Engineering topics

Stewart, Robert N.

Publications and source records attributed to Stewart, Robert N..

3 records

DOE OSTI2022

A Review of Bayesian Networks for Spatial Data

We report Bayesian networks are a popular class of multivariate probabilistic models as they allow for the translation of prior beliefs about conditional dependencies between variables to be easily encoded into their model structure. Due to their widespread usage, they are often applied to spatial data for inferring properties of the systems under study and also generating predictions for how these systems may behave in the future. We review published research on methodologies for representing spatial data with Bayesian networks and also summarize the application areas for which Bayesian networks are employed in the modeling of spatial data. We find that a wide variety of perspectives are taken, including a GIS-centric focus on efficiently generating geospatial predictions, a statistical focus on rigorously constructing graphical models controlling for spatial correlation, as well as a range of problem-specific heuristics for mitigating the effects of spatial correlation and dependency arising in spatial data analysis. Special attention is also paid to potential future directions for integration of Bayesian networks with spatial processes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Reanalysis of Water Withdrawal for Irrigation, Electric Power, and Public Supply Sectors in the Conterminous United States, 1950–2016

Accurately measuring water use by the economy is essential for developing reliable models of water resource availability. Indeed, these models rely on retrospective analyses that provide insights into shifting human population demands and adaptions to water shortages. However, accurate, methodologically consistent, empirically authentic, and spatiotemporally comprehensive historical datasets for water withdrawals are scarce. Herein, we present a reanalysis of annual resolution (1950–2016) historical data set on irrigation, electric power, and public supply water withdrawal within the conterminous United States (US) at the county-level, and, for power plants, at the site-level. To estimate electric power water use, we synthesized a historically comprehensive list of generators and historic patterns in generation across fuels, prime movers, and cooling technologies. Irrigation water use estimation required building a crop-demand model that utilized historical information on irrigated acreage for crops and golf courses, stage-specific crop water demand, and climate information. To estimate public water supply use, we developed a random forest model constructed from information on population, infrastructure, climate, and land cover. These estimates generally agree with total county and state water use information provided by the US Geological Survey (USGS) water use circular and estimates generated from independent studies for specific years. However, we also observed discrepancies between our estimates and USGS data that appear to be caused by inconsistencies in the methods used by the USGS's primary data sources at the state level over decades of data collection, highlighting the importance of reanalysis to yield spatiotemporally consistent and intercomparable estimates of water use.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2019

The Trillion Pixel GeoAI Challenge Workshop

Rapid innovations in satellite and airborne remote sensing capabilities holds the promise of collecting high-resolution imagery with daily, even hourly cadence across the entire planet. Availability of such earth observation data streams at varying spatial and temporal scales, coupled with astonishing progress in AI and transformational advances in high performance computing bring into view the possibility of mapping and interpreting the surface of our planet at unprecedented detail. The implications of such capability for science, technology, policy, and security are far reaching. Moreover, even at a modest 5m resolution, 100 trillion pixels will describe the surface of the Earth every day. Consequently, monitoring the pulse of our planet will entail collecting, refining, analyzing, and curating those 100 trillion pixels within a 24-hour period. That is a challenge with unknown solutions as of today’s advances and therefore serves as a key motivation for this workshop. The GEOINT and AI communities have a unique opportunity to enable detailed monitoring the pulse of our planet and obtain new insights into how humans occupy, interact with, and alter the surface of the Earth over time. From a science and technology standpoint, this is a modern-day moonshot that presents numerous challenges particularly related to scaling the analysis to every pixel covering the planet. The challenge of making sense of all these pixels in a timely fashion include image processing at scale, selective analysis of only the pixels that matter, generalizing AI models across heterogeneous locations, computing on hardware that is memory constrained, and deploying automated feature extraction on edge devices. The designing of capable GeoAI workflows and data pipelines will require interdisciplinary efforts and partnerships. The Trillion Pixel Challenge for GeoAI workshop was is promoted as a first community effort to discuss priority research and development directions and to establish the partnerships and collaborations needed to make progress on critical scientific and operational applications from local to regional to planet scale.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗