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Paige, D. A.

Publications and source records attributed to Paige, D. A..

At least 37 records · Page 2

In-Situ Environmental Measurements Needed for Future Mars Missions

Existing measurements and modeling studies indicate that the climate and general circulation of the thin, predominately CO2 Martian atmosphere are characterized by large-amplitude variations with a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. Remote sensing observations from Earth-based telescopes and the Mariner 9, Viking, Phobos, and Mars Global Surveyor (MGS) orbiters show that the prevailing climate includes large-scale seasonal variations in surface and atmospheric temperatures (140 to 300 K), dust optical depth (0.15 to 1), and water vapor (10 to 100 precipitable microns). These observations also provided the first evidence for episodic regional and global dust storms that produce even larger perturbations in the atmospheric thermal structure and general circulation. In-situ measurements by the Viking and Mars Pathfinder Landers reinforced these conclusions, documenting changes in the atmospheric pressure on diurnal (5%) and seasonal (>20%) time scales, as well as large diurnal variations in the near-surface temperature (40 to 70 K), wind velocity (0 to 35 m/s), and dust optical depth (0.3 to 6). These in-situ measurements also reveal phenomena with temporal and spatial scales that cannot be resolved from orbit, including rapid changes in near-surface temperatures (+/- 10 K in 10 seconds), large near-surface vertical temperature gradients (+/- 15 K/meter), diurnally-varying slope winds, and dust devils . Modeling studies indicate that these changes are forced primarily by diurnal and seasonal variations in solar insolation, but they also include contributions from atmospheric thermal tides, baroclinic waves (fronts), Kelvin waves, slope winds, and monsoonal flows from the polar caps.

Crisp, D.↗

A Mars Exploration Discovery Program

The Mars Exploration Program should consider following the Discovery Program model. In the Discovery Program a team of scientists led by a PI develop the science goals of their mission, decide what payload achieves the necessary measurements most effectively, and then choose a spacecraft with the capabilities needed to carry the payload to the desired target body. The primary constraints associated with the Discovery missions are time and money. The proposer must convince reviewers that their mission has scientific merit and is feasible. Every Announcement of Opportunity has resulted in a collection of creative ideas that fit within advertised constraints. Following this model, a "Mars Discovery Program" would issue an Announcement of Opportunity for each launch opportunity with schedule constraints dictated by the launch window and fiscal constraints in accord with the program budget. All else would be left to the proposer to choose, based on the science the team wants to accomplish, consistent with the program theme of "Life, Climate and Resources". A proposer could propose a lander, an orbiter, a fleet of SCOUT vehicles or penetrators, an airplane, a balloon mission, a large rover, a small rover, etc. depending on what made the most sense for the science investigation and payload. As in the Discovery program, overall feasibility relative to cost, schedule and technology readiness would be evaluated and be part of the selection process.

Hansen, C. J.↗

Water Ice Cloud Opacities and Temperatures Derived from the Viking IRTM Data Set

The degree to which water ice clouds play a role in the Mars climate is unknown. Latent heating of water ice clouds is small and since most hazes appeared to be thin (tau less than or = 1) their radiative effects have been neglected. Condensation likely limits the vertical extent of water vapor in the water column and a lowering of the condensation altitude, as seen in the northern spring and summer, could increase the seasonal exchange of water between the atmosphere and the surface. It has been suggested that water ice cloud formation is more frequent and widespread in the aphelic hemisphere (currently the northern). This may limit water to the northern hemisphere through greater exchange with the regolith and through restricted southward transport of water vapor by the Mars Hadley circulation. In addition, it has been suggested that water ice cloud formation also controls the vertical distribution of atmospheric dust in some seasons. This scavenging of dust may Continuing from the IRTM cloud maps, derived cloud opacities and cloud temperatures for several locations and seasons will be presented. Sensitivities to cloud particle sizes, surface temperature, and dust opacity will be discussed.

TamppariL. K.↗

Mars Volatiles and Climate Surveyor (MVACS) Integrated Payload for the Mars Polar Lander Mission

The Mars Volatiles and Climate Surveyor (MVACS) integrated payload for the Mars Polar Lander will be launched in January 1999, with a scheduled landing on Mars' south-polar layered deposits in December 1999. Over the course of its 90-day nominal mission during the martian southern spring and summer seasons, it will make in situ measurements that will provide new insights into the behavior and distribution of martian volatiles, MVACS consists of four major instrument systems: a surface stereo imager (SSI), which will acquire multispectral stereo images of the surface and atmosphere; a 2-m robotic arm (RA), which will dig a O.5-m deep trench and acquire surface and subsurface samples that will be imaged by a focusable robotic arm camera (RAC), which will take close-up images of surface and subsurface samples at a spatial resolution of 21 micron; a meteorology package (MET), which will make the first measurements of surface pressure, temperature, and winds in Mars' southern hemisphere and employ a tunable diode laser (TDL) spectrometer to measure the water-vapor concentration and isotopic composition of CO2 in the martian atmosphere; and a thermal and evolved gas analyzer (TEGA), which will use differential scanning calorimetry and TDL-evolved gas analysis to determine the concentrations of ices, adsorbed volatiles, and volatile-bearing minerals in surface and subsurface soil samples. The unique in situ measurements made by MVACS at its high-latitude landing site will define a number of important aspects of the physical, isotopic, and chemical nature of the martian near-surface and subsurface environment that will be valuable in better understanding Mars meteorites and returned samples, as well as in the search for martian resources that could be utilized by humans.

Paige, D. A.↗

Polar volatiles on Mercury and the Moon

The possibility that condensed volatiles might be stable in the permanently shadowed polar regions of the Moon and Mercury has been anticipated in a number of theoretical studies. In 1992, VLA-Goldstone and Arecibo observations revealed the presence of bright, depolarized radar features near the poles of Mercury that have been widely interpreted as evidence for the presence of polar ice deposits. Recently acquired high-resolution Arecibo radar images show that the anomalous radar features are concentrated in crater-sized regions whose locations can be made to coincide exactly with the locations of known impact craters in the Mariner-10 images. These new Arecibo images provide an unusual opportunity to learn more about the distribution and history of Mercury's polar ice deposits. We have constructed a thermal model that can predict surface and subsurface temperatures within impact craters on Mercury and the Moon. Included in the calculations are the effects of 1-dimensional subsurface heat conduction, direct sunlight, multiply reflected sunlight within the crater, and re-radiated infrared radiation within the crater. We also use realistic crater topographic profiles for larger flat-floored craters as well as smaller spherical bowl-shaped craters.

Paige, D. A.↗

Seasonal Nitrogen Cycles on Pluto

A thermal model, developed to predict seasonal nitrogen cycles on Triton, has been modified and applied to Pluto. The model is used to calculate the partitioning of nitrogen between surface frost deposits and the atmosphere, as a function of time for various sets of input parameters.

thermal models↗

Drill/borescope System for the Mars Polar Pathfinder

The primary goals of the Mars Polar Pathfinder (MPP) Discovery Mission are to characterize the composition and structure of Mars' north polar ice cap, and to determine whether a climate record may be preserved in layers of ice and dust. The MPP would land as close as possible to the geographic north pole of Mars and use a set of instruments similar to those used by glaciologists to study polar ice caps on Earth: a radar sounder, a drill/borescope system, and a thermal probe. The drill/borescope system will drill approximately 50 cm into the surface and image the sides of the hole at 10 micron resolution for compositional and stratigraphic analysis. Several uncertainties have guided the development of this instrument, and they are discussed.

Paige, D. A.↗

A Pluto thermal model

The recent discovery of nitrogen on Pluto suggests that Pluto's volatile cycles may be similar to those on Neptune's moon Triton. Here, we report the first results of our efforts to apply a thermal model that we developed to study the seasonal nitrogen cycle on Triton to the case of Pluto. The model predicts volatile behavior as a function of time to calculate frost deposit depth, polar cap boundaries, temperature of the frost and substrate, and atmospheric pressure, assuming nitrogen frost deposits in solid-vapor equilibrium with nitrogen in the atmosphere.

Hansen, C. J.↗

IRTM brightness temperature maps of the Martian south polar region during the polar night: The cold spots don't move

A series of infrared thermal mapper (IRTM) south polar brightness temperature maps obtained by Viking Orbiter 2 during a 35-day period during the southern fall season in 1978 was examined. The maps show a number of phenomena that have been identified in previous studies, including day to day brightness temperature variations in individual low temperature regions and the tendency for IRTM 11-micron channel brightness temperatures to also decrease in regions where low 20-micron channel brightness temperatures are observed. The maps also show new phenomena, the most striking of which is a clear tendency for the low brightness temperature regions to occur at fixed geographic regions. During this season, the coldest low brightness temperatures appear to be concentrated in distinct regions, with spatial scales ranging from 50 to 300 km. There are approximately a dozen of these concentrations, with the largest centered near the location of the south residual polar cap. Other concentrations are located at Cavi Angusti and close to the craters Main, South, Lau, and Dana. Broader, less intense regions appear to be well correlated with the boundaries of the south polar layered deposits and the Mountains of Mitchell. No evidence for horizontal motion of any of these regions has been detected.

Paige, D. A.↗

The influence of thermal inertia on Mars' seasonal pressure variation and the effect of the weather component

Using a Leighton-Murray type diurnal and seasonal Mars thermal model, we found that it is possible to reproduce the seasonal variation in daily-averaged pressures (approximately 680-890 Pa) measured by Viking Lander 1 (VL1), during years without global dust storms, with a standard deviation of less than 5 Pa. In this simple model, surface CO2, frost condensation, and sublimation rates at each latitude are determined by the net effects of radiation, latent heat, and heat conduction in subsurface soil layers. An inherent assumption of our model is that the seasonal pressure variation is due entirely to the exchange of mass between the atmosphere and polar caps. However, the results of recent Mars GCM modeling have made it clear that there is a significant dynamical contribution to the seasonal pressure variation. This 'weather' component is primarily due to large-scale changes in atmospheric circulation, and its magnitude depends somewhat on the dust content of the atmosphere. The overall form of the theoretical weather component at the location of VL1, as calculated by the AMES GCM, remains the same over the typical range of Mars dust opacities.

Wood, S. E.↗

Atmosphere and climate studies of Mars using the Mars Observer pressure modulator infrared radiometer

Studies of the climate and atmosphere of Mars are limited at present by a lack of meteorological data having systematic global coverage with good horizontal and vertical resolution. The Mars Observer spacecraft in a low, nearly circular, polar orbit will provide an excellent platform for acquiring the data needed to advance significantly our understanding of the Martian atmosphere and its remarkable variability. The Mars Observer pressure modulator infrared radiometer (PMIRR) is a nine-channel limb and nadir scanning atmospheric sounder which will observe the atmosphere of Mars globally from 0 to 80 km for a full Martian year. PMIRR employs narrow-band radiometric channels and two pressure modulation cells to measure atmospheric and surface emission in the thermal infrared. PMIRR infrared and visible measurements will be combined to determine the radiative balance of the polar regions, where a sizeable fraction of the global atmospheric mass annually condenses onto and sublimes from the surface. Derived meteorological fields, including diabatic heating and cooling and the vertical variation of horizontal winds, are computed from the globally mapped fields retrieved from PMIRR data.

Mccleese, D. J.↗

Is ground ice stable near the Martian equator?

Determining the present distribution of subsurface water ice on Mars will undoubtedly be a prime objective for future spacecraft missions. Past theoretical studies have predicted that Martian ground ice should be stable to evaporation only at latitudes poleward of approximately +/- 50 deg. Presented here are a new set of calculations which show that bright surficial dust deposits can protect subsurface ice deposits from evaporation at much lower latitudes than previously expected.

Paige, D. A.↗

Microcraters on Mars: Evidence of past climatic variations

On Mars, we do not expect to see the full spectrum of crater sizes that we see on the Moon, because the Martian atmosphere decelerates smaller incoming meteorites. Mars climate models predict thirty-fold variations in Mars' atmospheric pressure due to large amplitude quasi-periodic variations in Mars' obliquity. More recent studies have shown that uncertainties in Mars' moment of inertia may have resulted in an underestimation of this range. In this study, we find that potential variations in the mass of the Martian atmosphere should have dramatic effects on the production rates of centimeter sized craters on the surface of Mars, and suggest that observations of the densities of Martian microcraters would provide an important validation of the astronomical theory for Martian climate change.

Vasavada, A. R.↗

Modeling the seasonal cycle of CO2 on Mars: A fit to the Viking lander pressure curves

We have constructed a more accurate Mars thermal model, similar to the one used by Leighton and Murray in 1966, which solves radiative, conductive, and latent heat balance at the surface as well as the one-dimensional heat conduction equation for 40 layers to a depth of 15 meters every 1/36 of a Martian day. The planet is divided into 42 latitude bands with a resolution of two degrees near the poles and five degrees at lower latitudes, with elevations relative to the 6.1 mbar reference areoid. This estimate of the Martian zonally averaged topography was derived primarily from radio occultations. We show that a realistic one-dimensional thermal model is able to reproduce the VL1 pressure curve reasonably well without having to invoke complicated atmospheric effects such as dust storms and polar hoods. Although these factors may cause our deduced values for each model parameter to differ from its true value, we believe that this simple model can be used as a platform to study many aspects of the Martian CO2 cycle over seasonal, interannual, and long-term climate timescales.

Wood, S. E.↗

Modeling interannual variability in the Martian seasonal CO2 cycle

One aspect of the seasonal pressure variations measured at the Viking Lander sites is their nearly perfect interannual repeatability. This presents a problem because it implies that the behavior of the seasonal polar caps should be highly repeatable from year to year as well. There are a number of observations and theories suggesting that the presence of dust and water ice clouds in the Martian atmosphere should have significant direct and indirect effects on the rates of CO2 condensation and sublimation in the north and south polar regions. These effects include (1) reduced rates of CO2 frost condensation during polar night seasons due to the radiative effects of dust and water ice clouds and associated CO2 clouds or elevated atmospheric temperatures and (2) reduced or elevated rates of frost sublimation due to the radiative effects of atmospheric dust or to changes in frost emissivities and albedos due to contamination by water ice and dust. The Viking Landing pressure observations are examined to determine the range and character of the interannual variations present. Then a diurnal and seasonal thermal model is used to examine the effects of interannual variations in the polar heat balance on seasonal pressure variations.

Wood, S. E.↗

Thermal and albedo mapping of the north and south polar regions of Mars

The first maps of the thermal properties of the north and south polar region of Mars are presented. The maps complete the mapping of the entire planet. The maps for the north polar region were derived from Viking Infrared Thermal Mapper (IRTM) observations obtained from 10 Jun. to 30 Sep. 1978. This period corresponds to the early summer season in the north, when the north residual water ice cap was exposed, and the polar surface temperatures were near their maximum. The maps in the south were derived from observations obtained between 24 Aug. to 23 Sep. 1977. This period corresponds to the late summer season in the south, when the seasonal polar cap had retreated to close to its residual configuration, and the second global dust storm of 1977 had largely subsided. The major results concerning the following topics are summarized: (1) surface water ice; (2) polar dune material; and (3) dust deposits.

Paige, D. A.↗

Thermal and albedo mapping of the north and south polar regions of Mars

The first maps are presented of the north and south polar regions of Mars. The thermal properties of the midlatitude regions from -60 deg to +60 deg latitude were mapped in previous studies. The presented maps complete the mapping of entire planet. The maps for the north and south polar regions were derived from Viking Infrared Thermal Mapper (IRTM) observations. Best fit thermal inertias were determined by comparing the available IRTM 20 micron channel brightness within a given region to surface temperatures computed by a diurnal and seasonal thermal model. The model assumes no atmospheric contributions to the surface heat balance. The resulting maps of apparent thermal inertia and average IRTM measured solar channel lambert albedo for the north and south polar regions from the poles to +/- 60 deg latitude.

Paige, D. A.↗

Mariner 9 observations of the south polar cap of Mars - Evidence for residual CO2 frost

The first spacecraft observations of the south residual polar cap of Mars were obtained by the Mariner 9 orbiter during the Martian southern summer season, 1971-1972. Analyses of Viking orbiter observations obtained 3 Mars years later have shown that residual carbon dioxide frost was present at the south polar cap in 1977. In this study, Mariner 9 infrared interferometer spectrometer spectra and television camera images are used in conjuction with multispectral thermal emission models to constrain the temperatures of dark bare ground and bright frost regions within the south residual cap. The results provide strong evidence that carbon dioxide frost was present throughout the summer season despite the fact that the residual frost deposits observed by Mariner 9 were less extensive than those observed by Viking.

Paige, D. A.↗