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Mitchell, Michael David

Publications and source records attributed to Mitchell, Michael David.

Biologically inspired approaches for biosurveillance anomaly detection and data fusion

This study developed and tested biologically inspired computational methods to detect anomalous signals in data streams that could indicate a pending outbreak or bio-weapon attack. Current large-scale biosurveillance systems are plagued by two principal deficiencies: (1) timely detection of disease-indicating signals in noisy data and (2) anomaly detection across multiple channels. Anomaly detectors and data fusion components modeled after human immune system processes were tested against a variety of natural and synthetic surveillance datasets. A pilot scale immune-system-based biosurveillance system performed at least as well as traditional statistical anomaly detection data fusion approaches. Machine learning approaches leveraging Deep Learning recurrent neural networks were developed and applied to challenging unstructured and multimodal health surveillance data. Within the limits imposed of data availability, both immune systems and deep learning methods were found to improve anomaly detection and data fusion performance for particularly challenging data subsets.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Modeling the Internet

The National Infrastructure Simulations and Analysis Center (NISAC) has developed a nationwide model of the Internet to study the potential impact of the loss of physical facilities on the network and on other infrastructures that depend on the Internet for services. The model looks at the Internet from the perspective of Internet Service Providers (ISPs) and their connectivity and can be used to determine how the network connectivity could be modified to assist in mitigating an event. In addition the model could be used to explore how portions of the network could be made more resilient to disruptive events.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Biosecurity through Public Health System Design.

We applied modeling and simulation to examine the real-world tradeoffs between developingcountry public-health improvement and the need to improve the identification, tracking, and security of agents with bio-weapons potential. Traditionally, the international community has applied facility-focused strategies for improving biosecurity and biosafety. This work examines how system-level assessments and improvements can foster biosecurity and biosafety. We modeled medical laboratory resources and capabilities to identify scenarios where biosurveillance goals are transparently aligned with public health needs, and resource are distributed in a way that maximizes their ability to serve patients while minimizing security a nd safety risks. Our modeling platform simulates key processes involved in healthcare system operation, such as sample collection, transport, and analysis at medical laboratories. The research reported here extends the prior art by provided two key compone nts for comparative performance assessment: a model of patient interaction dynamics, and the capability to perform uncertainty quantification. In addition, we have outlined a process for incorporating quantitative biosecurity and biosafety risk measures. Two test problems were used to exercise these research products examine (a) Systemic effects of technological innovation and (b) Right -sizing of laboratory networks.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗