oxygen and boron–nitrogen dative bonds can exhibit very large fluorescence Stokes shifts. The large Stokes shifts are hypothesized to arise from cleavage of the boron-donor dative bond in the excited state, via a mechanism called bond-cleavage-induced intramolecular charge transfer (BICT). The primary goal of this current investigation is to directly observe the BICT state by performing transient absorption spectroscopy (TAS) on four-coordinate borafluorenes, which have improved optical stability. A novel four-coordinate aryl borafluorene was synthesized which features a dative B–O bond and two tert-butyl moieties on the aryl ring. TAS of the new borafluorene is consistent with the existence of a single, three-coordinate species in the excited state, as predicted by the BICT hypothesis. In conclusion, the TAS data is supported by fluorescence lifetime measurements and DFT calculations.

Absorption↗

Exciton-Phonon Coupling and Carrier Relaxation in PbS Quantum Dots: The Case of Carboxylate Ligands

Some ligand-nanocrystal combinations exhibit rapid cooling of highly excited electronic states while other nanocrystal/shell combinations do not appear to have this effect. There remains a need to identify the distinguishing properties of ligand-nanocrystal interactions that avoid such rapid relaxation processes to guide the design of colloidal quantum dots (QDs) that take advantage of multiple exciton generation or hot-carrier extraction processes. Here, we use mid-infrared transient absorption spectroscopy to investigate the influence that carboxylate ligands with distinct excited state surface chemistries has on exciton-phonon coupling and hot exciton relaxation in PbS quantum dot (QD) films. Our findings reveal that despite significant differences in the excited state surface chemistry of oleate (OA) and iodide/mercaptopropionic acid (I-/MPA) ligands, PbS QD films passivated with both ligand types exhibit identical electronic relaxation rates and exciton-phonon coupling strengths within experimental precision. The data suggest that the inorganic lattice is the principal source of exciton-phonon coupling that influences hot exciton relaxation, rather than the vibronic modes of carboxylate ligands. The size-dependent nature of the exciton-phonon coupling strength is consistent with the localization of charge on the QD surfaces, which enhances the mixing of electronic and nuclear coordinates particularly when the electronic states are more quantum confined in smaller nanocrystals.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Tailoring Mid–Gap States of Chalcogenide Glass by Pressure–Induced Hypervalent Bonding Towards the Design of Electrical Switching Materials

Phase change memory (PCM) and ovonic threshold switching (OTS) materials using chalcogenide glass are essential elements in advanced 3D memory chips. The mid–gap states, induced by the disorder and defects in the glass, are the physical mechanisms of the electrical switching behavior, while the origin of these trap states is still under debate and the medium–range clusters that break the global octet rule, such as over–coordinated atoms, are known to be responsible in various glass. Here, it is discovered that a large fraction of over–coordinated clusters fails to generate mid–gap states, which are probably caused by hypervalent bonding, a multi–centered covalent bond participated by delocalized lone–pair electrons. This is confirmed by the pressure–driven simulations of amorphous GeSe models, in which it is found that octahedral motifs and hypervalent bonds prevent the over–coordinated medium–range clusters from providing excessive electrons. In practical applications, compatible dopants can be used to change the number of hypervalent bonds, thus controlling the number of mid–gap states and consequently the performance of PCM and OTS materials. Finally, these results reveal the origin of mid–gap states in chalcogenide glasses, enabling extensive control in the development of pioneering electrical switching materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Photophysics of graphene quantum dot assemblies with axially coordinated cobaloxime catalysts

We report a study of chromophore-catalyst assemblies composed of light harvesting hexabenzocoronene (HBC) chromophores axially coordinated to two cobaloxime complexes. The chromophore-catalyst assemblies were prepared using bottom-up synthetic methodology and characterized using solid-state NMR, IR, and x-ray absorption spectroscopy. Detailed steady-state and time-resolved laser spectroscopy was utilized to identify the photophysical properties of the assemblies, coupled with time-dependent DFT calculations to characterize the relevant excited states. The HBC chromophores tend to assemble into aggregates that exhibit high exciton diffusion length (D = 18.5 molecule 2 /ps), indicating that over 50 chromophores can be sampled within their excited state lifetime. We find that the axial coordination of cobaloximes leads to a significant reduction in the excited state lifetime of the HBC moiety, and this finding was discussed in terms of possible electron and energy transfer pathways. By comparing the experimental quenching rate constant (1.0 × 10 9 s -1 ) with the rate constant estimates for Marcus electron transfer (5.7 × 10 8 s -1 ) and Förster/Dexter energy transfers (8.1 × 10 6 s -1 and 1.0 × 10 10 s -1 ), we conclude that both Dexter energy and Marcus electron transfer process are possible deactivation pathways in CoQD-A. No charge transfer or energy transfer intermediate was detected in transient absorption spectroscopy, indicating fast, subpicosecond return to the ground state. Finally, these results provide important insights into the factors that control the photophysical properties of photocatalytic chromophore-catalyst assemblies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Watching Polarons Dance: Coherent Carrier–Phonon Coupling in Hematite Revealed by Transient Absorption Spectroscopy

Hematite remains a prominent photoanode candidate for the oxygen evolution reaction in solar water splitting, despite efficiency limitations from rapid trapping of photoexcited electrons and holes. While the formation of polarons, quasiparticles formed by electron–hole interactions with lattice vibrations, is a proposed trapping mechanism, direct evidence of such states has been elusive. Here, we use potential-dependent transient absorption spectroscopy to identify the coherent phonon mode and strong exciton–phonon coupling responsible for exciton–polaron formation after band gap excitation in α-hematite and identify the three underlying d–d transitions that are strongly modulated by this phonon. The equilibrium geometry of exciton–polarons in α-hematite is displaced from the ground state geometry along the vibrational coordinate of an A 1g symmetric Fe–O stretching motion at 225 ± 7 cm –1 , resulting in vibrational coherence with a lifetime of 1.9 ± 0.1 ps. Our comparative ex situ and in situ experiments reveal that the energy and dephasing time of the A 1g mode are remarkably resilient to applied potential and the addition of an Al 2 O 3 overlayer; however, the dephasing time is sensitive to substrate identity. Furthermore, this potential-dependent transient absorption approach establishes a powerful platform for directly probing polaron dynamics in photoelectrochemical systems, opening new pathways to rationally design modified hematite and other transition metal oxide electrodes with enhanced charge transport properties for more efficient solar water splitting.

Hematite↗

Highly-destabilized ligand field excited states of iron carbene complexes and their relation to charge transfer state lifetimes

Lifetimes of photoexcited charge transfer (CT) states in transition metal chromophores are influenced by low-lying ligand field (LF) excited states, especially for 3d metal complexes. To manipulate interactions between LF and CT states, it is important to be able to control LF excited state energies using tunable synthetic variables. In this report, we use Fe 2p3d L 3 -edge resonant inelastic X-ray scattering (RIXS) to measure LF excited state energies of three homoleptic iron chromophores coordinated by strong-field N-heterocyclic carbenes (NHCs). We investigate the effect of oxidation state and ligand scaffold on LF energies and covalency parameters. A cyclometalated bis(NHC) ligand affords both high LF excited state energies (and thus high 10 Dq) as well as high metal–ligand covalency compared to other iron complexes with very strong-field ligands. However, for the set of complexes investigated, we do not observe meaningful correlation between the LF excited state energies and the CT excited state lifetimes. These results illustrate that targeting long-lived CT excited states necessitates control of multiple molecular excited state properties, with destabilization of the LF excited state energies proving necessary, but insufficient, to control the CT excited state lifetime in Fe carbene complexes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

First-Principles Approach to Extracting Chemical Information from X-ray Absorption Near-Edge Spectra of Ga-Containing Materials

The X-ray absorption near-edge structure (XANES) can provide uniquely detailed information on the coordination environments of important Ga-containing materials with unknown structures, including catalytically active materials. In this work, the Ga K-edge XANES was simulated using first-principles-based methods for seven molecular Ga complexes as well β-Ga 2 O 3 , in order to explore the chemical origins of the experimentally observed features. The theoretical spectra were computed using FEFF, CASTEP, and StoBe, to assess the sensitivity of the results to the computational approach. While the XANES features depend on the Ga coordination environment, they are also sensitive to the electronegativity of the ligands and the symmetry at Ga. The white line position responds to changes in both the core state (due to differential screening) and the valence “p” states (arising from differences in ligand coordination).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

SISGR: The regulation of carbon fixation in plant and green algae: Rubisco activase and the origin of heat inactivation of CO 2 assimilation

Rubisco activase (Rca) is a critical AAA+ ATPase protein complex that remodels and promotes the Rubisco enzyme, a key player in photosynthetic performance and carbon fixation. The assembly and function of the Rca protein complex are regulated by a range of factors, including subunit concentration, nucleotide-binding states, thermal conditions, metal-ion coordination, and post-translational modifications, such as phosphorylation. Despite its importance in photosynthesis, the detailed molecular mechanisms underlying the regulation of plant Rca and how it activates Rubisco remain elusive. This project aims to bridge this knowledge gap by integrating sophisticated enzymology tools with single-molecule methods and high-resolution electron microscopy to elucidate the structure and function of plant Rca. Through these multiple approaches, we have systematically investigated how the activity of plant Rca is impacted by various factors, such as phosphorylation and metal-ion coordination. The Rca complex assembly/disassembly dynamics were captured using anti-Brownian electrokinetic (ABEL) trap-based measurements, providing unprecedented insight into its structural flexibility and diverse assembly states. Furthermore, the structural analysis of Rca through electron crystallography and single-particle cryogenic electron microscopy (cryo-EM) reveals novel assembly states of the spinach Rca, providing insight into the mechanistic action for Rubisco remodeling. By combining cutting-edge tools and approaches, this work uncovers critical aspects of Rca’s regulation and assembly, paving the way for a deeper understanding of its role in photosynthetic efficiency and the potential for enhancing carbon fixation in crops.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Enabling Stable High‐Voltage LiCoO 2 Operation by Using Synergetic Interfacial Modification Strategy

Abstract Structural and interfacial instability of the LiCoO 2 cathode under a voltage exceeding 4.5 V (vs Li/Li + ) severely hinders its practical applications for high‐energy‐density lithium batteries. Herein, a modified electrolyte with nitriles (suberonitrile or 1,3,6‐hexanetricarbonitrile) and fluoroethylene carbonate (FEC) coadditives is demonstrated to form an ultrathin and uniform interface layer on LiCoO 2 cathode under a synergetic effect. As such, LiCoO 2 /Li cells display excellent cyclability at a cutoff voltage of 4.6 V with a capacity retention over 72% after 300 cycles and 60% after 200 cycles at 30 and 55 °C, respectively, even achieving operation at a high current rate (10 C) upon 500 cycles as compared to the controls with fast‐falling capacity to zero. Furthermore, an adsorption‐coordination mechanism between nitriles and cobalt and synergetic effect of coadditives are explored by the alliance of spectroscopic analysis and theoretical calculations. The contributed lone‐pairs on the N 2p orbital of nitriles in coordination lowers the real oxidation state of Co 3+/4+ so that it decreases its catalysis on electrolytes, and the synergy from nitrile‐derived species regulates FEC to form an LiF‐containing electron‐insulated interface layer. This work shares a new insight to nitriles with the synergy of coadditives and paves a way to refine (ultra)high‐voltage LiCoO 2 cathode for high‐energy‐density energy storages.

Yang, Xuerui↗

Polyhydrido Copper Nanoclusters with a Hollow Icosahedral Core: [Cu 30 H 18 {E 2 P(OR) 2 } 12 ] (E=S or Se; R= n Pr, i Pr or i Bu)

Although atomically precise polyhydrido copper nanoclusters are of prime interest for a variety of applications, they have so far remained scarce. Here, we describe the synthesis of a dithiophosphate-protected copper(I) hydride-rich nanocluster (NC), [Cu 30 H 18 {S 2 P(O n Pr) 2 } 12 ] ( 1 H ), fully characterized by various spectroscopic methods and single-crystal X-ray diffraction. The X-ray structure of 1 H reveals an unprecedented central Cu 12 hollow icosahedron. Six faces of this icosahedron are capped by Cu 3 triangles, the whole Cu 30 core being wrapped by twelve dithiophosphate ligands and the whole cluster has ideal S 6 symmetry. The locations of the 18 hydrides in 1 H were ascertained by a single-crystal neutron diffraction study. They are composed of three types: capping μ 3 -H, interstitial μ 4 -H (seesaw) and μ 5 -H ligands (square pyramidal), in good agreement with the DFT simulations. The numbers of hydrides and ligand resonances in the 1 H NMR spectrum of 1 H are in line with their coordination environment in the solid state, retaining the S 6 symmetry in solution. Furthermore, two new Se-protected polyhydrido copper nanoclusters, [Cu 30 H 18 {Se 2 P(OR) 2 } 12 ] ( 2 H : R= i Pr 3 H : R= i Bu) were synthesized from their sulfur relative 1 H via ligand displacement reaction and their X-ray structures feature the exceptional case where both the NC shape and size are fully conserved during the course of ligand exchange. DFT and TD-DFT calculations allow understanding the bonding and optical properties of clusters 1 H – 3 H . In addition, the reaction of 1 H with [Pd(PPh 3 ) 2 Cl 2 ] in the presence of terminal alkynes led to the formation of new bimetallic Cu–Pd alloy clusters [PdCu 14 H 2 {S 2 P(O n Pr) 2 } 6 (C≡CR) 6 ] ( 4 : R=Ph; 5 : R = C 6 H 4 F).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Li-Metal Anode in Dilute Electrolyte LiFSI/TMP: Electrochemical Stability Using Ab Initio Molecular Dynamics

Ab initio molecular dynamics simulations were performed for Li + conducting electrolytes based on trimethyl phosphates (TMP) and lithium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide (Li + FSI – ) salt in contact with a Li-metal electrode. We focused on the transient-state behavior at the electrolyte, interfacial electrolyte–Li-metal electrode, and lithium reference electrode–electrolyte–Li-metal electrode to study dynamics and activation energy barriers of the Li + ion, electrochemical and thermal stability of the interface electrode-electrolyte, and potential behavior of the Li-metal electrode, respectively. Our results show that in the most stable state, Li + ions are tetrahedrally coordinated to three TMPs and one FSI – . The inner solvation shell of a Li-ion is composed of three TMP and one FSI – in one contact ion-pair and four TMPs in a solvent-separated ion-pair. On the other hand, Li-ions transport through electrolyte cages takes place when they are coordinated with three or less molecules that could be a combination of TMPs and FSI – . The decomposition pathway of the LiFSI salt when in direct contact with the Li-metal anode starts with defluorination of FSI – , rapidly losing F– to the lithium surface, forming LiF species. The remaining FSO 2 NSO 2 –2 with the addition of 2e – from the Li-metal decomposes into SO 2 –2 and NFSO 2 –2 . SO 2 –2 deposits on the Li-surface and decomposes into Li 2 O and Li 2 S. The remaining NFSO 2 –2 defluorinates, losing F – ion to the lithium surface, resulting in LiF and the remaining NSO 2 –1 deposits on the lithium surface and decomposes in the following picoseconds, forming several binary compounds such as Li 3 N, Li 2 S and Li 2 O. In contrast, when the salt is solvated by the TMP molecules, avoiding a direct contact with the Li metal electrode, only one defluorination occurs, decomposing the FSI – into FSO 2 NSO 2 –2 and a F – . The two anions remain stable as they are solvated by the TMP molecules. Furthermore, we also analyzed the open circuit potential energy (OCPE) of the Li-metal electrode during the SEI formation. OCPE is calculated from the average local potential profile difference within the Li-metal electrode and a pristine Li-crystal reference electrode (LRE). When no SEI is formed, the Li-metal electrode has an average OCPE of +0.36 eV vs LRE. Due to the formation of a SEI, the Li-metal electrode has an average OCPE between -0.07 and -0.21 eV vs LRE. The OCPE of the Li-metal electrode decreases by ~0.42 eV when a SEI is formed.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗