Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Ronald Gelaro.
Active radar and lidar instruments provide vertically resolved information about clouds, water vapor, and aerosols. However, assimilation of these observations is more challenging than the assimilation of passive observations because of the lack of accurate and fast forward models and difficulties in the modelling of observation errors.
The NASA Time-Resolved Observations of Precipitation structure and storm Intensity with a Constellation of Smallsats (TROPICS) mission is a constellation of small satellites carrying state-of-art microwave temperature and humidity sounders with 12 channels between 91 GHz and 205 GHz frequency. Including TROPICS-pathfinder, launched on 30 June 2021, five TROPICS CubeSats operate and provide temperature and humidity data to NWP and atmospheric retrieval communities. This study is dedicated to evaluating the impact of the TROPICS satellite constellation microwave observations in numerical weather prediction (NWP) using the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS). The TROPICS-01 (TROPICS-Pathfinder), TROPICS-03, TROPICS-05, and TROPICS-06 data in all-sky conditions over the ocean during the period of 25 July 2023 and 6 September 2023 are used for assessing forecast impacts on global NWP analysis and five-day forecasts. A series of experiments are carried out to measure the benefits of assimilating observations from only temperature sounders, water vapor sounders, and both sounders. Statistical analysis of the Observing System Experiments (OSEs) results has shown incremental improvements in global model forecast skills for critical geophysical parameters, including temperature, winds, and geopotential heights. The results demonstrate the potential of the TROPICS-like data to positively impact NWP by adding new information to the current observation and forecast system. In another set of experiments, the TROPICS-03, TROPICS-05, and TROPICS-06 data sets are added to the TROPICS-01 one by one to evaluate the impacts of increasing the revisit rate of TROPICS satellite measurements on NWP analysis for a tropical cyclone’s dynamical and microphysical structures. This study offers important insights into the capabilities of a new generation of small satellite microwave radiometers based on emerging technologies, including their unique measurements at 118 GHz and 205 GHz that are not available in traditional operational microwave sounders. Finally, the efforts to implement these new developments for TROPICS in the JEDI-GEOS atmospheric data assimilation system are in progress, and preliminary results from cycled JEDI-GEOS data assimilation experiments are presented.
Transitioning the NASA GMAO GEOS data assimilation capabilities to JEDI involves replacing the GEOS Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) with a JEDI-based analysis. Performing fair comparisons between the corresponding GEOS-JEDI system and the present GEOS-GSI has involved downgrading the latter's capabilities to compensate for missing capabilities in the former. As the capabilities in JEDI mature and start matching those of GSI’s, experimentation has evolved from simple 3DVAR using only radiosondes, to adding satellite observations without VarBC, to now having GEOS-JEDI use hybrid 4DEnVar and full observing system, VarBC and most of the knobs typically used in the present operational (and experimental) version of GEOS-GSI. This presentation provides a discussion of the process and pathway taken to replace GSI with JEDI in GEOS at GMAO. The presentation also shows latest results of testing in the still relatively simply context of 3D-FGAT, but now having JEDI use the whole of the typical observing system used in GEOS. Results are encouraging but preliminary, with various caveats having been identified during the attempt to cycle JEDI analyses. Solutions to most of the identified problems have been worked out, but a few pending issues are still being worked out.
The GNSS Radio Occultation (RO) Modeling Experiment (ROMEX) seeks to quantify the benefit of the increasing quantity of RO observations available for use in operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems and products. ROMEX includes participation from multiple operational NWP centers and NWP models, among them are NASA’s Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) model produced and run at the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO). The design of the numerical experiments core to ROMEX include: 1) a control model run that includes all the RO observations currently used operationally with the sole exception of those from commercial sources and 2) a ROMEX model run that adds to the control over 25 thousand additional RO profiles per day from commercial RO providers, with both experiments run over the three-month period of September through November 2022. The ROMEX model run greatly augments the relatively small subset of the currently available commercial RO profiles which have been purchased for routine use in operational NWP by the various NWP centers. While this smaller subset of commercial RO profiles currently used in operations has been shown to have a positive impact on NWP forecasts, the additional impact from the ROMEX RO dataset has yet to be determined and is the focus of ROMEX. Results from GEOS are presented, including the impact on both analyses and forecasts over the study period and statistics using the forecast sensitivity-based observation impact (FSOI) method. The impact from varying the method of quality control and specifying the observation uncertainty for RO observations within the GEOS data assimilation system is also examined.