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At least 181 records · Page 10

Nickel Accounting for the Psyche Spacecraft

(16) Psyche is a metallic asteroid located in the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter. The composition of Psyche is unknown, but the scientific community believes it is composed primarily of iron, nickel, and silicates. The Psyche mission will be the first space mission to study this asteroid in close proximity, and as such, determining the elemental composition of the asteroid is one of the primary objectives of this mission. The spacecraft measures this elemental composition using the Gamma Ray Spectrometer (GRS), which detects cosmic-ray induced gamma rays from Psyche’s surface. In addition to gamma rays from Psyche, the GRS will also detect background gamma rays from spacecraft material nearby the GRS. Because Ni is such a key element for achieving the mission science objectives, a special effort has been made to minimize background gamma rays from Ni, thus maximizing sensitivity to the Ni gamma rays from Psyche. The Psyche mission approached this potential Ni background issue with two methods, locating the GRS away from the spacecraft/source of Ni and setting a threshold requirement against the total Ni mass of the spacecraft. Verifying that the total amount of Ni on the spacecraft is within this threshold is thus a key part of ensuring the GRS can meet its science objectives. Ni alloys are commonly used on spacecraft, but the mass and location of elemental Ni is not typically accounted for. Ni can be found in many materials all over the spacecraft – in fasteners, optical assemblies, magnetic shields, electromagnetic interference (EMI) tape, under gold plating, in connectors, and so on. The task proved further challenging because of the distributed nature of the build of this spacecraft and the use of vendors external to JPL. While the analysis was atypical and source information difficult to cull, the approach described in this paper used tools and data available to the project in some form to achieve this goal. For Psyche, current analysis shows there is margin in meeting the Ni mass requirement. This paper explains the systematic approach used to accurately and precisely record Ni content on the Psyche spacecraft. While this approach was defined for Ni on the Psyche mission, it can be used for any future project with the need to accurately estimate the total mass of a single element or material on a spacecraft.

Cullinan, Joe↗

Nickel Accounting for the Psyche Spacecraft

(16) Psyche is a metallic asteroid located in the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter. The composition of Psyche is unknown, but the scientific community believes it is composed primarily of iron, nickel, and silicates. The Psyche mission will be the first space mission to study this asteroid in close proximity, and as such, determining the elemental composition of the asteroid is one of the primary objectives of this mission. The spacecraft measures this elemental composition using the Gamma Ray Spectrometer (GRS), which detects cosmic-ray induced gamma rays from Psyche’s surface. In addition to gamma rays from Psyche, the GRS will also detect background gamma rays from spacecraft material nearby the GRS. Because Ni is such a key element for achieving the mission science objectives, a special effort has been made to minimize background gamma rays from Ni, thus maximizing sensitivity to the Ni gamma rays from Psyche. The Psyche mission approached this potential Ni background issue with two methods, locating the GRS away from the spacecraft/source of Ni and setting a threshold requirement against the total Ni mass of the spacecraft. Verifying that the total amount of Ni on the spacecraft is within this threshold is thus a key part of ensuring the GRS can meet its science objectives. Ni alloys are commonly used on spacecraft, but the mass and location of elemental Ni is not typically accounted for. Ni can be found in many materials all over the spacecraft – in fasteners, optical assemblies, magnetic shields, electromagnetic interference (EMI) tape, under gold plating, in connectors, and so on. The task proved further challenging because of the distributed nature of the build of this spacecraft and the use of vendors external to JPL. While the analysis was atypical and source information difficult to cull, the approach described in this paper used tools and data available to the project in some form to achieve this goal. For Psyche, current analysis shows there is margin in meeting the Ni mass requirement. This paper explains the systematic approach used to accurately and precisely record Ni content on the Psyche spacecraft. While this approach was defined for Ni on the Psyche mission, it can be used for any future project with the need to accurately estimate the total mass of a single element or material on a spacecraft.

Cullinan, Joe↗

Accounting for Dose Uncertainty in Dose-Response Curve Estimation Using Hierarchical Bayes Models

As part of their development of the technology for low-boom supersonic flight, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) is planning to conduct a set of supersonic aircraft annoyance surveys in select communities in the United States, to measure public perception of the reduced sonic boom. The relationship between a noise exposure level of a supersonic flight event and the probability of an individual being highly annoyed by the event is quantified by a dose-response curve, which is usually based on logistic regression modeling. Unavoidable amounts of estimation error are expected in the upcoming noise measurements, which can bias the results of the logistic regression if ignored. Hence, the development of an estimation approach that accounts for such error when estimating the dose-response curve is imperative. In this paper, an evaluation study is conducted to assess the impact of measurement error on dose-response curve estimation. For this, hierarchical Bayes models using different specifications are fit to data collected by NASA in 2018, as part of a risk-reduction study of supersonic flights affecting Galveston, Texas. It is observed that the estimated dose-response curve appears sensitive to uncertainty in dose measurements, being subject to attenuation bias.

community response↗

Accounting for 3D Radiative Effects in MODIS Aerosol Retrievals near Clouds using CALIPSO Observations

Retrievals of aerosol properties near clouds from passive remote sensing is challenging. Sunlight scattered by clouds into nearby clear regions can effectively enhance the clear area reflectance. These cloud 3D radiative effects may lead to large biases in aerosol retrievals if uncorrected, risking an incorrect interpretation of satellite observations for aerosol-cloud interaction in cloudy atmosphere. In earlier studies, we developed a simple two-layer model (2LM) to estimate the cloud-induced clear-sky radiance enhancements in cloud fields. In this study, we take advantage of CALIPSO lidar observations, which should not be affected by the 3D radiative effect, to study passive aerosol retrievals in cloud fields in the Amazon region, specifically those produced by the operational Dark Target algorithm applied to Aqua-MODIS. From two-years’ worth of co-located CALIPSO/MODIS aerosol retrievals, we find a larger increase in operationally retrieved MODIS AOD from clear to cloudy regions (~0.075 or ~40%) than for the CALIPSO AOD (~0.021 or ~20%). The much larger increase in MODIS AOD is mainly due to the 3D radiative effects. After using the 2LM model to account for cloud 3D radiative effects, the clear to cloudy increase in MODIS AOD was reduced to ~0.043 (~23%), much closer to CALIPSO observations. The 3D corrected average MODIS AOD for cloudy scenes is significantly larger than AOD for clear conditions, even for cloud fraction (CF) less than 0.1, suggesting aerosols in cloudy scenes are characteristically different from aerosols in clear conditions. Furthermore, the 3D correction of AOD (i.e., τ_1D-τ_3D) increases linearly with CF for a large range of CF. We have also examined the impact of the 3D effect on aerosol Ångström Exponent (AE) and fine model fraction (FMF) of AOD. We found that the uncorrected average AE and FMF depend strongly on CF, ~25% increase in AE (decrease in particle size) and ~60% increase in FMF as CF increases from 0.05 to 0.45. The 3D correction leads to smaller average AE (bigger particle size) and FMF that are almost independent of CF. Thus, the 3D corrected aerosol properties are expected to provide more accurate information for better understanding aerosol-cloud interactions.

MODIS↗

Inverse Modeling of the Initial Stage of the 1991 Pinatubo Volcanic Cloud Accounting for Radiative Feedback of Volcanic Ash

The way volcanic clouds evolve is very sensitive to the initial spatial 3D distributions of volcanic materials, which are often unknown. In this study, we conducted inverse modeling of the Mt. Pinatubo cloud using TOMS 2D mapping of Aerosol Index and SO 2 loading during the first three post-eruption days to estimate the time-dependent emissions profiles and initial 3D spatial distributions of volcanic ash and SO 2 . We account for aerosol radiative feedback and dynamic lofting of volcanic ash in the inversion calculations for the first time. This resulted in a lower ash injection height (by 1.5 km for ash) than without ash radiative feedback. The Pinatubo eruption ejected ≈77% of fine ash at 12 to 23 km, ≈65% of SO 2 at 18–25 km. In contrast with previous studies, which suggested that all volcanic materials were emitted above the tropopause, a significant fraction of SO 2 (5.1 of 15.5 Mt) and fine ash (37.2 of 66.5 Mt) were ejected in the troposphere, where SO 2 quickly oxidized into sulfate aerosol that is short-lived in the troposphere. This explains the early presence of sulfate aerosols in the plume and why the models can reproduce the observed volcanic aerosols' optical depth (AOD), assuming lower-than-observed SO 2 emission in the stratosphere. Despite the quicker than in observations build-up of sulfate AOD, in a month after the eruption, the evolution of the Pinatubo AOD simulated using the obtained ash and SO 2 initial distributions converges with the available stratospheric aerosol and gas experiment (SAGE) observations.

Pinatubo volcanic ash and SO2 emissions↗

Accounting for Point Estimate Uncertainty in Space Systems Reliability and Risk Analysis

Understanding and accounting for uncertainty in risk analysis is a critical step in the management and communication of risk in engineered systems. The component and system-level analysis to determine the probability of a negative outcome and its consequence is often quantified by a point estimate. Many Program and Enterprise decisions involving technical concerns and issues rely on reliability engineering activities to produce quantified risk analysis to inform the decision making process. At NASA, it is common to use a Probabilistic Risk Analysis (PRA) to inform the overall risk to Loss of Mission or Loss of Crew that involves integration across all spacecraft subsystem fault trees to produce an overall probability of mission failure. The point estimate is an estimate of this overall probability and is an immediate result of a fault tree model. It is the result of a model where the probability of each event is taken to be equal to its mean. The value provides an approximation of the overall mean without running any uncertainty calculations (e.g., no sampling). Using only the point estimate can lead to a false sense of precision and the point estimate may not match the resulting mean when uncertainty is taken into consideration. This paper will explore five conditions that can cause the PRA model mean to diverge from the point estimate and will provide engineers and managers insight into the importance of understanding uncertainty in the elements of PRA models.

Paul J Collier↗

Single Integrated Flux Files to Account for Spacecraft Attitude Motion in Meteoroid Risk Assessments Using the NASA MEM3 and Bumper Codes

Spacecraft meteoroid risk assessments can be performed using NASA’s Meteoroid Engineering Model 3 (MEM3) and the Bumper risk assessment code. The MEM3 meteoroid flux is highly directional in heliocentric space. To represent the directionality, MEM3 outputs the flux in commonly used coordinate frames. For example, if a spacecraft attitude is fixed in the orbital tangential frame, a single Bumper run using the MEM3 flux file in the body-fixed frame can be performed. Cases exist in which the spacecraft does not remain fixed in one of these frames during a mission. This could be handled by performing a series of Bumper runs at points along the trajectory. For each trajectory point, the spacecraft has to be rotated into the frame in which the MEM3 flux file is defined. Another option presented here is to generate a single integrated flux (SIF) file. A SIF file is an average over a trajectory of the time varying MEM3 flux files rotated from their native frame into the spacecraft bus frame. A SIF file enables accounting for spacecraft rotation (coupled with flux variation over the trajectory) in a single Bumper run. An example of an application of SIF files is the meteoroid risk assessment for the Mars Sample Return (MSR) campaign Capture Containment and Return System (CCRS). This report discusses how SIF files were generated for the CCRS risk assessment and presents metrics on the accuracy of the impinging fluence that is generated when using the files. The results show a maximum difference per element in a finite element model within 1 percent for seven of the eight examined cases, with the outlier being less than 2 percent. The results also show that the maximum standard deviation of differences across all elements is within 0.275 percent. The maximum difference in the total fluence across all the elements is 0.0463 percent. The maximum difference in the mean fluence across all the elements is 0.0407 percent.

Meteoroids↗

Carbon Storage Monitoring, Verification, and Accounting (MVA)

Fact sheet about carbon storage monitoring, verification, and accounting (MVA). Includes background on MVA, the Energy & Environmental Research Center, and Plains CO 2 Reduction (PCOR) Partnership Initiative plans for MVA strategy development.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Material Accountancy Performance Indicator Toolkit

The MAPIT - Material Accountancy Performance Indicator Toolkit includes statistical tests and calculations based on open literature that calculate safeguards metrics. The tool can be used with user supplied datasets or with the several included datasets which are generated from models that are maintained at Sandia National Laboratories. The models are not included with the software. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525. SAND2021-0467 O

Shoman, Nathan↗

252 Cf yield calibration method for nuclear material accountancy and safeguards practitioners

Californium-252 is an isotope commonly encapsulated as a physically small but strong spontaneous fission neutron source for applications in industry, academia, and research. Within the nuclear safeguards community, a well-characterized 252 Cf source is often used as an accessible alternative for plutonium in calibrations measurements, which require the absolute source strength. Current methods of source strength quantification can provide an accurate estimate, approximately 1% uncertainty under optimal conditions, but are typically costly and time consuming. An alternative method was developed to determine 252 Cf source strength using passive neutron correlation counting (PNCC). The PNCC method enables institutions and facilities to perform 252 Cf source calibration measurements in-house using detection systems that are common within the nuclear safeguards community. This novel method was previously successfully demonstrated using neutron multiplicity well counters. However, the previous evaluation utilized detection systems with high neutron detection efficiencies, greater than 60%. The purpose of the current study is to extend the previous evaluation and demonstrate the feasibility of the PNCC 252 Cf calibration method for suite of coincidence counters with lower neutron detection efficiencies, between 15% and 35%, which are more commonly encountered in the field, as well as to provide a step-by-step guide to using the method. The neutron source used in this evaluation was previously certified by the National Institutes of Science and Technology (NIST), which provides a reference for the accuracy of the PNCC method. In conclusion, the present source yield calculations demonstrate excellent agreement with a NIST calibration technique and achieve a standard uncertainty below the target 1%.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

INS Nuclear Material Accounting and Control Instructional Video Materials- FY 25 Full Scripts

Each section of the Adhesive TID Process Demonstration is broken down into subparts as referenced in the outline contained in the Contents section, these are referenced as Activity Sections. The structure of the Adhesive TID Process Demonstration items is, to the best of the writer’s ability, in the order of events that the NMAC mitigating techniques are performed.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

INS Nuclear Material Accounting and Control Instructional Video Materials- FY 25 Guides

This training video provides an essential guide to understanding and utilizing Tamper Indicating Devices (TIDs), with a specific focus on a common Mylar (Adhesive) variety during the application process. TIDs are a critical part of nuclear security, used to detect unauthorized access to sensitive materials or facilities. The Mylar (adhesive) TID employes a tamper-evident film integrated into the TID that visually indicates any tampering attempts. This video will explain how an example Mylar (adhesive) TID works, demonstrate proper installation techniques, and highlight how to interpret its indicators to ensure the security of nuclear materials.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

International Nuclear Security Nuclear Material Accounting and Control Kit Participant Guides

You work at a facility that stores large amounts of nuclear material in varying containerizations. Management has just approved the establishment of a tamper indicating device program in order to cut down on the effort required to conduct inventories, and to enhance overall control of nuclear materials within the site boundary. You have been assigned, along with your colleagues, to conduct an initial assessment to determine the ideal TID types to be used at your facility. You will apply TIDs to a variety of apparatuses that are representative of the closure mechanisms on different containers and entry points to rooms and vaults onsite.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Enhanced prediction of Cs removal by CST from Hanford tank waste with K accountability

Abstract The treatment of Hanford tank waste is one of the most challenging environmental cleanup activities to date. To expedite the processing of liquid waste stored in underground tanks in Washington State it is necessary to remove the significant dose contributor, 137 Cs. Crystalline silicotitanate ion exchanger is currently used to remove 137 Cs from the aqueous phase of Hanford tank wastes in preparation for vitrification at the Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP). Improving the understanding of potassium impacts on ion exchange behavior of Cs will help in the operation of a critical component of one of the most complex treatment processes in the world today. Optimization of this process can result in significant cost savings and less waste production. Toward this effort, a series of batch contact tests varied in potassium concentration were conducted to look at the impact of potassium concentration on Cs distribution. Experimental distribution ratios ( K d ) were compared to the distribution ratios predicted using the ZAM model. A significant underprediction of Cs capacity in the presence of potassium was seen with the existing model. A revision of the equilibrium constants was determined and provided a statistically better fit for determining the Cs K d values in tank waste matrices.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗