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Ming Zhao

Publications and source records attributed to Ming Zhao.

At least 19 records

Retrieving the global distribution of the threshold of wind erosion from satellite data and implementing it into the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory land–atmosphere model (GFDL AM4.0/LM4.0)

Dust emission is initiated when surface wind velocities exceed the threshold of wind erosion. Many dust models used constant threshold values globally. Here we use satellite products to characterize the frequency of dust events and land surface properties. By matching this frequency derived from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Deep Blue aerosol products with surface winds, we are able to retrieve a climatological monthly global distribution of the wind erosion threshold (V(threshold)) over dry and sparsely vegetated surfaces. This monthly two-dimensional threshold velocity is then implemented into the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled land–atmosphere model (AM4.0/LM4.0). It is found that the climatology of dust optical depth (DOD) and total aerosol optical depth, surface PM10 dust concentrations, and the seasonal cycle of DOD are better captured over the “dust belt” (i.e., northern Africa and the Middle East) by simulations with the new wind erosion threshold than those using the default globally constant threshold. The most significant improvement is the frequency distribution of dust events, which is generally ignored in model evaluation. By using monthly rather than annual mean V(threshold), all comparisons with observations are further improved. The monthly global threshold of wind erosion can be retrieved under different spatial resolutions to match the resolution of dust models and thus can help improve the simulations of dust climatology and seasonal cycles as well as dust forecasting.

Bing Pu

Representation of Modes of Variability in 6 U.S. Climate Models

We compare the performance of several modes of variability across six US climate modeling groups, with a focus on identifying robust improvements in recent models (including those participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) Phase 6) compared to previous versions. In particular, we examine the representation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), the El Ni˜no/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) in the tropical stratosphere and the dominant modes of extra-tropical variability, including the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), the Northern Annular Mode (NAM) (and the closely related North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)), and the Pacific-North American Pattern (PNA). Where feasible, we explore the processes driving these improvements through the use of “intermediary” experiments that utilize model versions between CMIP3/5 and CMIP6 as well as targeted sensitivity experiments in which individual modeling parameters are altered. We find clear and systematic improvements in the MJO and QBO and in the teleconnection patterns associated with the PDO and ENSO. Some gains arise from better process representation, while others (e.g. the QBO) from higher resolution that allows for a greater range of interactions. Our results demonstrate that the incremental development processes in multiple climate model groups lead to more realistic simulations over time.

Modes of variability

Clouds and Convective Self-Aggregation in a Multi-Model Ensemble of Radiative-Convective Equilibrium Simulations

The Radiative-Convective Equilibrium Model Intercomparison Project (RCEMIP) is an intercomparison of multiple types of numerical models configured in radiative-convective56equilibrium (RCE). RCE is an idealization of the tropical atmosphere that has long been used to study basic questions in climate science. Here, we employ RCE to investigate the role that clouds and convective activity play in determining cloud feedbacks, climatecsensitivity, the state of convective aggregation, and the equilibrium climate. RCEMIP is unique amongst intercomparisons in its inclusion of a wide range of model types, including atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs), single column models (SCMs), cloud-resolving models (CRMs), large eddy simulations (LES), and global cloud-resolving models (GCRMs). The first results are presented from the RCEMIP ensemble of more than 30 models. While there are large differences across the RCEMIP ensemble in the representation of mean profiles of temperature, humidity, and cloudiness, in a majority of models anvil clouds rise, warm, and decrease in area coverage in response to an increase in sea surface temperature (SST). Nearly all models exhibit self-aggregation in large domains and agree that self-aggregation acts to dry and warm the troposphere, reduce high cloudiness, and increase cooling to space. The degree of self-aggregation exhibits no clear tendency with warming. There is a wide range of climate sensitivities, but models with parameterized convection tend to have lower climate sensitivities than models with explicit convection. In models with parameterized convection, aggregated simulations have lower climate sensitivities than un-aggregated simulations. Plain Language Summary This study investigates tropical clouds and climate using results from more than 30 different numerical models set up in a simplified framework. The dataset of model simulations is unique in that it includes a wide range of model types configured in a consistent manner. We address some of the biggest open questions in climate science, including how cloud properties change with warming and the role that the tendency of clouds to form clusters plays in determining the average climate and how climate changes. While there are large differences in how the different models simulate average temperature, humidity, and cloudiness, in a majority of models, the amount of high clouds decreases as climate warms. Nearly all models simulate a tendency for clouds to cluster together. There is agreement that when the clouds are clustered, the atmosphere is drier with fewer clouds overall. We don’t find a conclusive result for how cloud clustering changes as the climate warms.

Allison A. Wing

Evaluation of Modeled Precipitation in Oceanic Extratropical Cyclones Using IMERG

Using the high spatial and temporal resolution precipitation dataset Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG), extratropical cyclone precipitation is evaluated in two reanalyses and two climate models. Based on cyclone-centered composites, all four models overestimate precipitation in the western subsiding and dry side of the cyclones, and underestimate the precipitation in the eastern ascending and moist side. By decomposing the composites into frequency of occurrence and intensity (mean precipitation rate when precipitating), the analysis reveals a tendency for all four models to overestimate frequency and underestimate intensity, with the former issue dominating in the western half and the latter in the eastern half of the cyclones. Differences in frequency are strongly dependent on cyclone environmental moisture, while the differences in intensity are strongly impacted by the strength of ascent within the cyclone. There are some uncertainties associated with the observations: IMERG might under-report frozen precipitation and possibly exaggerate rates in vigorously ascending regions. Nevertheless, the analysis suggests that all models produce extratropical cyclone precipitation too often and too lightly. These biases have consequences when evaluating the changes in precipitation characteristics with changes in cyclone properties: the models disagree on the magnitude of the change in precipitation intensity with a change in environmental moisture and in precipitation frequency with a change in cyclone strength. This complicates accurate predictions of precipitation changes in a changing climate.

Catherine M Naud

Extratropical Cyclone Clouds in the GFDL Climate Model: Diagnosing Biases and the Associated Causes

The clouds in southern hemisphere extratropical cyclones generated by the GFDL climate model are analyzed against MODIS, CloudSat and CALIPSO cloud and precipitation observations. Two model versions are used: one is a developmental version of AM4, a model GFDL will utilize for CMIP6, the other is the same model with a different parameterization of moist convection. Both model versions predict a realistic top-of-atmosphere cloud cover in the southern oceans, within 5% of the observations. However, an examination of cloud cover transects in extratropical cyclones reveals a tendency in the models to overestimate high-level clouds (by differing amounts) and underestimate cloud cover at low-levels (again by differing amounts), especially in the post-cold frontal (PCF) region, when compared to observations. Focusing on only the models, their differences in high and mid-level clouds are consistent with their differences in convective activity and relative humidity (RH), but the same is not true for the PCF region. In this region, RH is higher in the model with less cloud fraction. These seemingly contradictory cloud and RH differences can be explained by differences in the cloud parameterization tuning parameters that ensure radiative balance. In the PCF region, the model cloud differences are smaller than either of the model biases with respect to observations, suggesting other physics changes are needed to address the bias. The process-oriented analysis used to assess these model differences will soon be automated and shared.

Catherine M Naud

Planet Formation Imager (PFI): Science Vision and Key Requirements

The Planet Formation Imager (PFI) project aims to provide a strong scientific vision for ground-based opticalastronomy beyond the upcoming generation of Extremely Large Telescopes. We make the case that a break-through in angular resolution imaging capabilities is required in order tounravel the processes involved in planetformation. PFI will be optimised to provide a complete census of the protoplanet population at all stellocentricradii and over the age range from 0.1 to∼100 Myr. Within this age period, planetary systems undergo dra-matic changes and the final architecture of planetary systems is determined. Our goal is to study the planetarybirth on the natural spatial scale where the material is assembled,which is the “Hill Sphere” of the formingplanet, and to characterise the protoplanetary cores by measuring their masses and physical properties. Ourscience working group has investigated the observational characteristics of these young protoplanets as well asthe migration mechanisms that might alter the system architecture. We simulated the imprints that the planetsleave in the disk and study how PFI could revolutionise areas ranging from exoplanet to extragalactic science.In this contribution we outline the key science drivers of PFI and discuss the requirements that will guide thetechnology choices, the site selection, and potential science/technology tradeoffs.

Stefan Kraus

Planet Formation Imager (PFI): Science Vision and Key Requirements

The Planet Formation Imager (PFI) project aims to provide a strong scientific vision for ground-based optical astronomy beyond the upcoming generation of Extremely Large Telescopes. We make the case that a breakthrough in angular resolution imaging capabilities is required in order to unravel the processes involved in planet formation. PFI will be optimised to provide a complete census of the protoplanet population at all stellocentric radii and over the age range from 0.1 to ~ 100 Myr. Within this age period, planetary systems undergo dramatic changes and the final architecture of planetary systems is determined. Our goal is to study the planetary birth on the natural spatial scale where the material is assembled, which is the “Hill Sphere” of the forming planet, and to characterise the protoplanetary cores by measuring their masses and physical properties. Our science working group has investigated the observational characteristics of these young protoplanets as well as the migration mechanisms that might alter the system architecture. We simulated the imprints that the planets leave in the disk and study how PFI could revolutionise areas ranging from exoplanet to extragalactic science. In this contribution we outline the key science drivers of PFI and discuss the requirements that will guide the technology choices, the site selection, and potential science/technology tradeoffs.

Planet formation

Global Scale Attribution of Anthropogenic and Natural Dust Sources and their Emission Rates Based on MODIS Deep Blue Aerosol Products

Our understanding of the global dust cycle is limited by a dearth of information about dust sources, especially small-scale features which could account for a large fraction of global emissions. Here we present a global-scale high-resolution (0.1 deg) mapping of sources based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Deep Blue estimates of dust optical depth in conjunction with other data sets including land use. We ascribe dust sources to natural and anthropogenic (primarily agricultural) origins, calculate their respective contributions to emissions, and extensively compare these products against literature. Natural dust sources globally account for 75% of emissions; anthropogenic sources account for 25%. North Africa accounts for 55% of global dust emissions with only 8% being anthropogenic, mostly from the Sahel. Elsewhere, anthropogenic dust emissions can be much higher (75% in Australia). Hydrologic dust sources (e.g., ephemeral water bodies) account for 31% worldwide; 15% of them are natural while 85% are anthropogenic. Globally, 20% of emissions are from vegetated surfaces, primarily desert shrublands and agricultural lands. Since anthropogenic dust sources are associated with land use and ephemeral water bodies, both in turn linked to the hydrological cycle, their emissions are affected by climate variability. Such changes in dust emissions can impact climate, air quality, and human health. Improved dust emission estimates will require a better mapping of threshold wind velocities, vegetation dynamics, and surface conditions (soil moisture and land use) especially in the sensitive regions identified here, as well as improved ability to address small-scale convective processes producing dust via cold pool (haboob) events frequent in monsoon regimes.

aerosols

Tools for Performing SBG hyperspectral Observing System Simulation Experiment

One of NASA’s Decadal Survey mission, Surface Biology and Geology (SBG), will include a hyperspectral remote sensing imager, which has a very high spatial resolution and a wide spectral coverage (from UV to Near IR). Unprecedented large data volumes will be generated by the SBG hyperspectral instrument. Before the launch of the new satellite, an Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) can be used to study different designs of the new satellite system. One of the key components in an OSSE study is a radiative transfer model (RTM) or forward model. In this presentation, we will describe a Principal Component-based Radiative Transfer Model (PCRTM) which is capable of simulating atmospheric (TOA) radiance or reflectance spectra from far IR to visible and UV spectral regions (50 wavenumber to 30000 wavenumber) quickly and accurately. Multiple scattering from multiple layers of clouds/aerosols are included in the model. The PCRTM has a very good accuracy relative to reference line-by-line radiative transfer models (LBLRTM), and it saves 3-4 orders of magnitude computational time relative to LBLRTM or MODTRAN. The PCRTM model has been successfully used to analyze large volumes of data from hyperspectral sensors such as AIRS, CrIS, and IASI. It has also been used to perform OSSE studies for the Climate Absolute Radiance and Refractivity Observatory (CLARREO) mission. Another useful tool for the OSSE is surface Bidirectional Reflectance Distribution Function (BRDF) database. It is very crucial for the SBG OSSE to include realistic BRDF spectra. Currently, most of the surface reflectance spectra such as those in the ECOSIS and ECOSTRESS are measured at specific observation geometries. We have developed a hyperspectral bidirectional reflectance (HSBR) model which combines Ross-Li BRDF model with the existing reflectance spectral libraries using a principal component analysis. This HSBR model can provide realistic BRDF spectra under various observation conditions. It can also be used to generate realistic BRDF spectra using measurements from multi-band imagers or spectrometers such as MODIS or VIIRS.

Xu Liu

Development of An Improved BRDF Hotspot Model and its Use in VLIDORT to Study the Impact of Atmospheric Scattering on Hotspot Directional Signatures in the Atmosphere

The term “hotspot” refers to the sharp increase of reflectance occurring when incident (solar) and reflected (viewing) directions almost coincide in the backscatter direction. The accurate simulation of hotspot directional signatures is important for many remote sensing applications. The RossThick-LiSparse-Reciprocal (RTLSR) Bidirectional Reflectance Distribution Function (BRDF) model is widely used in radiative transfer simulations, and the hotspot model mostly used is from Maignan- Bréon but it typically requires large values of numerical quadrature and Fourier expansion terms in order to represent the hotspot accurately. To improve its use in atmospheric radiative transfer (RT) model simulations, in this paper we have developed a modified version based on the Maignan-Bréon’s hotspot BRDF model that converge much faster numerically, making it more practical for use in RT models that require Fourier expansion of BRDF to simulate the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) hotspot signatures. Using the vector linearized discrete ordinate radiative transfer model (VLIDORT), we found that reasonable TOA hotspot accuracy can be obtained with just 23 Fourier terms for clear atmospheres, and 63 Fourier terms for atmospheres with aerosol scattering. One advantage of this modified model is that the new hotspot model agrees very well with the original RossThick model away the hotspot region, making it is very convenient to use in the condition with and without hotspot in applications. This model can calculate the amplitude of hot spot accurately, and has been added in the most recent version of VLIDORT. However, there are some difference of this modified model with the original model for scattering angle close the hot spot, and it may not be appropriate for those who need an exact representation of the hot spot angular signature close to hot spot.

Xiaozhen (Shawn) Xiong

A Principal-Component-Based Radiative Transfer Model (PCRTM) for Hyperspectral Shortwave and Longwave Satellite Sensors and Its Applications

The radiative transfer model (RTM) or forward model is an essential component in satellite remote sensing. For modern hyperspectral remote sensors, fast and accurate RTMs are needed due to a large number of spectral dimensions and high spatial resolutions. We will describe a Principal Component-based radiative transfer model (PCRTM) which can simulate the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiance or reflectance spectra 250 nm to 2000 micrometers quickly and accurately. The PCRTM has been demonstrated to be extremely accurate, compared to the line-by-line RTM benchmarks, and the former is several orders more computationally efficient than the latter. We will demonstrate how the PCRTM and the associated inversion algorithms are used to infer atmospheric temperature, moisture, and trace gas profiles, as well as cloud and surface properties from hyperspectral IR sounders such as Atomspheric Infrared Souder (AIRS) and Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS). High-quality climate records for a 20-year duration have been derived from these IR hyperspectral data. Finally, we will show some examples of using PCRTM to retrieve cloud properties from Earth Surface Mineral Dust Source Investigation (EMIT) and its applicability of PCRTM to future missions such as the CLARREO (Climate Absolute Radiance and Refractivity Observatory) Pathfinder (CPF) CPF and the Surface Biology and Geology (SBG).

Xu Liu

A New BRDF Hotspot Model and its Use in Improving Radiative Transfer Model Efficiency and Application to VLIDORT-based PCRTM Model

The term “hotspot” refers to the sharp increase of reflectance occurring when incident (solar) and reflected (viewing) directions almost coincide in the backscatter direction. The accurate simulation of hotspot directional signatures is important for many remote sensing applications. The RossThick-LiSparse-Reciprocal (RTLSR) Bidirectional Reflectance Distribution Function (BRDF) model is widely used in radiative transfer simulations, and the hotspot model mostly used is from Maignan- Bréon but it typically requires large values of numerical quadrature and Fourier expansion terms in order to represent the hotspot accurately. To improve its use in atmospheric radiative transfer (RT) model simulations, we have developed a modified version based on the Maignan-Bréon’s hotspot BRDF model that converge much faster numerically, making it more practical for use in RT models that require Fourier expansion of BRDF to simulate the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) hotspot signatures. On basis of the vector linearized discrete ordinate radiative transfer model (VLIDORT), we have built a line-by-line based simulation system that can simulate the TOA radiance for atmospheres with 26 gases, different aerosols, dust and clouds, and surface with different BRDF. Using simulated results under diverse atmospheric conditions, we have developed VLIDORT-PCRTM model.

Xiaozhen Xiong