Engineering topics

Mcguirk, James P.

Publications and source records attributed to Mcguirk, James P..

At least 19 records

NASA NTRS1993

Diagnostic budgets of analyzed and modelled tropical plumes

Blackwell et al. successfully simulated tropical plumes in a global barotropic model valid at 200 mb. The plume evolved in response to strong equatorial convergence which simulated a surge in the Walker Circulation. The defining characteristics of simulated plumes are: a subtropical jet with southerlies emanating from the deep tropics; a tropical/mid-latitude trough to the west; a convergence/divergence dipole straddling the trough; and strong cross contour flow at the tropical base of the jet. Diagnostic budgets of vorticity, divergence, and kinetic energy are calculated to explain the evolution of the modelled plumes. Budgets describe the unforced (basic) state, forced plumes, forced cases with no plumes, and ECMWF analyzed plumes.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Impact of increased TOVS signal on the NMC global spectral model - A tropical-plume case study

Temperature and moisture signals are extracted from operationally available TOVS channel radiances for a tropical plume that developed over the North Pacific in January 1989, and are inserted into the NMC's operational medium-range forecast model. Several 48-h forecasts are made to test the impact of the additional information. It is shown, at least within a single tropical plume event, that there is still unutilized information within operational TOVS satellite observations. This information resides in the moisture channels and within small-amplitude, but horiontally coherent, thermal features. Perturbed upper-tropospheric relative humidity patterns are smoother and more consistent with satellite imagery than is the historical forecast.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1993

WetNet: Using SSM/I data interactively for global distribution of tropical rainfall and precipitable water

The research objectives were the following: (1) to use SSM/I to categorize, measure, and parameterize effects of rainfall systems around the globe, especially mesoscale convective systems; (2) to use SSM/I to monitor key components of the global hydrologic cycle, including tropical rainfall and precipitable water, and links to increasing sea surface temperatures; and (3) to assist in the development of efficient methods of exchange of massive satellite data bases and of analysis techniques, especially their use at a university. Numerous tasks have been initiated. First and foremost has been the integration and startup of the WetNet computer system into the TAMU computer network. Scientific activity was infeasible before completion of this activity. Final hardware delivery was not completed until October 1991, after which followed a period of identification and solution of several hardware and software and software problems. Accomplishments representing approximately four months work with the WetNEt system are presented.

Zipser, Edward J.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Tropical Pacific moisture variability

The research objectives are the following: (1) to describe synoptic scale variability of moisture over the tropical Pacific Ocean and the systems leading to this variability; (2) to implement satellite analysis procedures to accomplish (1); (3) to incorporate additional satellite information into operational analysis/forecast systems at NMC; and (4) to synthesize knowledge gained from satellite observations through diagnosis and numerical models. Significant accomplishments in FY 91/92 are presented and include the following: (1) satellite forecast applications; (2) satellite data analysis; and (3) tropical plume mechanisms.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Convective organization in the Pacific ITCZ: Merging OLR, TOVS, and SSM/I information

One of the most striking features of the planet's long-time average cloudiness is the zonal band of concentrated convection lying near the equator. Large-scale variability of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) has been well documented in studies of the planetary spatial scales and seasonal/annual/interannual temporal cycles of convection. Smaller-scale variability is difficult to study over the tropical oceans for several reasons. Conventional surface and upper-air data are virtually non-existent in some regions; diurnal and annual signals overwhelm fluctuations on other time scales; and analyses of variables such as geopotential and moisture are generally less reliable in the tropics. These problems make the use of satellite data an attractive alternative and the preferred means to study variability of tropical weather systems.

Hayes, Patrick M.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Properties of the Central American cold surge

The Central American cold surge (CACS) is a frontal incursion from the United States into Central America and resembles the East Asian cold surge. They occur more frequently than analyzed by NMC or by published results, based on our observations between 1979 and 1990. Climatology and structure are quantified, based on surface and upper air stations throughout Central America and satellite products from GOES visible and infrared sensors and SSM/I precipitable water and rain rate sensors.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Global barotropic response to a tropical forcing

Zonally varying flow has been used to initialize numerical models and has been shown to play an important role in strong localized responses both in extratropics and the tropics. In this study, a climatological 200 mb January mean is used as a steady basic state of a barotropical model which consists of shallow water equations and a mass source centered at 4 deg S/120 deg E to simulate convective heating over Indonesia region. In the experiment, tropical responses appear not only over the western Pacific, where the forcing is located, but also over the eastern Pacific where the response is related to the zonally varying basic state. The westward propagating equatorial Rossby waves excited by the forcing interact with waves out of and into the tropics and the positive and negative phase of the Rossby waves result in blocking circulation over North America and tropical plumes over equatorial eastern Pacific, respectively.

Zhang, Yuxia↗

NASA NTRS1992

Uncertainties in climate data sets

Climate diagnostics are constructed from either analyzed fields or from observational data sets. Those that have been commonly used are normally considered ground truth. However, in most of these collections, errors and uncertainties exist which are generally ignored due to the consistency of usage over time. Examples of uncertainties and errors are described in NMC and ECMWF analyses and in satellite observational sets-OLR, TOVS, and SMMR. It is suggested that these errors can be large, systematic, and not negligible in climate analysis.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1991

WetNet: Using SSM/I data interactively for global distribution of rainfall and precipitable water

By completing hardware installation, preparing for comparative studies of SSM/I, radar, and lightning data, it is believed that this will be a powerful combination for evaluating the global distribution of tropical rainfall, and the vertical distribution of latent heating, with strong application to algorithms for use on TRMM, EOS-A, and future GOES spacecraft. Potential data bases will be surveyed, about 5 case studies with surface rainfall, radar, lightning, and sounding data will be identified. SSM/I algorithms will be used to identify convective regions of MCSs. A catalog will be developed of the global profile of heavy tropical rainfall, and how these zones are organized within larger tropical weather systems. Beginning with the first few months of SSM/I data distributed over WetNet, SSM/I radiances will be compared with TOVS radiance (moisture and thermal) and OLR observations. The purpose is to improve understanding of how real world water vapor profiles in the tropical atmosphere are perceived by SSM/I precipitable water algorithm and, at the same time, by the TOVS water vapor channel.

Zipser, Edward J.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Tropical Pacific moisture variability

The research objectives were to describe synoptic scale variability of moisture over the tropical Pacific Ocean and the systems leading to this variability, to implement satellite analysis procedures to accomplish that objective, to incorporate additional satellite information into operational analysis/forecast systems at the National Meteorological Center (NMC), and to synthesize knowledge gained from satellite observations through diagnosis and numerical models. In the past year, three significant satellite data analysis tasks were accomplished: comparisons for upwelling radiance fields for 1983 and 1984 were completed for the purpose of testing the sensitivity of water vapor/greenhouse feedback to local sea surface temperature variations; the interaction between tropical plumes, wave features over Central America, traveling waves in the upper tropospheric tropics, and the tropical interseasonal oscillation was examined; and planning and early efforts on the construction of a model and the infrared based climatology of daily precipitable water was completed. Research on tropical plume mechanisms included is briefly discussed.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Tropical Pacific moisture variability

The objectives are to describe synoptic scale variability of moisture over the tropical Pacific Ocean and the systems leading to this variability; implement satellite analysis procedures in support of this effort, and to incorporate additional satellite information into operational analysis forecast systems at the National Meteorological Center (NMC). Composite satellite radiance patterns describe features detectable well before the development of synoptic scale tropical plumes. These typical features were extracted from historical files of Tiros Operational Vertical Sounder (TOVS) radiance observations for a pair of tropical plumes which developed during January 1989. Signals were inserted into the NMC operational medium range forecast model and a suite of model integrations were conducted. Many of the 48 h model errors of the historical forecasts were eliminated by the inclusion of more complete satellite observations. Three studies in satellite radiance analysis progressed. An analysis which blended TOVS moisture channels, OLR observations and European Center for Medium Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model analysis to generate fields of total precipitable water comparable to those estimated from Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR) mu-wave observations. This study demonstrated that a 10 y climatology of precipitable water over the oceans is feasible, using available infrared observations (OLR and TOVS) and model analysis (ECMWF, NMC or similar quality). The estimates are sensitive to model quality and the estimating model must be updated with operational model changes. Coe developed a set of tropical plume and ITCZ composites from TOVS observations, and from NMC and ECMWF analyses which had been passed through a radiative transfer model to simulate TOVS radiances. The composites have been completed as well as many statistical diagnostics of individual TOVS channels. Analysis of the computations is commencing. Chung has initiated a study of the differences between TOVS observed vapor structure during El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) (1983) and non-ENSO (1984) years. Preliminary diagnosis demonstrates gross moisture changes between warm and cold sea surface temperature episodes.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Tropical Pacific moisture variability: Its detection, synoptic structure and consequences in the general circulation

Satellite data analysis tools are developed and implemented for the diagnosis of atmospheric circulation systems over the tropical Pacific Ocean. The tools include statistical multi-variate procedures, a multi-spectral radiative transfer model, and the global spectral forecast model at NMC. Data include in-situ observations; satellite observations from VAS (moisture, infrared and visible) NOAA polar orbiters (including Tiros Operational Satellite System (TOVS) multi-channel sounding data and OLR grids) and scanning multichannel microwave radiometer (SMMR); and European Centre for Medium Weather Forecasts (ECHMWF) analyses. A primary goal is a better understanding of the relation between synoptic structures of the area, particularly tropical plumes, and the general circulation, especially the Hadley circulation. A second goal is the definition of the quantitative structure and behavior of all Pacific tropical synoptic systems. Finally, strategies are examined for extracting new and additional information from existing satellite observations. Although moisture structure is emphasized, thermal patterns are also analyzed. Both horizontal and vertical structures are studied and objective quantitative results are emphasized.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Evolution of tropical plumes in VAS water vapor imagery

Synoptic scale tropical plumes are analyzed using satellite data and outgoing longwave radiation data. The evolution of plumes is described and their precursor signals are examined. The horizontal moisture patterns of the plumes are compared with nonplume climatology, and the predictability of plumes based solely on satellite imagery is assessed. The results show that a plume evolves as a stationary, tropical, dry or moist dipole, separated by an exceptionally strong cloud or moisture gradient. Tropical plume evolution is accompanied by a systematic drying of the tropical eastern Pacific atmosphere before development, and moistening and increased cloudiness with development.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Tropical synoptic composites in VAS, OLR, and TOVS radiance data

The horizontal structure of specific tropical synoptic features is compared with that of a zonal ITCZ. Consideration is given to the two different appearances of the ITCZ: a weakly convective zonally symmetric state, and a locally synoptically-active convective state. Particular attention is given to the ways in which various satellite systems view these distinctive states.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Tropical Pacific moisture variability

Research objectives are to: (1) describe the synoptic scale variability of moisture over the tropical Pacific Ocean; (2) describe the systems leading to this variability; and (3) develop and implement satellite analysis procedures to facilitate (1) and (2) over the data sparse Pacific.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Tropical synoptic composites in VAS, OLR and TOVS radiance data

The horizontal structure of specific tropical synoptic features are compared with the features of a zonal mean ITCZ using four different forms of satellite radiance data: daily gridded OLR data, GOES VAS water vapor imagery, brightness temperatures from TOVS water vapor channels (6.7 and 7.3 microns), and brightness temperature vectors for a complete set of TOVS channels. All of the data are composited over many events to minimize the effects of missing data, sampling errors, and system variability. The major differences between the observing systems are examined, focusing on resolution and clouds. It is found that the ITCZ exhibits a zonally symmetric convective phase and an enhanced regional convective phase (plumes), both of which can be differentiated from climatological mean behavior.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1988

An eastern Pacific tropical plume

The synoptic structure of the atmosphere in the vicinity of a tropical cloud surge (or plume) is described on the basis of a single case study (the case study plume occurred during the Special Observing Period 1 of the FGGE), which was augmented with details of studies of three other systems. The tropical plume was accompanied by intense drying and subsidence within the trough to the northwest, and a strong subtropical jet within the plume, which originated near the equator. It is shown that the plume developed simultaneously out of several disturbances along its axis.

Mcguirk, James P.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Application of satellite data to tropic-subtropic moisture coupling

Common tropical synoptic events, called moisture bursts, have been defined in terms of their appearance in infrared satellite imagery. Their synoptic and climatological behavior over the tropical North Pacific Ocean is described using data from four cool seasons, including the 1982 to 1983 El Nino winter and the January and May of 1979.

Thompson, Aylmer H.↗