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Wilcox, J. M.

Publications and source records attributed to Wilcox, J. M..

At least 37 records · Page 2

Further evidence of solar oscillations with a period of 160 minutes

Observations made at the Crimean Astrophysical Observatory and the Stanford Solar Observatory during 1979 provide evidence of the existence of oscillations of the sun with a period near 160 minutes. The new observations showed the same period with a phase of maximum expansion as predicted from earlier data; for 1979 the time of maximum expansion of the center of the solar disk was found to be 01:55 UT for the Crimean observatories and 01:58 UT for Stanford with a phase uncertainty of plus or minus 15 minutes. In addition, a new regression line can be found which yields a period of 160.01 minutes or a drift in phase of 31.5 minutes per year in an analysis at exactly 160 minutes. The continued agreement in phase (and amplitude) between the two observatories for four years, as well as the fact that the period of oscillations determined differs from exactly one-ninth of a day, supports the interpretation that solar oscillations are indeed being observed.

Scherrer, P. H.

On the nature of the apparent response of vorticity area index to the solar magnetic field

The characteristics of tropospheric circulation that are involved in the apparent response of the vorticity area index (VIA) as the solar magnetic field is carried past the Earth by the solar wind are discussed. It is shown that the response is concentrated in the tropospheric regions of most intense circulation, i.e. the central portions of well-formed low pressure troughs. Factors that must be considered when assessing the Sun-weather effect in the years from 1947 to 1978 are included.

Wilcox, J. M.

The origin of the warped heliospheric current sheet

The warped heliospheric current sheet in early 1976 was calculated from the observed photospheric magnetic field using a potential field method. Comparisons with measurements of the interplanetary magnetic field polarity in early 1976 obtained at several locations in the heliosphere at Helios 1, Helios 2, Pioneer 11 and Earth show a rather detailed agreement between the computed current sheet and the observations. It appears that the large scale structure of the warped heliospheric current sheet is determined by the structure of the photospheric magnetic field, and that "ballerina skirt" effects may add small scale ripples.

Wilcox, J. M.

The rotation of the Sun: Observations at Stanford

Daily observations of the photospheric rotation rate using the Doppler effect made at the Stanford Solar Observatory since May 1976 are analyzed. Results show that these observations show no daily or long period variations in the rotation rate that exceed the observational error of about one percent. The average rotation rate is the same as that of the sunspot and the large-scale magnetic field structures.

Scherrer, J. M.

Possible influence of solar rotation on tropospheric circulation

A large-scale structure observed in the photospheric magnetic field is carried out into the heliosphere by the solar wind. At Earth the resulting interplanetary magnetic field has polarity away from the Sun for several consecutive days followed by an abrupt reversal and several days with field polarity toward the Sun. Low-pressure troughs near the Gulf of Alaska appear to have significantly larger area when the interplanetary field is away from the Sun than when it is toward the Sun. This relation persisted during most of the winters of 1951 to 1973. Surface pressures around the Gulf of Alaska during some winters were in anti-phase for interplanetary field toward and away from the Sun. During the two days after a polarity reversal, the accuracy of the best weather forecasts for the continental United States appears to be significantly lower than at other times. Polarity reversals that are accompanied by energetic interplanetary conditions appear to be associated with a larger decrease in the area of the low pressure troughs.

Wilcox, J. M.

Variation with time of a sun-weather effect

The reported influence (Wilcox et al., 1976) of the solar and interplanetary magnetic sector structure on terrestrial atmospheric vorticity at the 500 mbar level during the winters of 1963-1973 has been disputed by Williams and Gerety (1978). The present analysis indicates, however, that the response has been remarkably constant, if an apparent increase during the past few years in the intensity of tropospheric circulation is properly accounted for.

Wilcox, J. M.

Solar activity and changes in atmospheric circulation

Several related investigations of the possible influence of the solar and interplanetary magnetic sector structure on the atmospheric circulation are described. The area of low pressure troughs in the northern hemisphere has a minimum about one day after a warped heliospheric current sheet has been carried past the earth by the solar wind. Possible physical mechanisms could relate to phase changes in meteorological processes, changes in atmospheric electricity or changes in solar extreme ultraviolet irradiation. A quantitative analysis suggests that the accuracy of weather forcasting decreases during the two days after the warped heliospheric current sheet has passed the earth. A description is given of several further investigations in progress.

Wilcox, J. M.

Intensity of tropospheric circulation associated with solar magnetic sector boundary transits

The fractional decrease in the vorticity area index associated with transits past the earth of interplanetary magnetic sector boundaries increase as the value of vorticity used to compute the index increases. This suggests that after the boundary transit there is an approximately uniform reduction in all the values of vorticity that are not less than 0.00020/sec. In low altitudes and large absolute vorticities not less than 0.00020/sec the average change in the vorticity area index approaches 50%.

Wilcox, J. M.

Tropospheric circulation and interplanetary magnetic sector boundaries followed by MeV proton streams

The MeV proton streams which Svestka et al. (1976) connected with certain sector boundary transits appear to select boundary transits associated with unusually active solar wind conditions. Changes in tropospheric circulation linked to the proton boundary transits were larger than those linked to other boundary transits observed during the same interval. This investigation of sector boundary transits also sheds light on the relationship between changes in solar wind velocity, density and magnetic field and terrestrial changes in the vorticity area index, geomagnetic activity, and cosmic ray flux at earth.

Wilcox, J. M.

Interplanetary magnetic field polarity and the size of low-pressure troughs near 180 deg W longitude

The relationship between interplanetary magnetic field polarity and the area of low pressure (300 mbar) troughs near 180 deg W longitude is examined. For most of the winters from 1951 to 1973, the trough size, as indicated by the vorticity area index, is found to be significantly greater when the interplanetary magnetic field is directed away from the sun than when the field is directed towards the sun. This relationship is shown to hold for various combinations of winters and for most months within a winter, and be most pronounced at the time when polarity was determined. It is suggested that the phenomenon is caused by merging of interplanetary magnetic field lines, when polarity is directed away from the sun, with geomagnetic field lines in the Northern Hemisphere (where these measurements were made), allowing energetic particle fluxes to have access to the north polar region

Wilcox, J. M.

Average photospheric poloidal and toroidal magnetic field components near solar minimum

Average (over longitude and time) photospheric magnetic field components are derived from 3-min Stanford magnetograms made near the solar minimum of cycle 21. The average magnetograph signal is found to behave as the projection of a vector for measurements made across the disk. The poloidal field exhibits the familiar dipolar structure near the poles, with a measured signal in the line Fe I 5250 A of about 1 G. At low latitudes the poloidal field has the polarity of the poles, but is of reduced magnitude (about 0.1 G). A net photospheric toroidal field with a broad latitudinal extent is found. The polarity of the toroidal field is opposite in the northern and southern hemispheres and has the same sense as subsurface flux tubes giving rise to active regions of solar cycle 21. These observations are used to discuss large-scale electric currents crossing the photosphere and angular momentum loss to the solar wind.

Duvall, T. L., Jr.

Observations of solar oscillations with periods of 160 minutes

Severny et al. (1976) have reported oscillations of the sun with a period near 160 min. A description is presented of observations made at the Stanford Solar Observatory during the time from 1975 to the present which seem to support the reports by Severny et al. At Stanford the relative velocity between a central circular area of radius 0.5 solar radius on the solar disk and most of the remaining area of the solar disk is measured. A superposed epoch analysis of the observations using a period of 160 min is discussed. An apparent agreement in phase between the obtained observational data and those reported by Severny et al. tends to support the interpretation that solar oscillations are being observed.

Scherrer, P. H.

Influence of the solar magnetic field on tropospheric circulation

The solar and interplanetary magnetic sector structure has its source in a large-scale photospheric magnetic field structure that is carried away from the sun by the solar wind to form a warped equatorial current sheet in the heliosphere; this current sheet makes one complete rotation past the earth in the solar rotation period of 27 days. Several advantages in using the heliospheric warped current sheet in sun-weather investigations are noted. Sun-weather analyses are described, where the time at which the warped current sheet is observed to be carried past the earth by the solar wind gives the phase information. Individual troughs crossing 180 deg longitude when the IMF is directed away from the sun are significantly larger than troughs crossing 180 deg longitude when the field is toward the sun. Possible physical mechanisms are identified, including an observed influence of the heliospheric current sheet on the vertical electric field in the troposphere.

Wilcox, J. M.

The equatorial rotation velocity of the photosphere is measured to be the same as sunspots

The equatorial rotation rate of the photosphere was measured at effect data. It was found that scattered light has a large influence and must be taken into account properly. When this was done it was found that the rotation rate from Doppler shifts agreed very well with the rate found for sunspots. Short-term fluctuations in rotation rate (i.e. from day to day) were less than plus or minus 15 m/s and were thus within observational errors.

Svalgaard, L.

Using dynamo theory to predict the sunspot number during solar cycle 21

On physical grounds it is suggested that the polar field strength of the sun near a solar minimum is closely related to the solar activity of the following cycle. Four methods of estimating the polar magnetic field strength of the sun near solar minimum are employed to provide an estimate of the yearly mean sunspot number of cycle 21 at solar maximum of 140 + or - 20. This estimate may be considered a first-order attempt to predict the cycle activity using one parameter of physical importance based upon dynamo theory.

Schatten, K. H.

An observational search for large-scale organization of five-minute oscillations on the sun

The large-scale solar velocity field has been measured over an aperture of radius 0.8 solar radii on 121 days between April and September, 1976. Measurements are made in the line Fe I 5123.730 A, employing a velocity subtraction technique similar to that of Severny et al. (1976). Comparisons of the amplitude and frequency of the five-minute resonant oscillation with the geomagnetic C9 index and magnetic sector boundaries show no evidence of any relationship between the oscillations and coronal holes or sector structure.

Dittmer, P. H.

A physical mechanism for the prediction of the sunspot number during solar cycle 21

On physical grounds it is suggested that the sun's polar field strength near a solar minimum is closely related to the following cycle's solar activity. Four methods of estimating the sun's polar magnetic field strength near solar minimum are employed to provide an estimate of cycle 21's yearly mean sunspot number at solar maximum of 140 plus or minus 20. This estimate is considered to be a first order attempt to predict the cycle's activity using one parameter of physical importance.

Schatten, K. H.

A view of solar magnetic fields, the solar corona, and the solar wind in three dimensions

In the last few years it has been recognized that the solar corona and the solar wind are three-dimensional. The deviations from spherical or even cylindrical symmetry are first-order effects, which are important for a basic description and physical understanding of the coronal expansion. Models of coronal magnetic fields are considered along with the characteristics of large-scale solar structure, the interplanetary magnetic field, coronal holes, geomagnetic activity, cosmic rays, and polar fields of the sun. It is pointed out that the present understanding of coronal and interplanetary morphology is based on data acquired during the descending part and the minimum of the considered sunspot cycle.

Svalgaard, L.