Engineering topics

Weissman, Paul R.

Publications and source records attributed to Weissman, Paul R..

46 records · Page 3

NASA NTRS1988

The cometary and asteroidal impactor flux at the earth

The cratering records on the Earth and the lunar maria provide upper limits on the total impactor flux at the Earth's orbit over the past 600 Myr and the past 3.3 Gyr, respectively. These limits can be compared with estimates of the expected cratering rate from observed comets and asteroids in Earth-crossing orbits, corrected for observational selection effects and incompleteness, and including expected temporal variations in the impactor flux. Both estimates can also be used to calculate the probability of large impacts which may result in biological extinction events on the Earth. The estimated cratering rate on the Earth for craters greater than 10 km-diameter, based on counted craters on dated surfaces is 2.2 + or - 1.1 x 10 to the minus 14th power km(-2) yr(-1) (Shoemaker et al., 1979). Using a revised mass distribution for cometary nuclei based on the results of the spacecraft flybys of Comet Halley in 1986, and other refinements in the estimate of the cometary flux in the terrestrial planets zone, it is now estimated that long-period comets account for 11 percent of the cratering on the Earth (scaled to the estimate above), and short-period comets account for 4 pct (Weissman, 1987). However, the greatest contribution is from large but infrequent, random cometary showers, accounting for 22 pct of the terrestrial cratering.

Weissman, Paul R.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Comet showers as a cause of mass extinction

Three independent pieces of evidence supporting a connection between comet showers and clustering in terrestrial cratering and mass extinctions are presented. The temporal profile of a comet shower triggered by a star passing through the Oort cloud is calculated. Four weak peaks are found in the age of distribution of impact craters over the past 100 Myr, as well as two compact clusters of ages of impact glass broadly coincident with crater-age peaks. Recent paleontological observations are reviewed that indicate a stepwise character for some well-documented mass extinctions in the past 100 Myr which roughly coincide with three of the four peaks in crater ages and which have a duration compatible with comet shower predictions.

Hut, Piet↗

NASA NTRS1987

How typical is Halley's Comet?

Comet Halley spacecraft encounters and observations in 1985 to 1986 are compared to all c omets, both long and short-period. Halley's orbit is quite unusual for a short-period (SP) comet, characterized by a very small perihelion distance and a retrograde inclination. The comet is much brighter than most SP comets, and is even relatively bright for a long-period comet. Although Halley's orbit crosses the orbits of seven of the nine planets, it can currently make close approaches to only Venus, Earth, and Mars, planets likely too small to have played a major role in capturing Halley to a short-period orbit. This, and other evidence, suggests that Halley has been in its current orbit for many returns. A variety of dynamical paths for evolving Halley to its present orbit from either the inner or outer Oort clouds are possible, and thus only probabilistic arguments can be made as to the comet's past physical and dynamical history.

Weissman, Paul R.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Comet thermal modeling

The past year was one of tremendous activity because of the appearance of Halley's Comet. Observations of the comet were collected from a number of sources and compared with the detailed predictions of the comet thermal modeling program. Spacecraft observations of key physical parameters for cometary nucleus were incorporated into the thermal model and new cases run. These results have led to a much better understanding of physical processes on the nucleus and have pointed the way for further improvements to the modeling program. A model for the large-scale structure of cometary nuclei was proposed in which comets were envisioned as loosely bound agglomerations of smaller icy planetesimals, essentially a rubble pile of primordial dirty snowballs. In addition, a study of the physical history of comets was begun, concentrating on processes during formation and in the Oort cloud which would alter the volatile and nonvolatile materials in cometary nuclei from their pristine state before formation.

Weissman, Paul R.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Dynamics of long period comets

The appearance of Halley's Comet in 1985 to 1986 and the related emphasis on research on physical models of cometary nuclei, led to a more moderate pace for the dynamical studies of the Oort cloud and the motion of long-period comets this year. Specific areas studied included the dynamical evolution of cometary showers as a result of stars passages through the inner Oort cloud and the possible relationship to observed stepwise mass extinctions at geological boundaries, revised estimates for the total mass of comets in the Oort cloud as a result of lessons learned from the spacecraft encounters with Halley's Comet, and study of the possible dynamical sources for the short-period comets in the solar system as part of a wider study of physical processing of cometary nuclei prior to their becoming visible comets. The work on cometary showers used a Monte Carlo simulation of the evolution of cometary orbits under a combination of planetary, nongravitational, and stellar perturbations, and with physical removal by disruption, sublimation of all volatiles, and collision.

Weissman, Paul R.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Realm of the comets

Studies of Jovian perturbations of the orbits of long-period comets led to the concept of the Oort cloud of 180 billion comets at 50,000-150,000 AU from the sun. Several comets are induced to move toward the sun every million years by the passage of a star at a distance of a few light years. The location of the cloud has since been revised to 20,000-100,000 AU, and comets are now accepted as remnant material fron the proto-solar system epoch. The galactic disk and random, close-passing stars may also cause rare, large perturbations in the orbits of the cloud comets, sending large numbers of comets through the inner solar system. The resulting cometary storm is a candidate cause for the wholesale extinction of dinosaurs in the Cretaceous-Terniary transition due to large number of planetesimals, or one large comet, striking the earth, in a short period of time. The IRAS instruments have detected similar clouds of material around other stars.

Weissman, Paul R.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Numerical simulation of cometary nuclei. III - Internal temperatures of cometary nuclei

The thermal diffusion equation for the internal temperature of cometary nuclei is exactly solved by means of a one-dimensional numerical model in order to shed light on the complex behavior of these temperatures with varying orbital and thermal parameters and in order to consider possible cometary nucleus thermal evolution targets for comet rendezvous and/or sample-return missions. The concept of 'new' and 'old' comets, classified in terms of how many passages around the sun have been made, may take on new meaning in view of the present demonstration that differences in eccentricity between two comets having the same period and number of apparitions may yield significantly different internal temperature profiles.

Herman, Gary↗

NASA NTRS1986

How pristine are cometary nuclei?

The claim that comets are the best obtainable source of original solar nebula material is assessed. To fully interpret the cosmochemical record contained in the comet nuclei, modifications since their formation in the primordial solar nebula, 4.5 Gyr ago must be considered. Possible processes include: comminution and collisions during formation; heating by short-lived radionuclides; accretion of interstellar gases; erosion by interstellar dust; polymerization by galactic cosmic rays; and heating and thermal evolution when the comets return to the planetary region. Consideration of these processes has important implications for where and how a sample is obtained on the cometary nucleus, and how it is preserved during the return to Earth. The possible dynamical history of short-period comets is discussed.

Weissman, Paul R.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Post-perihelion brightening of Halley's Comet: A case of nuclear summer

Increased brightness and gas production rates for Halley's comet after perihelion are explained as a result of seasonal effects on an obliquely rotating nucleus. The highly eccentric cometary orbit causes a rapid change in solar declination as the comet rounds perihelion, resulting in drastic changes in the insolation reaching the Northern and Southern Hemispheres of the nucleus. The rapid heating of the Northern Hemisphere post-perihelion likely results in substantial cracking of the non-volatile surface crust due to thermal stresses, exposing areas of fresh volatile ices. The orientation of the triaxial ellipsoid nucleus may also play a role in exposing more surface area to continuous sunlight and sublimation after perihelion. Post-perihelion brightening models based on heat flow and storage in sub-surface layers of the nucleus pre-perihelion are likely not viable because of the low thermal conductivities of porous, low density cometary surface materials.

Weissman, Paul R.↗

NASA NTRS1986

The Oort cloud and the Galaxy - Dynamical interactions

The results of recent dynamical studies of the Oort cloud and its interaction with the Galaxy are discussed. Various studies which used Monte Carlo simulations to investigate the evolution of comets in the Oort cloud and the manner in which they are injected into the planetary region are reviewed. Work done on perturbation of cometary orbits by stars, interstellar clouds, and the Galaxy is examined. The growing consensus that there is a massive inner Oort cloud with a population up to 100 times that of the dynamically active outer cloud is addressed. Variations on the Oort hypothesis are discussed. It is argued that speculations about the existence of a small unseen solar companion star or a tenth planet causing periodic comet showers from the inner Oort cloud are not supported by dynamical studies or analyses of the terrestrial and lunar cratering record. Evidence for Oort clouds around other stars is summarized.

Weissman, Paul R.↗