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Martin G Mlynczak

Publications and source records attributed to Martin G Mlynczak.

8 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2022

Thermospheric Nitric Oxide Cooling Responses to the 14 December 2020 Solar Eclipse

The behaviors of the nitric oxide (NO) cooling in the lower thermosphere during the 14 December 2020 solar eclipse are studied using Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) measurements and WACCM-X simulations. We found that NO cooling rate decreases during the solar eclipse in both SABER measurements and WACCM-X simulations. The maximum decrease of the NO cooling is 40% in SABER measurements and 25% in WACCM-X simulations. The NO cooling process is initiated almost entirely through the collisions with atomic oxygen (O) which depends linearly on NO and O densities and non-linearly on the neutral temperature. During the eclipse, the NO concentration and temperature decreases are larger than that of O concentration. Consequently, the eclipse-time NO concentration and temperature decreases are the major drivers of the NO cooling rate decrease. The decreases of the temperature and the NO concentration contribute comparably to the eclipse-time NO cooling rate decrease.

solar eclipse↗
NASA NTRS2022

Variability of Water Vapor in the Tropical Middle Atmosphere Observed From Satellites and Interpreted Using SD-WACCM Simulations

Water vapor in the middle atmosphere plays an essential role in global warming, ozone depletion, and the formation of polar stratospheric and mesospheric clouds. We show that tropical middle atmospheric water vapor simulated with the specified-dynamics version of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (SD-WACCM) is consistent with changes observed in a merged satellite data set, which encompasses the period 1993–2020. Consistent with previous work, we find no significant trend in the stratosphere in either the observations or the simulation; in the mesosphere, we find a long-term trend of 0.1 ppmv per decade, but only in the observations. We also analyze an SD-WACCM simulation for the longer period 1980–2019 to quantify the contribution of various factors to the decadal variation of middle atmospheric water vapor. Over 1980–1995, the simulated water vapor in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere, averaged zonally and over ±30° latitude, increases by 0.30 ppmv per decade due to increasing methane emissions. After 1995, a significant abrupt decrease of water vapor of 0.37 ppmv per decade and then a gradual increase of 0.33 ppmv per decade result from changes in stratospheric cold point temperature. The cold-point temperature is strongly influenced by the strength of the Brewer-Dobson circulation. The acceleration of the Brewer-Dobson circulation before about 2003 leads to a cooler tropical tropopause and a decrease of water vapor, and the deceleration thereafter leads to corresponding warming of the tropopause and an increase in water vapor.

Wandi Yu↗
NASA NTRS2022

Climatology of Mesosphere and Lower Thermosphere Residual Circulations and Mesopause Height Derived From SABER Observations

In the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) region, residual circulations driven by gravity wave breaking and dissipation significantly impact constituent distribution and the height and temperature of the mesopause. The distribution of CO2 can be used as a proxy for the residual circulations. Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) CO2 volume mixing ratio (VMR) and temperature measurements from 2003 to 2020 are used to study the monthly climatology of MLT residual circulations and the mesopause height. Our analyses show that (a) mesopause height strongly correlates with the CO2 VMR vertical gradient during solstices; (b) mesopause height has a discontinuity at midlatitude in the summer hemisphere, with a lower mesopause height at mid-to-high latitudes as a result of adiabatic cooling driven by strong adiabatic upwelling; (c) the residual circulations have strong seasonal variations at mid-to-high latitudes, but they are more uniform at low latitudes; and (d) the interannual variability of the residual circulations and mesopause height is larger in the Southern Hemisphere (SH; 4–5 km) than in the Northern Hemisphere (NH; 0.5–1 km).

SABER↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

TPSAS-NF1676L-19005-DND

Science is an economic investment by the public. We will be managing Earth’s climate until civilization moves elsewhere. We currently have no national or international climate observing system, nor a plan to create one. Should we invest in one? Is it worth it? What is the economic value of an advanced climate observing system? How would you estimate it? We have a few traceable estimates of the economic value of weather prediction for severe storms, hurricanes, floods and droughts. Climate scientists often say that the results from their research “will inform societal decisions with trillion dollar impacts”. But is this statement verified and traceable in any way? How could we quantify an economic value to climate science? Recall that climate change science value exists decades into the future. Its value has to be treated as a risk/benefit economic analysis. A rigorous analysis must take into account the uncertainties in climate science, economic impacts, and policy (see Figure 1 below).

Bruce A Wielicki↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Concept for a Far-infrared Outgoing Radiation Closure Experiment – Antarctica (FORCE-A)

The next decade promises to be an incredibly exciting time in climate science. There are two new space flight missions, PREFIRE and FORUM, that will open the far-infrared spectrum to direct, accurate observations for the first time. PREFIRE is planned to operate between 2022 and 2024 and FORUM will launch in late 2025 or early 2026. The TICFIRE instrument is also a candidate for the NASA A-CCP mission to be launched in the 2028 timeframe. A key focus of these missions and instruments is improved understanding of polar climates. In support of these missions we present a concept for a radiative closure experiment to be conducted in Antarctica during the PREFIRE mission lifetime and then again during the operational FORUM and TICFIRE/A-CCP missions. The main component of the campaigns would be a long-duration balloon flight launched from McMurdo Station with the potential of 1-2 months aloft. Candidate balloon flight instrumentation includes a far-IR Fourier transform spectrometer and far-IR radiometers. Ground based instrumentation includes zenith viewing infrared and far-infrared spectrometers, lidars, and microwave radiometers. The objective of the FORCE-A campaign is to demonstrate radiative closure in the infrared with the multiple campaign instruments combined with the numerous relevant satellite instruments that pass overhead every 30 minutes (AIRS, CrIS, IASI, MODIS, VIIRS, CERES, BBR, Libera). The campaign will serve to advance radiation sciences as well as to provide the means for validation of the new far-infrared observations.

Martin G Mlynczak↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Comparison of Recent Solar Minima Using SABER Data and the Thermosphere Climate Index

The solar minimum at the end of Solar Cycle (SC) 23 was surprisingly long and deep, and it is predicted that the SC 24 minimum will be similar. We present results from analysis of the two most recent solar minima in terms of their duration in time and the degree of cooling that occurs, along with comparisons to the minima of five preceding solar cycles. Measurements of infrared emissions from NO and CO2 made by the Sounding of the Atmosphere Using Broadband Emission Radiometry (SABER) instrument on the NASA Thermosphere-Ionosphere-Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics (TIMED) satellite for nearly 19 years allow us to see the effects of solar minima in the thermosphere. These data,and products derived from them, including the Thermosphere Climate Index (TCI), provide direct, quantitative information on the state of the upper atmosphere and enable comparisons of different SCs. The TCI extends the SABER record of nitric oxide infrared emission at 5.3 ìm using a linear multiple regression fit of solar and geomagnetic indices to the daily cooling power derived from SABER NO. Thus the TCI provides a 73-year measure of solar variability in Earth’s atmosphere and permits determination of the relative contribution of solar irradiance and geomagnetic processes at solar minimum and throughout the solar cycle. Results of these calculations will be presented to compare solar minima for the six solar cycles included in the TCI time series.

thermosphere↗