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Mo, K. C.

Publications and source records attributed to Mo, K. C..

Quasi-stationary states in the Southern Hemisphere

Pattern correlations between daily anomalies have been used to study the persistence of the Southern Hemisphere circulations. The dataset consists of daily Australian analyses of 500 mb heights and sea level pressure for the period from 1972 to 1983. Compared to the Northern Hemisphere, the pattern correlations are much lower and more variable in the Southern Hemisphere. The mean one-day lag autocorrelation is only 0.57, compared to 0.81 in the Northern Hemisphere. The correlations increase significantly for the filtered anomalies, which consist of the planetary wavenumbers from 0 to 4. Subjective criteria based on the pattern correlations are used to select quasi-stationary events. A series of 5 or more daily maps is defined to be quasi-stationary if the pattern correlations between all pairs of five consecutive maps in this time series are larger than or equal to 0.5. In winter, quasi-stationary events can be classified in terms of wavenumbers. Waves 3 and 4 are by far the dominant waves. More than half of the events have large wave 3 amplitude with geographically fixed orientations.

Mo, K. C.↗

Large-amplitude, short-scale stationary Rossby waves in the Southern Hemisphere - Observations and mechanistic experiments to determine their origin

Further observational evidence of the existence of large-amplitude stationary waves in the Southern Hemisphere during January 1979 is presented. Possible forcing mechanisms for the stationary waves are discussed, and two control experimental forecasts are presented: 15-day integrations with the GLAS Fourth Order GCM, starting from January 5 and Febuary 4, 1979. These forecasts are compared with the GLAS analyses for the same periods, discussing the extent to which the observed January waves are reproduced in the forecast. Several mechanistic experiments are reported in which the Andean orography, tropical heating, regional heating, and initial westerly flow are artificially modified. The effects of these changes on the stationary waves are discussed.

Kalnay, E.↗

The zonal harmonic and the yearly and half-yearly waves on the Southern Hemisphere in FGGE compared with the mean

The dominant component in the mean annual cycle of sea level pressure in the latitudes north of approx. 40 deg S is the yearly wave, whereas to the south of this latitude a half-yearly wave dominantes. In FGGE, however, the usually small yearly wave was large in the Antarctic, owing to the extraordinarily low pressure there in the winter of 1979. The half-yearly wave's amplitude was appreciably above normal in the center of each ocean in middle latitudes, and below normal at high latitudes. The yearly wave in the zonal geostrophic wind was larger than normal over the Antarctic Ocean. Similar results are obtained at 500 mb. The three month mean stationary waves (zonal harmonic waves) were larger than the mean in FGGE. The intra-annual variation of both amplitude and phase of the monthly mean harmonic waves in FGGE was large, which is not surprising as they contain an appreciable transient component, unlike the long term monthly mean waves.

Vanloon, H.↗

Mechanistic Experiments to Determine the Origin of Southern Hemisphere Stationary Waves

Large amplitude stationary Rossby waves were discovered with zonal wavenumbers of approx. 7 between 20 S and 40 S over and in the lee of South America. These waves, present during January 1979, disappeared in February, 1979. It was concluded that the waves were not orographically forced because they corresponded to a ridge in the lee of the Andes, and were not forced by observed sea surface temperature anomalies because of their space and time phase relationship. Two 15 day forecast experiments were performed with the GLAS Fourth Order General Circulation Model, and initial conditions corresponding to 5 January and 4 February, 1979. These forecasts reproduce reasonably well the presence of the January wave and their absence in February. Several mechanistic experiments to determine the origin of the waves were also performed. A No Andes forecast shows that the waves do indeed exist independently of orographic forcing. Several experiments modifying the coefficient of latent heat lead to the conclusion that tropical heating is important in the maintenance of the waves.

Kalnay, E.↗

Quasi Stationary States in the Southern Hemisphere

Pattern correlations between daily anomalies (Horel 1984) were used to study the persistency of the Southern Hemisphere circulations. The data set consists of the daily Australian analyses of 500 mb heights and sea level pressure for the period from 1972 and 1983. Compared to the Northern Hemisphere, the pattern correlations are much smaller and more variable in the Southern Hemisphere. The mean one day lag is only 0.57, (0.82 for the NH). The correlations increase significantly for the filtered anomalies which consist of the long planetary waves from 0 to 4. Subjective criteria based on the pattern correlations are used to select the quasi stationary events. A series of 5 or more daily maps is quasi stationary if the pattern correlations between all consecutive pairs of maps in this time series are larger or equal to 0.5.

Mo, K. C.↗

Trends in the Southern Hemisphere

The station data of monthly mean sea level pressure, surface air temperature as well as monthly mean upper air rawinsonde observations were used to study the trends in the southern winter (June, July and August) and summer (December, January and February). This study covers the period 1951 to 1981. Most of the surface data have continuous 31 year records, however, for some high latitude stations, both surface and upper air records started in 1957 or even later. The normalized anomaly for a given variable Z is defined as the departure from the 1951 to 1981 grand mean divided by the standard deviation during the same period. To eliminate the large fluctuations in the data, the 1-3-1 smoothing was applied to the time series of normalized anomalies. The trends of monthly mean temperatures and height from the surface to 200 mb level is documented.

Mo, K. C.↗

On Fofonoff's Mode

The classical barotropic ocean model of Veronis (1966) is reexamined to verify the possible existence of Fofonoff's (1954) steady free inertial mode by considering the balance where J is the Jacobian, eta is the streamfunction of the horizontal velocity, and R is a parameter of nonlinearity. A linear functional relationship between the potential vorticity and the streamfunction and inertial boundary layers along the ocean basin was suggested by Fofonoff. However, the numerical integration showed that the system is barotropically unstable. The typical instantaneous field is given. The statistical equilibrium state eta is also given. Although it resembles Fofonoff's solution, it is maintained by the Reynolds stress field induced by the eddies in addition to the wind stress and dissipation. The plot of eta versus R delta sq +y is given. It is shown that the Fofonoff's linear relation between the potential vorticity and the streamfunction does not hold uniformly over the entire basin. The above results show that the Fofonoff's solution can not be realized physically.

Merkine, L. O.↗

Teleconnections in the Southern Hemisphere

Monthly anomalies from climatology of sea level pressure and 500 mb geopotential height are used to study teleconnection patterns in the Southern Hemisphere. The data and method used are described, and correlations between zonally averaged anomalies are given. The zonal wavenumber three patterns and teleconnection patterns are given, and the results of eigenvector analysis with teleconnection patterns at 500 mb are reported. The zonally averaged anomalies display two patterns of variability; an out-of-phase relation between high and low latitudes and a pattern in which anomalies in midlatitudes vary out of phase with anomalies in low and high latitudes. In winter, midlatitudes are dominated by three centers of positive correlations over the oceans while the negative correlations are found at high and low latitudes. The teleconnection pattern in summer at 500 mb shows an out-of-phase relation between heights over the subtropical continents and heights in the midlatitude oceans.

Mo, K. C.↗

Some aspects of the interannual variation of mean monthly sea level pressure on the Southern Hemisphere

We calculate the seasonal changes that are largely associated with the half-yearly wave, autocorrelation functions, and the mean planetary waves in the monthly mean sea level pressure from two data sources. One covers the period from 1951 to 1958 (from the South African Weather Bureau) and the other the period from 1972 to 1980 (from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology). Thirty years of data from stations over the southern hemisphere are used to assess the reliability of the differences between the two periods that the grid-point data show. These differences are especially large over the Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean. The station data confirm the changes between the two periods and thus the observed differences in the mean waves, which are especially large for wave number 3.

Mo, K. C.↗

Teleconnection patterns in the Southern Hemisphere

Contemporaneous correlations between geopotential heights on a given pressure surface at widely separated points on Earth, commonly referred to as teleconnections, are calculated from monthly mean sea level pressure and 500 mb geopotential height analyses for the Southern Hemisphere for five-month winter and summer seasons. During summer (November-March), anomalies over the three continents occur out of phase with anomalies over the subtropical oceans and in a wavenumber 3 pattern over the Southern Ocean near 55 deg S. The subtropical part of the pattern appears largely associated with the interannual variation of the seasonal cycle and annual mean. In winter (May-September) 500 mb geopotential heights over Africa exhibit positive correlations with heights over South America and the central South Pacific near New Zealand and negative correlations with height over the Southern Ocean. A striking wavenumber three pattern is apparent which shows the correlation of 500 mb geopotential height anomalies with 500 mb anomalies at 50 deg S, 95 deg E during winter. The strong positive correlations between 50 deg S, 95 E and 58 deg S, 150 deg W and 38 deg S, 15 deg W contrast with negative correlations over Antarctica and in low latitudes. Time variations in a similar pattern in sea level pressure are in phase with variations in the 500 mb pattern, suggesting an equivalent barotropic structure.

Mo, K. C.↗

Forced stationary solutions in a barotropic channel: Multiple equilibria and theory of nonlinear resonance

A barotropic flow over sinusoidal topography in a beta channel in the presence of forcing and dissipation was studied. The work is divided into two parts: (1) computation of the stationary solutions of the model, by Newton's method together with a finite difference approximation, and comparison of solutions with the solutions of the linear theory; (2) development of a nonlinear theory that reproduce the numerical solutions.

Rambaldi, S.↗

Seasonal and geographical variation of blocking

An examination of grid point values of daily 500 mb geopotential height over the Northern Hemisphere for the 1963-1977 period has been conducted in order to calculate the seasonal frequency blocking variation and its geographical location, where blocking events require the persistence of a large positive anomaly for seven days or more. The geographical locations of the maximum frequency, characterized by three distinctly different maxima, remain nearly the same for all four seasons. Large persistent negative anomalies during the winter season are mostly associated with local high index flow. An examination of the seasonal variability of persistent characteristics of wave numbers 1-4, for 500 mb geopotential height between 50 and 70 deg N, shows that the large scale planetary waves have preferred phase locations for persistence beyond seven days.

Shukla, J.↗

Persistent anomalies of the Southern Hemisphere circulation

The persistent features of large anomalies have been examined and the locations of blocking in the Southern Hemisphere were determined. The data set used here contains daily maps of 500 mb geopotential heights for 100 months (June 1, 1972 to Nov. 30, 1980) covering from 10S to 90S. The seasonal cycle was defined as a 8 year mean and the 8th (annual) and 16th (semiannual) Fourier components of the time series at each grid point. Anomalies were defined as the difference between the total field and the seasonal cycle for each grid point.

Mo, K. C.↗

Seasonal cycle of heights, temperatures and sea level pressure over the Northern Hemisphere

The annual and semiannual cycles of sea level pressure and surface temperature over the Northern Hemisphere are documented. The annual cycles in the geopotential height fields for several levels are also examined. It was found that the continental winter maxima in the sea level pressure field extended upward to near the 700 mb level. At 500 mb and above, however, they found that the annual cycle exhibits summertime maxima over both sea and land.

Doty, B.↗

Climatology of blocking in the GLAS climate model

The GLAS model's ability to simulate the occurrence of persistent anomalies to be referred to as blocking was examined. The GLAS climate model was integrated with a variety of initial and boundary conditions. Results of winter and summer simulation by the GLAS climate model are discussed. The model shows success in simulating the storm tracks.

Shukla, J.↗

Comparison of a barotropic blocking theory with observation

Hart (1979) showed that the truncated spectral equations obtained by Charney and Devore (1979) could be derived merely by assuming that the cross-stream scale of the topography was large compared to the downstream scale. Since actual topography does not have the large y scales postulated by Hart, his model was modified in the current investigation to obtain equations with arbitrary zonal variations of topography by projecting all variable functions onto the first topographic cross-stream mode. The topographic heights and streamfunctions are expanded as Fourier series in the cross-stream coordinate and the series are truncated after the first term. This accomplishes Hart's results but permits more realistic y variations in the topography. The present investigation is the first in a two-part series. The second part will deal with a two-layer baroclinic channel flow, again with arbitrary zonal variations of topography.

Charney, J. G.↗