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Mcnamara, Roger

Publications and source records attributed to Mcnamara, Roger.

Defining the background status of a debris cloud

When a satellite fragments, a debris cloud is produced which continues to orbit the earth in its place. The fragments do not remain in the same orbit as their parent, however, and the shape of this cloud begins to evolve. Over the course of several years, the cloud changes from an ellipsoid, to a pinched torus in the parent orbital plane, to a full torus in the equatorial plane, after which time it is considered to be part of the background environment. The elapsed time between breakup and background is called the time-to-background (TTB) and is calculated differently by different researchers. This report reviews existing methods employed by programs DEBRIS and SCREEN for determining the TTB, and offers two others for consideration for a community-wide standard. It is concluded that while each method has its merits, the debris community should agree on a specific computational definition for TTB that could be used as an industry-wide standard for comparing results.

Maclay, Timothy D.↗

Debris hazard for the Earth Observing System

The scientific mission of the Earth Observing System (EOS) is modeled to analyze the potential hazard of space debris and its impact on the effectiveness of the program. Specific attention is given to the hazard posed by untrackable debris and the velocities and impact rates of such debris. The NASA Debris Flux Model (DFM) is utilized, and the results are compared to those of the Frag model which predicts the background environment from known parameters and the Screen model for estimating collision probabilities. The probability of damaging impacts is shown to be significant and to increase over time; an EOS spacecraft has a 10 percent chance of being struck by a 1-cm object traveling at 14 km/s. The present analyses demonstrate the need to design the EOS spacecraft for a LEO environment in which collisions with debris are very likely.

Madler, Ronald A.↗