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At least 181 records · Page 10

A Lagrangian Study of the Transition from Shallow to Deep Convection Using ASR Observations and Les Simulations (Final Report)

With the support from this grant, we have made the following accomplishments. We have found that a formula for fractional entrainment rate, a key aspect for parameterization moist convection, that works for both shallow and deep convection, which provide a promising direction for unified treatment of entrainment for both shallow and deep convection. We also examined the formulation of vertical velocity and showed that the effect of non-hydrostatic pressure and entrainment on vertical velocity are not constants, as assumed in past studies, but can be computed using a simple model for the cloudy updrafts. These results also apply to both deep and shallow convection, which opens the door for a more physically based parameterization of the updraft vertical velocity. We have also conducted extensive analysis of the RACORO aircraft data and have published the results in Wei et al. (2020). We have made extensive effort scrutinizing the data in detail and examining the various hypotheses with the aid of the LES simulations. This was the first application of the modified Paluch diagram on modern aircraft data and the first comprehensive analysis of mixing in clouds using real data (instead of only LES output) in a very long time. These analyses enhanced the science return of the ASR aircraft measurements. This grant also supported a study of the collisions among cold pools and an effort to build parameterizations of moist convection using tools developed in control theory.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Phase Equilibrium of Water with Hexagonal and Cubic Ice Using the SCAN Functional

Machine learning models are rapidly becoming widely used to simulate complex physicochemical phenomena with ab initio accuracy. Here, we use one such model as well as direct density functional theory (DFT) calculations to investigate the phase equilibrium of water, hexagonal ice (Ih), and cubic ice (Ic), with an eye toward studying ice nucleation. The machine learning model is based on deep neural networks and has been trained on DFT data obtained using the SCAN exchange and correlation functional. We use this model to drive enhanced sampling simulations aimed at calculating a number of complex properties that are out of reach of DFT-driven simulations and then employ an appropriate reweighting procedure to compute the corresponding properties for the SCAN functional. This approach allows us to calculate the melting temperature of both ice polymorphs, the driving force for nucleation, the heat of fusion, the densities at the melting temperature, the relative stability of ices Ih and Ic, and other properties. We find a correct qualitative prediction of all properties of interest. In some cases, quantitative agreement with experiment is better than for state-of-the-art semiempirical potentials for water. Furthermore, our results also show that SCAN correctly predicts that ice Ih is more stable than ice Ic.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Optimal Control of SOEC-Based Hydrogen Production Systems for Demand Response Using Deep Reinforcement Learning in Smart Grids

Solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC) hydrogen production technology can range in size from small, appliance-size equipment to large-scale, central production facilities that can be tied directly to renewable or non-greenhouse-gas-emitting forms of electricity production, making it an ideal resource for demand response (DR). The SOEC hydrogen production system is a complex integrated system that encompasses fluid dynamics, electrical dynamics, and electrochemical and thermal dynamics, all of which involve non-linearity and non-convexity. Proper control of the SOEC hydrogen production system is crucial to enable its participation in the DR program. Here, to overcome the difficulty of designing an explicit control law for such nonlinear systems with nonconvex optimization features in DR applications, deep reinforcement learning (DRL) is explored to achieve the optimal control of the SOEC system for DR participation. Specifically, a twin delayed deterministic policy gradient (TD3) control framework is applied to achieve optimal response performance during DR events by considering power tracking error and hydrogen production efficiency with a suitable reward function. Two case studies with grid connections for tracking different DR commands were investigated. The first case study involved operating conditions reaching the boundaries, while the second involved operating conditions within the boundaries. The results showed that the proposed DRL-based control for SOEC can track the DR signal in a timely manner while maintaining high energy efficiency.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Calibrating Atmospheric Delay for the Cassini Gravitational Wave Experiment

The Cassini spacecraft together with one of the stations of the Deep Space Network (DSN) have been instrumented to carry out extremely precise Doppler tracking that will be used to search for the direct evidence of Gravitational radiation passing through our solar system. The two-way communications link between the ground antenna and the spacecraft constitute an "antenna" for gravitational waves that would perturb the phase of the RF signal in the link. The experiments will be carried out during the long cruise phase of the spacecraft on its journey to Saturn and will be sensitive to gravitational wave perturbations larger than the noise level fluctuations of 3 x 10(exp -15) as measured in the Allan Standard Deviation domain. The use of simultaneous, coherent X- and Ka-Band up and down signals will reduce the errors associated with charged particle fluctuations in the interplanetary medium and Earth's ionosphere to a negligible level. The primary fluctuations in the phase of the signals both to and from the spacecraft are expected to be caused by fluctuations in water vapor in the Earth's atmosphere We have designed and are testing a new atmospheric calibration system (with duplicate components) to sense line-of-sight water vapor and its physical temperature with a goal of calibrating 95% or more of tropospheric path delay fluctuations during the Cassini Gravitational Wave Experiment (GWE). The critical component of the calibration system consists of a newly designed water vapor radiometer having a I degree sensing beamwidth and 0.01 K brightness temperature stability over hour time scales. Auxiliary instrumentation includes a microwave temperature profiler to retrieve the vertical distribution of the vapor physical temperature, and surface meteorology. A detailed error budget has been developed to account for all of the possible sources of error during calibration of the GWE and will be discussed. Two identical calibration systems have been constructed in order to provide capability as well as backup during the actual GWE experiment. We will report on side-by-side testing of the vapor and temperature sensing components of this calibrations system as well as a comparison with a short baseline radio interferometric measurement at our Goldstone complex.

Resch, G. M.↗

DPM: A deep learning PDE augmentation method with application to large-eddy simulation

A framework is introduced that leverages known physics to reduce overfitting in machine learning for scientific applications. The partial differential equation (PDE) that expresses the physics is augmented with a neural network that uses available data to learn a description of the corresponding unknown or unrepresented physics. Training within this combined system corrects for missing, unknown, or erroneously represented physics, including discretization errors associated with the PDE's numerical solution. For optimization of the network within the PDE, an adjoint PDE is solved to provide high-dimensional gradients, and a stochastic adjoint method (SAM) further accelerates training. Additionally, the approach is demonstrated for large-eddy simulation (LES) of turbulence. High-fidelity direct numerical simulations (DNS) of decaying isotropic turbulence provide the training data used to learn sub-filter-scale closures for the filtered Navier–Stokes equations. Out-of-sample comparisons show that the deep learning PDE method outperforms widely-used models, even for filter sizes so large that they become qualitatively incorrect. It also significantly outperforms the same neural network when a priori trained based on simple data mismatch, not accounting for the full PDE. Measures of discretization errors, which are well-known to be consequential in LES, point to the importance of the unified training formulation's design, which without modification corrects for them. For comparable accuracy, simulation runtime is significantly reduced. A relaxation of the typical discrete enforcement of the divergence-free constraint in the solver is also successful, instead allowing the DPM to approximately enforce incompressibility physics. Since the training loss function is not restricted to correspond directly to the closure to be learned, training can incorporate diverse data, including experimental data.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Machine Learning Explainability and Transferability for Path Navigation

Deep neural networks are powerful tools for machine perception. Unfortunately their decisions are difficult to explain due to the complexity and size of the networks. Previously we have alleviated this issue by using the representational portion of a deep neural network and combining it with a k-nearest neighbor (KNN) classifier. Through inspection of the decisions made by the KNN, we can directly see the training data responsible for the decisions, allowing us to determine the quality of the overall decision and the quality of the representational layer of the deep NN. While the technique worked well, it requires tens of thousands of latent vectors to be stored for classification. In addition, it lacks the ability to show how parts of an image influence the classification decision. Here we address these issues by 1) Using a radial basis function network (RBFN) in place of the KNN allowing far fewer images to be used in deployment and 2) Using an auto encoder network for explainability. In addition to these techniques, we examine the effects of transfer learning to determine that results are robust. All results are tested on a domain where an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) navigates a forest trail through a single camera.

explainable machine learning↗

Quantitative Particle Analysis of Neptunium-237 Oxides: Optimization of MAMA Analysis for Modified Direct Denitration Products

The production of plutonium-238 through irradiation of neptunium-237 ( 237 Np) target materials for the use in radioisotope thermoelectric generators is paramount for continued deep space exploration. This work employs scanning electron microscopy to analyze 237 Np materials coupled with a well-developed image analysis framework (Morphological Analysis for Material Attribution, or MAMA) to determine the degree of micron-scale homogeneity in the materials. This work demonstrated how the quantification of particle characteristics can validate production materials and affirm the qualitative similarities observed in micrographs. The 237 Np oxide particle analysis determined that the materials from five production runs were quantitatively homogenous (significant at α = 0.05) in particle area, circularity, equivalent circular diameter, and ellipse aspect ratio, with two of the sampling dates having statistically significant different means for one of the four characteristics. Furthermore, these metrics not only confirm general homogeneity of the material but also expand the application of MAMA workflows to 237 Np materials, demonstrating the utility of MAMA analysis for a wider breadth of nuclear materials than previously reported. In the open literature, this study is the first time that these microanalytical techniques were applied to 237 Np materials to this degree.

MAMA↗

Opposed arcs permit deep weld penetration with only one pass

Arc welding technique uses opposed electrodes on either side of the workpiece, operated in right angles, out-of-phase, pulsating direct current. complete penetration has been obtained with this technique in metals ranging from 0.062 to 1.0 inch thickness.

Budds, L. E.↗

High-fidelity dimer excitations using quantum hardware

The quantum simulation of entangled spin systems can play a central role in quantum magnetic materials discovery. Additionally, the simulation of spectroscopic signatures, such as the dynamical structure factor accessed in inelastic neutron scattering (INS), necessitates a long timescale for circuit evolution. This is because the energy resolution is directly related to the time over which the circuit could be meaningfully evolved. However, canonical Trotterization requires deep circuits precluding such long-time evolution—even for a small number of qubits. Here, in this study, we demonstrate “direct” resource efficient fast-forwarding (REFF) measurements with short-depth circuits that can be used to capture longer time dynamics of spin Hamiltonians. We showcase the results of the dynamics of a quantum spin dimer, the basic quantum unit of emergent many-body spin systems, whose density of states we simulate accurately. The long temporal evolution and measurement of the two-spin correlation functions enable the calculation of the dynamical structure factor S⁡(Q = 0, ω) measured in the neutron scattering cross-section. We exhibit the clarity of the triplet gap and the triplet splitting of the quantum dimer with class-leading fidelity that enables comparison to experimental neutron data. Our results on current circuit hardware outline an important workflow to predict and benchmark against the outputs of INS experiments of quantum magnets.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Time-Resolved Line Shapes of Single Quantum Emitters via Machine Learned Photon Correlations

Solid-state single-photon emitters (SPEs) are quantum light sources that combine atomlike optical properties with solid-state integration and fabrication capabilities. SPEs are hindered by spectral diffusion, where the emitter’s surrounding environment induces random energy fluctuations. Timescales of spectral diffusion span nanoseconds to minutes and require probing single emitters to remove ensemble averaging. Photon correlation Fourier spectroscopy (PCFS) can be used to measure time-resolved single emitter line shapes, but is hindered by poor signal-to-noise ratio in the measured correlation functions at early times due to low photon counts. Here, we develop a framework to simulate PCFS correlation functions directly from diffusing spectra that match well with experimental data for single colloidal quantum dots. We use these simulated datasets to train a deep ensemble autoencoder machine learning model that outputs accurate, noiseless, and probabilistic reconstructions of the noisy correlations. Using this model, we obtain reconstructed time-resolved single dot emission line shapes at timescales as low as 10 ns, which are otherwise completely obscured by noise. This enables PCFS to extract optical coherence times on the same timescales as Hong-Ou-Mandel two-photon interference, but with the advantage of providing spectral information in addition to estimates of photon indistinguishability. Further, our machine learning approach is broadly applicable to different photon correlation spectroscopy techniques and SPE systems, offering an enhanced tool for probing single emitter line shapes on previously inaccessible timescales.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Factors Impacting Nuclear Energy Share in U.S. Energy Markets

The purpose of this report is to collate information and findings from recent studies conducted by national and international bodies/institutes to identify approaches for maintaining/enhancing the role of nuclear energy in the current and future energy mix of the United States. This report shows how nuclear generation grew quickly to provide 20% of U.S. electricity, sustaining that level for three decades without the benefit of new construction, but is now projected to decline going forward. Nuclear construction costs in the U.S. spiraled out of control, ending construction for two decades and the recent resumption of construction has continued the pattern of schedule delays and cost overruns. However, nuclear operations exhibited strong learning, achieving and sustaining the highest capacity factor of any electricity generation technology and license extensions and uprates have sustained nuclear market share. The share of nuclear energy in the U.S. electricity market is projected to decline by ~1/3rd over the next 30 years The report provides an overview of how the markets work in theory and in practice. It indicates how market deregulation and clean energy policies have created conditions where nuclear plants are being retired for economic rather than technical reasons. The report also shows how many of the markets do not in practice have free competition but instead have outcomes that are being determined more and more by policy instead of market forces. While electricity costs from existing nuclear plants are low, electricity from new builds is projected to be too expensive to be competitive head-to-head with natural gas, even for nth-of-a-kind costs. Wind and solar energy have enjoyed an extended period of sustained subsidy. This protected environment has resulted in a sustained reduction in plant level costs to the point that some of these Variable Renewable Energy (VRE) technologies are becoming competitive even if their direct subsidies are removed. But plant level costs underestimate total VRE costs which include a number of system-level externalities. The incremental system value of additional VRE capacity was shown to decline as market share increases, with solar value declining more quickly than wind. The report closes with examination of a possible future for nuclear generation as part of deep decarbonization of the electricity sector. This approach avoids direct competition with natural gas. The two options for achieving 100% decarbonization are to use only renewables or to use all zero emissions technologies, and the report shows the second approach is much less expensive than the first.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

MIGHTEE: total intensity radio continuum imaging and the COSMOS/XMM-LSS Early Science fields

ABSTRACT MIGHTEE is a galaxy evolution survey using simultaneous radio continuum, spectropolarimetry, and spectral line observations from the South African MeerKAT telescope. When complete, the survey will image ∼20 deg2 over the COSMOS, E-CDFS, ELAIS-S1, and XMM-Newton Large Scale Structure field (XMM-LSS) extragalactic deep fields with a central frequency of 1284 MHz. These were selected based on the extensive multiwavelength data sets from numerous existing and forthcoming observational campaigns. Here, we describe and validate the data processing strategy for the total intensity continuum aspect of MIGHTEE, using a single deep pointing in COSMOS (1.6 deg2) and a three-pointing mosaic in XMM-LSS (3.5 deg2). The processing includes the correction of direction-dependent effects, and results in thermal noise levels below 2 $\mathrm{\mu }$Jy beam−1 in both fields, limited in the central regions by classical confusion at ∼8 arcsec angular resolution, and meeting the survey specifications. We also produce images at ∼5 arcsec resolution that are ∼3 times shallower. The resulting image products form the basis of the Early Science continuum data release for MIGHTEE. From these images we extract catalogues containing 9896 and 20 274 radio components in COSMOS and XMM-LSS, respectively. We also process a close-packed mosaic of 14 additional pointings in COSMOS and use these in conjunction with the Early Science pointing to investigate methods for primary beam correction of broad-band radio images, an analysis that is of relevance to all full-band MeerKAT continuum observations, and wide-field interferometric imaging in general. A public release of the MIGHTEE Early Science continuum data products accompanies this article.

Heywood, I. (ORCID:0000000168645057)↗

Emission-Line Metallicities from the Faint Infrared Grism Survey and VLT/MUSE

We derive direct-measurement gas-phase metallicities of 7.4 < 12 + log(O/H) < 8.4 for 14 low-mass emission- line galaxies at 0.3 < z < 0.8 identified in the Faint Infrared Grism Survey. We use deep slitless G102 grism spectroscopy of the Hubble Ultra Deep Field, dispersing light from all objects in the field at wavelengths between 0.85 and 1.15 μm. We run an automatic search routine on these spectra to robustly identify 71 emission-line sources, using archival data from Very Large Telescope (VLT)/Multi-Unit Spectroscopic Explorer (MUSE) to measure additional lines and confirm redshifts. We identify 14 objects with 0.3 < z < 0.8 with measurable [O III] λ4363 Å emission lines in matching VLT/MUSE spectra. For these galaxies, we derive direct electron-temperature gas-phase metallicities with a range of 7.4 < 12 + log(O/H) < 8.4. With matching stellar masses in the range of 10(exp 7.9) Solar Mass < M(sub *) < 10(exp 10.4) Solar Mass, we construct a mass–metallicity (MZ) relation and find that the relation is offset to lower metallicities compared to metallicities derived from alternative methods (e.g., R(sub 23), O3N2, N2O2) and continuum selected samples. Using star formation rates derived from the Hα emission line, we calculate our galaxies’ position on the Fundamental Metallicity Relation, where we also find an offset toward lower metallicities. This demonstrates that this emission-line-selected sample probes objects of low stellar masses but even lower metallicities than many comparable surveys. We detect a trend suggesting galaxies with higher Specific Star Formation (SSFR) are more likely to have lower metallicity. This could be due to cold accretion of metal-poor gas that drives star formation, or could be because outflows of metal-rich stellar winds and SNe ejecta are more common in galaxies with higher SSFR.

Pharo, John↗

Shape Evolution of C75 Large-Grain Niobium Half-Cells During Cavity Fabrication

The largely anisotropic deformation of large-grain Nb discs during deep drawing into half-cells poses a challenge for achieving a desired shape accuracy. Two 5-cell cavities for the C75 CEBAF cryomodule rework program have been fabricated at Jefferson Lab from large-grain Nb discs directly sliced from an ingot. The shape of the inner surface of eight half-cells has been inspected using a FARO Edge laser scanner during the fabrication process and compared to the reference shape. On average, approximately 63% of the half-cell inner surface was found to be within 0.1 mm of the reference shape and ~90% to be within 0.2 mm, after the final equator machining. Several 5-cell C75 cavities have also been fabricated at Research Instruments, Germany, and measurements of the shape accuracy using a Zeiss 3D coordinate measuring machine gave similar results. One half-cell was measured both at Research Instruments and Jefferson Lab for comparison.

Ciovati, G.↗

Enabling Affordable Communications for the Burgeoning Deep Space Cubesat Fleet

The low costs of development and launch, coupled with new propulsive technologies, have made CubeSats increasingly popular for use in science investigations beyond geosynchronous orbit. As this deep space CubeSat fleet grows in size, the challenge of trying to provide affordable communications for it grows commensurately. The mass, power, and volume constraints inherent to CubeSats limit the antenna size and transmit power that they can use to close the deep space link. As a consequence, CubeSats need to rely more heavily on ground antennas that are characterized by large aperture, low noise temperatures, and relatively high-power transmitters. Such antennas are not in great abundance, nor are they inexpensive to build. For this reason, NASA’s Deep Space Network has been advocating a three-pronged approach to meeting anticipated CubeSat demand: development of simultaneous, shared-beam multi-spacecraft communications capabilities, development of large-antenna cross-support arrangements with other agencies and universities, and development of less uplink-intensive navigation techniques. This paper focuses on the pursuit of simultaneous, shared-beam multi-spacecraft communications capabilities. While the Multiple Spacecraft per Antenna (MSPA) technique has existed for over a decade, it has generally been limited to supporting downlink for just two in-beam spacecraft at a time. This limitation has largely been a function of the number and cost of available receivers. A relatively new technique that potentially overcomes this limitation is Opportunistic MSPA (OMSPA). Instead of relying on additional receivers, OMSPA makes use of a digital recorder at each ground station that is capable of capturing the intermediate frequency (IF) signals from every spacecraft in the antenna beam within the frequency bands of interest. When CubeSat projects see one or more opportunities for their CubeSat(s) to intercept the traditionally scheduled antenna beam of a “host” spacecraft, they can arrange for the CubeSat(s) to transmit open loop during those opportunities. Via a secure Internet site, the CubeSat mission operators can then retrieve the time- and frequency-relevant portions of the digital recording for subsequent demodulation and decoding, or subscribe to a service that does it for them. This “opportunistic” use of a host spacecraft’s ground antenna beam potentially enables CubeSat projects to make use of large ground antennas for downlink without having to compete with bigger, better-funded missions for antenna time in the formal scheduling process. In so doing, it also potentially enables CubeSat projects to avoid the aperture fees associated with formally scheduled downlink time - fees that factor into the “bottom-line” of competitively-bid NASA missions and that actually get charged to non-NASA missions. Taking advantage of these potential OMSPA benefits, however, will require CubeSat projects to pursue mission designs that ensure at least periodic in-beam operations relative to a “host” spacecraft. In the case of a constellation of CubeSats with inter-spacecraft distances that do not extend outside of the beam-width of the desired ground antenna at the given range, one CubeSat can serve as the “host” and have a formally scheduled downlink while the rest of the CubeSats can downlink essentially for “free” via OMSPA. Deep space CubeSats, of course, will need uplink in addition to downlink. Beyond commanding, this need is driven by the use of two-way ranging and Doppler for navigation. While OMSPA may not directly facilitate uplink, it does have the potential to free up antennas for those spacecraft that periodically require formally scheduled links for commanding and two-way radio metrics. NASA is also exploring the physical feasibility of an in-beam, simultaneous multi-spacecraft uplink technique. As with OMSPA, if successful, it will require little new equipment, further enabling affordable deep space CubeSat communications.

Abraham, Douglas S.↗

Application of inertial instruments for DSN antenna pointing and tracking

The feasibility of using inertial instruments to determine the pointing attitude of the NASA Deep Space Network antennas is examined. The objective is to obtain 1 mdeg pointing knowledge in both blind pointing and tracking modes to facilitate operation of the Deep Space Network 70 m antennas at 32 GHz. A measurement system employing accelerometers, an inclinometer, and optical gyroscopes is proposed. The initial pointing attitude is established by determining the direction of the local gravity vector using the accelerometers and the inclinometer, and the Earth's spin axis using the gyroscopes. Pointing during long-term tracking is maintained by integrating the gyroscope rates and augmenting these measurements with knowledge of the local gravity vector. A minimum-variance estimator is used to combine measurements to obtain the antenna pointing attitude. A key feature of the algorithm is its ability to recalibrate accelerometer parameters during operation. A survey of available inertial instrument technologies is also given.

Eldred, D. B.↗

The role of the droplet interface in controlling the multiphase oxidation of thiosulfate by ozone

Predicting reaction kinetics in aqueous microdroplets, including aerosols and cloud droplets, is challenging due to the probability that the underlying reaction mechanism can occur both at the surface and in the interior of the droplet. Additionally, few studies directly measure the surface activities of doubly charged anions, despite their prevalence in the atmosphere. Here, deep-UV second harmonic generation spectroscopy is used to probe surface affinities of the doubly charged anions thiosulfate, sulfate, and sulfite, key species in the thiosulfate ozonation reaction mechanism. Thiosulfate has an appreciable surface affinity with a measured Gibbs free energy of adsorption of -7.3 ± 2.5 kJ mol -1 in neutral solution, while sulfate and sulfite exhibit negligible surface propensity. The Gibbs free energy is combined with data from liquid flat jet ambient pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy to constrain the concentration of thiosulfate at the surface in our model. Stochastic kinetic simulations leveraging these novel measurements show that the primary reaction between thiosulfate and ozone occurs at the interface and in the bulk, with the contribution of the interface decreasing from ~65% at pH 5 to ~45% at pH 13. Additionally, sulfate, the major product of thiosulfate ozonation and an important species in atmospheric processes, can be produced by two different pathways at pH 5, one with a contribution from the interface of >70% and the other occurring predominantly in the bulk (>98%). The observations in this work have implications for mining wastewater remediation, atmospheric chemistry, and understanding other complex reaction mechanisms in multiphase environments. Future interfacial or microdroplet/aerosol chemistry studies should carefully consider the role of both surface and bulk chemistry.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Neutrino-induced charged-current coherent pion production for constraining the muon neutrino flux at DUNE

We study neutrino-induced charged-current coherent pion production ( ν μ CC - Coh π ) as a tool for constraining the neutrino flux at the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE). The neutrino energy and flavor in the process can be directly reconstructed from the outgoing particles, making it especially useful to specifically constrain the muon neutrino component of the total flux. The cross section of this process can be obtained using the Adler relation with the π -Ar elastic scattering cross section taken either from external data or, as we explore, from a simultaneous measurement in the DUNE near detector. We develop a procedure that leverages ν μ CC - Coh π events to fit for the neutrino flux while simultaneously accounting for relevant effects in the cross section. We project that this method has the statistical power to constrain the uncertainty on the normalization of the flux at its peak to a few percent. This study demonstrates the potential utility of a ν μ CC - Coh π flux constraint, though further work will be needed to determine the range of validity and precision of the Adler relation upon which it relies, as well as to measure the π -Ar elastic scattering cross section to the requisite precision. We discuss the experimental and phenomenological developments necessary to unlock the ν μ CC - Coh π process as a “standard candle” for neutrino experiments.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗