A degradation-based stochastic optimization framework for inspection and maintenance in marine energy systems
Not Available
Sahin, Muhammmet Ceyhan (ORCID:0000000348920896)↗
Engineering topics
Qiu, Feng
Publications and source records attributed to Qiu, Feng.
A survey on degradation modeling, prognosis, and prognostics-driven maintenance in wind energy systems
Wind energy generation proliferated over the past decades, introducing unique challenges and opportunities for failure prediction, operation and maintenance. Decision-makers are continuously looking into new methods to infer failure mechanisms and behaviors of wind turbine components to detect and intervene in the failures before they happen. Evidently, degradation modeling and prognosis become engaging topics for researchers and practitioners to prevent catastrophic failures. Prognostics-driven approaches predict the time of failure for the components (e.g., predicting remaining useful life), which provides significant insights for scheduling of operations and maintenance activities. Integrating these prognostics-driven insights into wind farm operations and maintenance presents a substantial challenge, demanding careful consideration of numerous factors such as accessibility, crew routing, and spare part logistics. This study provides state-of-the-art review for degradation modeling, prognosis, and prognostics-driven maintenance techniques for wind energy systems. The discussed techniques align with the United Nations' sustainable development goals, in particular Goal 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy), by enhancing effectiveness and sustainability of wind energy operations. This work also showcases open research questions related to degradation modeling, prognosis, and prognostics-driven maintenance.
Altinpulluk, Nur Banu↗
Market Implications of Alternative Operating Reserve Modeling in Wholesale Electricity Markets
Pricing and settlement mechanisms are crucial for efficient resource allocation, investment incentives, market competition, and regulatory oversight. In the United States, Regional Transmission Operators (RTOs) adopts a uniform pricing scheme that hinges on the marginal costs of supplying additional electricity. This study investigates the pricing and settlement impacts of alternative reserve constraint modeling, highlighting how even slight variations in the modeling of constraints can drastically alter market clearing prices, reserve quantities, and revenue outcomes. Focusing on the diverse market designs and assumptions in ancillary services by U.S. RTOs, particularly in relation to capacity sharing and reserve substitutions, the research examines four distinct models that combine these elements based on a large-scale synthetic power system test data. Our study provides a critical insight into the economic implications and the underlying factors of these alternative reserve constraints through market simulations and data analysis.
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
Catalyzing deep decarbonization with federated battery diagnosis and prognosis for better data management in energy storage systems
Industrial data analytics methods play a central role in improving energy storage performance and efficiency, impacting the future of electrified transportation and renewable electricity generation. However, significant challenges hinder the large-scale deployment of batteries. Conventional methods rely on centralized collection and processing of fleet-level data, leading to database size issues and privacy concerns due to potential data breaches. To enable scalable deployment of battery management systems, this article proposes a federated battery diagnosis and prognosis model, which distributes the processing of battery standard current-voltage-time-usage data in a privacy-preserving manner. Instead of transferring the raw data, this approach communicates only the locally processed parameters, thus reducing communication load and preserving data confidentiality. The federated model offers a paradigm shift in battery health management through privacy-preserving distributed methods for battery data processing and lifetime prediction, ensuring the reliable and sustainable deployment of lithium-ion batteries in a rapidly evolving world.
asset health management↗
A Semi-Analytical Approach for State-Space Electromagnetic Transient Simulation
Here, this paper proposes a semi-analytical approach for efficient and accurate electromagnetic transient (EMT) simulation of a power grid. The approach first derives a high-order semi-analytical solution (SAS) of the grid’s state-space EMT model using the differential transformation (DT), and then evaluates the solution over enlarged, variable time steps to significantly accelerate the simulations while maintaining its high accuracy on detailed fast EMT dynamics. The approach also addresses switches during large time steps by using a limit violation detection algorithm with a binary search-enhanced quadratic interpolation. Case studies are conducted on EMT models of the IEEE 39-bus system and large-scale systems to demonstrate the merits of the new simulation approach against traditional numerical methods.
electromagnetic transient↗
Deep Learning-Based Failure Prognostic Model for PV Inverter Using Field Measurements
Here, this study presents a novel approach for the precise monitoring and prognosis of photovoltaic (PV) inverter status, which is crucial for the proactive maintenance of PV systems. It addresses the gaps in traditional model-based methods, which tend to neglect the overall reliability of inverters, and the limitations of data-driven approaches that largely depend on simulated data. This research presents a robust solution applicable to real-world scenarios. The proposed data-driven model for PV inverter failure prognosis employs actual inverter measurements, integrating various operational and weather-related factors based on domain knowledge. This approach effectively represents inverter stressors and operational status. Utilizing an Enhanced Siamese Convolutional Neural Network (ESCNN), the model merges operational data with domain knowledge features, redefining the prognosis challenge as a classification task. Furthermore, the paper discusses an ESCNN-based real-time inverter failure monitoring method developed on the well-trained model. The proposed models are rigorously trained and tested with real inverter data and a novel filtering method is included to address accidental failures in practical scenarios. The results validate the model's efficacy, and the directions for future research are also outlined.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Convolutional Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process and its Application to Wildfire Ignition Risk Quantification for Power Delivery Networks
To quantify wildfire ignition risks on power delivery networks, the current practice predominantly relies on the empirically calculated fire danger indices, which may not well capture the effects of dynamically changing environmental factors. This article proposes a spatio-temporal point process model, known as the Convolutional Non-homogeneous Poisson Process (cNHPP), and applies the model to quantify wildfire ignition risks for power delivery networks. The proposed model captures both the current (i.e., instantaneous) and cumulative (i.e., historical) effects of key environmental processes (i.e., covariates) on wildfire risks, as well as the spatio-temporal dependency among different segments of the power delivery network. The computation and interpretation of the intensity function are thoroughly investigated. We apply the proposed approach to estimate wildfire ignition risks on major transmission lines in California, using historical fire data, meteorological and vegetation data obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Here, a comprehensive comparison study is performed to show the applicability and predictive capability of the proposed approach.
Non-homogeneous Poisson Process↗
Decomposable Formulation of Transmission Constraints for Decentralized Power Systems Optimization
One of the most complicating factors in decentralized solution methods for a broad range of power system optimization problems is the modeling of power flow equations. Existing formulations for direct current power flows either have limited scalability or are very dense and unstructured, making them unsuitable for large-scale decentralized studies. Here, in this work, we present a novel sparsified variant of the injection shift factors formulation, which has a decomposable block-diagonal structure and scales well for large systems. We also propose a decentralized solution method, based on the alternating direction multiplier method, that efficiently handles transmission line outages in N-1 security requirements. Benchmarks on multizonal security-constrained unit commitment problems show that the proposed formulation and algorithm can reliably and efficiently solve interconnection-level test systems with up to 6,515 buses with no convergence or numerical issues.
Alternating-method of multipliers (ADMM)↗
A Predictive Prescription Framework for Stochastic Unit Commitment Using Boosting Ensemble Learning Algorithms
To take unit commitment (UC) decisions under uncertain load, most existing stochastic optimization (SO) frameworks adopt a generic representation of uncertainty. While load levels that materialize on a particular day are influenced by various covariates (such as the day of the week or temperature), SO frameworks typically disregard such side observations, wasting actionable information that could significantly enhance decision quality. Here, this article proposes a contextual SO (CSO) framework for UC under uncertain load, which can effectively exploit covariate observations in conjunction with a class of machine learning (ML) algorithms to improve the out-of-sample performance of UC decisions. It shows how three ML algorithms, adaptive boosting, gradient boosted trees, and extreme gradient boosting, can be used to this end, constituting the first application of these algorithms in any CSO framework. Using real-world data harvested from the New York ISO grid, we measure the out-of-sample performance of the framework in terms of total operation cost, shed load values, locational marginal prices, and total payments by the loads, against several benchmark methods proposed in the literature. The article has an online companion (Yurdakul et al.), wherein we present additional results and lay out further mathematical formulations used in this work.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Market Pricing and Settlements Analysis Considering Capacity Sharing and Reserve Substitutions of Operating Reserve Products
Electricity market pricing and settlement are the key signals for real-time dispatch and long-term investment decisions. Regional transmission operators (RTOs) in the U.S. adopt uniform pricing scheme, which is based on the marginal costs of supplying an incremental MW of electric services. The marginal cost of an electric service is highly dependent on the constraints in the pricing models of RTOs. A slight difference in constraint modeling of pricing model on energy and ancillary services could result in drastically different market clearing prices (MCPs), cleared reserve quantities, and associated revenue. RTOs in the U.S. have various market designs and assumptions in ancillary services modeling in capacity sharing and reserve substitutes. This paper examines four combination models of capacity sharing and reserve substitutes and analyzes the associated market implications. The numerical results present that 1) cascading reserve requirements have direct impact on reserve pricing schemes 2) both cascading reserve requirements and sharing capacity have significant impact on reserve MCPs and locational marginal prices, and thus result in drastically different reserve revenue, energy revenue, generation cost, and generation profit.
ancillary services↗
Physics-informed Data-driven Degradation and Prognostic For Hydropower System
The hydropower system is a cyber-physical system, and the industry is experiencing high operation and maintenance (O&M) costs along with increasing unplanned outages, primarily due to aging equipment and new asset loading patterns. Current (O&M) practices in asset management are predominantly reactive rather than predictive and systematic. To address these challenges, a proposed physics-informed data-driven degradation model aims to simulate the health of components in various environments. Its purpose is to accurately characterize wear and fatigue in the pilot components of hydropower systems. Additionally, the model provides informed confidence in prognostic predictions concerning asset degradation and remaining life.
13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
Cyber Restoration of Power Systems: Concept and Methodology for Resilient Observability
Not Available
Edib, Shamsun Nahar↗
Guest Editorial: Special Section on Sustainable Energy for Enhancing Grid Resiliency
Extreme weather threatens lives, disables communities, and devastates energy generation, transmission, and distribution systems. These extreme events are likely to become more frequent or more intense due to climate change. Energy networks have shown significant vulnerability during record hurricanes, deadly heat waves, destructive wildfires, and winter storms in the past few years. Because of the energy transition process, modern power grids will feature a high penetration level of the use of renewable resources. The adoption of renewable energy and the rise of omnidirectional power delivery mean that our energy network is more decentralized than ever. In this new environment, grid operation becomes more complex, and achieving resiliency is more difficult than in the past. Many utilities are seeking the latest technologies to improve energy security and responsiveness to severe events. On the one hand, sustainable energy resources can provide emergency power and assist grid restoration in disastrous events. On the other hand, their volatility, susceptibility, interdependency, and other unique features must be carefully considered when being used for grid resilience enhancement. This special section brings together 22 papers that range from innovative research advances tackling fundamental challenges of achieving more resilient grids to real-world demonstrations of leveraging sustainable energy resources to enhance grid resiliency. These papers can be categorized into three groups.
climate change↗
Robust trajectory-constrained frequency control for microgrids considering model linearization error
Grid supportive modes integrated within inverter-based resources can improve the frequency response of renewable-rich microgrids. The synthesis of grid supportive modes to guarantee frequency trajectory constraints under a predefined disturbance set is challenging but essential. To tackle this challenge, a numerical optimal control (NOC)-based control synthesis methodology is proposed. Without loss of generality, a wind-diesel fed microgrid is studied, where we aim to design grid supportive functions in the wind turbine. In the control design, linearized models are used, and the linearization-induced errors are quantitatively analyzed by reachability and interval arithmetics and represented in the form of interval uncertainties. Then, the NOC problem can be formulated into a robust mixed-integer linear program. The control structure is strategically configured into two levels to realize online deployment. The proposed control is verified on the modified 33-node microgrid with a full-order three-phase nonlinear model in Simulink. In conclusion, the simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed control paradigm and the necessity of considering linearization-induced uncertainty.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
Security-Constrained Unit Commitment for Electricity Market: Modeling, Solution Methods, and Future Challenges
This paper summarizes the technical activities of the IEEE Task Force on Solving Large Scale Optimization Problems in Electricity Market and Power System Applications. This Task Force was established by the IEEE Technology and Innovation Subcommittee to first review the state-of-the-art of the security-constrained unit commitment (SCUC) business model, its mathematical formulation, and solution techniques in solving electricity market clearing problems. The Task Force then investigated the emerging challenges of future market clearing problems and presented efforts in building benchmark mathematical and business models.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
PowerNet: Multi-agent Deep Reinforcement Learning for Scalable Powergrid Control
This paper develops an efficient multi-agent deep reinforcement learning algorithm for cooperative controls in powergrids. Specifically, we consider the decentralized inverter-based secondary voltage control problem in distributed generators (DGs), which is first formulated as a cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) problem. We then propose a novel on-policy MARL algorithm, PowerNet, in which each agent (DG) learns a control policy based on (sub-)global reward but local states and encoded communication messages from its neighbors. Motivated by the fact that a local control from one agent has limited impact on agents distant from it, we exploit a novel spatial discount factor to reduce the effect from remote agents, to expedite the training process and improve scalability. Furthermore, a differentiable, learning-based communication protocol is employed to foster the collaborations among neighboring agents. In addition, to mitigate the effects of system uncertainty and random noise introduced during on-policy learning, we utilize an action smoothing factor to stabilize the policy execution. To facilitate training and evaluation, we develop PGSim, an efficient, high-fidelity powergrid simulation platform. Here, experimental results in two microgrid setups show that the developed PowerNet outperforms the conventional model-based control method, as well as several state-of-the-art MARL algorithms. The decentralized learning scheme and high sample efficiency also make it viable to large-scale power grids.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
Deep Active Learning for Solvability Prediction in Power Systems
Traditional methods for solvability region analysis can only have inner approximations with inconclusive conservatism and handle limited types of power flow models. In this letter, we propose a deep active learning framework for solvability prediction in power systems. Compared with passive learning where the training is performed after all instances are labeled, active learning selects most informative instances to be labeled and therefore significantly reduces the size of the labeled dataset for training. In the active learning framework, the acquisition functions, which correspond to different sampling strategies, are defined in terms of the on-the-fly posterior probability from the classifier. First, the IEEE 39-bus system is employed to validate the proposed framework, where a two-dimensional case is illustrated to visualize the effectiveness of the sampling method followed by the high-dimensional numerical experiments. Then, the Northeast Power Coordinating Council (NPCC) 140-bus system is used to validate the performance on large-scale power systems.
42 ENGINEERING↗