Machine Learning Surrogates with OMLT and IDAES for Improved Design and Analysis of Energy Systems
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Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Tsay, Calvin.
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Demand response (DR) has become a key element in balancing the power grid as the contribution of time-varying renewable power generation increases. Chemical plants are appealing candidates for DR programs as they offer large, concentrated and flexible loads. DR participation calls for frequent production rate changes over time scales that overlap with the dominant dynamics of the plant. Production scheduling should therefore consider the process dynamics explicitly. Here we present a data-driven approach for modelling the scheduling-relevant dynamics based on historical closed-loop operating data using autoregressive with extra inputs (ARX) models. We introduce a new, linear scheduling problem formulation based on the ARX representation, and demonstrate its implementation on an industrial air separation unit.
Demand-response operation of air separation units requires frequent changes in production rate(s), and scheduling calculations must explicitly consider process dynamics to ensure feasibility of the solutions. To this end, scale-bridging models (SBMs) approximate the scheduling-relevant dynamics of a process and its controller in a low-order representation. In contrast to previous works that have employed nonlinear SBMs, this paper proposes linear SBMs, developed using time-series analysis, to facilitate online scheduling computations. Using a year-long industrial dataset, we nd that compact linear SBMs are suitable approximations over typical scheduling horizons, but that their accuracies are unpredictable over time. We introduce a strategy for online updating of the SBMs, based on Kalman ltering schemes for online parameter estimation. The approach greatly improves the accuracy of SBM predictions and will enable the use of linear SBM-based demand-response scheduling in the future.
We review the impact of control systems and strategies on the energy efficiency of chemical processes. We show that, in many ways, good control performance is a necessary but not sufficient condition for energy efficiency. The direct effect of process control on energy efficiency is manyfold: Reducing output variability allows for operating chemical plants closer to their limits, where the energy/economic optima typically lie. Further, good control enables novel, transient operating strategies, such as conversion smoothing and demand response. Indirectly, control systems are key to the implementation and operation of more energy-efficient plant designs, as dictated by the process integration and intensification paradigms. Our conclusions are supported with references to numerous examples from the literature.