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Roble, R. G.

Publications and source records attributed to Roble, R. G..

At least 37 records · Page 2

How will changes in carbon dioxide and methane modify the mean structure of the mesosphere and thermosphere?

A global average model of the coupled mesosphere, thermosphere, and ionosphere is used to examine the effect of trace gas variations on the overall structure of these regions. In particular, the variations caused by CO2 and CH4 doublings and halvings from present day mixing ratios are presented. The results indicate that the mesosphere and thermosphere temperatures will cool by about 10 K and 50 K, respectively, as the CO2 and CH4 mixing ratios are doubled. These regions are heated by similar amounts when the trace gas mixing ratios are halved. Compositional redistributions also occur in association with changes in the temperature profile. The results show that global change will occur in the upper atmosphere and ionosphere as well as in the lower atmosphere during the 21st century.

Roble, R. G.↗

The response of the thermospheric nitric oxide to an auroral storm. I - Low and middle latitudes

The response of low- and mid-latitude NO to the September 19, 1984 magnetic storm is studied. In particular, the effect of variations in the temperature and composition of the lower thermosphere on NO is investigated. Much of the observed NO response is adequately explained by including these variations in a photochemical model. In particular, Joule heating at auroral latitudes can cause temperature enhancements at nonauroral latitudes, which in turn can lead directly to an increase in the NO. The NO is most directly sensitive to heating at altitude above 120 km. Below 120 km, NO increased through downward diffusion from above. Sensitivity studies were performed to investigate the effect that uncertainties in the NO chemical scheme and in the state of the neutral atmosphere can have on the comparison of the model to the data. It is shown that the best fit to the midlatitude American orbit data is for O/O2 ratio twice that in the original TGCM simulation and for an N(2D) quenching value of 5 x 10 to the -13th.

Siskind, D. E.↗

The response of thermospheric nitric oxide to an auroral storm. II - Auroral latitudes

NOAA 6 and 7 particle measurements are used, in conjunction with a statistical model of the auroral particle precipitation, to study the response of auroral NO to the auroral storm of September 19, 1984. The results of a time-dependent photochemical calculation show that particle precipitation can more effectively produce NO than can Joule heating, in contrast to nonauroral latitudes where heating is important. Both the model and the NO data show NO increases as a result of the storm; however, the absolute magnitude of the NO in the model, as well as the amplitude of the increase, significantly exceeded what was observed. Two possible explanations for the this discrepancy are proposed.

Siskind, D. E.↗

Thermospheric dynamics during September 18-19, 1984. I - Model simulations

The September 18-19, 1984 Equinox Transient Study (ETS) interval was simulated using the National Center for Atmospheric Research thermospheric GCM with inputs guided by observations. High-latitude forcings for the model were defined with precision for this period. The importance of upward-propagating semidiurnal tides is emphasized, the first-realistic time-dependent simulation to incorporate such tides. A description of the simulated quiet time thermospheric structure for September 18 is contrasted with the storm time behavior of September 19. Several features of the storm response are described, including the generation of large-scale equatorward propagating disturbances. Longer-lived perturbations of the neutral temperature and composition are also discussed. A new feature discovered in the model predictions for altitudes around 200 km comprises a quasi-fixed, four-cell pattern of high-and low-density regions in the polar cap.

Crowley, G.↗

Thermospheric dynamics during September 18-19, 1984. II - Validation of the NCAR thermospheric general circulation model

The winds, temperatures, and densities predicted by the thermospheric GCM are compared with measurements from the Equinox Transition Study of September 17-24, 1984. Agreement between predictions and observation is good in many respects. The quiet day observations contain a strong semidiurnal wind variation which is mainly due to upward-propagating tides. The storm day wind behavior is significantly different and includes a surge of equatorward winds due to a global propagating disturbance associated with the storm onset. A quantitative statistical comparison of the predicted and measured winds indicates that the equatorward winds in the model are weaker than the observed winds, particularly during storm times. A quiet day phase anomaly in the measured F region winds which is not reproduced by the model suggests the occurrence of an important unmodeled interaction between upward propagating semidiurnal tides and high-latitude effects.

Crowley, G.↗

On the mechanisms responsible for high-latitude thermospheric composition variations during the recovery phase of a geomagnetic storm

The causal mechanisms for the recovery of the perturbed high-latitude thermospheric composition to the unperturbed state in the period following a geomagnetic storm are investigated. Model runs of the NCAR thermosphere/ionosphere GCM (TIGCM) and thermosphere GCM are used to calculate the averaged mass mixing ratio variations and the forcing terms responsible for these variations during the recovery phase of a geomagnetic storm. High latitude compositional recovery is found to occur in the NCAR TIGCM on a time scale of about 12 hr to 1 day. This time scale is in agreement with previously observed time scales for typical poststorm F region electron density recoveries. Neither molecular diffusion nor large-scale horizontal advection is the dominant process in determining the compositional state during the recovery period. Thermospheric compositional recovery at high geomagnetic latitudes is driven primarily by vertical advection.

Burns, A. G.↗

Report from upper atmospheric science

Most of the understanding of the thermosphere resulted from the analysis of data accrued through the Atmosphere Explorer satellites, the Dynamics Explorer 2 satellite, and observations from rockets, balloons, and ground based instruments. However, new questions were posed by the data that have not yet been answered. The mesosphere and lower thermosphere have been less thoroughly studied because of the difficulty of accessibility on a global scale, and many rather fundamental characteristics of these regions are not well understood. A wide variety of measurement platforms can be used to implement various parts of a measurement strategy, but the major thrusts of the International Solar Terrestrial Physics Program would require Explorer-class missions. A remote sensing mission to explore the mesosphere and lower thermosphere and one and two Explorer-type spacecraft to enable a mission into the thermosphere itself would provide the essential components of a productive program of exploration of this important region of the upper atomsphere. Theoretical mission options are explored.

Carignan, G. R.↗

Processes responsible for the compositional structure of the thermosphere

The relative importances of the various physical and chemical mechanisms that force changes in neutral thermospheric composition for a given geophysical situation were quantified using a diagnostic postprocessor analysis package in conjunction with runs of the NCAR thermospheric general circulation model (TGCM) that was extended to include the terms of the neutral composition equation. New information was obtained on the causal mechanisms responsible for changes in the concentrations of the three neutral species, O2, O, and N2, whose time-dependent mass mixing ratios were calculated within the TGCM. Principal results calculated for F-region altitudes are described, and thermospheric compositions calculated using the NCAR-TGCM model are compared with the predictions of the empirical thermospheric model of Hedin (1987).

Burns, A. G.↗

Auroral energy deposition rate, characteristic electron energy, and ionospheric parameters derived from Dynamics Explorer 1 images

Auroral images obtained by the Spin Scan Auroral Imager (SAI) aboard the DE-1 satellite were used to derive auroral energy deposition rate, characteristic electron energy, and ionospheric parameters. The principles involved in the imaging technique and the physical mechanisms that underlie the relationship between the spectral images and the geophysical parameters are discussed together with the methodology for implementing such analyses. It is shown that images obtained with the SAI provide global parameters at 12-min temporal resolution; the spatial resolution is limited by the field of view of a pixel. The analysis of the 12-min images presented yielded a representation of ionospheric parameters that was better than can be obtained using empirical models based on local measurements averaged over long periods of time.

Rees, M. H.↗

Polar cap diurnal temperature variations - Observations and modeling

High-spectral-resolution measurements of the O(1D) emission line, performed with the Fabry-Perot interferometer (Thule, Greenland), were used to observe the diurnal variation of the thermospheric temperature in the geomagnetic polarcap at solar minimum (January 1987). By tracing the trajectory of a parcel backward in time and space from the Thule location, it is shown that the observed diurnal temperature variation is due to the degree of solar heat input that a parcel experiences en route to the polar cap, and the route a parcel takes through the polar cusp. It is also shown that the hydrodynamic variations in the winter high-latitude regions from solar maximum to solar minimum are insufficient to mask the thermodynamical effects associated with the offset of the geographic and geomagnetic poles.

Mccormac, F. G.↗

Thermosphere dynamics - Contributions from the first 5 years of the Dynamics Explorer program

Instrumentation flown on the Dynamics Explorer 2 (DE-2) spacecraft enabled the dynamics of both the neutral and the ionized components of the earth's upper atmosphere to be monitored over the lifetime of the spacecraft, from August 1981 to February 1983. The direct measurements of global thermospheric vector neutral winds and ion drifts were supplemented by observations of neutral and ionic constituent abundances and temperatures, precipitating particle fluxes and pitch angle distributions, electric and magnetic fields, and global-scale auroral luminosity distributions. Analysis of this unique and comprehensive global data base has led to advances in our understanding of the manner in which the earth's thermosphere responds dynamically to the insertion of energy and momentum. We review the scientific progress achieved over the past 5 years through the efforts of members of the Dynamics Explorer science team and the other interested scientists who have used the DE data base to investigate the dynamical response of the thermosphere.

Killeen, T. L.↗

Thermospheric dynamics during November 21-22, 1981 - Dynamics Explorer measurements and thermospheric general circulation model predictions

Time-dependent aurora and magnetospheric convection parameterizations have been derived from solar wind and aurora particle data for November 21-22, 1981, and are used to drive the auroral and magnetospheric convection models that are embedded in the National Center for Atmospheric Research thermospheric general circulation model (TGCM). Neutral wind speeds and transition boundaries between the midlatitude solar-driven circulation and the high-latitude magnetospheric convection-driven circulation are examined on an orbit-by-orbit basis. The results show that TGCM-calculated winds and reversal boundary locations are in generally good agreement with Dynamics Explorer 2 measurements for the orbits studied. This suggests that, at least for this particular period of relatively moderate geomagnetic activity, the TGCM parameterizations on the eveningside of the auroral oval and polar cap are adequate.

Roble, R. G.↗

Thermosphere dynamics - Recent contributions from Dynamics Explorer-2

This paper discusses results obtained during the period between August 1981, and February 1983, by the instruments aboard the Dynamic Explorer-2 (DE-2) mission, with emphasis placed on the data obtained through the direct measurements of thermospheric vector neutral winds and ion drifts. The DE-2 instrumentation used to obtain the vector neutral-wind observations is described together with the information obtained on the dynamics of the thermosphere. Special consideration is given to the theoretical model development and the ongoing data-theory comparative studies. The progress made during the first five years of the DE mission is summarized.

Killeen, T. L.↗

Modelling of time-dependent ion outflows at high geomagnetic latitudes

The output from the NCAR Thermospheric General Circulation Model was used to simulate the time and altitude-dependent F-region ion frictional heating rate. These ion-heating profiles, computed as a functionm of UT along the locus of specific flux tubes, were used as boundary conditions in the Gombosi et al. (1985) polar wind model to simulate the plasma heating history of a flux tube traversing the cusp region. Using derived time-varying frictional heating rates such as those experienced by these flux tubes, it is shown that transverse ion heating below 500 km can provide sufficient energy to perturb the velocity distribution of the major ion species.

Cannata, R. W.↗

An auroral model for the NCAR thermospheric general circulation model (TGCM)

A model of high latitude auroral processes has been developed for use in the NCAR TGCM. The ion drift pattern associated with magnetospheric convection is specified by the empirical model of Heelis et al. (1982) considering offset geographic and geomagnetic poles. An analytic prescription of particle precipitation in the auroral oval is developed that enables rapid numerical evaluation of auroral ionization rates and global aurora power input. An analytic expression has been derived for the total ionization rate and an ion chemical scheme is used to calculate the electron density enhancements and ion density distributions caused by auroral particle precipitation. The results of TGCM runs with and without auroral particle precipitation show the importance of auroral ionization in determining the dynamic structure of the winter hemisphere lower thermosphere.

Roble, R. G.↗

Electrodynamic effects of thermospheric winds from the NCAR thermospheric general circulation model

Electrodynamic effects of thermospheric winds simulated with the NCAR thermospheric general circulation model (TGCM) were modeled and compared with observations for equinox solar minimum conditions. Two TGCM wind simulations were used: one driven only by in situ solar UV heating, the other also including lower boundary forcing that mimics the effects of upward propagating semidiurnal tides. It was found that, without tidal forcing, the TGCM winds produce ground magnetic variations that have the general pattern of observed Sq variations, but are only about half as strong. The addition of tidal forcing improved the agreement between calculated and observed magnetic variations and between calculated and observed electric fields.

Richmond, A. D.↗

On the global mean structure of the thermosphere

A self-consistent model of the global mean structure of the thermosphere is used to examine the ionospheric and thermospheric processes that control the structure of the thermosphere for solar minimum and maximum conditions during geomagnetic quiet periods. The model includes the physical and chemical processes believed to be dominant in the thermosphere and ionosphere. The total solar energy input available in the extreme ultraviolet and in the Schumann-Runge continuum portion of the solar spectrum is 14.1 x 10 to the 11th W and 21.5 x 10 to the 11th W for solar minumum and maximum, respectively. The calculated exospheric temperature is too small if maintained only by radiative processes, and an auroral heat source is necessary to bring the calculated global mean structure into agreement with the MSIS-83 empirical model for both solar minimum and maximum conditions. These results support the consensus that there is high-latitude heat source present at all times.

Roble, R. G.↗

A global time-dependent model of thunderstorm electricity. I - Mathematical properties of the physical and numerical models

A time-dependent model is introduced that can be used to simulate the interaction of a thunderstorm with its global electrical environment. The model solves the continuity equation of the Maxwell current, which is assumed to be composed of the conduction, displacement, and source currents. Boundary conditions which can be used in conjunction with the continuity equation to form a well-posed initial-boundary value problem are determined. Properties of various components of solutions of the initial-boundary value problem are analytically determined. The results indicate that the problem has two time scales, one determined by the background electrical conductivity and the other by the time variation of the source function. A numerical method for obtaining quantitative results is introduced, and its properties are studied. Some simulation results on the evolution of the displacement and conduction currents during the electrification of a storm are presented.

Browning, G. L.↗