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Observations of Offshore Low‐Level Jets Off the U.S. East Coast Reveal Systematic Biases in ERA5 and HRRR

Bodini, Nicola [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)] (ORCID:0000000225509853)·Letizia, Stefano [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)] (ORCID:0000000159990131)·Adler, B. [Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO (United States); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, CO (United States)] (ORCID:0000000203847456)·Turner, D. D. [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)] (ORCID:000000031097897X)·Krishnamurthy, R. [Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)] (ORCID:0000000297184218)·Scholbrock, Andy [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)]·Jager, David [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)]·Cinquino, E. [Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, MA (United States)]·Kirincich, A. [Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, MA (United States)] (ORCID:0000000179548543)
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Abstract

Low-level jets (LLJs)—wind speed maxima typically occurring a few hundred meters above the surface—are common off the U.S. East Coast and influence many atmospheric processes with societal importance, including cloud formation, aviation safety, and search-and-rescue. However, their vertical structure and frequency remain poorly quantified due to limited offshore observations. This study presents new scanning Doppler LiDAR and infrared spectroradiometer data from the 2024 summer deployment of an offshore barge during the Wind Forecast Improvement Project 3. These coupled wind and temperature profiles provide unprecedented resolution to assess LLJ behavior and model performance. LLJs occurred in over 21% of observed profiles, with a weak diurnal preference for nighttime and early morning hours and maximum winds typically near 300 m. Both ERA5 and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh analysis underestimate jet wind speeds and misrepresent the boundary layer thermal structure. These results highlight persistent model biases and the critical need for high-resolution offshore observations.

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Bodini, Nicola [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)] (ORCID:0000000225509853), Letizia, Stefano [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)] (ORCID:0000000159990131), Adler, B. [Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO (United States); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, CO (United States)] (ORCID:0000000203847456), Turner, D. D. [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)] (ORCID:000000031097897X), Krishnamurthy, R. [Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)] (ORCID:0000000297184218), Scholbrock, Andy [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)], Jager, David [National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), Golden, CO (United States)], Cinquino, E. [Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, MA (United States)], Kirincich, A. [Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, MA (United States)] (ORCID:0000000179548543). 2026-07-06. Observations of Offshore Low‐Level Jets Off the U.S. East Coast Reveal Systematic Biases in ERA5 and HRRR. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119969

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