An error analysis of basic kinematic quantities

Abstract

A description is presented of the computational procedures used to obtain spatial fields of relative vorticity, advection of vorticity, horizontal divergence, and vertical motion. An investigation is conducted of the effectiveness of these procedures to reduce the effects of deliberately introduced random errors, giving attention to the confidence which can be placed on values of the derived parameters. It is concluded that fields of 500 mb vorticity and 700 mb vertical velocity, which are frequently used in synoptic scale forecasting schemes, show minimal effects of the deliberately introduced errors. Vorticity advection is found to be the most sensitive term to input data errors. Large fluctuations in fields of this parameter are evident both statistically and qualitatively.