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de Souza, Felipe

Publications and source records attributed to de Souza, Felipe.

16 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Comparing Delay-, Distance-, and Cordon-Based Congestion Pricing Strategies Via Large-Scale Simulation

This study compares the impacts of delay-, distance-, and cordon-based congestion pricing strategies for Austin, Texas, using the POLARIS agent-based activity-based travel demand simulation model. This approach enables agent-level heterogeneity and realistic choice options (including destination, mode, and activity scheduling) for dynamic traffic assignment and congestion feedbacks across a major metro region, which are features lacking in past work. To ensure comparability, distance-based tolls were set to generate the same revenue as delay-based tolling of $3.5 M/day, averaging $1.17/resident/day or $0.42/vehicle-trip. Delay-based pricing delivers 44% lower network delay and 13% lower VHT compared to the no-toll baseline, levels unmatched by other pricing strategies. At the height of the AM peak, drivers pay up to $0.13/mile on average, though most links in the network remain untolled. Distance-based pricing is the most effective at reducing VMT (by 4%), but VHT reductions (of 6%) primarily stem from drivers selecting closer destinations, achieving only one-fourth the delay reduction of delay-based pricing. Across various implementations of delay- and distance-based pricing, the results suggest that spatial variations of tolls are far more important than temporal variations. Cordon tolls produce minimal impacts at the network-wide level, but offer substantial delay reductions inside the cordon. Other major findings include: 1) delay-based pricing increases trip-making during the PM peak period due to backward shifts in discretionary-activity start times by higher-income residents; and 2) tolls’ spatial impacts, including changes in network flows and tolls paid by residents, vary substantially between delay- and distance-based pricing strategies.

Agent-based modeling↗
DOE OSTI2026

Interactions Between Climate Policy and Technology-influenced Travel Behavior: Mitigating Induced Demand from CACC

Advances in vehicle technology have influenced the development of automated vehicle systems, where vehicles that do not require human intervention are already deployed in the roadway networks. While these advances are proved to increase roadway safety and highway capacity, more research is needed to understand the long-term and regional-level impacts on mobility, land use, energy consumption, and emissions. This study proposes a multi-model approach to analyze the effect of vehicle automation and deep decarbonization policies over a period from 2020 to 2040 in Austin, Texas. We use the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) to develop internally the scenarios that are then passed to the SMART Mobility modeling workflow, a large-scale simulation framework combining the POLARIS activity-based travel demand model and mesoscopic traffic simulator with the Autonomie vehicle energy consumption model and the UrbanSim land use simulator. Results suggest that the introduction of vehicles with advanced automation could increase fuel consumption when no decarbonization policies are implemented. Also, advances in vehicle technology research and development could lead to a decline in energy use in the long-term. Energy pricing and vehicle electrification incentives could help reduce the impact of vehicle automation. Finally, our analysis indicates the relevance of introducing land use processes in longterm vehicle automation studies.

land use↗
DOE OSTI2024

Polaris Studio

SF-24-040 Polaris-studio is the Python entry point/front end for using the Polaris transportation simulator. The package contains the code used to create new models from open and user-provided data, an extensive range of convenience tools for data preparation and result analysis and the ability of designing, launching and tracking studies combining multiple individual Polaris simulations from a Python terminal. The Polaris Studio software contains several modules for accomplishing the above tasks, including the PolarisLib - the Polaris object model, Polaris Manager - code for setting up and running Polaris studies, QPOLARIS - an add-on for the QGis software to allow model files to be created and edited, PolarisVis - a juptyer-based postprocessing library, and Polaris Tools - a useful collection of supplemental tools for interacting with Polaris files.

Auld, Joshua↗
DOE OSTI2024

On the evaluation and selection of network-level traffic control policies: Perimeter control, TUC, and their combination

Perimeter control (PC) of urban traffic networks can be effective in increasing network-wide efficiency. PC operates on the border of a protected region of a traffic network. Most studies thus far considered fixed-time plans for the inner part of these regions. A few studies have shown that combining PC with locally actuated or decentralized traffic control systems may have positive effects on traffic performance, including better-defined Network Macroscopic Fundamental Diagrams (NMFDs), increased network throughput, and reduced delays. The Traffic-responsive Urban Control (TUC) is a real-time network-wide traffic control system with particular design characteristics, such as the balancing of link's occupancies and an inherent gating feature. These characteristics suggest that TUC may enhance the traffic network performance when combined with PC whilst improving the resulting NMFDs and network throughput and delays. Here, in this work, we investigate the effect of feedback perimeter control (FPC), TUC, and their combination on the NMFD and on the traffic conditions of general traffic and public transport in the microsimulation of a realistic model of the Christchurch Central Business District in New Zealand. We perform a thorough investigation of practical aspects of both control strategies and their combination, including parameter tuning and infrastructure requirements, and how they may affect the control system choice. Results show higher throughput and less hysteresis on the NMFDs, particularly when TUC is involved. PC provides benefits concentrated in the protected region which can greatly benefit public transportation if there is an overlap with the transit network. The combination of TUC and FPC boosts network-wide throughput.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Multi-stage charging and discharging of electric vehicle fleets

Fleets of electric vehicles will likely shift electricity demand, and the effect of upstream charging emissions will come from generation sources that are dispatched in response. This study proposes a multi-stage charging and discharging problem to translate low-cost energy transactions into vehicle dispatch decisions. A day-ahead charging optimization problem minimizes electricity purchases and marginal emissions damages, with energy transactions becoming targets in an optimization-based dispatch strategy for an on-demand shared autonomous electric vehicle (SAEV) fleet. The framework was tested for Austin, Texas, using an agent-based simulator. Fleets can schedule charging to lower daily power costs (averaging 15.5% or $\$0.79$/day/SAEV) while reducing health damages from generation-related pollution (2.8% or $\$0.43$/day/SAEV). Finally, fleet managers can increase profits ($\$8$ per SAEV per day) by adopting a multi-stage charging and discharging strategy that can serve more passengers per day than price-agnostic dispatch strategies.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Synergies between repositioning and charging strategies for shared autonomous electric vehicle fleets

The emergence of on-demand shared autonomous electric vehicle (SAEV) service requires careful charging station planning and a joint charging and repositioning strategy to mitigate empty travel. This study couples charging and repositioning events as a means of improving service quality (rider wait times), reducing empty travel due to repositioning or charging, and improving fleet utilization (average daily trips per vehicle and charging queues). This synergy is explored for the Austin, Texas region using POLARIS, an agent-based model. On average, wait times were 39% lower, and average daily trips served per SAEV increased up to 6.4 (or 28%) compared to SAEV repositioning with heuristic charging. Coupling repositioning with charging decreased the fleet's percent empty travel on average by 1.6%, relative to the scenario treating them as independent events (which varies by charging station design). Sparser charging stations reduce investment costs, and operators can leverage this framework to keep traveler wait times low.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2021

Dynamic Ride-Matching for Large-Scale Transportation Systems

Efficient dynamic ride-matching (DRM) in large-scale transportation systems is a key driver in transport simulations to yield answers to challenging problems. Although the DRM problem is simple to solve, it quickly becomes a computationally challenging problem in large-scale transportation system simulations. Therefore, this study thoroughly examines the DRM problem dynamics and proposes an optimization-based solution framework to solve the problem efficiently. To benefit from parallel computing and reduce computational times, the problem’s network is divided into clusters utilizing a commonly used unsupervised machine learning algorithm along with a linear programming model. Then, these sub-problems are solved using another linear program to finalize the ride-matching. At the clustering level, the framework allows users adjusting cluster sizes to balance the trade-off between the computational time savings and the solution quality deviation. A case study in the Chicago Metropolitan Area, U.S., illustrates that the framework can reduce the average computational time by 58% at the cost of increasing the average pick up time by 26% compared with a system optimum, that is, non-clustered, approach. Another case study in a relatively small city, Bloomington, Illinois, U.S., shows that the framework provides quite similar results to the system-optimum approach in approximately 62% less computational time.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Calibrating Microscopic Car-Following Models for Adaptive Cruise Control Vehicles: Multiobjective Approach

Adaptive cruise control (ACC) vehicles are the first step toward comprehensive vehicle automation. However, the impacts of such vehicles on the underlying traffic flow are not yet clear. Therefore, it is of interest to accurately model vehicle-level dynamics of commercially available ACC vehicles so that they may be used in further modeling efforts to quantify the impact of commercially available ACC vehicles on traffic flow. Importantly, not only model selection but also the calibration approach and error metric used for calibration are critical to accurately model ACC vehicle behavior. In this work, we explore the question of how to calibrate car following models to describe ACC vehicle dynamics. Specifically, we apply a multi-objective calibration approach to understand the tradeoff between calibrating model parameters to minimize speed error vs. spacing error. Three different car-following models are calibrated for data from six vehicles. The results are in line with recent literature and verify that targeting a low spacing error does not compromise the speed accuracy whether the opposite is not true for modeling ACC vehicle dynamics.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Improving Resilience of Bus Bunching Holding Strategy through a Rolling Horizon Approach

Providing public transportation with quality service is critical to attracting more passengers to the system. However, high-demand routes are prone to the so-called bus bunching -- a tendency of buses to group as a consequence of variations in travel times and demands. Bus holding is applied to overcome this effect. In this study, we present a novel method for bus holding in which the control law is based only on the buses' position using a computationally efficient rolling horizon approach. The method uses similar inputs as linear control approaches while not increasing significantly the computational time. However, the method overcomes key a weakness of the linear control approach thanks to the explicit constraint handling that always ensures the control action effectiveness. Simulation experiments in a validation case and a model-specific for a bus rapid transit line in Curitiba, Brazil showed a reduced holding time and improved resilience, delivering more than 20% reduction in delay time accounting for the on-board and station delays.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2020

SMART Mobility. Modeling Workflow Development, Implementation, and Results Capstone Report

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Systems and Modeling for Accelerated Research in Transportation (SMART) Mobility Consortium is a multiyear, multi-laboratory collaborative, managed by the Energy Efficient Mobility Systems Program of the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Vehicle Technologies Office, dedicated to further understanding the energy implications and opportunities of advanced mobility technologies and services. The first three-year research phase of SMART Mobility occurred from 2017 through 2019, and included five research pillars: Connected and Automated Vehicles, Mobility Decision Science, Multi-Modal Freight, Urban Science, and Advanced Fueling Infrastructure. A sixth research thrust integrated aspects of all five pillars to develop a SMART Mobility Modeling Workflow to evaluate new transportation technologies and services at scale. This report summarizes the work of the SMART Mobility Modeling Workflow effort. The SMART Mobility Modeling Workflow was developed to evaluate new transportation technologies such as connectivity, automation, sharing, and electrification through multi-level systems analysis that captures the dynamic interactions between technologies. By integrating multiple models across different levels of fidelity and scale, the Workflow yields insights about the influence of new mobility and vehicle technologies at the system level. For information about the other Pillars, please refer to the relevant pillar’s Capstone Report.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Repositioning Method for Shared Autonomous Vehicles Operation

Shared fully-automated, or autonomous, mobility (SAVs) is anticipated to be the likely choice for future urban travel. SAVs boast many operational benefits but will add congestion in the form of unoccupied miles. The fleet's success further depends on service measures like the wait times for pickup trips. Agent-based simulation tools have closely looked at SAV operations but typically lack the integration between the supply and demand sides when simulating a population at scale. This paper focuses on the impact of SAV relocation on traveler wait times using a novel algorithm for repositioning. POLARIS, an agent-based tool, is used for a case study of Bloomington, Illinois to quantify the benefits of allowing SAV repositioning. On average, the wait times were lower with repositioning for all adequate fleet sizes. SAVs were available more uniformly across the region's zones, and proportional to trip-making at different times of day. In addition, with repositioning enable a higher share of demands were served. Finally, the increase in empty fleet miles from SAV repositioning may be justified with more trips being served, and an overall improvement in SAV wait times. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.

Agent-Based Simulation↗
DOE OSTI2020

An Optimization-Based Strategy for SAV Fleet Repositioning

With the emergence of autonomous technology, shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs) will potentially be the prevalent transportation mode for urban mobility. On one hand, relying on SAV fleets can provide several operational benefits. On the other hand, SAVs can increase travel distance and add congestion due to unoccupied trips such as pickup and repositioning trips. One important aspect for a SAV fleet's success is to serve the incoming requests at reasonably low waiting time. This is achieved by an adequate fleet size that is spatially distributed thoughtfully so that incoming requests can be served by a nearby vehicle. Unfortunately, it is challenging to keep a satisfactory spatial distribution of vehicles due to imbalances in the origin and destination patterns of incoming requests. This paper focuses on the impact of SAV relocation on traveler wait times using a novel optimization-based algorithm for repositioning. POLARIS, an agent-based tool, is used for a case study of Bloomington, Illinois to quantify the benefits of allowing SAV repositioning. On average, the wait times were around 20% lower with repositioning for all adequate fleet sizes. SAVs were available more uniformly across the region's zones, and proportional to trip-making at different times of day. In addition, enabling repositioning led to a higher share of demands being served. These benefits, however, are achieved at the expense of 6% added vehicles miles traveled.

Agent-Based Simulation↗
DOE OSTI2019

Exploring the mobility and energy implications of shared versus private autonomous vehicles

The prevailing trend toward greater automation and connectivity requires modeling and analysis tools to explore connectivity, automation, decision science and other future mobility issues at multiple scales. This paper describes various modeling efforts in order to model the mobility and energy impact of autonomous and connected technologies; design of scenarios under different technological, behavioral, and socioeconomic assumptions; and finally, key findings from the scenario runs enabled by the advanced models developed. The integrated ABM-DTA software POLARIS has been extended to include transit, intra-household vehicle sharing, transportation network company (TNC) operations along with updates to the mesoscopic traffic models and value of time adjustments due to new technologies affecting the mode, destination, and route choice. The three scenarios are summarized as high sharing - low automation, high sharing - high automation, and low sharing - high automation, with VMT changes ranging from -13% to 42%.

Multi-autonomous Vehicle Studies, Models, Techniqu↗
DOE OSTI2019

Freeway Loop Detector Data Reconciliation Based on Vehicle Conservation

Loop detector is the most common source of traffic flow measurements on freeways. Though being a mature technology, loop detector is prone to miscounts even when it is properly deployed and adjusted. If a loop detectors systematically over- or under-counts, the estimation based on vehicle conservation leads to results that are not physically plausible such as negative density or density higher than the jam-density. Here we propose an optimization-based method in which plausible values of accumulation is guaranteed through explicit constraints. Compared to similar methods, the proposed method distinct in the following: (i) the optimization problem is convex therefore leads to shorter computational time; (ii) occupancy is also taken into account in order to estimate upper and lower bounds in the accumulation between stations; (iii) no modifications are required when data from one or multiple lanes are missing. The method is first validated using micro-simulation by disturbing the loop-detector from micro-simulation, applying the method and then comparing the results with the ground truth data. The results show the method is able to capture the average counts almost exactly while providing estimate of density with satisfactory accuracy. The method is also successfully applied in a scenario in which field-data is available.

data reconciliation↗
DOE OSTI2019

Mesoscopic Traffic Flow Model for Agent-Based Simulation

Traffic simulation is a key element of agent based models as the various agents decisions impact and are impacted by the realized travel times and delays in the traffic network. Here we present the mesoscopic traffic flow model implemented in POLARIS transportation systems simulator. The model is mesoscopic in an attempt to obtain enough for applications that requires microscopic data while still inheriting the computational efficiency of macroscopic traffic flow models. The model is macroscopic at the link-level with dynamics based on the Newells Model and microscopic at the node level. We present link-level and network-level results for one mid-sized traffic network. The results show that the model can combine accuracy, level of details and computational efficiency.

Link transmission model↗