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Serreze, Mark C.

Publications and source records attributed to Serreze, Mark C..

The Arctic

Arctic observations in 2023 provided clear evidence of rapid and pronounced climate and environmental change, shaped by past and ongoing human activities that release greenhouse gases into the atmosphere and push the broader Earth system into uncharted territory. This chapter provides a snapshot of 2023 and summarizes decades-long trends observed across the Arctic, including warming surface air and sea-surface temperatures, decreasing snow cover, diminishing sea ice, thawing permafrost, and continued mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet and Arctic glaciers. These changes are driving a transition to a wetter, greener, and less frozen Arctic, with serious implications for Arctic peoples and ecosystems, as well as for low- and midlatitudes

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Investigating Downscaling Methods and Evaluating Climate Models for Use in Estimating Regional Water Resources in Mountainous Regions under Changing Climatic Conditions

The purpose of this three-year study is to develop and evaluate techniques to estimate the range of potential hydrological impacts of climate change in mountainous areas. Three main objectives are set out in the proposal. (1) To develop and evaluate transfer functions to link tropospheric circulation to regional snowfall. (2) To evaluate a suite of General Circulation Models (GCMs) for use in estimating synoptic scale circulation and the resultant regional snowfall. And (3) to estimate the range of potential hydrological impacts of changing climate in the two case study areas: the Upper Colorado River basin, and the Catskill Mountains of southeastern New York State. Both regions provide water to large populations.

Frei, Allan

Arctic sea ice albedo - A comparison of two satellite-derived data sets

Spatial patterns of mean monthly surface albedo for May, June, and July, derived from DMSP Operational Line Scan (OLS) satellite imagery are compared with surface albedos derived from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Program (ISCCP) monthly data set. Spatial patterns obtained by the two techniques are in general agreement, especially for June and July. Nevertheless, systematic differences in albedo of 0.05 - 0.10 are noted which are most likely related to uncertainties in the simple parameterizations used in the DMSP analyses, problems in the ISCCP cloud-clearing algorithm and other modeling simplifications. However, with respect to the eventual goal of developing a reliable automated retrieval algorithm for compiling a long-term albedo data base, these initial comparisons are very encouraging.

Schweiger, Axel J.

Sea ice concentrations in the Canada Basin during 1988 - Comparisons with other years and evidence of multiple forcing mechanisms

Results from a study of special sensor microwave imager data and visible band DMSP-OLS imagery show a large area of reduced ice concentration in the Canada Basin during summer 1988. Drifting buoys, surface pressure fields, output from the Polar Ice Prediction System sea ice model, and other meteorological data used to examine processes responsible for development of the reduced ice concentrations are discussed. It is noted that, while ice divergence in the summer offers a partial explanation, the model indicates that there are other factors which play contributing roles. Among these factors are the anomalously warm atmospheric conditions, generally clear skies in June and July, extensive fracturing of the pack ice in spring and anomalous advection of oceanic heat. It is found that the second and third of these effects may occur in most years. It is concluded that, although the extent and magnitude of the concentration reductions during 1988 are unusual, these recurring factors tend to predispose the pack ice in the Canada Basin to decay.

Serreze, Mark C.