An AI Based System for Objective Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation
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Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Ramachandran, Rahul.
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Upcoming space-borne missions will offer unprecedented data about Earth but will also feature exponentially high data volumes. These high data volumes will change the way the scientific community works with data and will also create a unique need for improved data sharing and collaboration. NASA and ESA are working together to address these issues by collaboratively developing the Multi-Mission Algorithm and Analysis Platform (MAAP) to improve the understanding of global aboveground terrestrial carbon dynamics. The MAAP will support ESA’s BIOMASS mission, NASA’s GEDI mission and NASA/ISRO’s NISAR mission. The MAAP will be developed in two phases: a pilot phase and a full production phase. The pilot phase will demonstrate collaboration and basic capabilities. The pilot phase will focus on biomass relevant airborne and field campaign data. Two NASA teams are supporting the development of the MAAP. The MAAP engineering team is responsible for the development, maintenance and operations of the MAAP system while the MAAP data team ensures the ongoing quality of the data, metadata and other information provided in the MAAP. The MAAP data team also supports the ingest and archive of identified data to the MAAP platform. This poster describes the use case development process for the pilot MAAP and the data curated in support of those use cases. Additionally, this presentation will outline the pilot MAAP data ingest process and metadata curation effort along with efforts to ensure interoperability between ESA and NASA data and metadata.
Knowledge graphs link key entities within a specific domain to other entities via relationships. Researchers are able to mine these relationships from numerous sources to infer new knowledge. Text extraction from peer-reviewed papers and scientific reports are untapped resources that can be leveraged by knowledge graphs to accelerate scientific discovery.
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We present the development of a deep learning model for objective estimation of tropical cyclone intensity at a higher temporal frequency, deployment of the model in production, design and implementation of the tropical cyclone monitoring and intensity estimation system and development of an interactive portal for situational awareness and evaluation of intensity estimation.
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Deep Learning: A subfield of machine learning; Algorithms inspired by function of the brain; Scales with amount of training data; Powerful tool without the need for feature engineering; Suitable for Earth Science applications. Deep Learning for Earth science at MSFC (Marshall Space Flight Center): Phenomena identification; Hurricane intensity (wind speed) estimation; Severe storm (hailstorm) detection; Transverse bands detection; Entity extraction for knowledge graph creation; Ephemeral water detection.
NASA's Earth Observing System Data and Information System (EOSDIS) is tasked with archiving and distributing Earth Observation data across a range of disciplines, including atmospheric science, oceanography, land processes, natural hazards, solar radiance and even socioeconomic aspects relating to the environment. Driven by rapidly rising data volumes, EOSDIS is migrating to a cloud computing based archive over the next few years. Although this simplifies data management somewhat, the main aim is to provide the data in an environment where end users can bring their analysis to the data rather than attempting to download and manage ever-increasing volumes. To that end, a cloud-based analysis platform is being constructed to enable data transformations, analyses and visualization without egressing the data from the cloud. In this endeavor, we expect a wide variety of users, algorithms and use cases. Consequently, the architecture of this cloud analytics platform is expressly designed to be based on open services, thus fostering an ecosystem that enables the efficient combination of common components with data-specific or analysis-specific components. Reviewed and approved by Andrew Mitchell, ESDIS project manager.
Deep learning has revolutionized computer vision and natural language processing with various algorithms scaled using high-performance computing. At the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC), the Data Science and Informatics Group (DSIG) has been using deep learning for a variety of Earth science applications. This paper provides examples of the applications and also addresses some of the challenges that were encountered.
No abstract available
Overview: Deep learning and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN); CNN for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation; Preliminary results; Work in progress.
Estimating tropical cyclone intensity by just using satellite image is a challenging problem. With successful application of the Dvorak technique for more than 30 years along with some modifications and improvements, it is still used worldwide for tropical cyclone intensity estimation. A number of semi-automated techniques have been derived using the original Dvorak technique. However, these techniques suffer from subjective bias as evident from the most recent estimations on October 10, 2017 at 1500 UTC for Tropical Storm Ophelia: The Dvorak intensity estimates ranged from T2.3/33 kt (Tropical Cyclone Number 2.3/33 knots) from UW-CIMSS (University of Wisconsin-Madison - Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies) to T3.0/45 kt from TAFB (the National Hurricane Center's Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch) to T4.0/65 kt from SAB (NOAA/NESDIS Satellite Analysis Branch). In this particular case, two human experts at TAFB and SAB differed by 20 knots in their Dvorak analyses, and the automated version at the University of Wisconsin was 12 knots lower than either of them. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) estimates about 10-20 percent uncertainty in its post analysis when only satellite based estimates are available. The success of the Dvorak technique proves that spatial patterns in infrared (IR) imagery strongly relate to tropical cyclone intensity. This study aims to utilize deep learning, the current state of the art in pattern recognition and image recognition, to address the need for an automated and objective tropical cyclone intensity estimation. Deep learning is a multi-layer neural network consisting of several layers of simple computational units. It learns discriminative features without relying on a human expert to identify which features are important. Our study mainly focuses on convolutional neural network (CNN), a deep learning algorithm, to develop an objective tropical cyclone intensity estimation. CNN is a supervised learning algorithm requiring a large number of training data. Since the archives of intensity data and tropical cyclone centric satellite images is openly available for use, the training data is easily created by combining the two. Results, case studies, prototypes, and advantages of this approach will be discussed.
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This presentation describes a nascent project in NASA to develop a framework to support end-user analytics of NASA's Earth science data in the cloud. The chief benefit of migrating EOSDIS (Earth Observation System Data and Information Systems) data to the cloud is to position the data next to enormous computing capacity to allow end users to process data at scale. The Earthdata Cloud Analytics project will user a service-based approach to facilitate the infusion of evolving analytics technology and the integration with non-NASA analytics or other complementary functionality at other agencies and in other nations.