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Steven Pawson

Publications and source records attributed to Steven Pawson.

At least 91 records · Page 5
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Google and NASA Air Quality Partnership – A Collaboration Using GEOS-CF Data and Google Earth Engine

NASA and Google have expanded their partnership to create data and tools that help with pollution mitigation and decision making on a local government scale. The goal is to use the technologies available at NASA and Google to create city-scale data estimates and forecasts of air pollutants such as NO2 derived from the GEOS Composition Forecast (GEOS-CF) model. Efforts are also being led by Pawan Gupta to create a downscaled MERRA-2 PM2.5 product.

Callum Wayman↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The Generation of Mixing Across the Stratospheric Polarvortex Edge By Breaking Gravity Waves

Modern high resolution global atmospheric analyses are capable of resolving larger gravity waves, including their generation, propagation, and breaking. Orographically generated gravity waves that break in the middle stratosphere often appear as disturbances in maps of potential vorticity, a key stratospheric dynamical quantity. Using analyses from the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, we show how gravity waves not only disturb the local flow above them but can generate flow instabilities leading to eddies that propagate around the stratospheric polar vortex, creating significant mixing across the vortex edge and into the polar region. These disturbances and mixing events are especially noticeable during NH winter months with low planetary scale wave activity such as in January 2022. During January 2022, the initially circular flow around the polar vortex was disrupted by breaking gravity waves, leading to unstable flow that created a chain of eddies around the vortex edge. The mixing associated with this process led to increased ozone in the upper stratosphere polar region.

Polar Vortex↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

GEOS Constituent Data Assimilation Beyond Aura MLS: Assimilating NASA SAGE III/ISS Profiles of Stratospheric Water Vapor and Ozone

Ozone and water vapor in the lower stratosphere are important trace gases for atmospheric chemistry and radiative budget. The Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) missions have been crucial in monitoring the stratospheric ozone loss and the subsequent recovery as well as the trends in water vapor linked to surface temperature trends. The SAGE III instrument aboard the International Space Station (ISS) continues the SAGE mission record, with high vertical resolution profiles of ozone and water vapor available since mid 2017. The NASA GEOS Earth system model has the new capability to assimilate multi-constituents from ground and space-based instruments using the GEOS Constituent Data Assimilation System (CoDAS). The recently released MERRA-2 Stratospheric Composition Reanalysis with Aura MLS (M2-SCREAM) assimilates version 4.2 MLS ozone, water vapor and other chemically-reactive species with the NASA GEOS model coupled to a stratospheric-only chemistry mechanism and transport constrained to the MERRA-2 reanalysis. While the number of solar occultation observations a day from SAGE III/ISS is about 1% of the total number of profiles observed globally by MLS, the chemical timescales of ozone and water vapor in the lower stratosphere are long enough that the SAGE III/ISS data may provide a useful constraint on the assimilated product. Using the same GEOS CoDAS configuration as M2-SCREAM, we will present a series of experiments to investigate if ozone and water vapor trends are consistent with the assimilation of SAGE observations with and without Aura retrievals, and to determine if the assimilation of SAGE observations produces a steady product for trend analysis, especially as the end of the Aura mission nears. In our experiments, assimilating only SAGE III/ISS water vapor profiles results in water vapor fields more consistent with experiments that assimilate MLS v5; however, in the polar regions SAGE III/ISS observations are not available and the values are unconstrained. We are encouraged by the positive benefit assimilating the less frequent SAGE III/ISS observations has on stratospheric composition. Sensitivity experiments such as these will allow us to assess the added value of SAGE data for continued monitoring of the stratospheric composition for climate and ozone recovery assessments.

SAGE↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Stratospheric Circulation Changes Associated with the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Eruption

The 15 January 2022 eruption of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai underwater volcano injected an unprecedented amount of water directly into the stratosphere. This study attempts to quantify this impact on the temperature, as well as the subsequent changes to the stratospheric circulation, during the months following the eruption based on reanalysis fields. The extreme nature of the temperature, wind, and circulation changes are tracked through comparisons of the months of 2022 with the past 42 years. Examination of the data assimilation process shows that at 20 hPa the data is forcing temperature cooling at record rates resulting in record cold temperatures. Details of the stratospheric perturbations in latitude and pressure are presented for June 2022 where record strong cooling is found at 20 hPa from 60oS to 30oS. In response to the cooling the atmosphere adjusts by creating record strong winds above the temperature anomaly and large changes to the downward and poleward mean meridional circulation.

Lawrence Coy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing A Continuous Ozone Record Through the SAGE and Aura Missions With NASA Reanalysis Products

During the last quarter of the 20th century, the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) missions were crucial in monitoring the loss and the subsequent recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer. Due to the employed solar occultation and self-calibration method, the SAGE monitors have produced stable data throughout the lifetime of each instrument. However, over ten years passed between the end of the SAGE II and SAGE III/M3M missions in 2005 and the launch of SAGE III/ISS instrument in 2017, leaving a gap in the data that much be bridged in order to assess the trends in the ozone record. Reanalysis products, such as the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), are attractive candidates for trend analysis due to the statistically optimized combination of multiple observing systems and the regular temporal and spatial coverage. In this study, we explore using the SAGE records to develop a stable reanalysis data product, suitable for trend analysis, from the start of the SAGE II record in 1984 through the present. Changes in the assimilated observation systems can introduce discontinuities within the MERRA-2 ozone record, such as in 2004 when the MERRA-2 system shifted from assimilating ozone retrievals collected by SBUV instruments to those collected by instruments onboard the Aura satellite. We follow the radiative transfer procedure outlined by Wargan et al. (2018) to address discontinuities in the MERRA-2 ozone dataset at the 2004 transition and during the Aura record. SAGE II ozone profiles are used to address discontinuities in upper stratospheric ozone associated with changes in the MERRA-2 meteorological observing system in 1998 and 1995. Lastly, we will use the resulting bias-corrected MERRA-2 ozone fields to assess the relative performance of the data from different SAGE sensors.

SAGE↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Toward Improving the Assimilation of IASI and CrIS Radiances Over Land Into the NASA GEOS: LST Inversion and Validation

Assimilating surface-sensitive radiances over land is still challenging for both infrared (IR) and microwave (WV) essentially because of the large uncertainties of the land physical surface emissivity model used in the CRTM and the uncertainties of land surface state properties. Currently very few IR radiances are assimilated over land in the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS). Large number of radiances are rejected by the emissivity sensitivity check as well as the Cloud detection check. This study focuses on enhancing the assimilation of Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) and Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) over land in the GEOS forecasting and data assimilation framework. To reach this goal, the Land surface Temperature (LST) is first inverted using IR radiances from IASI and CrIS selected channels to use it as surface boundary parameter for the assimilation of the rest of IASI and CrIS surface-sensitive channels. This work will present a full assessment of the quality of this LST by comparing it and its spatio-temporal variability to LST predicted by the GEOS model. The impacts on the quality of the resulting analysis and subsequent forecast will also be discussed.

Niama Boukachaba↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA GEOS Composition Forecast System: GEOS-CF

NASA's Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) produces high-resolution analysis and forecasts for weather, aerosols, and air quality. Since 2019, the NASA Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) model provides global near-real-time historical estimates and daily 5-day forecasts of atmospheric composition to the public at unprecedented horizontal resolution of 0.25 degrees (~25 km) from the surface up to the lower mesosphere. This composition forecast system (“GEOS-CF”) combines the operational GEOS weather forecasting model with the state-of-the-science GEOS-Chem chemistry module to deliver detailed analysis of a wide range of air pollutants, including the policy-relevant species such as ozone, carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide and fine particulate matter (PM2.5). The GEOS-CF is a tool for scientists and the public health community. This presentation will cover 1) an overview of the GEOS-CF modeling framework compared to the GEOS-5 Nature Run with Chemistry (used in the post-processing to make the TEMPO Proxy Data), 2) description of the file used to support the TEMPO retrieval team, and 3) research and development activities as the GEOS-CF system continues to evolve to include multi-constituent data assimilation.

K. Emma Knowland↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA GEOS Composition Forecast System, GEOS-CF

NASA's Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) produces high-resolution analysis and forecasts for weather, aerosols, and air quality. Since 2019, the NASA Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) model provides global near-real-time historical estimates and daily 5-day forecasts of atmospheric composition to the public at unprecedented horizontal resolution of 0.25 degrees (~25 km) from the surface up to the lower mesosphere. This composition forecast system (“GEOS-CF”) combines the operational GEOS weather forecasting model with the state-of-the-science GEOS-Chem chemistry module to deliver detailed analysis of a wide range of air pollutants, including the policy-relevant species such as ozone, carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide and fine particulate matter (PM2.5). The GEOS-CF is a tool for scientists and the public health community. This presentation will cover 1) an overview of the GEOS-CF modeling framework and data/visualization access, 2) examples of current and future applications to support NASA missions (e.g., a priori for trace gas retrievals by TEMPO, ground-based instrument teams and field campaigns), and 3) research and development activities as the GEOS-CF system continues to evolve to include multi-constituent data assimilation, near-real time emission adjustment estimates, down-scaling methods to urban-scale, and data access on Google Earth Engine, Amazon Web Services, and other platforms to integrate our state-of-the-science air quality information onto platforms used by stakeholders, air quality managers, and the public.

K. Emma Knowland↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Forecasting Tonga water vapor effects on the stratosphere during April through August 2022

The ability of an ensemble based Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) forecast system to capture the circulation anomalies created by the Tonga water vapor injection is investigated using the NASA GEOS-S2S (version 2) system. A 40-member ensemble was initialized in April 2022 based on MERRA-2 meteorology with assimilated Tonga water vapor taken from the M2-SCREAM MLS assimilation. The 40-member forecasts were run through June 2022 with 10 selected members continuing through August 2022. Duplicate ensembles were initialized without the Tonga water vapor as a control experiment. Results show that the forecasted patterns of cooling at 20 hPa, water vapor advection at 20 hPa, and zonal mean winds at 1 hPa agree well the assimilation products out to 4 months, indicating the usefulness of S2S system diagnostics in understanding the impact of the large water perturbation.

Lawrence Coy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

GEOS Constituent Data Assimilation Beyond Aura MLS: Assimilating NASA SAGE III/ISS Profiles of Stratospheric Water Vapor

Ozone and water vapor in the lower stratosphere are important trace gases for atmospheric chemistry and radiative budget. The Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) missions have been crucial in monitoring the stratospheric ozone loss and the subsequent recovery as well as the trends in water vapor linked to surface temperature trends. The SAGE III instrument aboard the International Space Station (ISS) continues the SAGE mission record, with high vertical resolution profiles of ozone and water vapor available since mid 2017. The NASA GEOS Earth system model has the new capability to assimilate multi-constituents from ground and space-based instruments using the GEOS Constituent Data Assimilation System (CoDAS). The recently released MERRA-2 Stratospheric Composition Reanalysis with Aura MLS (M2-SCREAM) assimilates version 4.2 MLS ozone, water vapor and other chemically-reactive species with the NASA GEOS model coupled to a stratospheric-only chemistry mechanism and transport constrained to the MERRA-2 reanalysis. While the number of solar occultation observations a day from SAGE III/ISS is about 1% of the total number of profiles observed globally by MLS, the chemical timescales of ozone and water vapor in the lower stratosphere are long enough that the SAGE III/ISS data may provide a useful constraint on the assimilated product. Using the same GEOS CoDAS configuration as M2-SCREAM, we will present a series of experiments to investigate if water vapor trends are consistent with the assimilation of SAGE observations with and without Aura retrievals, and to determine if the assimilation of SAGE observations produces a steady product for trend analysis, especially as the end of the Aura mission nears. In our experiments, assimilating only SAGE III/ISS water vapor profiles results in water vapor fields more consistent with experiments that assimilate MLS v5; however, in the polar regions SAGE III/ISS observations are not available and the modelled values are unconstrained. We are encouraged by the positive benefit assimilating the less frequent SAGE III/ISS observations has on stratospheric composition. Sensitivity experiments such as these will allow us to assess the added value of SAGE data for continued monitoring of the stratospheric composition for climate and ozone recovery assessments.

K Emma Knowland↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing A Continuous Ozone Record Through the SAGE and Aura Missions With NASA Reanalysis Products

During the last quarter of the 20th century, the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) missions were crucial in monitoring the loss and subsequent recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer. Due to the employed solar occultation and self-calibration method, the SAGE monitors have produced stable data throughout the lifetime of each instrument. However, over ten years passed between the end of the SAGE II and SAGE III/M3M missions in 2005 and the launch of SAGE III/ISS instrument in 2017, leaving a gap in the data that must be bridged in order to assess trends in the ozone record. The Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis product, with output available starting in 1980, is an attractive candidate for trend analysis due to the statistically optimized combination of multiple observing systems and the regular temporal and spatial coverage. However, changes in the assimilated observation systems can introduce discontinuities within the MERRA-2 ozone record, such as in 2004 when the MERRA-2 system shifted from assimilating ozone retrievals collected by SBUV instruments to those collected by instruments onboard the Aura satellite. In this study, we explore using the SAGE II record as a transfer function to develop a stable reanalysis data product, suitable for trend analysis, from the start of the SAGE II record in 1984 through the present. We follow the procedure outlined by Wargan et al. (2018) to address discontinuities in the MERRA-2 ozone dataset at the 2004 transition and during the Aura record. SAGE II ozone profiles are used to correct discontinuities in upper stratospheric ozone associated with changes in the MERRA-2 meteorological observing system in 1998 and 1995. We will then assess the relative performance of the data from different SAGE sensors using the resulting bias-corrected MERRA-2 ozone fields.

Pamela Wales↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Disruption of the 2022-2023 stratospheric circulation by the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai volcano

In January 2022 the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai (HTHH) volcano erupted, injecting an unprecedented amount of water vapor into the stratosphere that increased the total stratospheric water burden by ~10%. As the initial plume of water vapor spread throughout the stratosphere, radiative heating and cooling anomalies affected the stratospheric circulation altering the climatological mean residual circulation. Here we compare the 1980-2021 MERRA-2 (Modern Era Reanalysis for Research and Applications, Version 2) mean residual circulation climatology to the years 2022-2023 to identify stratospheric circulation changes associated with the anomalous water vapor. The HTHH water vapor is explicitly tracked using the M2-SCREAM (MERRA-2 Stratospheric Composition Reanalysis of Aura Microwave Limb Sounder) water vapor analysis. Anomalies in temperature, jet location, polar vortex strength and ozone advection in response to the HTHH water vapor anomaly are also documented. These results reveal details of the evolution of the HTHH induced stratospheric circulation anomalies with special emphasis on how these circulation anomalies affected the 2023 ozone hole.

Lawrence Coy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Improving Access to the GEOS Composition Forecast Model with API Development and Ingestion into Google Earth Engine

The GEOS Composition Forecast (GEOS-CF) model produces forecast and historical estimates of atmospheric composition and meteorology fields, which provide useful insight into air quality issues and events. In a year for which Canadian wildfires created adverse air quality conditions in the eastern United States, access to model fields such as PM2.5 are in high demand. The GEOS-CF team at the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) first developed in-house solutions to improve data access via the CF API, and recently partnered with Google to ingest a collated set of model diagnostics into the Google Earth Engine (GEE) data repository. GEOS-CF model output is also being ingested into AWS storage. Creating these various open access points to GEOS-CF model diagnostics provides the public with an opportunity to easily interact with air quality information. Users are able to use a temporally consistent global grid of air quality fields in machine learning applications, mapping tools, and data informatics. Hosting GEOS-CF forecasts and the historical timeseries of these chemistry and meteorology fields in GEE allows users to create dynamic JavaScript-based air quality applications in the GEE code editor. GEOS-CF users can also access the model output via the GEE Python application programming interface (API), making it easy to perform various analyses with Python. This presentation will show two examples of accessing the GEOS-CF model through GEE. The first is an example application made in the GEE code editor which allows users to view time series plots and downscaled maps of surface level NO2. The second example exhibits using the GEE Python API to create a machine learning model to temporally gap-fill between air quality observations. These examples are an introduction to the many possible benefits of having open access to the GEOS-CF model through multiple platforms.

Callum Wayman↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

GEOS Constituent Data Assimilation beyond Aura MLS: Assimilating NASA SAGE III/ISS profiles of stratospheric water vapor

Water vapor in the lower stratosphere is an important trace gas for atmospheric chemistry and radiative budget with direct impact on climate. During the last quarter of the 20th century, the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) missions were crucial in monitoring the stratospheric ozone loss and the subsequent recovery as well as trends in water vapor linked to surface temperature trends. The SAGE III instrument aboard the International Space Station (ISS) continues the SAGE mission record, with high vertical resolution profiles of water vapor (and other constituents) since mid-2017. The NASA GEOS Earth system model has the capability to assimilate multi-constituents from ground and space-based instruments using the GEOS Constituent Data Assimilation System (CoDAS). Reanalysis products of stratospheric water vapor without data constraints are historically poor, and two recent reanalyses which assimilated stratospheric constituents observed by the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) improve the representation of stratospheric composition, including water vapor, when compared against independent observations. The MLS instrument is on NASA's Aura satellite which is expected to be decommissioned in the coming years. Here we demonstrate that while the number of solar occultation observations a day from SAGE III/ISS is about 1 % of the total number of profiles observed globally by MLS, the chemical timescales of water vapor in the lower stratosphere are long enough that the SAGE III/ISS data can provide a useful constraint on the assimilated product. Analyzed water vapor fields from assimilating only SAGE III/ISS water vapor profiles agree well with independent stratospheric observations, including when compared against the frost-point hygrometers at the three NOAA stations. Over the five-year period from 2017 through 2022, the analyzed water vapor using SAGE III/ISS captures many of the features seen with the assimilation of MLS observations. Note, this ability is reduced over regions where the SAGE III/ISS instrument provides infrequent or no observations (associated with the orbit of the ISS), as highlighted in the case study period following the eruption of the tropical underwater volcano Hunga Tonga in early 2022. Nevertheless, there is a clear benefit to the assimilation of stratospheric water vapor from SAGE III/ISS observations, allowing us to continue to monitor stratospheric composition for climate assessments following the impending loss of Aura.

K. Emma Knowland↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA GEOS Composition Forecast System, GEOS-CF

GEOS is an Earth System Model designed to advance the use of satellite data products. Since it is a modular system, it can be run as a numerical weather prediction model and coupled to chemistry modules.

K. Emma Knowland↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA GEOS-CF: Overview, Applications, Future Direction

Since 2019, the NASA Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) model has been used to generate global, near-real-time estimates and daily five-day forecasts of atmospheric composition at a horizontal resolution of 0.25 degrees (~25 km) from the surface up to the lower mesosphere. This composition forecast system (“GEOS-CF”) combines the GEOS weather forecasting model with the state-of-the-science GEOS-Chem chemistry module to deliver detailed analysis of a wide range of air pollutants, including the policy-relevant species such as ozone, carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide and fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Because GEOS-CF includes atmospheric levels up through the stratosphere, this system has been leveraged to support the Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) satellite mission and provide stratospheric intrusion alerts to ground-based monitoring stations. We will present recent advances to GEOS-CF which includes assimilation of satellite observations to produce more accurate model analyses. We further discuss our future plans for a composition reanalysis.

K. Emma Knowland↗