Engineering topics

Rosen, Richard D.

Publications and source records attributed to Rosen, Richard D..

At least 19 records

NASA NTRS2003

Impact of Climatic Variability on Atmospheric Mass Distribution and GRACE-Derived Gravity Fields

During the period we calculated the atmospheric data sets related to its mass and angular momentum distribution. For mass, we determined the various harmonics from the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis, especially the low-order harmonics that are useful in studying the gravitation distribution as will be determined from the GRACE mission. Atmospheric mass is also related to the atmospheric loading on the solid Earth; we cooperated with scientists who needed the atmospheric mass information for understanding its contributions to the overall loading, necessary for vertical and horizontal coordinate estimation. We calculated atmospheric angular momentum from the NCEP-NCAR reanalyses and 4 operational meteorological centers, based on the motion (wind) terms and the mass (surface pressure) terms. These are associated with motions of the planet, including its axial component causing changes in the length of day, more related to the winds, and the equatorial component related to motions of the pole, more related to the mass. Tasks related to the ocean mass and angular momentum were added to the project as well. For these we have noted the ocean impact on motions of the pole as well as the torque mechanisms that relate the transfer of angular momentum between oceans and solid earth. The activities of the project may be summarized in the following first manuscript written in December 2002, for a symposium that Dr. Salstein attended on Geodynamics. We have continued to assess ocean angular momentum (OAM) quantities derived from bottom pressure and velocity fields estimated with our finite-difference barotropic (single layer) model. Three years of output (1993-95) from a run without any data constraints was compared to output from a corresponding run that was constrained by altimeter data using a Kalman filter and smoother scheme. Respective OAM time series were combined with corresponding atmospheric series and compared to observed polar motion. The constrained OAM series provided slightly better variance reduction than the unconstrained series. Analysis provided a check on the estimation scheme and pointed to further work to improve the determination of OAM using this method. A significant effort was also devoted to quantifying effects of uncertainties in high frequency winds on the mean and seasonal momentum exchange between atmosphere and oceans.

Salstein, David A.↗

NASA NTRS2000

Interannual Variability in the Meridional Transport of Water Vapor

The zonal-mean meridional transport of water vapor across the globe is evaluated using the National Centers for Environmental Prediction-National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP-NCAR) reanalysis for 1948-97. The shape of the meridional profile of the climatological mean transport closely resembles that of previous mean climate descriptions, but values tend to be notably larger than in climatologies derived from radiosonde-only-based analyses. The unprecedented length of the NCEP-NCAR dataset invites a focus on interannual variations in the zonal-mean moisture transport, and these results for northern winter are highlighted here. Although interannual variability in the transport is typically small at most latitudes, a significant ENSO signal is present, marked by a strengthening of water vapor transports over much of the winter hemisphere during warm events. Because of an increase in tropical sea surface temperatures and in the frequency of warm events relative to cold events in the latter half of the 50-yr record, this interannual signal projects onto an overall trend toward enhanced meridional moisture transports in the global hydrological cycle.

Cohen, Judah L.↗

NASA NTRS2000

Earth Rotation and Coupling to Changes in Atmospheric Angular Momentum

The research supported under the contract dealt primarily with: (a) the mechanisms responsible for the exchange of angular momentum between the solid Earth and atmosphere; (b) the quality of the data sets used to estimate atmospheric angular momentum; and (c) the ability of these data and of global climate models to detect low-frequency signals in the momentum and, hence, circulation of the atmosphere. Three scientific papers reporting on the results of this research were produced during the course of the contract. These papers identified the particular torques responsible for the peak in atmospheric angular momentum and length-of-day during the 1982-93 El Nino event, and, more generally, the relative roles of torques over land and ocean in explaining the broad spectrum of variability in the length-of-day. In addition, a tendency for interannual variability in atmospheric angular momentum to increase during the last several decades of the 20th century was found in both observations and a global climate model experiment.

Rosen, Richard D.↗

NASA NTRS1997

Evaluation of Tropospheric Water Vapor Simulations from the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project

Simulations of humidity from 28 general circulation models for the period 1979-88 from the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project are compared with observations from radiosondes over North America and the globe and with satellite microwave observations over the Pacific basin. The simulations of decadal mean values of precipitable water (W) integrated over each of these regions tend to be less moist than the real atmosphere in all three cases; the median model values are approximately 5% less than the observed values. The spread among the simulations is larger over regions of high terrain, which suggests that differences in methods of resolving topographic features are important. The mean elevation of the North American continent is substantially higher in the models than is observed, which may contribute to the overall dry bias of the models over that area. The authors do not find a clear association between the mean topography of a model and its mean W simulation, however, which suggests that the bias over land is not purely a matter of orography. The seasonal cycle of W is reasonably well simulated by the models, although over North America they have a tendency to become moister more quickly in the spring than is observed. The interannual component of the variability of W is not well captured by the models over North America. Globally, the simulated W values show a signal correlated with the Southern Oscillation index but the observations do not. This discrepancy may be related to deficiencies in the radiosonde network, which does not sample the tropical ocean regions well. Overall, the interannual variability of W, as well as its climatology and mean seasonal cycle, are better described by the median of the 28 simulations than by individual members of the ensemble. Tests to learn whether simulated precipitable water, evaporation, and precipitation values may be related to aspects of model formulation yield few clear signals, although the authors find, for example, a tendency for the few models that predict boundary layer depth to have large values of evaporation and precipitation. Controlled experiments, in which aspects of model architecture are systematically varied within individual models, may be necessary to elucidate whether and how model characteristics influence simulations.

Gaffen, Dian J.↗

NASA NTRS1995

High-frequency variations in Earth rotation and the planetary momentum budget

The major focus of the subject contract was on helping to resolve one of the more notable discrepancies still existing in the axial momentum budget of the solid Earth-atmosphere system, namely the disappearance of coherence between length-of-day (l.o.d.) and atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) at periods shorter than about a fortnight. Recognizing the importance of identifying the source of the high-frequency momentum budget anomaly, the scientific community organized two special measurement campaigns (SEARCH '92 and CONT '94) to obtain the best possible determinations of l.o.d. and AAM. An additional goal was to analyze newly developed estimates of the torques that transfer momentum between the atmosphere and its underlying surface to determine whether the ocean might be a reservoir of momentum on short time scales. Discrepancies between AAM and l.o.d. at sub-fortnightly periods have been attributed to either measurement errors in these quantities or the need to incorporate oceanic angular momentum into the planetary budget. Results from the SEARCH '92 and CONT '94 campaigns suggest that when special attention is paid to the quality of the measurements, better agreement between l.o.d. and AAM at high frequencies can be obtained. The mechanism most responsible for the high-frequency changes observed in AAM during these campaigns involves a direct coupling to the solid Earth, i.e, the mountain torque, thereby obviating a significant oceanic role.

Rosen, Richard D.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Topographic forcing of the atmosphere and a rapid change in the length of day

During June to September 1992, a special campaign was held to measure rapid changes in Earth's rotation rate and to relate these measurements to variations in the atmosphere's angular momentum, due principally to changes in zonal winds. A strong rise in both length of day and atmospheric momentum during a particular 6-day subperiod is documented, and this example of a short-period perturbation is identified with a specific regional coupling mechanism. Mountain torques within the southern tropics appear to account for most of the rapid momentum transfer between the solid Earth and atmosphere, with those across South America especially important.

Salstein, David A.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Determining torques over the ocean and their role in the planetary momentum budget

The transfer of angular momentum between the atmosphere and oceans was examined using a surface wind data set. The data set combines special sensor microwave imager wind speed estimates and operational wind analyses from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts for estimation of zonal torques over the global ocean from July 1987 to June 1989. An attempt was made to determine the global space-time structure of ocean torques. The wind data sets are described, the general statistics of local and global torques are presented, and their characteristics were evaluated. Consideration is given to the impact of satellite data on the calculation of local and global torques. The contribution of ocean torques to fluctuations in atmospheric angular momentum was analyzed as a function of time scale and geographical location.

Ponte, Rui M.↗

NASA NTRS1993

The Sub-bureau for Atmospheric Angular Momentum of the International Earth Rotation Service - A meteorological data center with geodetic applications

By exchanging angular momentum with the solid portion of the earth, the atmosphere plays a vital role in exciting small but measurable changes in the rotation of our planet. Recognizing this relationship, the International Earth Rotation Service invited the U.S. National Meteorological Center to organize a Sub-bureau for Atmospheric Angular Momentum (SBAAM) for the purpose of collecting, distributing, archiving, and analyzing atmospheric parameters relevant to earth rotation/polar motion. These functions of wind and surface pressure are being computed with data from several of the world's weather services, and they are being widely applied to the research and operations of the geodetic community. The SBAAM began operating formally in October 1989, and this article highlights its development, operations, and significance.

Salstein, David A.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Zonal contributions to global momentum variations on intraseasonal through interannual time scales

The variability in a 13-year time series of daily values of the relative angular momentum of the atmosphere (M) is separated into three frequency bands: intraseasonal, seasonal, and interannual. Two methods are used to achieve this separation, and the amount of variance attributable to intraseasonal fluctuations, in particular, is sensitive to the choice made. Seasonal time scales clearly dominate the global momentum series; included in this frequency band is a notable dip in the series early in almost every calendar year. To localize the sources of the frequency band-dependent fluctuations in M, the data were decomposed into series of angular momentum values within each of 46 equal-area zonal belts over the globe and covariances were formed between these belt series and M. Seasonal variations in M represent the residual of opposing contributions from the subtropical jets of the Northern and the Southern Hemispheres. Both intraseasonal and interannual variations in M result mostly from behavior in the tropics.

Rosen, Richard D.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Report of the panel on earth rotation and reference frames, section 7

Objectives and requirements for Earth rotation and reference frame studies in the 1990s are discussed. The objectives are to observe and understand interactions of air and water with the rotational dynamics of the Earth, the effects of the Earth's crust and mantle on the dynamics and excitation of Earth rotation variations over time scales of hours to centuries, and the effects of the Earth's core on the rotational dynamics and the excitation of Earth rotation variations over time scales of a year or longer. Another objective is to establish, refine and maintain terrestrial and celestrial reference frames. Requirements include improvements in observations and analysis, improvements in celestial and terrestrial reference frames and reference frame connections, and improved observations of crustal motion and mass redistribution on the Earth.

Dickey, Jean O.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Predictions of zonal wind and angular momentum by the NMC medium-range forecast model during 1985-89

This paper investigates the quality of weather predictions of the atmosphere's relative angular momentum (M) made by the most recent version of the NMC medium-range forecast model (MRF88) during December 1985-1989. It was found that, compared with older versions of MRF, bias errors in the MRF88 forecasts of M became more prominent, while random errors were not affected. Both types of errors in the M forecasts could be traced to problems with forecasts in the zonal mean zonal wind in the tropics.

Rosen, Richard D.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Discrepancies in the earth-atmosphere angular momentum budget

Modern geodetic and atmospheric data sets have demonstrated that changes in the solid earth's rotation rate are closely coupled to changes in the atmosphere's angular momentum over a range of subseasonal through interannual time scales. Nevertheless, limits to the correspondence between changes in the momenta of the two bodies exist at both ends of the spectrum resolvable by the data. It is shown that, at high frequencies, changes in the length of day as short as a fortnight can now be attributed almost entirely to atmospheric forcing; more rapid fluctuations in the length of day, however, cannot be shown to coincide with atmospheric behavior, a result blamed mostly on errors remaining in both the geodetic and atmospheric series rather than on the neglect of some other component of the momentum budget. On the decadal time scale, nonatmospheric processes, believed primarily to involve core-mantle coupling, dominate the global momentum budget.

Rosen, Richard D.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Regional contributions to the atmospheric excitation of rapid polar motions

Daily fields of surface pressure produced by the National Meteorological Center during 1981-1985 are used to identify the sectors of the globe over which changes in atmospheric mass contribute most importantly to the excitation of intraseasonal variations in the earth's polar axis. Maxima in the excitation function are found over the extratropical South Pacific, North Pacific, and North Atlantic, consistent with previous studies that have identified maxima in surface pressure variations in these regions. Because these centers are located over the ocean, the manner in which the ocean responds to changes in the atmospheric mass above it becomes of central importance in fully understanding the causes of rapid polar motions.

Salstein, David A.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Biases and nonsystematic errors in NMC MRF predictions of momentum and zonal winds

The period of study considered by Rosen et al. (1987) for M forecasts is extended and the source of errors in these forecasts is examined. Time series of daily values of MRF forecasted minus the observed M are presented for forecast lead times of 2, 5, and 10 days from December 1985 through November 1988. A graph is presented of the covariance between errors in the angular momentum per unit mass forecasted at a 10-day lag, and those in the forecasted global angular momentum for the same period.

Rosen, Richard D.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Use of operational analyses to study the dynamics of troposphere-stratosphere interactions in polar regions

Operational analyses produced by large weather centers have been used in the past to monitor various aspects of the general circulation as well as address dynamical questions. For a number years researchers have been monitoring National Meteorological Center (NMC) analyses at 100 millibars because it is the level from which stratospheric analyses are built. In particular, they closely examined the pressure-work term at that level which is an important parameter related to the forcing of the stratosphere by the troposphere. Rapid fluctuations typically seen in this quanity during the months of July-November, and similarly noted by Randel et al., (1987) may raise some concern about the quality of the analyses. Researchers investigated the behavior of the term mainly responsible for these variations, namely the eddy flux of heat, and furthermore have corroborated the presence of these variations in contemporaneous analyses produced by the European Centre for Medium Range Forecasts (ECMWF). Researchers demonstrated that fluctuations in standing eddy heat fluxes, related to the forcing of the stratosphere by the troposphere, agree in two largely independent meteorological analyses. Researchers believe, that these fluctuations are mostly real.

Salstein, David A.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Intraseasonal variability in atmospheric surface pressure and relationship to polar motion

Two techniques were used to validate the theoretical relationship between polar motion and P sub s variations. The first method, reproduced from Hide et al. (1984), compares the fluctuations in physical space of the polar spirals and the high frequencies about them. Although the agreement appears reasonable, the lack of a clear measure of closeness and the presence of the large Chandler signal itself makes a comparison at higher frequencies difficult. To overcome this difficulty, the authors present the X functions required to maintain the observed fluctuations at roughly 20 to 70 days and those calculated from the National Meteorological Center (NMC) P sub s data. These curves are in relatively good agreement, indicating that polar motions are indeed driven, at least in large part, by fluctuations in P sub s.

Salstein, David A.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Medium-range numerical forecasts of atmospheric angular momentum

Forecasts of zonal wind fields produced by the medium-range forecast (MRF) model of the National Meteorological Center are used to create predictions of the atmosphere's angular momentum at lead times of 1-10 days. Based on momentum forecasts archived for the period December 1985-November 1986, it is found that, on average, the MRF exhibits positive skill relative to persistence-based forecasts at all lead times. Over the entire one-year study period, the improvement over persistence exceeds 20 percent for 2-6 day forecasts and remains as large as 10 percent even for 10-day forecasts. On the other hand, skill scores for the MRF momentum predictions vary considerably from month to month, and for a sizable fraction of the study period, the MRF is less skillful than persistence.

Rosen, Richard D.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Accuracy of atmospheric angular momentum estimates from operational analyses

An attempt is made to assess the accuracy of global atmospheric angular momentum determinations by comparing time series of this quantity derived from both the NMC and ECMWF zonal wind analyses for 1981-85. Over this period, the rms difference betwen the two atmospheric series is comparable to the difference between an atmospheric momentum series and the series that is consistent with observed (nontidal) changes in earth rotation. Most of the difference between the NMC and ECMWF global momentum values comes from the region between 33 deg S and 16 deg N. Differences between NMC and ECMWF regional momentum values become vanishingly small in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, but they remain large throughout the entire Southern Hemisphere. An annual signal of up to 0.5 m/s exists in the difference between the NMC and ECMWF tropospheric zonal wind fields. Although seemingly small, this signal is vertically coherent and leads to a marked annual component in the NMC-ECMWF difference momentum values in the tropics and also for the Northern Hemisphere as a whole.

Rosen, Richard D.↗