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Zahnle, Kevin

Publications and source records attributed to Zahnle, Kevin.

At least 37 records · Page 2

Carbon Dioxide Cycling and the Climate of Ancient Earth

The continental cycle of silicate weathering and metamorphism dynamically buffers atmospheric CO2 and climate. Feedback is provided by the strong temperature dependence of silicate weathering. Here we argue that hydrothermal alteration of oceanic basalts also dynamically buffers CO2. The oceanic cycle links with the mantle via subduction and the midocean ridges. Feedback is provided by the dependence of carbonatization on dissolved carbonates in seawater. Unlike the continental cycle, the oceanic cycle has no thermostat. Currently the continental cycle is more important, but earlier in Earth's history, especially if heat flow were higher than it is now, more vigorous plate tectonics would have made the oceanic cycle dominant. We find that CO2 greenhouses thick enough to defeat the faint early Sun are implausible and that, if no other greenhouse gases are invoked, very cold climates are expected for much of the Proterozoic and the Archean. We echo current fashion and favor biogenic methane as the chief supplement to CO2. Fast weathering and probable subduction of abundant impact ejecta would have reduced CO2 levels still further in the Hadean. Despite its name, the Hadean would have been the coldest era in the history of the Earth.

Zahnle, Kevin

Carbon Dioxide Cycling And The Climate of Ancient Earth

The continental cycle of silicate weathering and metamorphism dynamically buffers atmospheric CO2 and climate. Feedback is provided by the strong temperature dependence of silicate weathering. Here we argue that hydrothermal alteration of oceanic basalts also dynamically buffers CO2. The oceanic cycle links with the mantle via subduction and the midocean ridges. Feedback is provided by the dependence of carbonatization on dissolved carbonates in seawater. Unlike the continental cycle, the oceanic cycle has no thermostat. Currently the continental cycle is more important, but earlier in Earth's history, especially if heat flow were higher than it is now, more vigorous plate tectonics would have made the oceanic cycle dominant. We find that CO2 greenhouses thick enough to defeat the faint early sun are implausible and that, if no other greenhouse gases are invoked, very cold climates are expected for much of the Proterozoic and the Archean. We echo current fashion and favor biogenic methane as the chief supplement to CO2. Fast weathering and probable subduction of abundant impact ejecta would have reduced CO2 levels still further in the Hadean. Despite its name, the Hadean would have been the coldest era in the history of the Earth.

Zahnle, Kevin

External Sources of Water for Mercury's Putative Ice Deposits

Radar images have revealed the possible presence of ice deposits in Mercury's polar regions. Although thermal models indicate that water ice can be stable in permanently shaded regions near Mercury's poles, the ultimate source of the water remains unclear. We use stochastic models and other theoretical methods to investigate the role of external sources in supplying Mercury with the requisite amount of water. By extrapolating the current terrestrial influx of interplanetary dust particles to that at Mercury, we find that continual micrometeoritic bombardment of Mercury over the last 3.5 byr could have resulted in the delivery of (3-60) x 10(exp 16) grams of water ice to the permanently shaded regions at Mercury's poles (equivalent to an average ice thickness of 0.8-20 m). Erosion by micrometeoritic impact on exposed ice deposits could reduce the above value by about a half. For comparison, the current ice deposits on Mercury are believed to be somewhere between approx. 2 and 20 m thick. Using a Monte Carlo model to simulate the impact history of Mercury, we find that asteroids and comets can also deliver an amount of water consistent with the observations. Impacts from Jupiter-family comets over the last 3.5 billion years can supply (0.1-200) x 10(exp 16) grams of water to Mercury's polar regions (corresponding to ice deposits 0.05-60 m thick), Halley-type comets can supply (0.2-20) x 10(exp 16) grams of water to the poles (0.07-7 m of ice), and asteroids can provide (0.4-20) x 10(exp 16) grams of water to the poles (0.1-8 m of ice). Although all these external sources are nominally sufficient to explain the estimated amount of ice currently at Mercury's poles, impacts by a few large comets and/or asteroids seem to provide the best explanation for both the amount and cleanliness of the ice deposits on Mercury. Despite their low population estimates in the inner solar system, Jupiter-family comets are particularly promising candidates for delivering water to Mercury because they have a larger volatile content than asteroids and more favorable orbital and impact characteristics than Halley-type comets.

Moses, Julianne I.

Environmental Perturbations Caused by the Impacts of Asteroids and Comets

We review the major mechanisms proposed to cause extinctions at the Cretaceous-Tertiary geological boundary following an asteroid impact. We then discuss how the proposed extinction may relate to the impact of asteroids or comets in general. We discuss the limitations of these mechanisms in terms of the spatial scale that may be affected, and the time scale over which the effects may last. Our goal is to provide relatively simple prescriptions for evaluating the importance of colliding objects having a range of energies and compositions. We also identify the many uncertainties concerning the environmental effects of impacts. We conclude that, for impact energies below about 10(exp 4) Mts (megatons of TNT equivalent) - i.e., impact frequencies less than in 6 x 10(exp 4) yr, corresponding to comets and asteroids with diameters smaller than about 400 m and 650 m, respectively - blast damage, earthquakes, and fires should be important on a scale of 10(exp 4) or 10(exp 5) km (exp 2), which corresponds to the area damaged in many natural disasters of recent history. However, tsunami could be more damaging, flooding a kilometer of coastal plane over entire ocean basins. In the energy range of 10(exp 4) to 10 (exp 5) Mts (intervals up to 3 x 10(exp 5) yr; comets and asteroids with sizes up to 800 m and 1.5 km, respectively) water vapor injections and ozone loss become significant on the global scale. In the submicrometer dust injection fraction from the pulverized target material is much higher than is presently thought to be most likely, then dust injection could be important in this energy range.

Toon, Owen B.

Planetary Perspective on Life on Early Mars and the Early Earth

Impacts of asteroids and comets posed a major hazard to the continuous existence of early life on Mars as on the Earth. The chief danger was presented by globally distributed ejecta, which for very large impacts takes the form of transient thick rock vapor atmospheres; both planets suffered such impacts repeatedly. The exposed surface on both planets was sterilized when it was quickly heated to the temperature of condensed rock vapor by radiation and rock rain. Shallow water bodies were quickly evaporated and sterilized. Any surviving life must have been either in deep water or well below the surface.

Sleep, Norman H.

Dynamics of the Impacts

The SL9 impacts are best known by their plumes, several of which were imaged towering 3000 km above Jupiter's limb. The heat released when they fen back on the atmosphere produced the famous infrared main events. The reentry shock was observed directly in CO emission and indirectly through thermally glowing dust. The relatively low color temperature of the latter implies that most of the energy released on reentry was radiated. If so, the R impact released some 3 x 10(exp 26) ergs, and the larger L, K, and G impacts as much as 3 x 10(exp 27) ergs. These estimates agree well with impact energies deduced from tidal disruption computations. The duration of the infrared events measures time aloft and hence provides a second measure of plume height. These indicate that plume height was only weakly dependent on impact energy. Evidently all the plumes were launched at roughly 10-13 km/s. Using a semi-analytic model for the deceleration, disintegration, and destruction of intruding bodies by an ever-vigilant atmosphere, we find that similar plume heights is a direct consequence of smaller impactors exploding at higher altitudes, in such a way that the different explosions were geometrically similar. We then compare the predictions of our model to the Venerian cratering record, which provides a good statistical test of impact deceleration by a thick atmosphere. Chemistry should have provided an independent measure of explosion altitude: abundant shock-generated CS, CS2 and HCN indicates a source in dry jovian air, above the putative water clouds. However, the Galileo Probe results seem to imply that we should expect no more. Observed water and S2 are consistent with a somewhat oxidized gas (presumably the comet itself), but the absence of SO2 and CO2 shows that conditions were neither too oxidizing nor the shocks too hot.

Zahnle, Kevin

Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9, Jupiter, and Impact Shock Chemistry

Four years ago this month, a hitherto unknown comet in loose orbit around Jupiter passed so near the giant planet that it was torn apart into 20 fragments by tides. One orbit later, two years ago this month, the fragments of doomed comet P/Shoemaker Levy (SL9) fell into Jupiter. The enormous energies of these impacts (the largest fragments were nearly 1 km across and, hitting at 60 km/s, released some 2-4 x 10(exp 27) ergs) produced enormous explosions. Several of the ejecta plumes were imaged towering 3000 km above Jupiter's limb. The heat released when the plumes fell was considerable and easily observed on Earth. The impacts produced strong shocks, both promptly at the impact site and again, later, and over thousands of kilometers, when the ejecta plume reentered the atmosphere. The focus of this talk will be to discuss what the SL9 impacts taught us about impact shock chemistry - the processes, the ingredients, the results - and what inferences we may draw for impacts on early Earth. Shock chemistry generates a suite of molecules not usually seen on Jupiter. The most surprising report was of a huge amount of diatomic sulfur S2 at the site of the G impact. Other unusual products include CS, CS2, OCS, H2S, SO2, HCN, CO, and H2O; although H2S and H2O are doubtless abundant below the visible clouds. Hot or enhanced CH4 and NH3 were also detected. A general rule of shock chemistry is that CO forms until either C or O is exhausted. If O greater than C, the other products are oxidized, and excess O goes to H2O. If C greater than O, the other products are reduced, and excess C goes to HCN, C2H2, and a wide variety of more complicated organics. Ultimately, given time, the carbon would react all the way to graphite, but in practice the reactions are incomplete. The dark ejecta debris were probably composed in part of carbonaceous particles generated by the shocks. In a sense, the SL9 impacts performed the famous Miller-Urey experiment on a grand scale, with one result being the production of a lot of complex brown organic solids (called "tholins"). We use, a straightforward chemical kinetics model for the H, N, C, O, S system to follow the nonequilibrium chemistry behind the shocks. The model traces the evolving chemical composition of a parcel of gas by directly integrating the web of chemical reactions. Pressure and temperature histories of the parcels are patterned after those calculated by numerical hydrodynamic simulations of the ejecta plume. A given plume parcel is generally shocked twice; t.e a parcel shocked near the impact site is ejected at high velocity and is shocked again when it reenters the atmosphere. The final state of the gas depends mostly on the second shock, provided that the latter is hot enough. The chemical evidence is ambiguous, but most indications are that C greater than O in the shocked, reacting gas. Telltale signatures of abundant oxygen - SO2, SO, CO2, O2 - were not seen, while signatures of abundant carbon - CS, CS2, and HCN - were. On the other hand, abundant H2O would appear to require O greater than C, and two other observed sulfur species, S2 and OCS, appear to form more easily in a somewhat oxidized gas, presumable vaporized from the comet itself. Since on general principles one expects the -comet to have had a more-or-less cosmic composition, i.e. O greater than C, the production of CS, CS2, and HCN probably requires C greater than O in the shocked jovian air. This in turn implies that even the largest fragments released the bulk of their energy above the jovian water table, in all likelihood above 5 bars . There is no evidence in favor of the proposition that a significant amount of wet jovian air was shocked strongly enough to coax water to react; i.e. wet jovian air saw only temperatures significantly below 2000 K.

Zahnle, Kevin

A Simple Model for the Light Curve Generated by a Shoemaker-Levy 9 Impact

The impact of a typical Shoemaker-Levy 9 fragment produced three light peaks as seen from Earth. The first peak is related to the entry of the fragment into the Jovian atmosphere. The second peak occurs when the exploding fireball rises above Jupiter's limb into direct view from Earth. The third peak, much the brightest, occurs when the ejecta plume falls back on the atmosphere. By contrast, Galileo, which had a direct view of the impacts, saw two peaks, one at entry, and one at plumefall. Here we present a simple, highly idealized model of a ballistic plume, which we then use to fit the observed light curve of the R impact as recorded at Mauna Kea and Mount Palomar. From the light curve we find that the nominal R fragment had diameter 450-500 m and mass approx. 2-3 x 10(exp 13) g. The uncertainty in the mass is probably about a factor of 3, with a smaller event more likely than a larger one.

Zahnle, Kevin

Sulfur Chemistry in the Wake of Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9

A curious and unexpected result of the impact of P/Shoemaker Levy 9 with Jupiter was the production of enormous amounts of molecular sulfur (S2). Here we show that S2 is the natural product of disequilibrium chemistry at low pressures in shocked Jovian air, its formation a byproduct of hydrogen recombination. The species observed by the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) - S2, CS2, and H2S - imply that the G fragment penetrated the NH4SH cloud but did not reach the water table. A typical impact within or below the NH4SH clouds produces about 0.03 - 0.1 impactor masses of S2. Because comets are relatively hydrogen-poor, SO2, not S2, is the major product of shocking a water-rich comet, while S2, CS2 and OCS are major products of a dessicated comet. In all cases we find that as the gas cools, S2 converts to the stable low temperature allotrope S8, although other chemical fates not modeled here might intervene first.

Zahnle, Kevin

Models of Fallback

The impact of a typical Shoemaker-Levy 9 fragment produced three light peaks as seen from Earth. The first peak is related to the entry of the fragment into the jovian atmosphere. The second peak occurs when the exploding fireball rises above Jupiter's limb into direct view from Earth. The third peak, much the brightest, occurs when the ejecta plume falls back on the atmosphere. Here we present a simple, highly idealized model of a ballistic plume, which we then use to fit the observed light curve of the R impact as recorded at Mauna Kea and Mt.Palomar. The nominal R fragment has diameter 500 m and mass 3x10(sup)13 g, with energy release of 5x10(sup)26 ergs. The largest events were about three times more energetic. These sizes agree with those deduced by Ashaug and Benz from the dynamics of tidal disruption. Chemical products of the reentry shock included the sulfur compounds S2, CS, and CS2. These were emplaced very high in the atmosphere (ca. 100 microbars). The yield of the reduced compounds CS and CS2, coupled with the apparent absence of the oxidized compounds SO and SO2, indicate that the explosions occurred above the jovian water clouds.

Zahnle, Kevin

Simulated Craters on Venus

The thick atmosphere of Venus prevents all but the largest impactors from cratering the surface. The number of small craters on Venus provides an interesting, and statistically significant test of models for the disruption and deceleration of impacting bodies. Here we compare Monte Carlo simulated crater distributions to the observed crater distribution on Venus. The simulation assumes: (1) a power law mass distribution for impactors of the form N(sub cum) alpha m (exp-b) where b=0.8; (2) isotropic incidence angles; (3) velocity at the top of the atmosphere of 20 kilometers per second (more realistic velocity distributions are also considered); (4) Schmidt-Housen crater scaling, modified such that only the normal component of the impact velocity contributes to cratering, and using crater slumping as parameterized (5) and modern populations (60% carbonaceous, 40% stone, 3% iron) and fluxes of asteroids. We use our previously developed model for the disruption and deceleration of large bodies striking thick planetary atmospheres to calculate the impact velocity at the surface as a function of impactor mass, incident velocity, and incident angle. We use a drag coefficient c(sub d) =1; other parameters are as described in Chyba et al. We set a low velocity cutoff of 500 meters per second on crater-forming impacts. Venus's craters are nicely matched by the simulated craters produced by 700 million years of striking asteroids. Shown for comparison are the simulated craters produced by incident comets over the same period, where for comets we have assumed b=0.7 and a flux at 10(exp 14) g 30% that of asteroids. Systematic uncertainties in crater scaling and crater slumping may make the surface age uncertain by a factor of two.

Zahnle, Kevin

Explosion of comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 on entry into the Jovian atmosphere

We use the astrophysical hydrocode ZEUS to compute high-resolution models of the disruption and deceleration of cometary fragments striking Jupiter. We find that simple analytic and semianalytic models work well for kilometer-size impactors. We show that previous numerical models that placed the explosion much deeper in the atmosphere failed to fully resolve important gasdynamical instabilities. These instabilities tear the comet apart, greatly increase its effective cross section, and bring it to an abrupt halt. A 1 km diameter fragment loses over 90% of its kinetic energy within a single scale height at an atmospheric pressure of order 10 bars. For all practical purposes, it explodes.

Mac Low, Mordecai-Mark

The collision of Jupiter and Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9

A simple description of the disruption and deceleration of 100-m- to 5-km-diameter comets striking Jupiter is combined with numerical simulations of the subsequent explosions to predict the fate of Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9. Detailed numerical simulations of the first 3 min of the explosion were performed. Our numerical simulations begin either with hot cylinders with dimensions suggested by the disruption and deceleration model or with an initial wake constructed from a moving line charge. In all cases, extensive plumes of hot gas are expelled from the atmosphere. The models with wakes evolve about twice as fast as the initially confined models. Models of both types generate similar pressure waves into the planet. Temperatures and negative hydrogen ion opacities were computed. For atmospheric entry, light curves were computed. On entry the largest bolides could be very bright, possibly as bright as Jupiter for observers placed to see them, although for kilometer-size impactors the luminosity peak is obscured by clouds. For the fireball, light curves were computed from the numerical simulations. Metals from the vaporized comet provide electrons that dramatically increase the opacity of Jovian air at low temperature. The fireball rises through and above the atmosphere, brightening at first as its surface area increases, but later fading to invisibility as its temperature drops and its opacity plummets.

Zahnle, Kevin

More Consequences of the Collision of a Comet and Jupiter

The impending collision of P/Shoemaker-Levy 9 with Jupiter has excited a wide spectrum of large amplitude predictions. Although the prediction waves themselves have been easily detected propagating through diverse media here on Earth, their future manifestation at Jupiter may prove mostly undetectable. In this talk we may or may not attempt to explain what may or may not have been observed. We will doubtless emphasize our most successful predictions, if any.

Zahnle, Kevin

Planetary noble gases

An overview of the history and current status of research on planetary noble gases is presented. The discovery that neon and argon are vastly more abundant on Venus than on earth points to the solar wind rather than condensation as the fundamental process for placing noble gases in the atmospheres of the terrestrial planets; however, solar wind implantation may not be able to fully reproduce the observed gradient, nor does it obviously account for similar planetary Ne/Ar ratios and dissimilar planetary Ar/Kr ratios. More recent studies have emphasized escape rather than accretion. Hydrodynamic escape, which is fractionating, readily accounts for the difference between atmospheric neon and isotopically light mantle neon. Atmospheric cratering, which is nearly nonfractionating, can account for the extreme scarcity of nonradiogenic noble gases (and other volatiles) on Mars.

Zahnle, Kevin

Impact origin of Titan's atmosphere

The reason why Titan has a thick atmosphere while its Jovian clones Ganymede and Callisto have nothing is addressed. It is argued that this contrast is a predictable consequence of impact erosion, i.e., the escape of atmospheric gases as a consequence of hypervelocity impact, the average impact velocity of stray bodies on Titan being lower than on Ganymede and Callisto. A model to examine this hypothesis is presented.

Zahnle, Kevin

How Mars lost its atmosphere

There is a widespread suspicion that Mars thin atmosphere is in some way attributable to the planet's size. Another possibility is that the atmosphere was never degassed or outgassed in the first place. I prefer escape. Hydrodynamic escape (vigorous thermal escape) and impact erosion (expulsion of atmosphere by impacts) are two processes that should have been operative early. Although in principle hydrodynamic escape could have shrunk Mars atmosphere a hundredfold while leaving the composition of the remnant atmosphere nearly unaltered, very high escape fluxes are required. The implicated escape mechanism must have been efficient, nearly non-fractionating, and vastly more potent for Mars than for Earth or Venus. Impact erosion is an appealing candidate. Noble gases are the obvious first test. Noble gases are the most volatile elements and so are the most likely to have been affected by impact erosion and the easiest to address quantitatively. Xenon in particular imposes three constraints on how Mars lost its atmosphere: (1) the very low abundance of nonradiogenic Xe abundance of nonradiogenic Xe compared to Earth, Venus, and likely meteoritic sources; (2) its nonradiogenic isotopes distinct from likely meteoritic sources; and (3) the relatively high absolute abundance of radiogenic daughter of the extinct radionuclide I-129 (half-life 17 Myr). In impact erosion, the first two become constraints on the composition, mass distribution, and orbital elements of the impactors. The third requires that Mars lost its nonradiogenic Xe early, probably before it was 100 Myr old. Impact erosion can explain Mars by any of three stories. (1) Mars in unlikely. In a sort of planetary brinkmanship, impact erosion almost removed the entire atmosphere but was arrested just in time. (2) Martian noble gases are cometary and cometary Xe is as isotopically mass fractionated as Martian and terrestrial Xe. This is most easily accomplished if a relatively thick geochemically controlled CO2 atmosphere protected trace atmophiles against escape. (3) Mars was indeed stripped of its early atmosphere but a small remnant was safely stored in the regolith, later released as a byproduct of water mobilization.

Zahnle, Kevin

Impact-generated atmospheres over Titan, Ganymede, and Callisto

The current distribution of atmospheres among Ganymede, Titan, and Callisto are presently accounted for by a process of competition between impact erosion and impact-furnished supply of atmosphile-laden late veneers. Titan's lower impact velocities have allowed it to accommodate an atmosphere, while Callisto and Ganymede remain barren. The model applied entails that the threshold impact velocity for atmospheric cratering by icy impactors be in the 10-14 km/sec range, consistent with the implications of the Schmidt and Housen (1987) crater-energy scaling for nonporous targets.

Zahnle, Kevin