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DOE OSTI2025

An Agnostic Approach to Building Empirical Type Ia Supernova Light Curves: Evidence for Intrinsic Chromatic Flux Variation Using Nearby Supernova Factory Data

We present a new empirical Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) model with three chromatic flux variation templates: one phase dependent and two phase independent. No underlying dust extinction model or patterns of intrinsic variability are assumed. Implemented with Stan and trained using spectrally binned Nearby Supernova Factory spectrophotometry, we examine this model's 2D, phase-independent flux variation space using two motivated basis representations. In both, the first phase-independent template captures variation that appears dust-like, while the second captures a combination of effectively intrinsic variability and second-order dust-like effects. We find that ≈13% of the modeled phase-independent flux variance is not dust-like. Previous empirical SN Ia models either assume an effective dust extinction recipe in their architecture, or only allow for a single mode of phase-independent variation. The presented results demonstrate such an approach may be insufficient, because it could "leak" noticeable intrinsic variation into phase-independent templates.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Vertical dependence of horizontal variation of cloud microphysics: observations from the ACE-ENA field campaign and implications for warm-rain simulation in climate models

Abstract. In the current global climate models (GCMs), the nonlinearity effect of subgrid cloud variations on the parameterization of warm-rain process, e.g., the autoconversion rate, is often treated by multiplying the resolved-scale warm-rain process rates by a so-called enhancement factor (EF). In this study, we investigate the subgrid-scale horizontal variations and covariation of cloud water content (qc) and cloud droplet number concentration (Nc) in marine boundary layer (MBL) clouds based on the in situ measurements from a recent field campaign and study the implications for the autoconversion rate EF in GCMs. Based on a few carefully selected cases from the field campaign, we found that in contrast to the enhancing effect of qc and Nc variations that tends to make EF > 1, the strong positive correlation between qc and Nc results in a suppressing effect that tends to make EF < 1. This effect is especially strong at cloud top, where the qc and Nc correlation can be as high as 0.95. We also found that the physically complete EF that accounts for the covariation of qc and Nc is significantly smaller than its counterpart that accounts only for the subgrid variation of qc, especially at cloud top. Although this study is based on limited cases, it suggests that the subgrid variations of Nc and its correlation with qc both need to be considered for an accurate simulation of the autoconversion process in GCMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1972

Structure and variations of the heterosphere

Atmospheric composition is kept almost homogeneous to a height of approximately 90 km (the homosphere) by mixing; above 100 km (the heterosphere), diffusive separation of the atmospheric constituents occurs. The heterosphere is dominated by two energy sources: solar extreme ultraviolet radiation and the solar wind. Many large variations are observed in this region and they can all be related, directly or indirectly, to variations in the intrinsic intensity of these two sources and to variations in the location of the sources relative to the observer. Atmospheric models can be successfully constructed in which the temperature and density variations are empirically related to solar and geomagnetic parameters. Some of the more recent findings concerning the structure and variations in the heterosphere are presented.

Jacchia, L. G.↗

NASA NTRS1973

Short and long periodic atmospheric variations between 25 and 200 km

Previously collected data on atmospheric pressure, density, temperature and winds between 25 and 200 km from sources including Meteorological Rocket Network data, ROBIN falling sphere data, grenade release and pitot tube data, meteor winds, chemical release winds, satellite data, and others were analyzed by a daily difference method and results on the distribution statistics, magnitude, and spatial structure of gravity wave and planetary wave atmospheric variations are presented. Time structure of the gravity wave variations were determined by the analysis of residuals from harmonic analysis of time series data. Planetary wave contributions in the 25-85 km range were discovered and found to have significant height and latitudinal variation. Long period planetary waves, and seasonal variations were also computed by harmonic analysis. Revised height variations of the gravity wave contributions in the 25 to 85 km height range were computed. An engineering method and design values for gravity wave magnitudes and wave lengths are given to be used for such tasks as evaluating the effects on the dynamical heating, stability and control of spacecraft such as the space shuttle vehicle in launch or reentry trajectories.

Justus, C. G.↗

NASA NTRS1973

Semiannual variation of geomagnetic activity.

It is proposed that the semiannual variation in geomagnetic activity is caused by a semiannual variation in the effective southward component of the interplanetary field. The southward field arises because the interplanetary field is ordered in the solar equatorial coordinate system, whereas the interaction with the magnetosphere is controlled by a magnetospheric system. Several simple models utilizing this effective modulation of the southward component of the interplanetary field are examined. One of these closely predicts the observed phase and amplitude of the semiannual variation. This model assumes that northward interplanetary fields are noninteracting and that the interaction with southward fields is ordered in solar magnetospheric coordinates. The prediction of the diurnal variation of the strength of the interaction at the magnetopause by this model, does not, however, match the diurnal variation of geomagnetic activity as derived from ground-based data.

Russell, C. T.↗

NASA NTRS1973

The diurnal variation of atomic hydrogen.

Examination of the relative importance of several effects which influence the diurnal variation of atomic hydrogen abundance near the critical level. It is pointed out that the neglect of exospheric hydrogen in a recent theoretical treatment causes an overestimation of the diurnal variation at high exospheric temperatures, and an underestimation at low exospheric temperatures. The fluxes due to lateral flow are large compared to other fluxes only to the extent that the actual diurnal variation is very different from the diurnal variation corresponding to zero net lateral flow, which does not seem to be the case in the real atmosphere. Two effects which are probably important are charge exchange reactions with thermal oxygen ions, resulting in a diurnal exchange with the plasmasphere; and charge exchange reactions with high velocity protons, resulting in enhanced escape and diurnal variation.

Tinsley, B. A.↗

NASA NTRS1973

Profiles of emission lines in Be stars. II - Interpretation of the long-period V/R variation.

Investigation of the long-period V/R variation in some Be stars studied by McLaughlin (1966) and others, based on the assumption that the variation is caused by the apsidal motion of an elliptical ring in which the emitting atoms revolve around the star according to Kepler's laws of motion. The results indicate that the behavior of the V/R variation depends upon both the eccentricity and the lateral extent of the gaseous ring. However, if the ring is narrower than a certain limit, the dependence on the width is negligible. In such a case, the eccentricity of the ring can be determined by the observed amplitude of the V/R variation. Based on this model, the radial-velocity curves of both emission edges and central absorption are derived. It is found that they all have the same amplitude, which also depends on the eccentricity, and that all are changing in phase with the V/R variation.

Huang, S.-S.↗

NASA NTRS1975

Periodic variations in stratospheric-mesospheric temperature from 20-65 km at 80 N to 30 S

Results on large-scale periodic variations of the stratospheric-mesospheric temperature field based on Meteorological Rocket Network (MRN) measurements are reported for a long-term (12-year) mean, the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), and the first three harmonics of the annual wave (annual wave, semi-annual wave, and terannual wave or 4-month variation). Station-to-station comparisons are tabulated and charted for amplitude and phase of periodic variations in the temperature field. Masking and biasing factors, such as diurnal tides, solar radiation variations, mean monthly variations, instrument lag, aerodynamic heating, are singled out for attention. Models of the stratosphere will have to account for these oscillations of different periods in the thermal field and related properties of the wind fields, with multilayered horizontal stratification with height taken into account.-

Nastrom, G. D.↗

NASA NTRS1975

Implications of time variations for the origin of low energy cosmic ray nitrogen and oxygen nuclei

Time variations have been observed in the quiet time intensities of 5-27 MeV/nuc nitrogen and oxygen and 13-25 MeV/nuc helium nuclei measured by spectrometers aboard IMPs 7 and 8. There is no significant correlation of the O variations with variations in the low intensity fluxes of 1-2 MeV solar protons, but the O intensity is well correlated with the modulation of galactic cosmic rays. These observations indicate that the enhanced low energy N and O fluxes are not of solar origin, and suggest that the acceleration mechanism required by the model of Fisk et al. (1974) must be located far enough from the sun that the singly charged ions, once accelerated, undergo considerable modulation in penetrating to 1 AU. Comparison of the time variations of He and O fluxes may yield information on the charge state of these nuclei, since these variations are strongly correlated and exhibit similar hysteresis effects when compared with the neutron monitor.

Mewaldt, R. A.↗

NASA NTRS1976

The 2- to 12-min quasi-periodic variation of 50- to 1000-keV trapped electron fluxes

It was previously shown that trapped electron fluxes of energies in the range from 50 keV to 1 MeV observed in the afternoon magnetosphere during substorms frequently undergo periodic variations. High-resolution electron spectrometer data indicate that these electron variations are periodic in the range of about 2-12 min, correlated with magnetic field variations, organized by the local magnetic field, and dependent on pitch angle. The observations suggest that the electron variations are adiabatic. The study derives quantitative adiabatic expressions of particle flux variations in a model geomagnetic field perturbation to show that the observational features are consistent with effects arising from adiabatic modulation of trapped particle fluxes.

Lin, C. S.↗

NASA NTRS1977

Variations in eddy diffusion and associated transport processes

Variation in the eddy diffusion coefficient constitutes a momentum source. This variation near the turbopause affects both the composition and the wind and temperature fields of the thermosphere. Two types of calculations are carried out, for horizontal winds considered self-consistently in a three-dimensional dynamic model and horizontal winds artificially suppressed to simulate a one-dimensional model. Momentum transfer associated with variations in eddy diffusion coefficients represents the source function in the analysis presented. It is shown that for long-term variations in the thermosphere, the compositional dependence on variations in eddy diffusion coefficients can be entirely different in one and three dimensional models with horizontal winds included. Horizontal winds can greatly reduce the effects of eddy diffusion in general and the ratio between He and O amplitudes in particular.

Mayr, H. G.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Period variations in pulsating X-ray sources. I - Accretion flow parameters and neutron star structure from timing observations

Torque fluctuations which can lead to variations in the periods of pulsating X-ray sources are examined. A description of torque variations in terms of noise processes is developed, and the resulting noise models are applied to observations of several pulsating X-ray sources. It is shown that fluctuations in accretion torque could account for the observed period variations and spindown episodes in Her X-1 and Cen X-3. The values of the torque noise strengths inferred from either a nonresonant response or, in the case of Her X-1, a Tkachenko-mode interpretation of the data are found to be consistent with those expected from processes at the magnetospheric boundary of an accreting neutron star. Ways to distinguish among the various interpretations of the period variations are considered. It is noted that fluctuating mass-flow rates may be responsible for other phenomena observed in compact X-ray sources, such as wobble with zero initial amplitude and binary period variations in close binary systems experiencing mass transfer.

Lamb, F. K.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Causes of compositional variations within mare basalt suites

The short-range unmixing model, which explains compositional variations produced during crystallization of a single undifferentiated basalt flow, has been applied to the variations found within each of the suites of mare basalts. Based on this modelling, the following suites of mare basalts could represent random samples from single, undifferentiated lava flows: Apollo 11 A (high K), Apollo 15 olivine, Apollo 17 A-U, Apollo 17 B, Apollo 17 C. The short range unmixing model fails to account for variations within the Apollo 12 olivine-pigeonite group and Apollo 12 ilmenite group, which are well explained by fractional crystallization. The fact that the compositional variations within a suite of samples of unknown affinity can be explained in terms of short-range unmixing of a single lava does not mean that they are necessarily related in that way. It does, however, mean that independent evidence (stratigraphic, petrographic, isotropic, or age) is required to support arguments for the variations being caused by fraction crystallization or different magma batches.

Lindstrom, M. M.↗

NASA NTRS1979

Interfacial geometry and D-variation effects in two-phase systems

Numerical solutions of the governing diffusion equation for two-phase concentration dependent diffusion coefficients are examined. Solutions were also calculated for planar, cylindrical, and spherical geometries to compare the effect of interface geometries with those caused by concentration-dependent diffusion coefficients, and two methods of averaging D were considered to determine the best averaging method for different types of D-variations. The effects of interface-location criteria on mass conservation and convergence of interface location, diffusion coefficient variation in the alpha and beta-phases of a two-phase binary alloy system, effect of D(alpha) variation in a cylindrical couple on beta-phase thickness, and geometry and D-variation effects on the degree of homogenization were determined. It is concluded that typical D(alpha)-variations can have a greater influence on the kinetics of interdiffusion than the geometry.

Tenney, D. R.↗

NASA NTRS1979

Are solar spectral variations a drive for climatic change

The effects of UV variations on atmospheric ozone content and climate for time scales encompassing the 27-day solar rotation period, the sunspot period, twice the solar magnetic, and also longer time periods are examined. The studies of the relationship between solar UV variations, atmospheric ozone content and atmospheric temperatures were conducted by estimating the impact of such variations on tropospheric temperature. The total luminosity constant is then held and the dependence of the ozone variations on the forcing period is calculated. It is concluded that solar UV variations on time scales of weeks to months occasionally perturb total ozone and stratospheric temperatures by noticeable amounts but result in only minor changes in the troposphere.

Pollack, J. R.↗

NASA NTRS1980

The longitudinal variation of the thermal inertia and of the 2.8 centimeter brightness temperature of Mars

The spatial variations on Mars of the surface thermal inertia and radiometric albedo are used to predict the variation with sub-earth longitude of the 2.8 cm whole-disk brightness temperature. The maximum variation predicted, about 8 K, agrees well with observations. The sub-earth longitudes at which the temperature maxima and minima are predicted to occur nearly agree with the observations. There are, however, differences in the overall form of the variation with longitude. These discrepancies can be reduced by an ad hoc assumption of spatial variations in either the fraction of the surface covered by rock or the amount of atmospheric dust.

Jakosky, B. M.↗

NASA NTRS1981

Modulation of Venus ion densities associated with solar variations

The dayside ion concentrations in the Venus ionosphere obtained by the Pioneer Venus orbiter ion mass spectrometer exhibit a modulation corresponding to the 27-day solar variation. Comparisons were made of the amplitudes of modulation of CO(2(+), C(+), and O2(+), with the amplitudes of the 27-day variation in the 10.7-cm solar radio flux and the simultaneously measured EUV fluxes at He II (304 A) and Lyman-beta(1026 A), together with a theoretical analysis of the effects of solar variability on the ionosphere and neutral atmosphere of Venus. This analysis leads to the conclusion that the observed modulation of dayside ion densities is primarily due to the variability in the ionizing EUV radiations and, to a much lesser extent, the result of the variability with solar activity of the neutral atmosphere via the variability in exospheric temperature. In this connection, it is also shown theoretically why the percentage variation of exospheric temperature on Venus (as observed in the ONMS data) for a given variation in the 10.7-cm radio flux is only half of the exospheric temperature variation for earth.

Bauer, S. J.↗

NASA NTRS1982

Variational methods in simultaneous optimum interpolation and initialization

The duality between optimum interpolation and variational objective analysis, is reviewed. This duality is used to set up a variational approach to objective analysis which uses prior information concerning the atmospheric spectral energy distribution, in the variational problem. In the wind analysis example, the wind field is partitioned into divergent and nondivergent parts, and a control parameter governing the relative energy in the two parts is estimated from the observational data being analyzed by generalized cross validation, along with a bandwidth parameter. A variational approach to combining objective analysis and initialization in a single step is proposed. In a simple example of this approach, data, forecast, and prior information concerning atmospheric energy distribution is combined into a single variational problem. This problem has (at least) one bandwidth parameter, one partitioning parameter governing the relative energy in fast slow modes, and one parameter governing the relative weight to be given to observational and forecast data.

Wahba, G.↗