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Scott, John Mitchell

Publications and source records attributed to Scott, John Mitchell.

Los Alamos National Laboratory Director's Strategic Resilience Initiative

The Director’s Strategic Resilience Initiative was created late in 2019 in recognition of the changing geo-political climate. The renewed strategic competition between Russia, China, and the United States, noted in the 2018 National Defense Strategy and the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review, put great power rivalry and competition at the forefront of national security considerations. At the same time, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s March 1, 2018, speech and China’s October 1, 2019, National Day Military Parade, underscored the nuclear dimensions of this new strategic competition. Accompanying this changed strategic environment are rapid advances in an expansive array of relevant technological sectors including affordable and comprehensive global communication and reconnaissance assets, autonomous vehicles, quantum computing, advanced manufacturing, and artificial intelligence.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Vehicle Tracking

The detection and tracking of vehicles moving at hypersonic speeds (> Mach 5) at altitudes of ~100 km has been of growing interest due to the ongoing development of hypersonic glide vehicles (HGVs) by the U.S., Russia and China. This challenge is notably different from traditional ballistic missile systems whose re-entry vehicles move at hypersonic velocities but at much higher altitudes on a ballistic course. Hypersonic glide vehicles are also designed to be able to make sudden turns along their flight path making prediction of their trajectories difficult. Their ability to maneuver, combined with their high velocity and altitude make them difficult to track. The combination of these characteristics presents a challenge for anyone attempting to defend against a hypersonic glide vehicle attack by generally shortening the time available to react. That reaction can involve moving potential targets or attempting to detect the hypersonic glide vehicle and intercept it before it reaches the intended target. Figure 1 compares the trajectory of hypersonic vehicles compared to that of a traditional ballistic missile.

42 ENGINEERING↗

National Security & International Studies (Q1 FY2021 Newsletter)

Happy New Year to everyone. Activity in the office continues to be at a high pace with the addition of the Strategic Analyses and Assessments (SAA) Office from ALDX, and the Mission Integration (MI) Office (formerly known as Nuclear and Military [NMA] Office) from DDW. We are working closely to optimize the impact of our combined offices. In this issue of our newsletter, we will highlight programs from the SAA Office portfolio, delve into our interactions with the Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) program from CSIS, introduce you to new staff in NSIS and review a new joint postdoc program with the UC Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation and the Center for Global Security Research at LLNL. I also encourage you to take a look at the new NSIS website for more information on the office. Finally, the NSIS office will soon be kicking off a webinar series on starting with topics of interest to the Director’s Strategic Resilience Initiative and will grow beyond that. Stay tuned for more information. --John Scott, Acting Office Director, NSIS

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