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W Kent Tobiska

Publications and source records attributed to W Kent Tobiska.

TPSAS-NF1676L-16422-DND

The Nowcast of Atmospheric Ionizing Radiation for Aviation Safety (NAIRAS) is a prototype operational model for predicting aircraft radiation exposure from galactic and solar cosmic rays. NAIRAS predictions are currently streaming live from the project's public website, and the exposure rate nowcast is also available on the SpaceWx smartphone app for iPhone, IPad, and Android. Cosmic rays are the primary source of human exposure to high linear energy transfer radiation at aircraft altitudes, which increases the risk of cancer and other adverse health effects. Results from recent NAIRAS model updates and new data products are presented. In addition, current and ongoing radiation measurement campaigns and verification and validation efforts are discussed.

Christopher J Mertens

TPSAS-NF1676L-10829-DND

Galactic cosmic rays (GCR) and solar energetic particles (SEP) are the primary sources of human exposure to high linear energy transfer (LET) radiation in the atmosphere. High-LET radiation is effective at directly breaking DNA strands in biological tissue, or producing chemically active radicals in tissue that alter the cell function, both of which can lead to cancer or other adverse health effects. A prototype operational nowcast model of air-crew radiation exposure is currently under development and funded by NASA. The model predicts air-crew radiation exposure levels from both GCR and SEP that may accompany solar storms. The new air-crew radiation exposure model is called the Nowcast of Atmospheric Ionizing Radiation for Aviation Safety (NAIRAS) model. NAIRAS will provide global, data-driven, real-time exposure predictions of biologically harmful radiation at aviation altitudes. Observations are utilized from the ground (neutron monitors), from the atmosphere (the NCEP Global Forecast System), and from space (NASA/ACE and NOAA/GOES). Atmospheric observations characterize the overhead mass shielding and the ground- and space-based observations provide boundary conditions on the incident GCR and SEP particle flux distributions for transport and dosimetry calculations. Radiation exposure rates are calculated using the NASA physics-based HZETRN (High Charge (Z) and Energy TRaNsport) code. An overview of the NAIRAS model is given: the concept, design, prototype implementation status, data access, and example results. Issues encountered thus far and known and/or anticipated hurdles to research to operations transition are also discussed.

Christopher J Mertens

Radiation Data Portal: Connection of Radiation Measurements on Airplane Flights with Observations of Solar-Terrestrial Environment

The impact of solar radiation dramatically increases at high altitudes in the Earth’s atmosphere and in space. Therefore, continuous monitoring of the radiation environment is critical for the safety of aircraft and spacecraft crews and passengers. Addressing the problem requires a complex approach of integration of different data sources and enhancement of the visualization and search capabilities. The Radiation Portal Database represents an interactive web-based application for convenient search and visualization of in-flight radiation measurements and exploration of various properties related to the radiation environment. The primary element of the Radiation Portal back-end is a MySQL relational database that currently contains the radiation measurements obtained from the Automated Radiation Measurements for Aerospace Safety (ARMAS)device, and soft X-ray and proton fluxes from Geostationary Orbiting Environmental Satellite (GOES). The developed Application Programming Interface (API) and related Python routines allow a user to retrieve the database records directly and efficiently, without interaction with the web interface. As a use case of the Radiation Portal, we examine the properties of the ARMAS flights taken during the enhanced Solar Proton (SP) fluxes and compare them to the flights of similar time and location taken during SP-quiet periods.

SMD

Radiation Data Portal: Enhancing Data Discoverability and Analysis for Understanding Space Radiation in Earth Environment

The impact of radiation dramatically increases at high altitudes in the Earth’s atmosphere and in space. Therefore, monitoring and access to radiation environment measurements are critical for estimating the radiation exposure risks of aircraft and spacecraft crews and the impact of space weather disturbances on electronics. Addressing these needs requires reliable access to multi-source radiation environment data and enhanced visualization and search capabilities. The Radiation Data Portal provides an interactive web-based application for convenient search and visualization of in-flight radiation measurements.

Heliophysics

Understanding Space Radiation in Earth Environment with Radiation Data Portal

The impact of radiation dramatically increases at high altitudes in the Earth’s atmosphere and in space. Therefore, monitoring and access to radiation environment measurements are critical for estimating the radiation exposure risks of aircraft and spacecraft crews and the impact of space weather disturbances on electronics. Addressing these needs requires reliable access to multisource radiation environment data and enhanced visualization and search capabilities. The Radiation Data Portal provides an interactive web-based application for convenient search and visualization of in-flight radiation measurements.

SMD

Comparison of the Nowcast of Aerospace Ionizing Radiation System (NAIRAS) With ISS Measurements

The Nowcast of Aerospace Ionizing Radiation System (NAIRAS) is a sophisticated physics-based model that has been providing real-time global predictions of cosmic radiation exposure, pertinent to both galactic and solar sources, to air travelers for a decade. The utility of NAIRAS, however, extends beyond the atmospheric ionizing radiation environment. The recently developed NAIRAS 3.0 version demonstrates an expansion of its domain to the space radiation environment. This extension incorporates an additional trapped inner belt proton source, coupled with altitude-dependent and rigidity-dependent geomagnetic shielding for galactic cosmic rays (GCR) and solar energetic particle (SEP) protons. The latest version of NAIRAS operates in two modes: real-time global predictions of the atmospheric radiation environment and a user-specified run-on-request service for global dosimetric calculations or predictions of dosimetric and particle flux quantities along user-uploaded flight path. It is available to the public at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC). In this work, we present the validation exercises that have been conducted using the Automated Radiation Measurements for Aerospace Safety (ARMAS) onboard the International Space Station (ISS), thereby establishing NAIRAS's efficacy in predicting space radiation exposure. As such, NAIRAS 3.0 holds significant potential for human safety and technological advancement in aerospace travel and exploration.

Daniel Phoenix