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Peale, S. J.

Publications and source records attributed to Peale, S. J..

At least 19 records

Probability of Detecting Planets with Microlensing

The proposed research to determine the probability of detecting extra solar planets from the ground with microlensing was completely accomplished during the grant period. A summary of the publications and their abstracts follow below. The publications include: 1) On microlensing rates and optical depth toward the Galactic center; 2) Newly discovered brown dwarfs not seen in microlensing timescale frequency distribution? 3) Probability of detecting a planetary companion during a microlensing event; 4) Comparison of a ground-based microlensing search for planets with a search from space; 5) Secular evolution of hierarchical planetary systems.

Peale, S. J.

Dynamics and Origin of Extra-solar Planetary Systems and Microlensing Detection of Extra-solar Planets

We compare a space-based microlensing search for planets, with a ground based microlensing search originally proposed by D. Tytler (Beichman, et al. 1996). Perturbations of microlensing light curves when the lens star has a planetary companion are sought by one wide angle survey telescope and an array of three or four followup narrow angle telescopes distributed in longitude that follow events with high precision, high time resolution photometry. Alternative ground based programs are considered briefly. With the four 2 meter telescopes distributed in longitude in the southern hemisphere in the Tytler proposal, observational constraints on a ground-based search for planets during microlensing events toward the center of the galaxy are severe. Probably less than 100 events could be monitored per year with high precision, high time resolution photometry with only about 42% coverage on the average regardless of how many events were discovered by the survey telescope. Statistics for the occurrence and properties for Jupiter-mass planets would be meaningful but relatively meager four years after the program was started, and meaningful statistics for Earth-mass planets would be non existent. In contrast, the 14,500 events in a proposed 4 year space based program (GEST = Galactic Exoplanet Survey Telescope) would yield very sound statistics on the occurrence, masses and separations of Jupiter-mass planets, and significant constraints on similar properties for Earth-mass planets. The significance of the Jupiter statistics would be to establish the frequency of planetary systems like our own, where terrestrial planets could exist inside the orbits of the giants.

Peale, S. J.

Planetary System Physics

Contents include a summary of publications followed by their abstracts titeled: 1. On microlensing rates and optical depth toward the Galactic center. 2. Newly discovered brown dwarfs not seen in microlensing timescale frequency distribution? 3. Origin and evolution of the natural satellites. 4. Probing the structure of the galaxy with microlensing. 5. Tides, Encyclopedia of Astronomy and Astrophysics. 6. The Puzzle of the Titan-Hyperion 4:3 Orbital Resonance. 7. On the Validity of the Coagulation Equation and the Nature of Runaway Growth. 8. Making Hyperion. 9. The MESSENGER mission to Mercury: Scientific objectives and implementation. 10. A Survey of Numerical Solutions to the Coagulation. 11. Probability of detecting a planetary companion during a microlensing event. 12. Dynamics and origin of the 2:l orbital resonances of the GJ876 planets. 13. Planetary Interior Structure Revealed by Spin Dynamics. 14. A primordial origin of the Laplace relation among the Galilean Satellites. 15. A procedure for determining the nature of Mercury's core. 16. Secular evolution of hierarchical planetary systems. 17. Tidally induced volcanism. 18. Extrasolar planets and mean motion resonances. 19. Comparison of a ground-based microlensing search for planets with a search from space.

Peale, S. J.

Radar Techniques for the Measurement of Mercury's Obliquity and Librations

Evidence for a global magnetic field at Mercury has raised perplexing questions regarding the existence and nature of the planet's core. The problems related to Mercury's core are of great interest because of their implications on how planets evolve thermally and on how they generate magnetic fields. Peale showed that the measurement of four quantities could place constraints on the size and state of Mercury's core. The required parameters in Peale's experiment are the C(sub 20) and C(sub 22) coefficients in the spherical harmonic expansion of the gravity field, the planet's obliquity theta, and the amplitude phi of the forced libration in longitude. While the gravitational harmonics are best determined from an orbiting spacecraft, Earth-based radar observations may provide refined estimates of the obliquity and amplitude of the libration. We describe several techniques and attempt to quantify their potential for the proposed measurements. Additional information is contained in the original extended abstract.

Margot, J. L.

Estimating the Libration of Mercury by Remote Sensing of Gravity and Altimetry

One of the most intriguing scientific questions about Mercury is whether the planet possesses a liquid core. One way that this can be ascertained is through the measurement of the longitudinal libration of Mercury about its rotation axis. The MESSENGER (Mercury Surface, Space, Environment, Geochemistry, and Ranging) mission to Mercury will attempt this measurement by deriving the rotation of the planet from remotely sensed observations of the Mercury gravity field and the planet's shape. For a fully fluid core the libration is expected to be an approximately 350-m-amplitude oscillation (at the equator) about the mean rotation of the planet. Thus, the shape of the planet undergoes a librational oscillation in the same way that features on the surface participate in the motion. In this sense altimetric topography can be considered analogous to imaging, with the important exception that for altimetry, the long wavelengths corresponding to low degrees and orders in a spherical harmonic expansion, can be precisely determined from orbital measurements. The rotation of the planet thus introduces a time dependence of the topographic image in an inertial (i.e. fixed) reference frame and the libration is a variation in the planetary rotation rate, manifest as an oscillation of the topographic image. Similarly, gravity measures the distribution of mass within a planet and as such can be viewed as providing a vertically integrated 'image' of the internal density structure. For a librating planet the gravitational field will also reveal a variation in the rotation rate, manifest as an oscillation of the field with respect to an inertial reference frame. While the long-wavelength gravity field contains contributions from the radial distribution of mass with depth, the long wavelength terms are most sensitive to the mass distribution of the deep interior. Thus, both the topography and the gravity independently can be used to determine the (irregular) rotation of a planet, although the topographical method measures the rotation of the crust while the gravity measures the rotation of the distributed mass, and these are not necessarily identical. For example, for a planet that contains a fluid outer core that is effectively decoupled from the mantle the gravity field will not librate in the manner of a solid body. The libration obtained from the variable rotation of the gravity field will represent a combination of contributions due to a librating mantle and a differentially rotating fluid core. Differential rotation of the Earth's inner core had been theoretically predicted from three dimensional geodynamical models and subsequently reported from seismic observations. A difference between the libration of the lithosphere as determined from altimetry and the deep interior as determined from gravity, if it could be detected, might provide further insight into the nature of core-mantle coupling. Additional information is contained in the original extended abstract.

Smith, D. E.

A Procedure for Determining the Nature of Mercury's Core

We review past assertions that the determinations of the four parameters, C(20), C(22), theta, phi, are sufficient to determine the size and state of Mercury's core. C(20) and C(22) are gravitational harmonics, theta is Mercury's obliquity and phi is the amplitude of the forced, 88 day period libration in longitude. The upcoming MESSENGER orbiter mission to Mercury with onboard instrumentation capable of measuring these four parameters, and the possibility of precision measurements of Mercury's spin geometry with radar interferometry techniques make a reexamination of this proposal particularly relevant. The two necessary conditions on the core-mantle interaction for the experiment to work are: 1. The core must not follow the 88 day physical librations of the mantle. 2. The core must follow the mantle on the time scale of the 250,000 year precession of the spin in Cassini state 1. We shall assume these two conditions are satisfied to develop the method and later establish the constraints on the core viscosity for which they are satisfied. Proposed mechanisms of core mantle coupling other than a viscous coupling do not frustrate the first condition. The physical libration of the mantle about the mean resonant angular velocity arises from the periodically reversing torque on the permanent deformation as Mercury rotates relative to the Sun. Additional information is contained in the original extended abstract.

Peale, S. J.

On the detection of mutual perturbations as proof of planets around PSR1257+12

Unambiguous detection of the consequences of mutual perturbations of the hypothesized planets about the pulsar PSR1257+12 would be unassailable proof of their existence. Nearly all of the residuals in the times of arrival (TOA) of the pulses after subtraction of the TOA predicted from the best fit constant period model are accounted for by including the effects of two orbiting planets with constant orbital parameters. The nature and magnitude of additional residuals in the TOA due to the gravitational interactions between the planets are determined by numerically calculating the TOA residuals for the orbital motion including the perturbations and subtracting the TOA residuals from analytic expressions of the orbital motion with orbital parameters fixed at averaged values. The TOA residual differences so obtained oscillate with periods comparable to the orbital periods with the oscillations varying in amplitude as a function of epoch within any given observational period. The signature of the perturbations is thus a quasiperiodic modulation of the residual differences obtained after removal of the effects of the orbital motion with best fit, constant orbital parameters. The amplitudes of this modulation reach about 10 microsecond for observational periods exceeding 1000 days for the minimum planetary masses with sin i = 1, and they increase as 1/sin i for 1/sin i less than 5, where i is the inclination of the orbit plane to that of the sky. Greater accumulated phase differences between the effects of perturbed and unperturbed orbital motions are available in the times of zero values in the observed and predicted TOA residuals and these comprise a second signature of the perturbations. The perturbation signatures should become detectable as the observation interval approaches 1000 days.

Peale, S. J.

On the verification of the planetary system around PSR 1257 + 12

The magnitude and nature of residuals expected in the times of pulsar arrival (TOA) of the millisecond pulsar PSR 1257 + 12 as a function of the observational time span is estimated so that an observing progam may be planned to optimize the detection of a perturbation signature of a possible planetary system. The numerical and analytic procedures for evaluating the residuals are described. Calculations results are given in which a recognizable signature is shown to be a modulation of the amplitude of the TOA residual differences as a function of both epoch and observational interval. A supplementary approach involving intensive closely spaced observations over selected time intervals to find the time of a particular zero crossing of the TOA residuals is also discussed.

Peale, S. J.

The ring arcs of Neptune

After the corotation resonance with an exterior satellite proved inapplicable to the Neptune ring arc confinement, a search for other mechanisms settled on the possible influence of Neptune's magnetic field. The areas of greater optical depth around the ring are much dustier than the low optical depth regions. These particles reside in a plasma; therefore, they must carry some charge. The components of Neptune's magnetic field on the equator at the radius of the ring arcs as a function of Neptunian longitude are shown. The components are those of an offset tilted dipole model. Although the dipole model is probably not a good approximation so close to the planet, the magnitude of the field that is given is probably close to the actual value. The possible importance of the magnetic field on the smallest particles in the ring is indicated by the ratio of the magnetic field on the smallest particles in the ring is indicated by the ratio of the magnetic force to the central gravitation attraction with the field strength of B = 0.01 gauss at the ring distance. A preferred position in the orbit for magnetically perturbed particles seems to require a commensurability between the rotation of the planet and the motion of the particle in the orbit. The period of rotation is assumed to be that of the radio bursts at 16.11 hours. However, without a model for the radio emission, one cannot be absolutely sure. Jupiter's decametric radiation depends on Io's orbital position as well as the rotation, so a synodic periodicity might be appropriate. But the latter radiation is highly directed, whereas Neptune's was seen all along the spacecraft trajectory on the 16.11 hour schedule, i.e., with no shifts in phase relative to a fixed longitude on the planet. The ring orbital period is 10.536 hours which is not commensurate with the rotation period. If the 16.11 hours is interpreted as a synodic period between the rotation and a satellite motion, the closest rotation periods to 16 hours are 15.9 hours if the satellite is 1989N4 and 18.2 hours if the satellite is Triton. The former is near a 3:2 resonance with the ring particle motion. The problem deserves some more thought before a possible herding of small particles by the magnetic field is abandoned.

Peale, S. J.

The Titan-Hyperion orbital resonance

Considerable effort was spent investigating the applicability of a Hamiltonian averaged over high frequency terms, where long period and secular terms up to second order in eccentricity were kept. The Hamiltonian that is given from the planar, elliptic, restricted three body problem applied to Titan-Hyperion, when the Kepler terms are also expanded to second order in small quantities and several conical transformations are carried out, is presented and discussed.

Peale, S. J.

Rotational properties of planetary satellites

Properties of satellite rotation that are observable in principle, include the rotation period, the orientation of the spin axis relative to the orbit plane, precession of the spin axis due to gravitational torques, nonprincipal axis rotation or wobble, and deviations from uniform principle axis rotation or libration. Considerable order is observed in current satellite rotation states, and it is of interest to ascertain how this order came about and why some satellites do not conform to the dominant norm. There is a strong coupling between the spin and orbital motions that is primarily responsible for maintaining the ordered rotation states in most cases, but this coupling is equally responsible for destroying any chance of orderly rotation for Saturn's satellite Hyperion. Understanding the processes which constrain current rotation states as well as those of an evolutionary nature which could have brought the individual satellites to their observed rotation and orbit states allows us to sometimes infer interior properties of some satellite or even of its primary planet, although, attempts to deduce primordial rotation states are usually frustrated. The observed rotational properties of the planetary satellites are summarized, and the understanding of the processes maintaining and those leading to the observed states are outlined. Some of the inferences that can be drawn about intrinsic properties of the bodies themselves are indicated.

Peale, S. J.

On the density of Halley's comet

The density of Comet Halley is presently determined as a function of (1) its ejected material's time of visibility; (2) the angular deviation alpha of the averaged reaction force due to jets of ejected material from the sun-comet direction, and (3) the thermal inertia for a variable alpha. The averaged gas ejection rate variation from the nucleus as a function of orbital true anomaly is estimated on the basis of the Green and Morris (1987) lightcurve. While some of the densities obtained are in reasonable agreement with the expected 1 g/cu cm, uncertainties associated with both parameters and assumptions weaken the significance of these density constraints.

Peale, S. J.

Rotation of Halley's comet

Numerical simulations supported by analytical calculations are used to model the suspected condition of Comet Halley's nucleus, which has been suggested to not be in a state of principal-axis rotation. It is found easy to numerically generate lightcurves from modulated jets of material which exhibit both of the observed periodicities of 2.2 and 7.4 days, after choosing initial conditions for a representative nucleus such that the shorter period is the rotation period, and the longer period is that of precession of the spin vector in the body frame-of-reference. The improbability of exciting a spin precession about the axis of minimum moment-of-inertia, the relative instability of this state to the jet-induced torques, and the smaller probability of observing significant seasonal changes in the lightcurve in this state, all favor the model in which Halley's nucleus precesses about the axis of maximum moment-of-inertia.

Peale, S. J.

Some unsolved problems in evolutionary dynamics in the solar system

Several unsolved problems in the evolutionary histories leading to current dynamical configurations of the planets and their systems of satellites are discussed. These include the possibilities of rather tight constraints on the primordial rotation states of Mercury and Venus and the stabilizing mechanism for the latter's retrograde spin, a brief mention of the problem of origin of the moons of earth and Mars, the excessive heat flow from Jupiter's satellite Io which is not compatible with an otherwise self-consistent model of origin of the Laplace three-body libration, the mechanism for the long history of resurfacing of Saturn's satellite Enceladus and the possibly short lifetime of the A ring and the mechanisms for resurfacing the satellites of Uranus, especially Ariel, if the high stability of the mean motion orbital resonances at the 2/1 commensurability involving Ariel and Umbriel precludes a long term occupancy of the resonance. Finally, excessive times of accumulation of the outer planets in current models may possibly be reducible from the effects of nebular gas drag.

Peale, S. J.

Speculative histories of the Uranian satellite system

The hypothetical histories presently considered for the Uranian satellite system are very sensitive to the assumed satellite masses, within the errors of their determinations, as well as to the Uranian tidal effective dissipation function. A determination is made of the resonances that could have been encountered in these histories, and of the orbital eccentricity constraints that would have led to certain capture. It is found that if the mass of Miranda were of the upper extreme value, it would have been locked in a long-term 2/1 orbital resonance with Ariel to form a Laplacelike, three-body resonance that encompassed Umbriel.

Peale, S. J.

The rotational dynamics of Mercury and the state of its core

Data on the rotational dynamics of Mercury are examined together with possible events that could lead to the current state of rotation. It is shown that the dynamical evolution of Mercury's spin angular momentum controlled by the dissipative processes of tidal friction and relative motion between a solid mantle and a liquid core would lead naturally to the current state of rotation of the Mercury planet. To investigate the possibility that Mercury has a molten core, an experiment is designed for the measurement of the core properties of Mercury. It is shown that it is technically feasible to measure the four parameters necessary for the determination of the existence and the extent of a Mercurian molten core, including the amplitude of the physical vibration about the resonance spin rate, the obliquity, and the gravitational harmonic coefficients.

Peale, S. J.

Could Ariel have been heated by tidal friction?

For significant dissipation in Ariel, the past existence of an orbital resonance to force and maintain a substantial eccentricity in the orbit is hypothesized. The absolute maximum dissipation rate would be reduced both by the time necessary to establish the resonance in the first place and by a consequently larger minimum Q. The actual heating rate was much less than this maximum so even the existence of a 2/1 resonance may not be sufficient to account for Ariel's smooth sufrace.

Peale, S. J.

On the lack of commensurabilities in the mean motions of the satellites of Uranus and the resurfacing of Ariel

The lack of commensurabilites among the mean motion of the satellites of Uranus is investigated by determining the probabilities of capture into those orbital resonances which might be encountered as the satellite orbits expand differentially from tidal torques. An alternate to this is investigated to evaluate the conditions necessary to allow sufficient tidal heating of Ariel for the observed resurfacing.

Peale, S. J.