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At least 181 records · Page 10

The Use of MERRA-2 Near Surface Meteorology to Understand the Behavior of Planetary Boundary Layer Heights Derived from Wind Profiler Data over the US Great Plains

The atmospheric general circulation model (GCM) that underlies the MERRA-2 reanalysis includes a suite of physical parameterizations that describe the processes that occur in the planetary boundary layer (PBL). The data assimilation system assures that the atmospheric state variables used as input to these parameterizations are constrained to the best fit to all of the available observations. Many studies, however, have shown that the GCM-based estimates of MERRA-2 PBL heights are biased high, and so are not reliable for application related to constituent transport or the carbon cycle. A new 20-year record of PBL heights was derived from Wind Profiler (WP) backscatter data measured at a wide network of stations throughout the US Great Plains and has been validated against independent estimates. The behavior of these PBL heights shows geographical and temporal variations that are difficult to attribute to particular physical processes without additional information that are not part of the observational record. In the present study, we use information on physical processes from MERRA-2 to understand the behavior of the WP derived PBL heights. The behavior of the annual cycle of both MERRA-2 and WP PBL heights shows three classes of behavior: (i) canonical, where the annual cycle follows the annual cycle of the sun, (ii) delayed, where the PBL height reaches its annual maximum after the annual maximum of the solar insolation, and (iii) double maxima, where the PBL height begins to rise with the solar insolation but falls sometimes during the summer and then rises again. Although the magnitude of these types of variations is described by the WP PBL record, the explanation for these behaviors and the relationship to local precipitation, temperature, hydrology and sensible and latent heat fluxes is articulated using information from MERRA-2.

MERRA↗

A Comparison of Satellite Data-Based Drought Indicators in Detecting the 2012 Drought in the Southeastern US

The drought of 2012 in the North America devastated agricultural crops and pastures, further damaging agriculture and livestock industries and leading to great losses in the economy. The drought maps of the United States Drought Monitor (USDM) and various drought monitoring techniques based on the data collected by the satellites orbiting in space such as the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) are inter-compared during the 2012 drought conditions in the southeastern United States. The results indicated that spatial extent of drought reported by USDM were in general agreement with those reported by the MODIS-based drought maps. GRACE-based drought maps suggested that the southeastern US experienced widespread decline in surface and root-zone soil moisture and groundwater resources. Disagreements among all drought indicators were observed over irrigated areas, especially in Lower Mississippi region where agriculture is mainly irrigated. Besides, we demonstrated that time lag of vegetation response to changes in soil moisture and groundwater partly contributed to these disagreements, as well.

drought indicators↗

Magnetosphere Dynamics During the 14 November 2012 Storm Inferred from TWINS, AMPERE, Van Allen Probes, and BATS-R-US-CRCM

During the 14 November 2012 geomagnetic storm, the Van Allen Probes spacecraft observed a number of sharp decreases ('dropouts') in particle fluxes for ions and electrons of different energies. In this paper, we investigate the global magnetosphere dynamics and magnetosphere- ionosphere (M-I) coupling during the dropout events using multipoint measurements by Van Allen Probes, TWINS, and AMPERE together with the output of the two-way coupled global BATS-R-US-CRCM model. We find different behavior for two pairs of dropouts. For one pair, the same pattern was repeated: (1) weak nightside Region 1 and 2 Birkeland currents before and during the dropout; (2) intensification of Region 2 currents after the dropout; and (3) a particle injection detected by TWINS after the dropout. The model predicted similar behavior of Birkeland currents. TWINS low-altitude emissions demonstrated high variability during these intervals, indicating high geomagnetic activity in the near-Earth tail region. For the second pair of dropouts, the structure of both Birkeland currents and ENA emissions was relatively stable. The model also showed quasi-stationary behavior of Birkeland currents and simulated ENA emissions with gradual ring current buildup. We confirm that the first pair of dropouts was caused by large-scale motions of the OCB (open-closed boundary) during substorm activity. We show the new result that this OCB motion was associated with global changes in Birkeland (M-I coupling) currents and strong modulation of low-altitude ion precipitation. The second pair of dropouts is the result of smaller OCB disturbances not related to magnetospheric substorms. The local observations of the first pair of dropouts result from a global magnetospheric reconfiguration, which is manifested by ion injections and enhanced ion precipitation detected by TWINS and changes in the structure of Birkeland currents detected by AMPERE. This study demonstrates that multipoint measurements along with the global model results enable the reconstruction of a more complete system-level picture of the dropout events and provides insight into M-I coupling aspects that have not previously been investigated.

Buzulukova, Natalia↗

The Use of MERRA-2 Near Surface Meteorology to Understand the Behavior of Planetary Boundary Layer Heights Derived from Wind Profiler Data over the US Great Plains

The atmospheric general circulation model (GCM) that underlies the MERRA-2 reanalysis includes a suite of physical parameterizations that describe the processes that occur in the planetary boundary layer (PBL). The data assimilation system assures that the atmospheric state variables used as input to these parameterizations are constrained to the best fit to all of the available observations. Many studies, however, have shown that the GCM-based estimates of MERRA-2 PBL heights are biased high, and so are not reliable for boundary layer studies.A 20-year record of PBL heights was derived from Wind Profiler (WP) backscatter data measured at a wide network of stations throughout the US Great Plains and has been validated against independent estimates. The behavior of these PBL heights shows geographical and temporal variations that are difficult to attribute to particular physical processes without additional information that are not part of the observational record.In the present study, we use information on physical processes from MERRA-2 to understand the behavior of the WP derived PBL heights. The behavior of the annual cycle of both MERRA-2 and WP PBL heights shows four classes of behavior: (i) canonical, characterized by a monthly progression in PBL height that follows the solar insolation, (ii) double peak, characterized by canonical behavior that is interrupted by a minimum in July, (iii) late peak, characterized by a suppressed heights in May and June, and return to canonical in July and August, and (iv) early peak where the PBL height rises with solar insolation but is suppressed later in the summer. The explanation for these behaviors and the relationship to local precipitation, temperature, sensible and latent heat fluxes, net radiation and aerosol load is articulated using information from MERRA-2.

Salmun, Haydee↗

The Sensitivity of US Wildfire Occurrence to Pre-Season Soil Moisture Conditions Across Ecosystems

It is well accepted that drought and low moisture conditions are linked with increased wildfire occurrence. However, quantifying the sensitivity of wildfire to surface moisture state has been challenging due to a lack of soil moisture observations at an appropriate spatial scale. Here we apply model simulations of surface soil moisture that numerically assimilate observations from NASA’s Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission, combined in a predictive algorithm with the US Forest Service’s Fire-Occurrence Database. We estimate a relationship between historic surface moisture and wildfire occurrence to produce annual probable wildfire occurrence and burned area at 0.25-degree resolution for the contiguous United States by land-cover classification. Cross-validation indicates increased frequency of smaller fires when the months preceding fire season are wet, while larger fires are more frequent when soils are dry. This demonstrates that assimilated GRACE data holds information that could aid national-scale fire potential assessments for early decision-support.

Fire-Occurrence database↗

Multi-Year Movements of Blacknose, Finetooth, & Sharpnose Sharks in the US South Atlantic Based on Monitoring Within a Regional-Scale Acoustic Telemetry Network

Despite their numerical abundance and economic value, the behavior of many small coastal sharks in the US South Atlantic has been only coarsely described. Here we present movement summaries for blacknose (Carcharhinus acronotus), finetooth (C. isodon), and Atlantic sharpnose shark (Rhizoprionodon terraenovae) as they travelled through a regional-scale acoustic telemetry network, offering direct comparisons of habitat utilization, site fidelity, and the extent and timing of coastal migrations. From 2013-2016, 165 total sharks were implanted with acoustic transmitters at Cape Canaveral, Florida, and tracked up to four years. While blacknose sharks were common off east Florida year-round, finetooth sharks were most abundant winter through early spring and sharpnose sharks summer through fall. Blacknose sharks also moved more slowly (mean 0.8 kilometers per hour) and had the broadest depth preferences, while finetooth sharks were strongly shore-associated and sharpnose preferred proportionally deeper waters. All species exhibited low site fidelity when at Cape Canaveral, remaining at the same site for more than 1 hour on average, even when associated with deeper hard-bottom sites. Most finetooth and many blacknose undertook spring migrations as far as Virginia and North Carolina, respectively, before returning to east Florida each winter. Sharpnose also made regular northward movements that were not as obviously seasonally-driven. Multiple individuals of all species, particularly females, returned briefly south to Cape Canaveral in mid-summer, illustrating that coastal migrations in these species are more akin to seasonal expansions of their geographic ranges as opposed to a synchronized shift of the entire population along the coast.

Reyier, Eric↗

Impact of a Regional US Drought on Land and Atmospheric Carbon

The impacts of drought on regional land and atmospheric carbon are still poorly understood. Here we quantify the impact of a regional US drought on land carbon fluxes (Gross Primary Production, or GPP, and Net Biosphere Production, or NBP) and atmospheric carbon (CO2) by imposing an idealized 3-month meteorological drought in an ensemble of coupled land-atmosphere climate simulations. The imposed drought, applied to the lower Mississippi River Valley (~500,000 km (exp 2)), leads to a 23% GPP reduction in the drought area in the month immediately following the drought’s termination. The drought also caused GPP reductions in some remote areas through drought-induced impacts on remote meteorology, particularly the areas adjacent to the imposed drought. In the remote areas, the induced precipitation changes are responsible for most of the anomalous land productivity. The impact of the drought-induced meteorological anomalies on GPP is greater than that of the CO2 anomalies by at least an order of magnitude. While their impact on GPP is secondary, the drought-induced atmospheric CO2 anomalies near the land surface can be as large as 3.57ppm. The significant CO2 anomalies cover an area up to three times of that of the imposed drought, suggesting that atmospheric transport needs to be considered in the interpretation of drought-induced CO2 anomalies in the atmosphere. The imposed drought also leads to column-averaged CO2 increases of up to 0.78ppm, which is at the edge of the uncertainty from single soundings of current greenhouse gas (GHG) observing satellites.

Eunjee Lee↗

In Situ Measurements of Ammonia In Plumes Emitted From Wildfires And Agricultural Fires in the US

Emissions of trace gases and particles from fires have a major impact on climate, visibility, air quality, and public health. Biomass burning emissions include reactive nitrogen gases, among which ammonia (NH3) plays a prominent role. NH3 is a short-lived gas that acts as precursor for secondary inorganic aerosols. This process is still poorly constrained in downwind fire plumes. In summer 2019, NASA and NOAA carried out the joint airborne FIREX-AQ (Fire Influence on Regional to global Environments and Air Quality) mission over the continental US to sample plumes from wildfires and agricultural fires. On board the NASA DC-8, we used a modified PTR-ToF-MS instrument for measuring NH3 in situ and at high time resolution. Over the course of the mission, we collected a large set of NH3 data in plumes emitted from fires differing in fuel type and burning stage. Herein, we will present the measured NH3 emissions ratios and factors, compare them with the literature, and investigate the dependence of NH3 emissions on fuel type and burning conditions.

ammonia↗

From the Upper Troposphere Through the Stratosphere: How Satellite Measurements Help Us Decode the Past to Better Project the Future

Decades of observations of key chemical species are allowing us to more fully understand processes important to transport and composition from the upper troposphere through the stratosphere. This talk will focus on a few examples and how they are informing our understanding of variability, trends, and future projections. The growth of the Antarctic ozone hole (late 1970s – mid 1990s) caused a dynamical perturbation to the Southern Hemisphere stratospheric circulation visible in ozone, one of our longest and best observed chemical constituents, and illustrates the connection between chemical change and the coupled radiative and dynamical response that challenges chemistry-climate models (CCMs). The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) is the dominant mode of interannual variability in the tropical stratosphere, however its impacts on stratospheric circulation and composition can be traced globally. The QBOs timing with respect to the seasonal cycle in each hemisphere is significant in understanding its impact on up to decadal scale variability. The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which dominates tropical tropospheric interannual variability, also affects the stratosphere and its influence is visible in our growing record of tropospheric and stratospheric composition measurements. I will discuss how our knowledge of response has grown and how representation of these observed responses in CCMs is key both to understanding recent trends and to reducing uncertainty in future changes of composition.

Luke David Oman↗

Detecting Short Term Drought Impact in the Southwest US Using GOES-16 ABI Data

Satellite optical remote sensing has been often used for monitoring broad-region vegetation change, for example, phenology observations and the year-to-year leaf area index (LAI) responses to climate oscillations. However, rapid responses of vegetation to day-to-day weather perturbations are difficult to detect using available optical remote sensing satellites because of the low frequency of the observations. Sun-synchronous optical sensors, such as Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR), can observe a target area once a day. Daily observations cannot distinguish whether short-term changes in Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (NDVI) are actual LAI change or cloud contamination. NOAA’s GOES satellites make observations every 10 to 15 minutes using the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI). In this study, we used the Geostationary-NASA Earth Exchange (GeoNEX) L1G Top-of-Atmosphere (TOA) ABI data to detect drought impact on NDVI time series in the Southwest US. We used an empirical method to cancel the BRDF effect of varying solar zenith angle. The ABI was able to detect short term drought impacts as well as an NDVI decrease in the dry season. Increased NDVI right after a rainfall followed by an immediate decrease was observed. These ABI NDVI changes were correlated with the RGB time series from PhenoCam Network data. Results indicated that the ABI can be used for short-term analysis of LAI and can detect small LAI changes caused by drought in an arid area, suggesting the potential for its use in near-real time drought monitoring applications.

ABI↗

Changing Physical Conditions and Lower and Upper Trophic Level Responses on the US Northeast Shelf

Sea surface temperature (SST), salinity, and chlorophyll concentration (CHL) have changed in the US Northeast Shelf ecosystem over recent decades. The changes in these parameters were distinctly marked by change points around the year 2012 resulting in a 0.83°C increase in SST, a 0.3 PSU increase in salinity, and decrease in CHL in excess of 0.4 mg m–3. Where temperature and salinity shifted in mean level around their respective change points, CHL declined in a more monotonic fashion. Modeled data suggest that the shift in CHL resulted in a greater contribution of pico- and nanophytoplankton and a decreased contribution of microphytoplankton to overall CHL. Complementary estimates of the contribution of different phytoplankton functional types suggest a diminished contribution of diatoms to the phytoplankton community. Hence, not only is there evidence of a decline in the overall primary production capacity of the ecosystem, but also evidence of a fundamental change in the size and quality of phytoplankton supporting food webs. Two ecosystem responses to the observed changes in SST, salinity, and CHL were analyzed. Both length and weight at age have declined for a number of species, and both measures of growth appear to be negatively associated with temperature and positively associated with CHL. Biomass of fish and macroinvertebrates has declined in recent years, with a decrease in pelagic species associated with a decrease in CHL, while the decline in demersal species was associated with an increase in temperature. Collectively, these ecosystem changes appear to be the result of the complex interactions of both thermal effects and changes at the base of the food web.

Kevin D. Friedland↗

US Contributions to the Athena Wide Field Imager

The world’s premier X-ray astronomical observatories, Chandra and XMM-Newton, have been operating for about 20 years. The next flagship X-ray observatory launched will be ESA’s Athena mission. We discuss planned US contributions to the Athena Wide Field Imager instrument, which encompass transient source detection, background characterization and reduction, and detector electronics design and testing, in addition to scientific contributions.

David N. Burrows↗

Anomalous and Ungrouped Carbonaceous Chondrites in the US Antarctic Meteorite Collection and their Potential Relevance to Ryugu and Bennu

With two different carbonaceous asteroid sample return missions in full swing, attention has focused on what connections can be made between the asteroid samples and the wide range of carbonaceous chondrite meteorites in worldwide collections. The US Antarctic meteorite collection contains nearly 1000 carbonaceous chondrites of various types including many in well-established groups as well as ungrouped, unusual or anomalous groups [1]. Some of the latter have been included in, or are possibly related to, recently proposed new carbonaceous chondrite classifications – CA and CY chondrites [2,3]. In addition to these, there are numerous ungrouped samples that have properties intermediate between established groups (like CM and CO; [4]), distinct from any other groups [5], or have anomalous properties that might be attributable to parent body processes such as heating, fluid interaction, or impacts [6]. Some CM anomalous or ungrouped chondrites share spectral features with Ryugu, which has a small hydration peak arguably due to hydrated minerals left after either impact heating or shock in carbonaceous chondrites [7]. PCA 91008, PCA 02012, GRO 95566, and LEW 85311 are all CMs that have experienced heating or metamorphism that may be due to impacts, solar radiation, or radiogenic decay [6]. These samples all have low H contents, C/H (bulk), and low 17O [6,8] and may hold clues to understanding the mineralogy of Ryugu, or interpretations of its spectral properties. WIS 91600, on the other hand, appears to be related to several other highly altered CM [6], and shares properties with the newly proposed CY chondrites [6]. An understanding of this grouplet will also aid in the interpretation of Bennu samples which have strong hydration features. In addition, ungrouped carbonaceous chondrites may provide valuable insights into the aqueous alteration potentially recorded in Bennu and Ryugu samples; such as the relatively moderate aqueous alteration recognized and dated at 4-5 myr after CAIs in MAC 88107 (C2-ungrouped) by [9] to the extensive aqueous alteration apparent in MIL 090292 (C1-ungrouped) [10]. Finally, LON 94101/94102 is a brecciated CM chondrite with numerous lithologies. Its appearance is similar to some of the brecciated lithologies visible at the surface of Bennu and Ryugu [11]. Although CM chondrites with multiple lithologies are common (e.g., [12]), the lithologies are often difficult to resolve at the hand specimen scale and only after some detailed e-beam characterization are the subtle lithologic differences evident (e.g., [13]). LON 94102 contains visibly distinct clasts at the hand specimen scale, relatively rare for CM breccias. The largest CM chondrites by mass from the U.S. Antarctic meteorite collection may provide insights into the extent of brecciation and heterogeneity within more typical CM chondrite-like source asteroids. For example, recent curation CT scans [14] show possible clasts within in a subsplit of ALH 83100 (CM1/2) which is the largest CM chondrite or CM chondrite pairing group in the U.S. Antarctic collection with an original mass of 3.019 kg. Similar work on additional subsplits or meteorites may aid our understanding of heterogeneity within CM chondrites from Antarctica. Initial classification of CM chondrites in U.S. Antarctic meteorite collection includes preliminary pairing when petrographically similar CM chondrites that have been previously found in the same field area. The two largest CM chondrite preliminary pairing groups by mass are the ALH 83102 (CM2) pairing group with an original mass of 2.554 kg and the EET 96005 (CM2) pairing group with an original mass of 1.125 kg. However, preliminary pairing groups assigned at classification—intrinsically— do not include stones that are petrographically distinct. Rigorous pairing group studies of CM chondrites from specific field sites are needed to investigate if there is unrecognized heterogeneity in CM chondrites from Antarctica that may represent common asteroid impactors (pre-atmospheric entry asteroids/meteoroids). Detailed pairing studies have the potential to recognize initial stones with multiple lithologies and investigate if there are stones that only sample one of those respective lithologies in the collection. These groups of heated CMs, extensively hydrated CMs, intermediate between CM and CO chondrites, and brecciated samples are all potentially relevant to Bennu and Ryugu samples, where heating, hydration, and brecciation have all come into play. These bodies might also be comprised of material intermediate to CM and CO chondrites, or at least distinct from the well-established CC groups. These small and unusual groups of carbonaceous chondrites may help to unlock new information about early solar system processes and aid in the understanding of the evolution of these carbonaceous asteroids.

meteorites↗

Merging of the Case 2 Regional Coast Colour and Maximum‑Peak Height Chlorophyll‑a Algorithms: Validation and Demonstration of Satellite‑derived Retrievals Across US Lakes

Water quality monitoring is relevant for protecting the designated, or beneficial uses, of water such as drinking, aquatic life, recreation, irrigation, and food supply that support the economy, human well-being, and aquatic ecosystem health. Managing finite water resources to support these designated uses requires information on water quality so that managers can make sustainable decisions. Chlorophyll-a (chl-a, µg L−1) concentration can serve as a proxy for phytoplankton biomass and may be used as an indicator of increased anthropogenic nutrient stress. Satellite remote sensing may present a complement to in situ measures for assessments of water quality through the retrieval of chl-a with in-water algorithms. Validation of chl-a algorithms across US lakes improves algorithm maturity relevant for monitoring applications. This study compares performance of the Case 2 Regional Coast Colour (C2RCC) chl-a retrieval algorithm, a revised version of the Maximum-Peak Height (MPH(P)) algorithm, and three scenarios merging these two approaches. Satellite data were retrieved from the MEdium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MERIS) and the Ocean and Land Colour Instrument (OLCI), while field observations were obtained from 181 lakes matched with U.S. Water Quality Portal chl-a data. The best performance based on mean absolute multiplicative error (MAEmult) was demonstrated by the merged algorithm referred to as C15−M10 (MAEmult = 1.8, biasmult = 0.97, n = 836). In the C15−M10 algorithm, the MPH(P) chl-a value was retained if it was > 10 µg L−1; if the MPH(P) value was ≤ 10 µg L−1, the C2RCC value was selected, as long as that value was < 15 µg L−1. Time-series and lake-wide gradients compared against independent assessments from Lake Champlain and long-term ecological research stations in Wisconsin were used as complementary examples supporting water quality reporting requirements. Trophic state assessments for Wisconsin lakes provided examples in support of inland water quality monitoring applications. This study presents and assesses merged adaptations of chl-a algorithms previously reported independently. Additionally, it contributes to the transition of chl-a algorithm maturity by quantifying error statistics for a number of locations and times.

Satellite↗

Petrologic Sub-types, Sub-groups, and Pairing for CV Chondrites in the US Antarctic Meteorite Collection

Carbonaceous chondrites of the Vigarano group (CV) are primitive meteorites that provide a wealth of information about the early solar system, including constraints on chondrule formation, origin of calcium-aluminum inclusions, stability of organic compounds, and redox conditions. The US Antarctic meteorite collection contains 119 CV samples from 15 dense collection areas (DCAs) from the Trans-Antarctic Mountains. These samples have been assigned a preliminary classification as CVs, but have not been assigned to the subgroups Oxidized A, Oxidized B, and Reduced. Additionally, variation in petrologic grade can be determined non-destructively using Raman spectroscopy. In order to update classification of both subgroups and petrologic types in the collection, we have acquired magnetic susceptibility, metal and sulfide compositions, and Raman spectra, for as many samples as possible. We use the recent assessment and delineation of CV sub-groups of as a guide.

solar nebula↗

Satellite Soil Moisture Data Assimilation Impacts on Modeling Weather Variables and Ozone in the Southeastern US – Part 2: Sensitivity to Dry-Deposition Parameterizations

Ozone (O3) dry deposition is a major O3 sink. As a follow-up study of Huang et al. (2021), we quantify the impact of satellite soil moisture (SM) on model representations of this process when different dry-deposition parameterizations are implemented, based on which the implications for interpreting O3 air pollution levels and assessing the O3 impacts on human and ecosystem health are provided. The SM data from NASA's Soil Moisture Active Passive mission are assimilated into the Noah-Multiparameterization (Noah-MP) land surface model within the NASA Land Information System framework, semicoupled with Weather Research and Forecasting model with online Chemistry (WRF-Chem) regional-scale simulations covering the southeastern US. Major changes in the modeling system used include enabling the dynamic vegetation option, adding the irrigation process, and updating the scheme for the surface exchange coefficient. Two dry-deposition schemes are implemented, i.e., the Wesely scheme and a “dynamic” scheme, in the latter of which dry-deposition parameterization is coupled with photosynthesis and vegetation dynamics. It is demonstrated that, when the dynamic scheme is applied, the simulated O3 dry-deposition velocities vd and their stomatal and cuticular portions, as well as the total O3 fluxes Ft, are larger overall; vd and Ft are 2–3 times more sensitive to the SM changes due to the data assimilation (DA). Further, through case studies at two forested sites with different soil types and hydrological regimes, we highlight that, applying the Community Land Model type of SM factor controlling stomatal resistance (i.e., β factor) scheme in replacement of the Noah-type β factor scheme reduced the v(d) sensitivity to SM changes by ∼75 % at one site, while it doubled this sensitivity at the other site. Referring to multiple evaluation datasets, which may be associated with variable extents of uncertainty, the model performance of vegetation, surface fluxes, weather, and surface O3 concentrations shows mixed responses to the DA, some of which display land cover dependency. Finally, using model-derived concentration- and flux-based policy-relevant O3 metrics as well as their matching exposure–response functions, the relative biomass/crop yield losses for several types of vegetation/crops are estimated to be within a wide range of 1 %–17 %. Their sensitivities to the model's dry-deposition scheme and the implementation of SM DA are discussed.

Min Huang↗

US-EUSST SSA Data Exchange for Improved Orbital Safety

Data sharing and exchange among different Space Situational Awareness (SSA) data collectors/providers is frequently discussed as a mechanism to improve the accuracy and precision of orbital safety products. Indeed, at the conceptual level this claim is quite sensible: objects with more tracking, and thus presumably better distribution of that tracking about their orbit, should produce updates with smaller epoch errors and more realistic covariances at epoch, which should then translate into better performance in prediction and thus improved close approach calculations. However, this thesis has not been verified with any large study involving two different data providers, through which the amount of realized improvement can be quantified and, perhaps more importantly, the logistics of effecting observation data sharing in a regularized way can be established and circulated to assist others. To create rubrics for helpful data sharing for conjunction assessment applications, and to collect empirical data on the improvements achieved through sharing of measurement data, the US Office of Space Commerce and the European Union Space Surveillance and Tracking (EUSST) Support Framework have embarked on a joint experiment to collect and exchange satellite metric observations on selected satellites of interest over an experimental period. Each entity will perform orbit determination with their own observations, the other entity’s observations, and with both observation data sets combined. The product results will be compared with each other, showing differences attributable both to the three different data groups and to the two entities’ different approaches to orbit determination. The exemplar satellites include both objects that have external precision reference ephemerides and those that do not, allowing the experiment to exercise both precision-comparison and assimilative-comparison techniques. The present reporting will give preliminary results and a set of lessons learned for data sharing; a second presentation later in 2023 will provide a full accounting of the experiment’s results. The hope is that, through this work, a pathway can be established for the expeditious and fruitful sharing among collection entities, both commercial and governmental.

space situational awareness↗

Revisiting the Causes of the US Midwest Great Flood of 1993

The floods that occurred in the Midwest during the summer of 1993 remain one of the greatest flooding events in US history. While a considerable amount of work has already been done addressing its causes there still remain uncertainties as to the relative roles of forcing from the tropics and the extra-tropics as well as the extended nature of the excessive rainfall that lasted throughout much of the late spring and summer of that year. Here we use a novel “replay” technique in which the GEOS AGCM is constrained to remain close to the MERRA-2 reanalysis over specified regions of the globe to isolate the causes of the excessive rain. We show the main rainfall event in the upper Midwest in July (extending into August) was the result of the development of a large amplitude Rossby wave (and associated pronounced moisture influx from the Gulf of Mexico) apparently forced by anomalous transient eddies in the western North Pacific. Rainfall that fell in the Midwest during the two months prior to that, while not as intense, acted to precondition the soil, with forcing from the tropics contributing to the May precipitation, while the excessive Midwest rain that fell during June was part of a record hemispheric-wide precipitation signal that appears to be linked to an unusually cold north polar stratosphere. The nature of the stratospheric impact and the possible delayed influence of the Pinatubo eruption is currently being assessed.

Midwest↗